Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive for ReTV, 15–20 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 22.6% | 21.5–23.8% | 21.2–24.1% | 20.9–24.4% | 20.4–25.0% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.1–10.6% | 7.8–11.0% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 9.0% | 8.3–9.9% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.5–10.7% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 8.8% | 8.0–9.6% | 7.8–9.9% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.3–10.5% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.6–9.6% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.3–7.7% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.5% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 6.3% | 5.7–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.1–7.8% |
| Stabilitātei! | 0.0% | 6.2% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.7% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3–5.5% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 4.6% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| Suverēnā vara | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% |
| Republika | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 26 | 25–27 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 23–31 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–14 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 9 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| Stabilitātei! | 0 | 8 | 7–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 0–10 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | 0 | 6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Suverēnā vara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republika | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 25 | 20% | 91% | |
| 26 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 27 | 31% | 41% | |
| 28 | 9% | 10% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 19% | 97% | |
| 11 | 28% | 78% | Median |
| 12 | 46% | 50% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 6% | 97% | |
| 10 | 26% | 91% | |
| 11 | 42% | 65% | Median |
| 12 | 13% | 23% | |
| 13 | 10% | 10% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 16% | 100% | |
| 9 | 6% | 84% | |
| 10 | 23% | 78% | |
| 11 | 42% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 11% | 13% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 28% | 96% | |
| 10 | 30% | 68% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 38% | |
| 12 | 4% | 13% | |
| 13 | 8% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 19% | 100% | |
| 7 | 11% | 81% | |
| 8 | 19% | 70% | |
| 9 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 10 | 29% | 46% | |
| 11 | 17% | 17% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 61% | 95% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 34% | |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Stabilitātei!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 32% | 93% | |
| 8 | 44% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 14% | 17% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 62% | |
| 2 | 0% | 62% | |
| 3 | 0% | 62% | |
| 4 | 0% | 62% | |
| 5 | 9% | 62% | |
| 6 | 45% | 53% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 71% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 29% | |
| 2 | 0% | 29% | |
| 3 | 0% | 29% | |
| 4 | 0% | 29% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 6 | 7% | 29% | |
| 7 | 4% | 22% | |
| 8 | 18% | 18% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0% | 19% | |
| 4 | 0% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 19% | |
| 6 | 6% | 19% | |
| 7 | 12% | 12% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 8% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Suverēnā vara
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 55 | 91% | 51–57 | 50–59 | 49–62 | 49–64 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! | 45 | 54 | 80% | 49–56 | 48–56 | 48–57 | 47–59 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 48 | 47 | 9% | 44–49 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 42–55 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 50 | 46 | 5% | 44–48 | 43–50 | 43–53 | 40–56 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 66 | 46 | 5% | 44–48 | 43–50 | 43–53 | 40–56 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 32 | 47 | 0.8% | 42–48 | 41–48 | 41–49 | 40–52 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 45 | 0.4% | 42–47 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 40–50 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 38 | 0.1% | 37–42 | 36–43 | 36–46 | 33–48 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 53 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 31–45 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 53 | 29 | 0% | 24–32 | 24–33 | 24–34 | 22–36 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! | 37 | 28 | 0% | 24–29 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 21–32 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 40 | 21 | 0% | 17–25 | 17–27 | 17–27 | 15–28 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 58 | 19 | 0% | 18–25 | 17–25 | 16–27 | 16–28 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 52 | 18 | 0% | 17–23 | 17–23 | 15–24 | 15–26 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 50 | 19 | 0% | 16–22 | 16–23 | 14–23 | 14–23 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! | 36 | 17 | 0% | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 14–21 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 39 | 10 | 0% | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 5% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 91% | Majority |
