Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 1 September–1 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
15.5% |
14.2–16.9% |
13.8–17.3% |
13.5–17.7% |
12.9–18.4% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
14.8% |
13.5–16.2% |
13.2–16.6% |
12.9–16.9% |
12.3–17.6% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
13.4% |
12.2–14.8% |
11.9–15.2% |
11.6–15.5% |
11.0–16.2% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.2% |
10.4–13.5% |
10.2–13.9% |
9.6–14.5% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.2–9.9% |
7.0–10.2% |
6.6–10.8% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
6.9% |
6.1–8.0% |
5.8–8.3% |
5.6–8.5% |
5.2–9.1% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.3–7.1% |
5.0–7.3% |
4.8–7.6% |
4.5–8.1% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.7% |
4.7–7.0% |
4.5–7.2% |
4.2–7.7% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.9% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.7–5.7% |
Republika |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.2–4.9% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.4–4.0% |
2.2–4.2% |
2.0–4.6% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.6% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.1–4.0% |
1.8–4.4% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
23% |
99.0% |
|
19 |
6% |
76% |
|
20 |
68% |
71% |
Median |
21 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0% |
2% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
3% |
100% |
|
16 |
2% |
97% |
|
17 |
93% |
95% |
Median |
18 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
19 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
91% |
99.1% |
Median |
18 |
7% |
8% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
14 |
69% |
97% |
Median |
15 |
24% |
28% |
|
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
0% |
95% |
|
11 |
72% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
23% |
23% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
8 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
97% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
7 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
8 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
69 |
100% |
69 |
68–69 |
67–69 |
67–75 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
45 |
62 |
100% |
62 |
61–62 |
59–62 |
58–67 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
58 |
100% |
57–58 |
57–59 |
57–59 |
55–63 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
58 |
100% |
57–58 |
57–59 |
57–59 |
55–63 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
52 |
97% |
52 |
52–53 |
50–53 |
48–58 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
51 |
72% |
50–51 |
50–51 |
50–52 |
48–56 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
49 |
25% |
49–51 |
49–51 |
47–51 |
45–56 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
45 |
0.1% |
45 |
44–45 |
43–46 |
40–48 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
44 |
0% |
42–44 |
42–45 |
42–46 |
40–48 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
41 |
0% |
41 |
41–42 |
41–44 |
39–47 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
41 |
0.1% |
40–41 |
40–43 |
40–44 |
37–45 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
37 |
42 |
0.1% |
42–44 |
40–44 |
39–44 |
38–47 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
38 |
0% |
38–39 |
38–39 |
36–40 |
36–43 |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
36 |
34 |
0% |
34 |
34 |
33–36 |
32–38 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
32 |
0% |
32–34 |
32–34 |
31–34 |
29–38 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
28 |
0% |
28–29 |
27–29 |
27–29 |
24–31 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
17 |
0% |
17 |
17–18 |
17–18 |
15–19 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
5% |
97% |
|
69 |
90% |
92% |
Median |
70 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
2% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
61 |
3% |
95% |
|
62 |
90% |
92% |
Median |
63 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
64 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
24% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
69% |
75% |
Median |
59 |
4% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
61 |
0% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
24% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
69% |
75% |
Median |
59 |
4% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
61 |
0% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
97% |
Majority |
52 |
92% |
97% |
Median |
53 |
3% |
5% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
26% |
98% |
Last Result |
51 |
68% |
72% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
2% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0% |
98% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
48 |
2% |
97% |
|
49 |
69% |
96% |
Median |
50 |
1.4% |
26% |
|
51 |
23% |
25% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
54 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
44 |
2% |
97% |
|
45 |
92% |
95% |
Median |
46 |
2% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
42 |
23% |
99.0% |
|
43 |
4% |
76% |
|
44 |
67% |
72% |
Median |
45 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
46 |
3% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
92% |
98% |
Median |
42 |
2% |
7% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
23% |
98.6% |
|
41 |
69% |
76% |
Median |
42 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
43 |
2% |
5% |
|
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
38 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
40 |
3% |
97% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
42 |
67% |
94% |
Median |
43 |
1.5% |
26% |
|
44 |
23% |
25% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
38 |
67% |
97% |
Median |
39 |
25% |
30% |
|
40 |
3% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
42 |
0% |
2% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par! – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
34 |
92% |
96% |
Median |
35 |
2% |
5% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
37 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
98% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
32 |
68% |
96% |
Median |
33 |
1.4% |
28% |
|
34 |
25% |
27% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
28 |
68% |
94% |
Median |
29 |
25% |
26% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
91% |
99.1% |
Median |
18 |
7% |
8% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1 September–1 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1170
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.52%