Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 27–31 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 6.7% 17.0% 15.2–19.0% 14.6–19.6% 14.2–20.1% 13.4–21.2%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 19.8% 14.5% 12.8–16.5% 12.4–17.1% 12.0–17.5% 11.2–18.5%
Attīstībai/Par! 12.0% 14.1% 12.4–16.0% 11.9–16.5% 11.5–17.0% 10.8–18.0%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 11.0% 11.6% 10.1–13.4% 9.7–14.0% 9.3–14.4% 8.7–15.3%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 9.9% 9.0% 7.7–10.7% 7.3–11.2% 7.0–11.6% 6.4–12.4%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 13.6% 6.1% 5.1–7.6% 4.8–8.0% 4.5–8.3% 4.0–9.1%
PROGRESĪVIE 2.6% 5.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.3–7.4% 4.1–7.8% 3.6–8.5%
Likums un kārtība 0.0% 5.2% 4.2–6.5% 3.9–6.9% 3.7–7.2% 3.3–7.9%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 4.1% 3.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.2% 2.5–5.5% 2.1–6.1%
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0.0% 3.6% 2.8–4.7% 2.5–5.0% 2.4–5.3% 2.0–5.9%
Latvijas Krievu savienība 3.2% 2.7% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.1% 1.7–4.4% 1.4–4.9%
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 14.2% 1.0% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.5%
Republika 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 8 20 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–27
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 23 18 16–23 16–23 16–26 15–26
Attīstībai/Par! 13 16 15–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 13 14 11–16 11–17 11–17 10–19
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 11 11 10–14 9–15 9–16 7–16
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 16 7 7–10 0–11 0–11 0–11
PROGRESĪVIE 0 7 0–8 0–9 0–9 0–10
Likums un kārtība 0 7 0–7 0–9 0–10 0–10
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 0 0 0 0–6 0–6 0–7
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0 0 0 0–7 0–7 0–7
Latvijas Krievu savienība 0 0 0 0 0 0
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 16 0 0 0 0 0
Republika 0 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0.9% 99.9%  
17 4% 99.0%  
18 13% 95%  
19 6% 82%  
20 35% 76% Median
21 15% 41%  
22 7% 26%  
23 14% 20%  
24 4% 6%  
25 0.7% 2%  
26 0.3% 1.4%  
27 0.7% 1.1%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 2% 100%  
16 9% 98%  
17 8% 89%  
18 44% 81% Median
19 7% 37%  
20 14% 30%  
21 3% 15%  
22 1.5% 13%  
23 8% 11% Last Result
24 0.8% 4%  
25 0.1% 3%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0% 0%  

Attīstībai/Par!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
14 5% 99.3%  
15 7% 94%  
16 44% 87% Median
17 23% 43%  
18 5% 20%  
19 4% 15%  
20 8% 12%  
21 2% 3%  
22 1.5% 2%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.8%  
11 12% 99.1%  
12 4% 87%  
13 17% 83% Last Result
14 41% 66% Median
15 10% 25%  
16 9% 15%  
17 5% 6%  
18 0.5% 1.3%  
19 0.5% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.3%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.9% 99.9%  
8 1.3% 99.0%  
9 7% 98%  
10 2% 91%  
11 42% 89% Last Result, Median
12 26% 47%  
13 10% 21%  
14 2% 10%  
15 5% 8%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.2% 0.5%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Jaunā konservatīvā partija

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 60% 94% Median
8 6% 35%  
9 18% 28%  
10 1.4% 11%  
11 9% 9%  
12 0% 0.4%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

PROGRESĪVIE

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0.6% 81%  
7 57% 81% Median
8 17% 23%  
9 6% 7%  
10 0.6% 1.0%  
11 0.2% 0.4%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Likums un kārtība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 0% 54%  
5 0.1% 54%  
6 0.9% 53%  
7 45% 53% Median
8 2% 8%  
9 3% 6%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 5% 6%  
7 1.4% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0.1% 10%  
6 0.3% 10%  
7 9% 9%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Latvijas Krievu savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Republika

