Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 27–31 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
20.0% |
18.5–21.6% |
18.1–22.0% |
17.7–22.4% |
17.0–23.2% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
12.8% |
11.6–14.2% |
11.3–14.6% |
11.0–14.9% |
10.4–15.6% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
10.6% |
9.5–11.9% |
9.2–12.2% |
8.9–12.6% |
8.4–13.2% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
10.2% |
9.1–11.4% |
8.8–11.8% |
8.5–12.1% |
8.0–12.7% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.5% |
7.1–9.9% |
6.9–10.2% |
6.4–10.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.2% |
6.0–8.5% |
5.8–8.8% |
5.4–9.3% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
6.9% |
6.0–7.9% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.5–8.5% |
5.1–9.0% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
6.9% |
6.0–7.9% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.5–8.5% |
5.1–9.0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā |
0.0% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
3.6–6.0% |
3.2–6.5% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.7% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.1–4.1% |
1.9–4.5% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.1% |
Republika |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.1–3.2% |
Stabilitātei! |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.1–3.2% |
Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
20 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
21 |
8% |
96% |
|
22 |
4% |
88% |
|
23 |
7% |
84% |
|
24 |
68% |
77% |
Median |
25 |
2% |
8% |
|
26 |
2% |
6% |
|
27 |
2% |
4% |
|
28 |
2% |
2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
13 |
11% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
14 |
25% |
88% |
|
15 |
6% |
63% |
|
16 |
3% |
57% |
|
17 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
18 |
48% |
48% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
11 |
9% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
9% |
90% |
|
13 |
10% |
81% |
|
14 |
67% |
71% |
Median |
15 |
3% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
51% |
99.9% |
Median |
10 |
12% |
49% |
|
11 |
9% |
38% |
|
12 |
7% |
28% |
|
13 |
15% |
21% |
Last Result |
14 |
5% |
6% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
3% |
98% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
10 |
9% |
95% |
|
11 |
73% |
86% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
4% |
13% |
|
13 |
9% |
9% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
19% |
99.0% |
|
9 |
3% |
80% |
|
10 |
73% |
77% |
Median |
11 |
4% |
4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
6% |
98% |
|
7 |
58% |
92% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
34% |
|
9 |
18% |
32% |
|
10 |
13% |
14% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
52% |
98% |
Median |
8 |
38% |
46% |
|
9 |
6% |
8% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
87% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
13% |
|
2 |
0% |
13% |
|
3 |
0% |
13% |
|
4 |
0% |
13% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
6 |
12% |
13% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stabilitātei!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
69 |
100% |
65–71 |
64–73 |
64–73 |
62–75 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
45 |
62 |
100% |
57–64 |
57–64 |
56–66 |
55–69 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
58 |
100% |
54–60 |
54–61 |
53–63 |
52–64 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
58 |
100% |
54–60 |
54–61 |
53–63 |
52–64 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
60 |
99.8% |
54–60 |
54–60 |
53–62 |
51–62 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
51 |
63% |
47–53 |
47–54 |
45–55 |
45–58 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
51 |
63% |
47–53 |
46–53 |
44–53 |
43–56 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
48 |
3% |
44–49 |
44–49 |
43–51 |
40–51 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
45 |
0.5% |
42–48 |
40–49 |
40–49 |
39–51 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
41 |
0% |
40–45 |
40–46 |
40–48 |
36–50 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
37 |
38 |
0% |
34–41 |
33–41 |
33–41 |
33–42 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
34 |
0% |
32–37 |
30–37 |
30–38 |
30–41 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
30 |
0% |
29–35 |
29–36 |
29–37 |
27–39 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
36 |
0% |
30–36 |
30–36 |
29–36 |
25–37 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
23 |
0% |
22–27 |
22–28 |
22–28 |
20–29 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
25 |
0% |
22–26 |
22–27 |
22–27 |
20–27 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
14 |
0% |
11–14 |
11–14 |
11–15 |
10–15 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
9% |
98.9% |
|
65 |
2% |
90% |
|
66 |
2% |
88% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
87% |
|
68 |
19% |
86% |
Median |
69 |
42% |
67% |
|
70 |
3% |
25% |
|
71 |
16% |
22% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
73 |
3% |
5% |
|
74 |
0% |
2% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
9% |
97% |
|
58 |
11% |
87% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
76% |
|
60 |
3% |
76% |
|
61 |
3% |
72% |
Median |
62 |
55% |
69% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
64 |
10% |
14% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
66 |
3% |
4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
52 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
8% |
97% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
90% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
57 |
17% |
87% |
Median |
58 |
51% |
70% |
|
59 |
3% |
19% |
|
60 |
9% |
16% |
|
61 |
4% |
7% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
64 |
2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
8% |
97% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
90% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
57 |
17% |
87% |
Median |
58 |
51% |
70% |
|
59 |
3% |
19% |
|
60 |
9% |
16% |
|
61 |
4% |
7% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
64 |
2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
Majority |
52 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
54 |
10% |
96% |
|
55 |
7% |
86% |
|
56 |
4% |
79% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
74% |
|
58 |
3% |
73% |
|
59 |
17% |
71% |
Median |
60 |
51% |
54% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
62 |
3% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
2% |
97% |
|
47 |
18% |
95% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
77% |
|
49 |
11% |
76% |
|
50 |
2% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
51 |
46% |
63% |
Majority |
52 |
4% |
17% |
|
53 |
8% |
13% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
55 |
2% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0% |
2% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
46 |
5% |
97% |
|
47 |
9% |
92% |
|
48 |
2% |
83% |
|
49 |
17% |
81% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
63% |
|
51 |
13% |
63% |
Majority |
52 |
7% |
49% |
Median |
53 |
41% |
43% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
43 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
14% |
96% |
|
45 |
5% |
82% |
|
46 |
2% |
77% |
|
47 |
12% |
75% |
|
48 |
20% |
63% |
Median |
49 |
39% |
43% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
51 |
3% |
3% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
7% |
99.1% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
42 |
2% |
92% |
|
43 |
4% |
90% |
|
44 |
13% |
86% |
Median |
45 |
40% |
73% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
32% |
|
47 |
18% |
31% |
|
48 |
6% |
13% |
|
49 |
5% |
6% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
40 |
47% |
98% |
Median |
41 |
10% |
51% |
|
42 |
8% |
42% |
|
43 |
13% |
34% |
|
44 |
11% |
21% |
|
45 |
3% |
11% |
|
46 |
5% |
8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
49 |
0% |
2% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
12% |
93% |
|
35 |
2% |
80% |
|
36 |
4% |
78% |
|
37 |
3% |
74% |
Last Result, Median |
38 |
51% |
72% |
|
39 |
5% |
21% |
|
40 |
3% |
16% |
|
41 |
11% |
13% |
|
42 |
2% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
2% |
93% |
|
32 |
3% |
91% |
|
33 |
12% |
88% |
Median |
34 |
49% |
75% |
|
35 |
2% |
26% |
|
36 |
9% |
24% |
|
37 |
10% |
14% |
|
38 |
2% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
29 |
9% |
98% |
|
30 |
44% |
89% |
Median |
31 |
2% |
45% |
|
32 |
7% |
43% |
|
33 |
15% |
36% |
|
34 |
10% |
20% |
|
35 |
4% |
10% |
|
36 |
4% |
7% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
29 |
1.5% |
98.5% |
|
30 |
8% |
97% |
|
31 |
1.5% |
89% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
33 |
6% |
87% |
|
34 |
8% |
81% |
|
35 |
13% |
72% |
Median |
36 |
58% |
59% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
22 |
9% |
99.0% |
|
23 |
56% |
90% |
Median |
24 |
6% |
34% |
|
25 |
11% |
28% |
|
26 |
6% |
17% |
|
27 |
6% |
12% |
|
28 |
4% |
6% |
|
29 |
2% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
22 |
16% |
98% |
|
23 |
7% |
82% |
|
24 |
8% |
75% |
|
25 |
56% |
67% |
Median |
26 |
2% |
11% |
|
27 |
9% |
9% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
11 |
9% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
9% |
90% |
|
13 |
10% |
81% |
|
14 |
67% |
71% |
Median |
15 |
3% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27–31 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1122
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.59%