Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 1 September–1 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 15.5% | 14.2–16.9% | 13.8–17.3% | 13.5–17.7% | 12.9–18.4% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.5–16.2% | 13.2–16.6% | 12.9–16.9% | 12.3–17.6% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 13.4% | 12.2–14.8% | 11.9–15.2% | 11.6–15.5% | 11.0–16.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.7–13.2% | 10.4–13.5% | 10.2–13.9% | 9.6–14.5% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.2–9.9% | 7.0–10.2% | 6.6–10.8% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.9% | 6.1–8.0% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.6–8.5% | 5.2–9.1% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.5–8.1% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.7% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.5–7.2% | 4.2–7.7% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| Republika | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.9% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.6% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.8–4.4% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 16–23 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–20 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 17 | 17 | 17–18 | 17–18 | 15–19 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 11–17 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 11 | 11–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republika | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 23% | 99.0% | |
| 19 | 6% | 76% | |
| 20 | 68% | 71% | Median |
| 21 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 2% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 97% | |
| 17 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 18 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 91% | 99.1% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 8% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 14 | 69% | 97% | Median |
| 15 | 24% | 28% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 95% | |
| 11 | 72% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 12 | 23% | 23% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 8 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 97% | 99.7% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 7 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 69 | 100% | 69 | 68–69 | 67–69 | 67–75 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 45 | 62 | 100% | 62 | 61–62 | 59–62 | 58–67 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 58 | 100% | 57–58 | 57–59 | 57–59 | 55–63 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 58 | 100% | 57–58 | 57–59 | 57–59 | 55–63 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 52 | 97% | 52 | 52–53 | 50–53 | 48–58 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 51 | 72% | 50–51 | 50–51 | 50–52 | 48–56 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 49 | 25% | 49–51 | 49–51 | 47–51 | 45–56 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 32 | 45 | 0.1% | 45 | 44–45 | 43–46 | 40–48 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 44 | 0% | 42–44 | 42–45 | 42–46 | 40–48 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 41 | 0% | 41 | 41–42 | 41–44 | 39–47 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 41 | 0.1% | 40–41 | 40–43 | 40–44 | 37–45 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 37 | 42 | 0.1% | 42–44 | 40–44 | 39–44 | 38–47 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 38 | 0% | 38–39 | 38–39 | 36–40 | 36–43 |
| Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 36 | 34 | 0% | 34 | 34 | 33–36 | 32–38 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 32 | 0% | 32–34 | 32–34 | 31–34 | 29–38 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 28 | 0% | 28–29 | 27–29 | 27–29 | 24–31 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 17 | 0% | 17 | 17–18 | 17–18 | 15–19 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 5% | 97% | |
| 69 | 90% | 92% | Median |
| 70 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 90% | 92% | Median |
| 63 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 24% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 69% | 75% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 24% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 69% | 75% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 97% | Majority |
| 52 | 92% | 97% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 26% | 98% | Last Result |
| 51 | 68% | 72% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 98% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 69% | 96% | Median |
| 50 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 51 | 23% | 25% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 54 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 92% | 95% | Median |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 23% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 4% | 76% | |
| 44 | 67% | 72% | Median |
| 45 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 92% | 98% | Median |
| 42 | 2% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 44 | 3% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 23% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 69% | 76% | Median |
| 42 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 3% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 38 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 42 | 67% | 94% | Median |
| 43 | 1.5% | 26% | |
| 44 | 23% | 25% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 67% | 97% | Median |
| 39 | 25% | 30% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 92% | 96% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 5% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0% | 98% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 68% | 96% | Median |
| 33 | 1.4% | 28% | |
| 34 | 25% | 27% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 68% | 94% | Median |
| 29 | 25% | 26% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 91% | 99.1% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 8% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1 September–1 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1170
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.52%