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 61 69 100% 67–75 64–75 63–77 61–80
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 45 62 99.9% 60–67 57–68 57–71 55–74
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 50 57 98.8% 55–63 54–64 52–65 50–67
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 66 57 98.8% 55–63 54–64 52–65 50–67
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 48 53 88% 50–58 48–59 46–60 45–62
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 50 50 45% 47–56 47–57 46–58 44–60
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 53 49 39% 46–54 45–54 43–55 41–59
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 32 45 7% 43–49 41–51 41–52 40–58
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 53 43 9% 41–49 40–52 38–52 35–54
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 52 42 3% 39–49 38–49 36–52 31–52
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 37 42 1.0% 40–45 38–47 38–48 36–51
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 53 41 0.1% 39–46 37–47 35–48 34–50
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! 36 35 0% 32–39 32–40 31–45 29–45
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 58 38 0% 35–42 34–42 32–43 30–45
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 40 33 0% 30–36 29–37 26–38 24–40
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 50 30 0% 28–36 27–36 26–37 24–38
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” 39 18 0% 16–23 16–23 16–26 15–26

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.8% Last Result
62 0.9% 99.3%  
63 2% 98%  
64 3% 97%  
65 2% 93%  
66 1.1% 91%  
67 5% 90%  
68 27% 85% Median
69 11% 58%  
70 9% 47%  
71 2% 38%  
72 4% 37%  
73 9% 33%  
74 8% 24%  
75 13% 17%  
76 1.0% 4%  
77 0.6% 3%  
78 0.7% 2%  
79 0.3% 1.3%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100% Last Result
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9% Majority
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 1.0% 99.6%  
56 1.1% 98.7%  
57 3% 98%  
58 2% 94%  
59 1.1% 93%  
60 14% 92%  
61 27% 78% Median
62 4% 51%  
63 9% 47%  
64 8% 38%  
65 7% 30%  
66 11% 23%  
67 5% 12%  
68 3% 7%  
69 0.9% 4%  
70 0.4% 3%  
71 0.7% 3%  
72 0.3% 2%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.9% 1.1%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 1.0% 99.8% Last Result
51 1.1% 98.8% Majority
52 1.0% 98%  
53 0.7% 97%  
54 3% 96%  
55 9% 93%  
56 9% 83%  
57 29% 74% Median
58 5% 46%  
59 6% 41%  
60 2% 34%  
61 6% 32%  
62 5% 26%  
63 16% 21%  
64 1.3% 5%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.4% 2%  
67 1.0% 1.5%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 1.0% 99.8%  
51 1.1% 98.8% Majority
52 1.0% 98%  
53 0.7% 97%  
54 3% 96%  
55 9% 93%  
56 9% 83%  
57 29% 74% Median
58 5% 46%  
59 6% 41%  
60 2% 34%  
61 6% 32%  
62 5% 26%  
63 16% 21%  
64 1.3% 5%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.4% 2% Last Result
67 1.0% 1.5%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 1.2% 99.8%  
46 1.2% 98.6%  
47 0.6% 97%  
48 4% 97% Last Result
49 1.4% 92%  
50 3% 91%  
51 5% 88% Majority
52 26% 83% Median
53 10% 57%  
54 10% 47%  
55 16% 37%  
56 8% 21%  
57 1.1% 12%  
58 6% 11%  
59 2% 5%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.9% 2%  
62 0.4% 0.7%  
63 0% 0.3%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 1.0% 99.7%  
45 0.9% 98.7%  
46 0.7% 98%  
47 8% 97%  
48 11% 89%  
49 4% 78%  
50 29% 74% Last Result, Median
51 7% 45% Majority
52 11% 38%  
53 4% 27%  
54 12% 24%  
55 1.2% 12%  
56 5% 11%  
57 3% 6%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.6% 2%  
60 1.3% 2%  
61 0% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.5% 99.7%  
42 0.3% 99.2%  
43 2% 98.9%  
44 1.0% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 4% 93%  
47 3% 89%  
48 25% 86% Median
49 10% 60%  
50 11% 50%  
51 12% 39% Majority
52 10% 26%  
53 5% 17% Last Result
54 9% 12%  
55 0.9% 3%  
56 0.8% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.1% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.5%  
60 0.3% 0.4%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.7%  
40 1.0% 99.6%  
41 4% 98.5%  
42 1.0% 94%  
43 4% 93%  
44 19% 90%  
45 29% 71% Median
46 5% 42%  
47 11% 37%  
48 6% 27%  
49 13% 21%  
50 1.1% 8%  
51 3% 7% Majority
52 2% 4%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.2% 2%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0.1% 0.8%  
57 0% 0.7%  
58 0.6% 0.7%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 1.0% 99.9%  
36 1.0% 98.9%  
37 0.3% 98%  
38 0.5% 98%  
39 0.9% 97%  
40 4% 96%  
41 7% 92%  
42 3% 85%  
43 33% 82% Median
44 12% 50%  
45 6% 38%  
46 4% 33%  
47 5% 29%  
48 5% 24%  
49 9% 19%  
50 1.1% 10%  
51 0.7% 9% Majority
52 7% 8%  
53 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
54 0.3% 0.6%  
55 0% 0.3%  
56 0.3% 0.3%  
57 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.5% 100%  
32 0% 99.5%  
33 0.1% 99.4%  
34 0.5% 99.3%  
35 1.2% 98.8%  
36 0.9% 98%  
37 0.5% 97%  
38 2% 96%  
39 9% 94%  
40 5% 86%  
41 26% 80% Median
42 9% 54%  
43 5% 45%  
44 12% 40%  
45 2% 27%  
46 4% 25%  
47 3% 22%  
48 7% 19%  
49 7% 11%  
50 0.6% 4%  
51 0.7% 3% Majority
52 3% 3% Last Result
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.2% 99.8%  
36 1.2% 99.6%  
37 0.6% 98% Last Result
38 3% 98%  
39 5% 95%  
40 4% 90%  
41 29% 87% Median
42 16% 58%  
43 21% 41%  
44 5% 21%  
45 7% 16%  
46 4% 9%  
47 3% 5%  
48 0.8% 3%  
49 0.4% 2%  
50 0.4% 1.4%  
51 0.6% 1.0% Majority
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0.3% 0.3%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 1.2% 99.8%  
35 2% 98.6%  
36 0.5% 97%  
37 1.4% 96%  
38 3% 95%  
39 9% 91%  
40 12% 82%  
41 25% 70% Median
42 9% 46%  
43 11% 37%  
44 12% 26%  
45 2% 14%  
46 6% 12%  
47 3% 6%  
48 0.7% 3%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.5%  
51 0% 0.1% Majority
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.8% 99.9%  
30 0.9% 99.1%  
31 2% 98%  
32 8% 96%  
33 8% 88%  
34 28% 80% Median
35 9% 52%  
36 7% 42% Last Result
37 9% 35%  
38 12% 26%  
39 8% 14%  
40 2% 7%  
41 0.8% 5%  
42 0.7% 4%  
43 0.2% 3%  
44 0.5% 3%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0% 0%  

Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 1.1% 99.8%  
31 0.4% 98.7%  
32 1.4% 98%  
33 2% 97%  
34 5% 95%  
35 3% 91%  
36 7% 88%  
37 30% 81% Median
38 14% 52%  
39 9% 38%  
40 11% 29%  
41 7% 18%  
42 9% 11%  
43 1.2% 3%  
44 0.5% 1.5%  
45 0.5% 1.0%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.8%  
25 2% 99.5%  
26 0.8% 98%  
27 0.2% 97%  
28 2% 97%  
29 2% 95%  
30 4% 93%  
31 4% 89%  
32 31% 85% Median
33 14% 54%  
34 15% 40%  
35 14% 25%  
36 5% 11%  
37 2% 6%  
38 2% 3%  
39 1.0% 2%  
40 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
41 0.1% 0.4%  
42 0% 0.3%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.5% 99.7%  
25 0.7% 99.2%  
26 3% 98%  
27 2% 95%  
28 8% 94%  
29 31% 85% Median
30 21% 55%  
31 10% 34%  
32 6% 24%  
33 3% 18%  
34 2% 15%  
35 0.7% 13%  
36 9% 13%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.6% 0.7%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 2% 100%  
16 9% 98%  
17 8% 89%  
18 44% 81% Median
19 7% 37%  
20 14% 30%  
21 3% 15%  
22 1.5% 13%  
23 8% 11%  
24 0.8% 4%  
25 0.1% 3%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations