Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 16–21 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
20.7% |
19.2–22.4% |
18.8–22.9% |
18.4–23.3% |
17.7–24.1% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
10.8% |
9.7–12.1% |
9.4–12.5% |
9.1–12.8% |
8.6–13.5% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.9–10.8% |
7.7–11.1% |
7.2–11.8% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.0% |
7.5–10.3% |
7.2–10.6% |
6.8–11.2% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.3–10.1% |
7.1–10.4% |
6.6–11.0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.1–9.9% |
6.9–10.2% |
6.4–10.8% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
7.5% |
6.5–8.6% |
6.3–8.9% |
6.0–9.2% |
5.6–9.8% |
Stabilitātei! |
0.0% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–8.0% |
5.3–8.3% |
4.9–8.8% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
5.1% |
4.4–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
4.0–6.6% |
3.6–7.1% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.3–6.7% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.2–5.6% |
2.9–6.1% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.3% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.0% |
Republika |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–1.9% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.6–2.4% |
Suverēnā vara |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–2.0% |
0.5–2.2% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.1–1.0% |
0.1–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
11% |
100% |
|
20 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
21 |
3% |
87% |
|
22 |
46% |
84% |
Median |
23 |
15% |
38% |
|
24 |
11% |
23% |
|
25 |
2% |
12% |
|
26 |
9% |
10% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
4% |
97% |
|
13 |
86% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
15 |
6% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
44% |
100% |
|
10 |
16% |
56% |
Median |
11 |
3% |
40% |
|
12 |
3% |
36% |
|
13 |
8% |
33% |
|
14 |
20% |
25% |
|
15 |
0% |
5% |
|
16 |
5% |
5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
9 |
67% |
98% |
Median |
10 |
29% |
31% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
12 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
8% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
91% |
|
10 |
3% |
91% |
|
11 |
87% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
7% |
94% |
|
9 |
2% |
88% |
|
10 |
24% |
86% |
|
11 |
55% |
62% |
Median |
12 |
7% |
7% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
74% |
96% |
Median |
9 |
0.7% |
22% |
|
10 |
21% |
21% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stabilitātei!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
2% |
98% |
|
7 |
29% |
97% |
|
8 |
19% |
67% |
Median |
9 |
3% |
48% |
|
10 |
46% |
46% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
43% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
57% |
|
2 |
0% |
57% |
|
3 |
0% |
57% |
|
4 |
0% |
57% |
|
5 |
0% |
57% |
|
6 |
4% |
57% |
|
7 |
53% |
54% |
Median |
8 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
68% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
32% |
|
2 |
0% |
32% |
|
3 |
0% |
32% |
|
4 |
0% |
32% |
|
5 |
1.0% |
32% |
|
6 |
20% |
31% |
|
7 |
12% |
12% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Suverēnā vara
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
62 |
100% |
52–62 |
52–64 |
52–64 |
52–66 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
45 |
55 |
99.1% |
52–58 |
52–59 |
52–59 |
49–61 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
53 |
56% |
43–53 |
43–54 |
43–54 |
43–57 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
51 |
54% |
41–51 |
41–53 |
41–54 |
41–57 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
51 |
54% |
41–51 |
41–53 |
41–54 |
41–57 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
46 |
0.5% |
43–48 |
43–50 |
43–50 |
39–50 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
44 |
0.6% |
41–48 |
41–48 |
41–49 |
41–51 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
42 |
0% |
32–42 |
32–43 |
32–45 |
32–47 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
38 |
0% |
28–38 |
28–40 |
28–42 |
28–44 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
40 |
0% |
33–40 |
30–40 |
30–41 |
30–42 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
37 |
33 |
0% |
32–34 |
30–35 |
30–35 |
29–36 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
30 |
0% |
24–31 |
21–31 |
21–31 |
21–32 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
29 |
0% |
22–29 |
22–29 |
22–30 |
21–33 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
25 |
0% |
20–27 |
20–29 |
20–30 |
20–31 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
21 |
0% |
20–25 |
20–25 |
20–27 |
17–27 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
20 |
0% |
18–23 |
18–25 |
18–25 |
18–25 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
10 |
0% |
9–14 |
9–14 |
9–16 |
9–16 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
11% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
88% |
|
56 |
7% |
87% |
|
57 |
15% |
81% |
|
58 |
3% |
66% |
|
59 |
6% |
63% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
57% |
|
61 |
3% |
56% |
Last Result |
62 |
44% |
53% |
Median |
63 |
3% |
9% |
|
64 |
5% |
7% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
Majority |
52 |
12% |
98.7% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
87% |
|
54 |
2% |
86% |
|
55 |
44% |
84% |
Median |
56 |
10% |
40% |
|
57 |
16% |
30% |
|
58 |
5% |
13% |
|
59 |
6% |
8% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
12% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
45 |
1.1% |
88% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
47 |
21% |
87% |
|
48 |
3% |
66% |
Last Result |
49 |
2% |
64% |
|
50 |
6% |
62% |
|
51 |
2% |
56% |
Majority |
52 |
1.1% |
54% |
|
53 |
46% |
53% |
Median |
54 |
4% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
11% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
88% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
46 |
15% |
88% |
|
47 |
3% |
73% |
|
48 |
13% |
70% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
57% |
|
50 |
3% |
57% |
Last Result |
51 |
44% |
54% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
3% |
10% |
|
53 |
3% |
7% |
|
54 |
2% |
4% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
11% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
88% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
46 |
15% |
88% |
|
47 |
3% |
73% |
|
48 |
13% |
70% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
57% |
|
50 |
3% |
57% |
|
51 |
44% |
54% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
3% |
10% |
|
53 |
3% |
7% |
|
54 |
2% |
4% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
43 |
12% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
3% |
86% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
84% |
|
46 |
47% |
83% |
Median |
47 |
21% |
36% |
|
48 |
5% |
14% |
|
49 |
2% |
9% |
|
50 |
7% |
7% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.5% |
Majority |
52 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
41 |
13% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
43 |
2% |
86% |
|
44 |
44% |
84% |
Median |
45 |
3% |
40% |
|
46 |
15% |
37% |
|
47 |
6% |
22% |
|
48 |
13% |
16% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
11% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
88% |
|
36 |
14% |
88% |
|
37 |
3% |
74% |
|
38 |
2% |
71% |
|
39 |
12% |
69% |
|
40 |
3% |
56% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
54% |
|
42 |
46% |
53% |
Median |
43 |
3% |
7% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
46 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
11% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
33 |
19% |
88% |
|
34 |
2% |
69% |
|
35 |
7% |
67% |
|
36 |
3% |
60% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
57% |
|
38 |
46% |
56% |
Median |
39 |
3% |
10% |
|
40 |
3% |
7% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
32 |
2% |
93% |
|
33 |
11% |
92% |
|
34 |
16% |
80% |
|
35 |
7% |
64% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
58% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
57% |
|
38 |
2% |
57% |
|
39 |
2% |
55% |
|
40 |
50% |
53% |
Median |
41 |
2% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
7% |
98.8% |
|
31 |
2% |
92% |
|
32 |
4% |
90% |
|
33 |
59% |
86% |
Median |
34 |
21% |
28% |
|
35 |
6% |
7% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
38 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
2% |
93% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
24 |
28% |
91% |
|
25 |
2% |
63% |
|
26 |
5% |
62% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
57% |
|
28 |
1.4% |
56% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
55% |
|
30 |
6% |
54% |
|
31 |
46% |
48% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
18% |
99.0% |
|
23 |
17% |
81% |
|
24 |
5% |
64% |
|
25 |
0.7% |
59% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
58% |
|
27 |
2% |
58% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
56% |
|
29 |
50% |
55% |
Median |
30 |
4% |
5% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
14% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
86% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
23 |
19% |
85% |
|
24 |
3% |
66% |
|
25 |
49% |
63% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
13% |
Median |
27 |
3% |
13% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
10% |
|
29 |
5% |
9% |
|
30 |
3% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
20 |
45% |
98% |
|
21 |
15% |
53% |
Median |
22 |
8% |
38% |
|
23 |
4% |
30% |
|
24 |
7% |
25% |
|
25 |
14% |
19% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
27 |
5% |
5% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
44% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
56% |
Median |
20 |
17% |
55% |
|
21 |
3% |
39% |
|
22 |
3% |
36% |
|
23 |
24% |
33% |
|
24 |
4% |
9% |
|
25 |
5% |
5% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
44% |
100% |
|
10 |
16% |
56% |
Median |
11 |
3% |
40% |
|
12 |
3% |
36% |
|
13 |
8% |
33% |
|
14 |
20% |
25% |
|
15 |
0% |
5% |
|
16 |
5% |
5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 16–21 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1071
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.26%