Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 27–31 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 20.0% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.1–22.0% | 17.7–22.4% | 17.0–23.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.6–14.2% | 11.3–14.6% | 11.0–14.9% | 10.4–15.6% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 10.6% | 9.5–11.9% | 9.2–12.2% | 8.9–12.6% | 8.4–13.2% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.1–11.4% | 8.8–11.8% | 8.5–12.1% | 8.0–12.7% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.5% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.9–10.2% | 6.4–10.7% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 6.0–8.5% | 5.8–8.8% | 5.4–9.3% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.9% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.5–8.5% | 5.1–9.0% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 6.9% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.5–8.5% | 5.1–9.0% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.6–6.0% | 3.2–6.5% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.1% |
| Republika | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% |
| Stabilitātei! | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% |
| Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 24 | 21–24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 9 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 0–13 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 0–10 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republika | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stabilitātei! | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 20 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 8% | 96% | |
| 22 | 4% | 88% | |
| 23 | 7% | 84% | |
| 24 | 68% | 77% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 11% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 14 | 25% | 88% | |
| 15 | 6% | 63% | |
| 16 | 3% | 57% | |
| 17 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 18 | 48% | 48% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 9% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 9% | 90% | |
| 13 | 10% | 81% | |
| 14 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 51% | 99.9% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 49% | |
| 11 | 9% | 38% | |
| 12 | 7% | 28% | |
| 13 | 15% | 21% | Last Result |
| 14 | 5% | 6% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 3% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 10 | 9% | 95% | |
| 11 | 73% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 12 | 4% | 13% | |
| 13 | 9% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 19% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 3% | 80% | |
| 10 | 73% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 6% | 98% | |
| 7 | 58% | 92% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 34% | |
| 9 | 18% | 32% | |
| 10 | 13% | 14% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 52% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 38% | 46% | |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 6 | 12% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stabilitātei!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 69 | 100% | 65–71 | 64–73 | 64–73 | 62–75 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 45 | 62 | 100% | 57–64 | 57–64 | 56–66 | 55–69 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 58 | 100% | 54–60 | 54–61 | 53–63 | 52–64 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 58 | 100% | 54–60 | 54–61 | 53–63 | 52–64 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 60 | 99.8% | 54–60 | 54–60 | 53–62 | 51–62 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 51 | 63% | 47–53 | 47–54 | 45–55 | 45–58 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 32 | 51 | 63% | 47–53 | 46–53 | 44–53 | 43–56 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 48 | 3% | 44–49 | 44–49 | 43–51 | 40–51 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 45 | 0.5% | 42–48 | 40–49 | 40–49 | 39–51 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 41 | 0% | 40–45 | 40–46 | 40–48 | 36–50 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 37 | 38 | 0% | 34–41 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 33–42 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 34 | 0% | 32–37 | 30–37 | 30–38 | 30–41 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 30 | 0% | 29–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 27–39 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 36 | 0% | 30–36 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 25–37 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 23 | 0% | 22–27 | 22–28 | 22–28 | 20–29 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 25 | 0% | 22–26 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 20–27 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 14 | 0% | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 9% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 90% | |
| 66 | 2% | 88% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 68 | 19% | 86% | Median |
| 69 | 42% | 67% | |
| 70 | 3% | 25% | |
| 71 | 16% | 22% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 9% | 97% | |
| 58 | 11% | 87% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 76% | |
| 60 | 3% | 76% | |
| 61 | 3% | 72% | Median |
| 62 | 55% | 69% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 64 | 10% | 14% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 66 | 3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 8% | 97% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 57 | 17% | 87% | Median |
| 58 | 51% | 70% | |
| 59 | 3% | 19% | |
| 60 | 9% | 16% | |
| 61 | 4% | 7% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 8% | 97% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 57 | 17% | 87% | Median |
| 58 | 51% | 70% | |
| 59 | 3% | 19% | |
| 60 | 9% | 16% | |
| 61 | 4% | 7% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 54 | 10% | 96% | |
| 55 | 7% | 86% | |
| 56 | 4% | 79% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 58 | 3% | 73% | |
| 59 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 60 | 51% | 54% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 3% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 18% | 95% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 77% | |
| 49 | 11% | 76% | |
| 50 | 2% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 51 | 46% | 63% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 17% | |
| 53 | 8% | 13% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 46 | 5% | 97% | |
| 47 | 9% | 92% | |
| 48 | 2% | 83% | |
| 49 | 17% | 81% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 63% | |
| 51 | 13% | 63% | Majority |
| 52 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 53 | 41% | 43% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 14% | 96% | |
| 45 | 5% | 82% | |
| 46 | 2% | 77% | |
| 47 | 12% | 75% | |
| 48 | 20% | 63% | Median |
| 49 | 39% | 43% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 3% | 3% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 42 | 2% | 92% | |
| 43 | 4% | 90% | |
| 44 | 13% | 86% | Median |
| 45 | 40% | 73% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 47 | 18% | 31% | |
| 48 | 6% | 13% | |
| 49 | 5% | 6% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 47% | 98% | Median |
| 41 | 10% | 51% | |
| 42 | 8% | 42% | |
| 43 | 13% | 34% | |
| 44 | 11% | 21% | |
| 45 | 3% | 11% | |
| 46 | 5% | 8% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 12% | 93% | |
| 35 | 2% | 80% | |
| 36 | 4% | 78% | |
| 37 | 3% | 74% | Last Result, Median |
| 38 | 51% | 72% | |
| 39 | 5% | 21% | |
| 40 | 3% | 16% | |
| 41 | 11% | 13% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 93% | |
| 32 | 3% | 91% | |
| 33 | 12% | 88% | Median |
| 34 | 49% | 75% | |
| 35 | 2% | 26% | |
| 36 | 9% | 24% | |
| 37 | 10% | 14% | |
| 38 | 2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 29 | 9% | 98% | |
| 30 | 44% | 89% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 45% | |
| 32 | 7% | 43% | |
| 33 | 15% | 36% | |
| 34 | 10% | 20% | |
| 35 | 4% | 10% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 98.5% | |
| 30 | 8% | 97% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 33 | 6% | 87% | |
| 34 | 8% | 81% | |
| 35 | 13% | 72% | Median |
| 36 | 58% | 59% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 22 | 9% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 56% | 90% | Median |
| 24 | 6% | 34% | |
| 25 | 11% | 28% | |
| 26 | 6% | 17% | |
| 27 | 6% | 12% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 16% | 98% | |
| 23 | 7% | 82% | |
| 24 | 8% | 75% | |
| 25 | 56% | 67% | Median |
| 26 | 2% | 11% | |
| 27 | 9% | 9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 9% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 9% | 90% | |
| 13 | 10% | 81% | |
| 14 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27–31 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1122
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.59%