Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 July 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 6.7% 15.7% 14.6–16.8% 14.3–17.1% 14.1–17.4% 13.6–18.0%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 11.0% 13.3% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.7% 11.8–15.0% 11.4–15.5%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 19.8% 10.8% 9.9–11.8% 9.6–12.1% 9.4–12.3% 9.0–12.8%
Attīstībai/Par! 12.0% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.9%
PROGRESĪVIE 2.6% 8.1% 7.3–9.0% 7.1–9.2% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.9%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 9.9% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.4%
Latvijas Krievu savienība 3.2% 5.7% 5.1–6.5% 4.9–6.7% 4.7–6.9% 4.5–7.3%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 4.1% 5.6% 5.0–6.4% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.8% 4.3–7.1%
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0.0% 5.4% 4.8–6.1% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.2–6.9%
Stabilitātei! 0.0% 5.4% 4.8–6.1% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.2–6.9%
Likums un kārtība 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 13.6% 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.4%
Republika 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5%
Suverēnā vara 0.0% 1.9% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 8 18 18 18–19 18–19 15–21
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 13 17 17 14–17 13–18 13–19
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 23 13 13–14 12–14 12–15 12–15
Attīstībai/Par! 13 9 9–10 9–11 9–13 8–13
PROGRESĪVIE 0 8 8–10 8–10 8–11 8–13
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 11 7 7–11 7–11 7–11 7–11
Latvijas Krievu savienība 0 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 0–8
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 0–7
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0 6 5–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
Stabilitātei! 0 5 5–7 0–7 0–8 0–8
Likums un kārtība 0 5 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 16 0 0 0 0 0–6
Republika 0 0 0 0 0 0
Suverēnā vara 0 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.5% 100%  
16 0.6% 99.4%  
17 0.5% 98.9%  
18 91% 98% Median
19 6% 7%  
20 0.3% 1.2%  
21 0.7% 0.9%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 5% 100% Last Result
14 0.7% 95%  
15 1.0% 95%  
16 3% 94%  
17 87% 90% Median
18 2% 3%  
19 0.5% 0.5%  
20 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 0% 99.6%  
12 6% 99.6%  
13 82% 94% Median
14 8% 11%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Attīstībai/Par!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.8%  
9 85% 99.2% Median
10 9% 15%  
11 1.2% 5%  
12 0.3% 4%  
13 3% 4% Last Result
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.4% 100%  
8 89% 99.6% Median
9 0.8% 11%  
10 7% 10%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.7% 1.3%  
13 0.6% 0.6%  
14 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 79% 99.8% Median
8 4% 20%  
9 0.7% 16%  
10 2% 16%  
11 14% 14% Last Result
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Latvijas Krievu savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.9%  
2 0% 98.9%  
3 0% 98.9%  
4 0% 98.9%  
5 0.1% 98.9%  
6 48% 98.8%  
7 9% 50% Median
8 41% 42%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 55% 98% Median
7 42% 43%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 5% 92%  
6 82% 87% Median
7 4% 5%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Stabilitātei!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 56% 95% Median
6 2% 39%  
7 33% 37%  
8 4% 4%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Likums un kārtība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 48% 51% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Jaunā konservatīvā partija

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 0% 1.0%  
5 0% 1.0%  
6 0.7% 1.0%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Republika

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Suverēnā vara

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 61 51 95% 51–56 51–57 48–60 48–60
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 45 51 95% 51–56 51–57 48–60 48–60
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 50 44 0.6% 44–45 43–46 40–49 40–51
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 48 42 0.3% 42–46 41–47 39–47 38–49
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 32 42 0% 42–46 40–47 39–47 38–49
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 53 33 0% 33–38 33–39 30–41 30–41
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 37 33 0% 33–38 33–39 30–41 30–41
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 40 24 0% 24–28 24–28 21–29 21–31
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 52 22 0% 22–23 22–25 22–28 22–30
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! 36 22 0% 22–23 22–25 22–28 21–28

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.8%  
48 4% 99.8%  
49 0.2% 96%  
50 0.3% 96%  
51 78% 95% Median, Majority
52 0.4% 17%  
53 0.4% 17%  
54 1.0% 16%  
55 2% 15%  
56 6% 13%  
57 3% 7%  
58 0.6% 4%  
59 0.1% 3%  
60 3% 3%  
61 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
62 0.3% 0.4%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0% 99.8% Last Result
46 0% 99.8%  
47 0% 99.8%  
48 4% 99.8%  
49 0.2% 96%  
50 0.5% 96%  
51 79% 95% Median, Majority
52 0.4% 16%  
53 0.5% 16%  
54 1.0% 16%  
55 3% 15%  
56 5% 12%  
57 3% 7%  
58 0.6% 3%  
59 0.1% 3%  
60 3% 3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 4% 99.8%  
41 0.6% 96%  
42 0.2% 96%  
43 0.6% 95%  
44 81% 95% Median
45 6% 14%  
46 3% 8%  
47 0.7% 4%  
48 0.5% 4%  
49 3% 3%  
50 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
51 0.5% 0.6% Majority
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.4% 99.9%  
39 4% 99.5%  
40 0.5% 96%  
41 0.2% 95%  
42 78% 95% Median
43 0.6% 17%  
44 0.9% 16%  
45 2% 15%  
46 7% 13%  
47 5% 6%  
48 0.3% 1.4% Last Result
49 0.8% 1.1%  
50 0% 0.3%  
51 0% 0.3% Majority
52 0% 0.2%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.4% 99.8%  
39 4% 99.4%  
40 0.9% 96%  
41 0.3% 95%  
42 79% 95% Median
43 0.6% 16%  
44 0.9% 15%  
45 2% 14%  
46 7% 13%  
47 5% 6%  
48 0.1% 0.9%  
49 0.7% 0.8%  
50 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 4% 99.8%  
31 0.1% 96%  
32 0.7% 96%  
33 78% 95% Median
34 0.4% 17%  
35 2% 17%  
36 2% 15%  
37 0.4% 13%  
38 5% 12%  
39 4% 7%  
40 0.4% 4%  
41 3% 3%  
42 0.2% 0.5%  
43 0% 0.3%  
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 4% 99.8%  
31 0.1% 96%  
32 0.7% 96%  
33 78% 95% Median
34 0.4% 17%  
35 2% 17%  
36 2% 15%  
37 0.6% 12% Last Result
38 5% 12%  
39 3% 6%  
40 0.4% 3%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.4% 100%  
21 4% 99.6%  
22 0.4% 96%  
23 0.5% 96%  
24 79% 95% Median
25 0.7% 16%  
26 2% 16%  
27 2% 13%  
28 8% 12%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.6% 1.1%  
31 0% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.5%  
33 0.2% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.2%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 87% 99.7% Median
23 3% 12%  
24 3% 9%  
25 1.1% 6%  
26 0.1% 5%  
27 1.3% 5%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0.3% 0.8%  
30 0.4% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0.6% 99.9%  
22 88% 99.3% Median
23 3% 12%  
24 3% 8%  
25 1.1% 5%  
26 0.1% 4%  
27 0.9% 4%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.2% 0.4%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations