Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 4–6 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
21.9% |
20.5–23.4% |
20.1–23.8% |
19.8–24.1% |
19.2–24.9% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
10.2% |
9.2–11.3% |
8.9–11.6% |
8.7–11.9% |
8.2–12.4% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.2% |
8.0–10.5% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.3–11.3% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
9.0% |
8.1–10.1% |
7.9–10.4% |
7.6–10.7% |
7.2–11.2% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
7.5% |
6.6–8.4% |
6.4–8.7% |
6.2–9.0% |
5.8–9.4% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
7.3% |
6.5–8.3% |
6.3–8.6% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.7–9.3% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
6.9% |
6.1–7.8% |
5.9–8.1% |
5.7–8.4% |
5.3–8.8% |
Stabilitātei! |
0.0% |
5.8% |
5.1–6.7% |
4.9–7.0% |
4.7–7.2% |
4.4–7.6% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.0% |
4.3–6.3% |
4.1–6.5% |
3.8–6.9% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.1–5.6% |
3.9–5.8% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.5–6.4% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.4–6.3% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.2–4.7% |
Suverēnā vara |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.9% |
1.0–2.1% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.5% |
Republika |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.5% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.6–1.8% |
0.5–2.0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
26 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
27 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
28 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
4% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
96% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
13 |
93% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
5% |
97% |
|
12 |
92% |
93% |
Median |
13 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
12 |
4% |
98% |
|
13 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
11 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
8 |
98% |
99.2% |
Median |
9 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
7% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
9 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stabilitātei!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.9% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
6 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
7 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
8 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
7 |
2% |
3% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
5% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
7 |
6% |
6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Suverēnā vara
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
60 |
99.9% |
60 |
56–60 |
56–60 |
51–60 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
60 |
96% |
60 |
52–60 |
49–60 |
49–60 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
51 |
93% |
51 |
49–51 |
49–51 |
43–52 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
51 |
92% |
51 |
44–51 |
42–51 |
42–51 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
49 |
1.4% |
49 |
45–49 |
45–49 |
44–51 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
49 |
1.4% |
49 |
45–49 |
45–49 |
44–51 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
49 |
0.1% |
49 |
44–49 |
38–49 |
38–49 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
40 |
0% |
40 |
38–40 |
38–40 |
36–44 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
36 |
0% |
36 |
35–36 |
35–36 |
32–40 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
33 |
0% |
33 |
33 |
32–35 |
27–35 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
33 |
0% |
33 |
28–33 |
28–33 |
26–33 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
24 |
0% |
24 |
24–26 |
24–28 |
19–28 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
22 |
0% |
22 |
22–23 |
22–26 |
19–27 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
22 |
0% |
22 |
22–24 |
21–24 |
18–27 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
24 |
0% |
24 |
23–24 |
20–24 |
17–25 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
22 |
0% |
22 |
19–22 |
19–22 |
16–22 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
13 |
0% |
13 |
12–13 |
12–13 |
9–14 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
56 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
60 |
91% |
92% |
Median |
61 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
96% |
Majority |
52 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
59 |
0% |
92% |
|
60 |
91% |
92% |
Median |
61 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
49 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
51 |
92% |
93% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
51 |
92% |
92% |
Median, Majority |
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
49 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
50 |
0.6% |
2% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
49 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
50 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
4% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
96% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
41 |
0% |
96% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
45 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
49 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
50 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
38 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
40 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
41 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
35 |
4% |
98% |
|
36 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
37 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
39 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
29 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
33 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
34 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
35 |
4% |
4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
28 |
4% |
98% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
33 |
91% |
92% |
Median |
34 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
22 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
24 |
92% |
98% |
Median |
25 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
28 |
4% |
4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
21 |
1.5% |
99.1% |
|
22 |
92% |
98% |
Median |
23 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
26 |
4% |
4% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
22 |
92% |
97% |
Median |
23 |
0% |
6% |
|
24 |
4% |
6% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
23 |
4% |
97% |
|
24 |
92% |
93% |
Median |
25 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
|
19 |
4% |
98% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
21 |
2% |
94% |
|
22 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
23 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
12 |
4% |
98% |
|
13 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–6 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1406
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.33%