Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 June 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 6.7% 18.2% 17.1–19.4% 16.8–19.8% 16.5–20.1% 16.0–20.7%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 11.0% 12.2% 11.2–13.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.8–13.8% 10.3–14.3%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 19.8% 10.3% 9.4–11.3% 9.2–11.6% 9.0–11.8% 8.6–12.3%
Attīstībai/Par! 12.0% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.7–11.5% 8.3–12.0%
PROGRESĪVIE 2.6% 9.4% 8.6–10.4% 8.3–10.6% 8.1–10.9% 7.8–11.3%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 9.9% 8.8% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0% 7.6–10.2% 7.2–10.7%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 13.6% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.9% 5.7–8.1% 5.4–8.5%
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0.0% 4.9% 4.3–5.6% 4.1–5.8% 4.0–6.0% 3.7–6.4%
Stabilitātei! 0.0% 4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.0–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.2%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 4.1% 4.6% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–6.1%
Latvijas Krievu savienība 3.2% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.7% 3.1–4.9% 2.9–5.2%
Likums un kārtība 0.0% 3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.1–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.1%
Republika 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 8 22 21–24 19–25 19–26 19–26
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 13 14 13–16 13–16 13–17 13–18
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 23 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–16
Attīstībai/Par! 13 10 10–14 10–14 10–14 9–15
PROGRESĪVIE 0 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 8–13
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 11 11 11 11 11–12 10–13
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 16 7 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0 5 0–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
Stabilitātei! 0 0 0–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 0 6 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Latvijas Krievu savienība 0 0 0 0 0 0
Likums un kārtība 0 0 0 0 0 0
Republika 0 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 5% 99.9%  
20 4% 95%  
21 3% 91%  
22 64% 88% Median
23 3% 24%  
24 14% 21%  
25 5% 8%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 21% 99.9% Last Result
14 60% 79% Median
15 1.3% 19%  
16 14% 17%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.6%  
19 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.9% 99.7%  
13 21% 98.8%  
14 65% 78% Median
15 7% 13%  
16 6% 6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Attīstībai/Par!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.9% 100%  
10 68% 99.1% Median
11 4% 31%  
12 9% 26%  
13 6% 18% Last Result
14 11% 12%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 1.0% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.0%  
10 13% 98%  
11 75% 85% Median
12 3% 10%  
13 7% 8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 95% 99.3% Last Result, Median
12 4% 4%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0% 0%  

Jaunā konservatīvā partija

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 84% 100% Median
8 5% 16%  
9 11% 11%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Latvija pirmajā vietā

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 0% 77%  
5 61% 77% Median
6 11% 17%  
7 6% 6%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Stabilitātei!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 0% 21%  
5 5% 21%  
6 8% 16%  
7 8% 8%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 0% 66%  
2 0% 66%  
3 0% 66%  
4 0% 66%  
5 0% 66%  
6 65% 66% Median
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Latvijas Krievu savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0.1% 0.3%  
7 0.1% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Likums un kārtība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Republika

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 61 64 100% 64–70 64–72 60–74 60–75
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 45 57 100% 57–63 56–65 53–66 53–66
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 50 53 96% 53–59 53–61 49–63 49–63
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 48 54 96% 53–58 53–59 50–61 50–61
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 32 47 16% 45–51 44–52 43–52 43–53
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 53 42 1.2% 42–47 41–48 41–48 41–53
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 37 35 0% 35–39 34–40 34–40 34–44
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 52 31 0% 31–36 30–37 30–38 30–39
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 40 32 0% 31–34 31–35 31–37 31–39
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! 36 24 0% 23–28 23–30 23–30 23–30

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 3% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 97% Last Result
62 0.1% 96%  
63 0.3% 96%  
64 58% 96% Median
65 5% 37%  
66 2% 32%  
67 7% 30%  
68 4% 23%  
69 2% 18%  
70 7% 16%  
71 1.0% 9%  
72 4% 8%  
73 0.8% 4%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.8% 0.8%  
76 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100% Last Result
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100% Majority
52 0% 99.9%  
53 3% 99.9%  
54 0.5% 97%  
55 0.7% 96%  
56 0.4% 95%  
57 58% 95% Median
58 7% 37%  
59 7% 30%  
60 5% 23%  
61 2% 18%  
62 1.4% 16%  
63 8% 15%  
64 0.3% 7%  
65 4% 7%  
66 3% 3%  
67 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 3% 100%  
50 0.5% 97% Last Result
51 0% 96% Majority
52 0.2% 96%  
53 59% 96% Median
54 6% 37%  
55 2% 31%  
56 6% 29%  
57 5% 23%  
58 2% 18%  
59 7% 16%  
60 1.3% 9%  
61 5% 8%  
62 0.4% 3%  
63 3% 3%  
64 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 100%  
50 3% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 96% Majority
52 1.2% 96%  
53 6% 95%  
54 61% 89% Median
55 7% 28%  
56 3% 21%  
57 0.4% 18%  
58 9% 18%  
59 5% 9%  
60 0.7% 4%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0% 0.2%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 4% 99.8%  
44 2% 96%  
45 4% 94%  
46 5% 90%  
47 58% 85% Median
48 8% 26%  
49 1.5% 18%  
50 1.1% 17%  
51 8% 16% Majority
52 5% 8%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 9% 99.9%  
42 58% 91% Median
43 0.5% 33%  
44 4% 33%  
45 4% 28%  
46 8% 24%  
47 11% 16%  
48 3% 5%  
49 0.9% 2%  
50 0.4% 2%  
51 0.2% 1.2% Majority
52 0.4% 0.9%  
53 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
54 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 9% 99.9%  
35 59% 91% Median
36 2% 32%  
37 2% 30% Last Result
38 12% 28%  
39 8% 16%  
40 6% 8%  
41 0.6% 2%  
42 0.3% 1.3%  
43 0.3% 1.0%  
44 0.7% 0.7%  
45 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 9% 99.8%  
31 58% 90% Median
32 10% 33%  
33 3% 22%  
34 1.0% 19%  
35 5% 18%  
36 4% 13%  
37 7% 10%  
38 0.5% 3%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0% Last Result

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 13% 99.8%  
32 58% 87% Median
33 10% 29%  
34 12% 19%  
35 3% 7%  
36 0.4% 4%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0% 0.6%  
39 0.5% 0.6%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 11% 99.7%  
24 60% 89% Median
25 8% 29%  
26 3% 21%  
27 2% 17%  
28 9% 16%  
29 1.0% 7%  
30 5% 6%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations