Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 22.1% | 20.5–23.8% | 20.0–24.3% | 19.6–24.7% | 18.9–25.5% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.7–14.3% | 11.3–14.7% | 11.0–15.1% | 10.4–15.8% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.3–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.1–15.4% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% | 10.0–14.0% | 9.5–14.6% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.4% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.3% | 5.2–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.6–8.5% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 25 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–30 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–18 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–14 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 6 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 10% | 96% | |
| 23 | 31% | 87% | Last Result |
| 24 | 5% | 56% | |
| 25 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 26 | 13% | 42% | |
| 27 | 26% | 29% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 6% | 97% | |
| 13 | 27% | 91% | |
| 14 | 9% | 64% | |
| 15 | 33% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 23% | |
| 17 | 5% | 8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10% | 100% | |
| 12 | 7% | 90% | |
| 13 | 23% | 84% | Last Result |
| 14 | 42% | 61% | Median |
| 15 | 11% | 19% | |
| 16 | 5% | 8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 28% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 5% | 71% | |
| 13 | 30% | 66% | Median |
| 14 | 5% | 36% | |
| 15 | 24% | 31% | |
| 16 | 4% | 6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 23% | 78% | |
| 9 | 22% | 55% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 32% | |
| 11 | 3% | 7% | |
| 12 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 16% | 98% | |
| 6 | 3% | 82% | |
| 7 | 70% | 79% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 9% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 74% | |
| 2 | 0% | 74% | |
| 3 | 0% | 74% | |
| 4 | 0% | 74% | |
| 5 | 14% | 74% | |
| 6 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 7 | 14% | 50% | |
| 8 | 34% | 35% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 85% | |
| 2 | 0% | 85% | |
| 3 | 0% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 5 | 10% | 84% | |
| 6 | 62% | 74% | Median |
| 7 | 6% | 12% | |
| 8 | 3% | 5% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 66% | |
| 2 | 0% | 66% | |
| 3 | 0% | 66% | |
| 4 | 0% | 66% | |
| 5 | 0% | 66% | |
| 6 | 17% | 66% | Median |
| 7 | 47% | 48% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 66% | |
| 2 | 0% | 66% | |
| 3 | 0% | 66% | |
| 4 | 0% | 66% | |
| 5 | 0% | 66% | |
| 6 | 59% | 66% | Median |
| 7 | 7% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 54 | 92% | 51–58 | 49–60 | 48–62 | 47–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 50 | 48% | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–60 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 45 | 7% | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–51 | 38–54 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 40 | 0.4% | 37–45 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 35–50 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 32 | 41 | 0.1% | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–49 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 40 | 0.2% | 37–43 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 33–49 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 40 | 0.2% | 37–43 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 33–49 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 37 | 0% | 35–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 | 30–46 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 39 | 0% | 35–42 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 33–47 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 37 | 0% | 33–40 | 33–41 | 32–43 | 31–45 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 35 | 0% | 31–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 30–44 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 33 | 0% | 28–36 | 27–38 | 27–39 | 26–40 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 33 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–41 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 31 | 0% | 29–34 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 24–39 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 27 | 0% | 23–31 | 23–32 | 22–32 | 21–34 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 27 | 0% | 24–30 | 21–30 | 20–32 | 19–34 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 25 | 0% | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–30 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 95% | |
| 51 | 6% | 92% | Majority |
| 52 | 8% | 86% | |
| 53 | 17% | 78% | |
| 54 | 24% | 62% | |
| 55 | 9% | 37% | |
| 56 | 6% | 29% | |
| 57 | 3% | 23% | Median |
| 58 | 11% | 20% | |
| 59 | 2% | 9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 46 | 17% | 92% | |
| 47 | 8% | 76% | |
| 48 | 5% | 68% | |
| 49 | 8% | 63% | |
| 50 | 6% | 55% | |
| 51 | 13% | 48% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 7% | 35% | |
| 53 | 3% | 28% | |
| 54 | 20% | 25% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 41 | 2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 6% | 94% | |
| 43 | 3% | 88% | |
| 44 | 24% | 85% | |
| 45 | 13% | 61% | |
| 46 | 20% | 48% | |
| 47 | 7% | 28% | |
| 48 | 3% | 22% | Last Result, Median |
| 49 | 7% | 18% | |
| 50 | 5% | 11% | |
| 51 | 4% | 7% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 3% | 96% | |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 5% | 90% | |
| 39 | 19% | 85% | |
| 40 | 16% | 66% | |
| 41 | 6% | 50% | |
| 42 | 7% | 44% | |
| 43 | 10% | 37% | |
| 44 | 8% | 27% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 19% | |
| 46 | 3% | 10% | |
| 47 | 3% | 7% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 3% | 96% | |
| 38 | 10% | 93% | |
| 39 | 23% | 84% | |
| 40 | 6% | 61% | |
| 41 | 7% | 55% | |
| 42 | 11% | 48% | Median |
| 43 | 5% | 37% | |
| 44 | 25% | 32% | |
| 45 | 4% | 8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 36 | 4% | 97% | |
| 37 | 4% | 92% | |
| 38 | 16% | 88% | |
| 39 | 21% | 72% | |
| 40 | 16% | 51% | |
| 41 | 7% | 35% | |
| 42 | 12% | 28% | Median |
| 43 | 6% | 15% | |
| 44 | 4% | 10% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 36 | 4% | 97% | |
| 37 | 4% | 92% | |
| 38 | 16% | 88% | |
| 39 | 21% | 72% | |
| 40 | 16% | 51% | |
| 41 | 7% | 35% | |
| 42 | 12% | 28% | Median |
| 43 | 6% | 15% | |
| 44 | 4% | 10% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 2% | 96% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 35 | 10% | 93% | |
| 36 | 2% | 83% | |
| 37 | 35% | 81% | |
| 38 | 10% | 45% | |
| 39 | 10% | 35% | |
| 40 | 8% | 25% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 17% | |
| 42 | 8% | 14% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 10% | 97% | |
| 36 | 8% | 87% | |
| 37 | 6% | 79% | |
| 38 | 15% | 73% | |
| 39 | 15% | 58% | |
| 40 | 8% | 43% | Median |
| 41 | 8% | 35% | |
| 42 | 20% | 27% | |
| 43 | 5% | 7% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 16% | 97% | |
| 34 | 4% | 81% | |
| 35 | 8% | 77% | |
| 36 | 14% | 69% | |
| 37 | 10% | 55% | Last Result |
| 38 | 12% | 45% | Median |
| 39 | 22% | 33% | |
| 40 | 4% | 12% | |
| 41 | 3% | 8% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 10% | 98% | |
| 32 | 6% | 88% | |
| 33 | 12% | 82% | |
| 34 | 10% | 70% | |
| 35 | 12% | 60% | |
| 36 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 41% | |
| 38 | 9% | 33% | |
| 39 | 18% | 24% | |
| 40 | 2% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 3% | 92% | |
| 29 | 17% | 89% | |
| 30 | 4% | 72% | |
| 31 | 3% | 68% | |
| 32 | 3% | 64% | |
| 33 | 21% | 61% | |
| 34 | 13% | 40% | |
| 35 | 8% | 27% | Median |
| 36 | 11% | 18% | |
| 37 | 2% | 7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 6% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 30 | 16% | 97% | |
| 31 | 12% | 81% | |
| 32 | 15% | 69% | |
| 33 | 6% | 54% | |
| 34 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 35 | 15% | 42% | |
| 36 | 5% | 27% | Last Result |
| 37 | 18% | 21% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 3% | 98% | |
| 28 | 3% | 95% | |
| 29 | 26% | 92% | |
| 30 | 4% | 66% | |
| 31 | 15% | 62% | |
| 32 | 19% | 47% | |
| 33 | 14% | 28% | Median |
| 34 | 7% | 14% | |
| 35 | 2% | 7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 9% | 97% | |
| 24 | 18% | 88% | |
| 25 | 12% | 70% | |
| 26 | 3% | 58% | |
| 27 | 12% | 55% | |
| 28 | 8% | 43% | |
| 29 | 15% | 35% | Median |
| 30 | 8% | 20% | |
| 31 | 5% | 12% | |
| 32 | 5% | 7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 3% | 98% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 22 | 2% | 95% | |
| 23 | 3% | 93% | |
| 24 | 7% | 90% | |
| 25 | 24% | 83% | |
| 26 | 7% | 60% | |
| 27 | 27% | 53% | |
| 28 | 5% | 25% | Median |
| 29 | 10% | 20% | |
| 30 | 5% | 10% | |
| 31 | 2% | 5% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 10% | 96% | |
| 23 | 31% | 87% | |
| 24 | 5% | 56% | |
| 25 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 26 | 13% | 42% | |
| 27 | 26% | 29% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1038
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%