Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 6.7% 15.1% 14.1–16.2% 13.8–16.5% 13.5–16.8% 13.1–17.4%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 11.0% 12.6% 11.7–13.7% 11.4–13.9% 11.2–14.2% 10.7–14.7%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 9.9% 10.1% 9.3–11.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.8–11.6% 8.4–12.1%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 19.8% 9.5% 8.7–10.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.3–11.0% 7.9–11.4%
PROGRESĪVIE 2.6% 8.8% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0% 7.6–10.2% 7.2–10.7%
Attīstībai/Par! 12.0% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.8–9.2% 6.4–9.6%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 4.1% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.1% 6.3–9.5%
Stabilitātei! 0.0% 5.5% 4.9–6.3% 4.7–6.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.3–7.0%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 13.6% 4.7% 4.1–5.4% 4.0–5.6% 3.8–5.8% 3.6–6.1%
Latvijas Krievu savienība 3.2% 4.6% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–6.0%
Likums un kārtība 0.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–5.0%
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0.0% 3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.3% 2.8–4.5% 2.5–4.8%
Suverēnā vara 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 8 17 17–19 17–19 17–20 17–22
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 13 16 15–16 14–17 13–17 13–17
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 11 11 11–12 11–13 11–15 11–17
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 23 14 13–14 12–14 11–14 10–15
PROGRESĪVIE 0 11 9–11 8–12 8–12 8–13
Attīstībai/Par! 13 7 7–10 7–10 7–10 7–13
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 0 10 10 9–11 8–12 7–12
Stabilitātei! 0 7 6–7 5–7 0–8 0–9
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 16 7 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
Latvijas Krievu savienība 0 0 0 0–8 0–8 0–8
Likums un kārtība 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0 0 0 0 0 0
Suverēnā vara 0 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 75% 99.6% Median
18 9% 25%  
19 13% 16%  
20 0.7% 3%  
21 0.3% 2%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 5% 100% Last Result
14 5% 95%  
15 4% 91%  
16 79% 87% Median
17 7% 7%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 84% 100% Last Result, Median
12 9% 16%  
13 2% 7%  
14 0.3% 5%  
15 2% 4%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 2% 100%  
11 2% 98%  
12 6% 96%  
13 8% 90%  
14 80% 83% Median
15 2% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

PROGRESĪVIE

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 6% 100%  
9 5% 94%  
10 2% 90%  
11 80% 88% Median
12 5% 7%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Attīstībai/Par!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 74% 100% Median
8 5% 26%  
9 8% 20%  
10 10% 12%  
11 0.7% 2%  
12 0.2% 1.0%  
13 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.2% 100%  
8 3% 98.8%  
9 5% 96%  
10 84% 91% Median
11 4% 7%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0% 0%  

Stabilitātei!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 3% 96%  
6 4% 94%  
7 87% 90% Median
8 1.4% 3%  
9 1.5% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Jaunā konservatīvā partija

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 2% 84%  
7 82% 82% Median
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Latvijas Krievu savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0.2% 9%  
7 1.2% 9%  
8 8% 8%  
9 0% 0%  

Likums un kārtība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvija pirmajā vietā

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 61 58 100% 58–59 56–61 55–62 54–64
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! 45 51 99.7% 51–57 51–59 51–61 51–61
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 48 51 81% 48–51 47–52 46–52 45–54
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 32 44 3% 44–47 43–49 43–51 42–52
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 50 47 2% 46–47 43–48 43–50 41–52
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 53 41 0% 39–41 37–42 37–44 35–45
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! 37 34 0% 34–38 34–39 33–41 32–43
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 40 34 0% 29–34 29–34 27–34 26–35
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 52 28 0% 24–28 23–28 21–29 21–31
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! 36 21 0% 21–23 21–24 19–24 18–27

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100% Majority
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 1.2% 99.5%  
55 3% 98%  
56 1.2% 95%  
57 3% 94%  
58 78% 91% Median
59 4% 13%  
60 3% 9%  
61 3% 6% Last Result
62 2% 3%  
63 0.7% 1.3%  
64 0.1% 0.5%  
65 0.4% 0.5%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100% Last Result
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.2% 100%  
51 76% 99.7% Median, Majority
52 2% 23%  
53 2% 21%  
54 2% 19%  
55 5% 17%  
56 2% 12%  
57 0.6% 11%  
58 5% 10%  
59 2% 5%  
60 1.0% 3%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 1.4% 99.6%  
46 1.5% 98%  
47 3% 97%  
48 4% 93% Last Result
49 5% 89%  
50 4% 85%  
51 75% 81% Median, Majority
52 4% 6%  
53 0.4% 1.2%  
54 0.5% 0.9%  
55 0.3% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0.5% 100%  
43 5% 99.5%  
44 75% 94% Median
45 4% 19%  
46 2% 15%  
47 4% 13%  
48 4% 9%  
49 2% 5%  
50 0.4% 3%  
51 0.8% 3% Majority
52 2% 2%  
53 0% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.6% 99.8%  
42 1.3% 99.1%  
43 4% 98%  
44 1.4% 93%  
45 1.0% 92%  
46 8% 91%  
47 75% 83% Median
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 5%  
50 1.0% 3% Last Result
51 2% 2% Majority
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.8%  
35 0.6% 99.7%  
36 1.5% 99.1%  
37 3% 98%  
38 3% 95%  
39 6% 91%  
40 2% 86%  
41 77% 83% Median
42 2% 6%  
43 0.9% 4%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.4% 0.6%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 2% 100%  
33 2% 98%  
34 75% 96% Median
35 3% 21%  
36 2% 18%  
37 5% 16% Last Result
38 2% 11%  
39 6% 10%  
40 0.6% 4%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.2% 0.9%  
43 0.7% 0.7%  
44 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.7%  
27 2% 99.5%  
28 2% 97%  
29 6% 95%  
30 5% 89%  
31 3% 84%  
32 2% 81%  
33 2% 79%  
34 76% 77% Median
35 1.1% 1.3%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.6%  
22 2% 97%  
23 5% 95%  
24 7% 90%  
25 0.7% 83%  
26 1.1% 83%  
27 1.1% 82%  
28 76% 81% Median
29 3% 4%  
30 0.2% 1.0%  
31 0.4% 0.7%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 2% 99.9%  
19 1.1% 98%  
20 0.8% 97%  
21 78% 96% Median
22 6% 18%  
23 5% 12%  
24 5% 7%  
25 0.7% 2%  
26 0.1% 1.0%  
27 0.8% 0.9%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations