Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive for ReTV, 15–20 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA |
6.7% |
22.6% |
21.5–23.8% |
21.2–24.1% |
20.9–24.4% |
20.4–25.0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” |
11.0% |
9.3% |
8.5–10.2% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.1–10.6% |
7.8–11.0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība |
4.1% |
9.0% |
8.3–9.9% |
8.1–10.1% |
7.9–10.3% |
7.5–10.7% |
PROGRESĪVIE |
2.6% |
8.8% |
8.0–9.6% |
7.8–9.9% |
7.7–10.1% |
7.3–10.5% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” |
19.8% |
8.0% |
7.3–8.8% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.9–9.2% |
6.6–9.6% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
9.9% |
7.0% |
6.3–7.7% |
6.1–8.0% |
6.0–8.1% |
5.7–8.5% |
Attīstībai/Par! |
12.0% |
6.3% |
5.7–7.0% |
5.5–7.2% |
5.3–7.4% |
5.1–7.8% |
Stabilitātei! |
0.0% |
6.2% |
5.6–6.9% |
5.4–7.1% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.0–7.7% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā |
0.0% |
5.0% |
4.4–5.7% |
4.3–5.8% |
4.1–6.0% |
3.9–6.3% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība |
3.2% |
4.8% |
4.3–5.5% |
4.1–5.6% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.7–6.1% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
13.6% |
4.6% |
4.1–5.3% |
3.9–5.4% |
3.8–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
Likums un kārtība |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.5–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.0–5.2% |
Suverēnā vara |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.8% |
1.0–1.9% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
Republika |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.8–1.4% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.7% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
14.2% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
25 |
20% |
91% |
|
26 |
30% |
71% |
Median |
27 |
31% |
41% |
|
28 |
9% |
10% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
19% |
97% |
|
11 |
28% |
78% |
Median |
12 |
46% |
50% |
|
13 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
6% |
97% |
|
10 |
26% |
91% |
|
11 |
42% |
65% |
Median |
12 |
13% |
23% |
|
13 |
10% |
10% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
PROGRESĪVIE
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
16% |
100% |
|
9 |
6% |
84% |
|
10 |
23% |
78% |
|
11 |
42% |
55% |
Median |
12 |
11% |
13% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
28% |
96% |
|
10 |
30% |
68% |
Median |
11 |
25% |
38% |
|
12 |
4% |
13% |
|
13 |
8% |
9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
19% |
100% |
|
7 |
11% |
81% |
|
8 |
19% |
70% |
|
9 |
4% |
50% |
Median |
10 |
29% |
46% |
|
11 |
17% |
17% |
Last Result |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Attīstībai/Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
61% |
95% |
Median |
8 |
27% |
34% |
|
9 |
6% |
8% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stabilitātei!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
5 |
5% |
98.8% |
|
6 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
7 |
32% |
93% |
|
8 |
44% |
61% |
Median |
9 |
14% |
17% |
|
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvija pirmajā vietā
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
38% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
62% |
|
2 |
0% |
62% |
|
3 |
0% |
62% |
|
4 |
0% |
62% |
|
5 |
9% |
62% |
|
6 |
45% |
53% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
8% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
71% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
29% |
|
2 |
0% |
29% |
|
3 |
0% |
29% |
|
4 |
0% |
29% |
|
5 |
0.7% |
29% |
|
6 |
7% |
29% |
|
7 |
4% |
22% |
|
8 |
18% |
18% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
81% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
19% |
|
2 |
0% |
19% |
|
3 |
0% |
19% |
|
4 |
0% |
19% |
|
5 |
0% |
19% |
|
6 |
6% |
19% |
|
7 |
12% |
12% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Likums un kārtība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
9% |
|
3 |
0% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
9% |
|
5 |
8% |
9% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Suverēnā vara
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Republika
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
61 |
55 |
91% |
51–57 |
50–59 |
49–62 |
49–64 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
45 |
54 |
80% |
49–56 |
48–56 |
48–57 |
47–59 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
48 |
47 |
9% |
44–49 |
43–53 |
42–54 |
42–55 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
50 |
46 |
5% |
44–48 |
43–50 |
43–53 |
40–56 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
66 |
46 |
5% |
44–48 |
43–50 |
43–53 |
40–56 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība |
32 |
47 |
0.8% |
42–48 |
41–48 |
41–49 |
40–52 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
45 |
0.4% |
42–47 |
41–47 |
41–48 |
40–50 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
38 |
0.1% |
37–42 |
36–43 |
36–46 |
33–48 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
53 |
35 |
0% |
32–38 |
32–39 |
32–41 |
31–45 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
53 |
29 |
0% |
24–32 |
24–33 |
24–34 |
22–36 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! |
37 |
28 |
0% |
24–29 |
24–29 |
24–30 |
21–32 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
40 |
21 |
0% |
17–25 |
17–27 |
17–27 |
15–28 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
58 |
19 |
0% |
18–25 |
17–25 |
16–27 |
16–28 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija |
52 |
18 |
0% |
17–23 |
17–23 |
15–24 |
15–26 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
50 |
19 |
0% |
16–22 |
16–23 |
14–23 |
14–23 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! |
36 |
17 |
0% |
16–20 |
16–21 |
15–21 |
14–21 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” |
39 |
10 |
0% |
9–12 |
9–13 |
8–13 |
7–13 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
5% |
97% |
|
51 |
2% |
91% |
Majority |
52 |
6% |
89% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
83% |
Median |
54 |
19% |
82% |
|
55 |
42% |
63% |
|
56 |
10% |
21% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
58 |
2% |
9% |
|
59 |
4% |
7% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
7% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
4% |
92% |
|
50 |
8% |
88% |
|
51 |
3% |
80% |
Majority |
52 |
7% |
77% |
|
53 |
4% |
70% |
Median |
54 |
19% |
67% |
|
55 |
36% |
47% |
|
56 |
8% |
11% |
|
57 |
2% |
4% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
5% |
97% |
|
44 |
2% |
92% |
|
45 |
7% |
90% |
|
46 |
5% |
83% |
Median |
47 |
41% |
77% |
|
48 |
22% |
37% |
Last Result |
49 |
5% |
14% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
51 |
1.5% |
9% |
Majority |
52 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
53 |
4% |
7% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
55 |
2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
43 |
6% |
98% |
|
44 |
21% |
92% |
Median |
45 |
20% |
70% |
|
46 |
11% |
50% |
|
47 |
20% |
40% |
|
48 |
11% |
20% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
50 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.7% |
5% |
Majority |
52 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
55 |
2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
43 |
6% |
98% |
|
44 |
21% |
92% |
Median |
45 |
20% |
70% |
|
46 |
11% |
50% |
|
47 |
20% |
40% |
|
48 |
11% |
20% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
50 |
3% |
8% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
5% |
Majority |
52 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
55 |
2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
4% |
92% |
|
43 |
8% |
88% |
|
44 |
3% |
81% |
|
45 |
7% |
78% |
|
46 |
6% |
70% |
Median |
47 |
44% |
65% |
|
48 |
16% |
20% |
|
49 |
2% |
4% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
Majority |
52 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
8% |
98.7% |
|
42 |
4% |
90% |
|
43 |
7% |
87% |
|
44 |
24% |
80% |
Median |
45 |
21% |
55% |
|
46 |
11% |
34% |
|
47 |
20% |
23% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Majority |
52 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
36 |
7% |
98% |
|
37 |
33% |
90% |
Median |
38 |
12% |
57% |
|
39 |
25% |
45% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
20% |
|
41 |
7% |
20% |
|
42 |
4% |
12% |
|
43 |
3% |
8% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
45 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
48 |
2% |
2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
17% |
98.8% |
|
33 |
20% |
82% |
Median |
34 |
4% |
63% |
|
35 |
37% |
59% |
|
36 |
2% |
22% |
|
37 |
8% |
20% |
|
38 |
7% |
12% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
42 |
2% |
2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
24 |
12% |
98.5% |
|
25 |
1.5% |
86% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
85% |
|
27 |
4% |
83% |
Median |
28 |
25% |
79% |
|
29 |
31% |
54% |
|
30 |
3% |
23% |
|
31 |
5% |
20% |
|
32 |
8% |
15% |
|
33 |
3% |
7% |
|
34 |
2% |
4% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
24 |
14% |
98% |
|
25 |
11% |
84% |
|
26 |
1.4% |
73% |
|
27 |
9% |
71% |
Median |
28 |
26% |
62% |
|
29 |
31% |
36% |
|
30 |
3% |
5% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
17 |
12% |
98.6% |
|
18 |
2% |
86% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
84% |
|
20 |
30% |
83% |
Median |
21 |
10% |
54% |
|
22 |
23% |
44% |
|
23 |
3% |
21% |
|
24 |
4% |
18% |
|
25 |
8% |
14% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
27 |
5% |
6% |
|
28 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
16 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
7% |
97% |
|
18 |
21% |
91% |
Median |
19 |
26% |
70% |
|
20 |
24% |
44% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
20% |
|
22 |
3% |
19% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
16% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
16% |
|
25 |
12% |
15% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
27 |
2% |
3% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
17 |
39% |
96% |
Median |
18 |
15% |
57% |
|
19 |
8% |
42% |
|
20 |
10% |
34% |
|
21 |
6% |
24% |
|
22 |
4% |
18% |
|
23 |
10% |
15% |
|
24 |
2% |
4% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
16 |
13% |
96% |
|
17 |
28% |
84% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
56% |
|
19 |
5% |
55% |
Median |
20 |
22% |
50% |
|
21 |
14% |
28% |
|
22 |
7% |
14% |
|
23 |
7% |
7% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
12% |
95% |
|
17 |
44% |
83% |
Median |
18 |
16% |
40% |
|
19 |
9% |
24% |
|
20 |
10% |
15% |
|
21 |
5% |
5% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Politiskā partija „KPV LV”

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
28% |
96% |
|
10 |
30% |
68% |
Median |
11 |
25% |
38% |
|
12 |
4% |
13% |
|
13 |
8% |
9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Factum Interactive
- Commissioner(s): ReTV
- Fieldwork period: 15–20 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2162
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.27%