| 52 | 6% | 89% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 83% | Median |
| 54 | 19% | 82% | |
| 55 | 42% | 63% | |
| 56 | 10% | 21% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 58 | 2% | 9% | |
| 59 | 4% | 7% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 49 | 4% | 92% | |
| 50 | 8% | 88% | |
| 51 | 3% | 80% | Majority |
| 52 | 7% | 77% | |
| 53 | 4% | 70% | Median |
| 54 | 19% | 67% | |
| 55 | 36% | 47% | |
| 56 | 8% | 11% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 92% | |
| 45 | 7% | 90% | |
| 46 | 5% | 83% | Median |
| 47 | 41% | 77% | |
| 48 | 22% | 37% | Last Result |
| 49 | 5% | 14% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 51 | 1.5% | 9% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 53 | 4% | 7% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 6% | 98% | |
| 44 | 21% | 92% | Median |
| 45 | 20% | 70% | |
| 46 | 11% | 50% | |
| 47 | 20% | 40% | |
| 48 | 11% | 20% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.7% | 5% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 6% | 98% | |
| 44 | 21% | 92% | Median |
| 45 | 20% | 70% | |
| 46 | 11% | 50% | |
| 47 | 20% | 40% | |
| 48 | 11% | 20% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 8% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 5% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 4% | 92% | |
| 43 | 8% | 88% | |
| 44 | 3% | 81% | |
| 45 | 7% | 78% | |
| 46 | 6% | 70% | Median |
| 47 | 44% | 65% | |
| 48 | 16% | 20% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 42 | 4% | 90% | |
| 43 | 7% | 87% | |
| 44 | 24% | 80% | Median |
| 45 | 21% | 55% | |
| 46 | 11% | 34% | |
| 47 | 20% | 23% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 7% | 98% | |
| 37 | 33% | 90% | Median |
| 38 | 12% | 57% | |
| 39 | 25% | 45% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 41 | 7% | 20% | |
| 42 | 4% | 12% | |
| 43 | 3% | 8% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 17% | 98.8% | |
| 33 | 20% | 82% | Median |
| 34 | 4% | 63% | |
| 35 | 37% | 59% | |
| 36 | 2% | 22% | |
| 37 | 8% | 20% | |
| 38 | 7% | 12% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 24 | 12% | 98.5% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 86% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 27 | 4% | 83% | Median |
| 28 | 25% | 79% | |
| 29 | 31% | 54% | |
| 30 | 3% | 23% | |
| 31 | 5% | 20% | |
| 32 | 8% | 15% | |
| 33 | 3% | 7% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 24 | 14% | 98% | |
| 25 | 11% | 84% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 27 | 9% | 71% | Median |
| 28 | 26% | 62% | |
| 29 | 31% | 36% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 12% | 98.6% | |
| 18 | 2% | 86% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 20 | 30% | 83% | Median |
| 21 | 10% | 54% | |
| 22 | 23% | 44% | |
| 23 | 3% | 21% | |
| 24 | 4% | 18% | |
| 25 | 8% | 14% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 27 | 5% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 7% | 97% | |
| 18 | 21% | 91% | Median |
| 19 | 26% | 70% | |
| 20 | 24% | 44% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 22 | 3% | 19% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 25 | 12% | 15% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 17 | 39% | 96% | Median |
| 18 | 15% | 57% | |
| 19 | 8% | 42% | |
| 20 | 10% | 34% | |
| 21 | 6% | 24% | |
| 22 | 4% | 18% | |
| 23 | 10% | 15% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 16 | 13% | 96% | |
| 17 | 28% | 84% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 56% | |
| 19 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 20 | 22% | 50% | |
| 21 | 14% | 28% | |
| 22 | 7% | 14% | |
| 23 | 7% | 7% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 12% | 95% | |
| 17 | 44% | 83% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 40% | |
| 19 | 9% | 24% | |
| 20 | 10% | 15% | |
| 21 | 5% | 5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 28% | 96% | |
| 10 | 30% | 68% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 38% | |
| 12 | 4% | 13% | |
| 13 | 8% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): ReTV
- Fieldwork period: 15–20 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2162
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.27%