Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 1 September–1 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
15.5% |
14.2–16.9% |
13.8–17.3% |
13.5–17.7% |
12.9–18.4% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
14.8% |
13.5–16.2% |
13.2–16.6% |
12.9–16.9% |
12.3–17.6% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
13.4% |
12.2–14.8% |
11.9–15.2% |
11.6–15.5% |
11.0–16.2% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.2% |
10.4–13.5% |
10.2–13.9% |
9.6–14.5% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.2–9.9% |
7.0–10.2% |
6.6–10.8% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
6.9% |
6.1–8.0% |
5.8–8.3% |
5.6–8.5% |
5.2–9.1% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.3–7.1% |
5.0–7.3% |
4.8–7.6% |
4.5–8.1% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.7% |
4.7–7.0% |
4.5–7.2% |
4.2–7.7% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.9% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.7–5.7% |
Republika |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.2–4.9% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.4–4.0% |
2.2–4.2% |
2.0–4.6% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.6% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.1–4.0% |
1.8–4.4% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
23% |
99.0% |
|
19 |
6% |
76% |
|
20 |
68% |
71% |
Median |
21 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0% |
2% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
3% |
100% |
|
16 |
2% |
97% |
|
17 |
93% |
95% |
Median |
18 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
19 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
91% |
99.1% |
Median |
18 |
7% |
8% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
14 |
69% |
97% |
Median |
15 |
24% |
28% |
|
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
0% |
95% |
|
11 |
72% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
23% |
23% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
8 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
97% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
7 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
8 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
69 |
100% |
69 |
68–69 |
67–69 |
67–75 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
45 |
62 |
100% |
62 |
61–62 |
59–62 |
58–67 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
58 |
100% |
57–58 |
57–59 |
57–59 |
55–63 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
58 |
100% |
57–58 |
57–59 |
57–59 |
55–63 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
52 |
97% |
52 |
52–53 |
50–53 |
48–58 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
51 |
72% |
50–51 |
50–51 |
50–52 |
48–56 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
49 |
25% |
49–51 |
49–51 |
47–51 |
45–56 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
45 |
0.1% |
45 |
44–45 |
43–46 |
40–48 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
44 |
0% |
42–44 |
42–45 |
42–46 |
40–48 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
41 |
0% |
41 |
41–42 |
41–44 |
39–47 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
41 |
0.1% |
40–41 |
40–43 |
40–44 |
37–45 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
37 |
42 |
0.1% |
42–44 |
40–44 |
39–44 |
38–47 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
38 |
0% |
38–39 |
38–39 |
36–40 |
36–43 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
36 |
34 |
0% |
34 |
34 |
33–36 |
32–38 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
32 |
0% |
32–34 |
32–34 |
31–34 |
29–38 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
28 |
0% |
28–29 |
27–29 |
27–29 |
24–31 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
17 |
0% |
17 |
17–18 |
17–18 |
15–19 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
5% |
97% |
|
69 |
90% |
92% |
Median |
70 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
2% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
61 |
3% |
95% |
|
62 |
90% |
92% |
Median |
63 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
64 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
24% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
69% |
75% |
Median |
59 |
4% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
61 |
0% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
24% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
69% |
75% |
Median |
59 |
4% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
61 |
0% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
97% |
Majority |
52 |
92% |
97% |
Median |
53 |
3% |
5% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
26% |
98% |
Last Result |
51 |
68% |
72% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
2% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0% |
98% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
48 |
2% |
97% |
|
49 |
69% |
96% |
Median |
50 |
1.4% |
26% |
|
51 |
23% |
25% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
54 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
44 |
2% |
97% |
|
45 |
92% |
95% |
Median |
46 |
2% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
42 |
23% |
99.0% |
|
43 |
4% |
76% |
|
44 |
67% |
72% |
Median |
45 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
46 |
3% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
92% |
98% |
Median |
42 |
2% |
7% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
23% |
98.6% |
|
41 |
69% |
76% |
Median |
42 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
43 |
2% |
5% |
|
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
38 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
40 |
3% |
97% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
42 |
67% |
94% |
Median |
43 |
1.5% |
26% |
|
44 |
23% |
25% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
38 |
67% |
97% |
Median |
39 |
25% |
30% |
|
40 |
3% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
42 |
0% |
2% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
34 |
92% |
96% |
Median |
35 |
2% |
5% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
37 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
98% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
32 |
68% |
96% |
Median |
33 |
1.4% |
28% |
|
34 |
25% |
27% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
28 |
68% |
94% |
Median |
29 |
25% |
26% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
91% |
99.1% |
Median |
18 |
7% |
8% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1 September–1 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1170
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.52%