Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 6.7% 21.4% 20.2–22.7% 19.9–23.1% 19.6–23.4% 19.0–24.0%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 9.9% 11.6% 10.7–12.6% 10.4–12.9% 10.2–13.2% 9.8–13.7%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 11.0% 11.3% 10.4–12.3% 10.1–12.6% 9.9–12.8% 9.5–13.3%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 4.1% 8.4% 7.6–9.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.2–9.8% 6.8–10.2%
PROGRESĪVIE 2.6% 7.6% 6.9–8.5% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 19.8% 7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Attīstībai/Par! 12.0% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.4–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.7%
Likums un kārtība 0.0% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.7%
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0.0% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.7%
Stabilitātei! 0.0% 4.1% 3.6–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.1% 3.0–5.5%
Latvijas Krievu savienība 3.2% 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 13.6% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.2% 2.3–4.5%
Suverēnā vara 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA 8 30 28–30 28–30 27–31 25–33
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība 11 17 15–17 14–18 14–18 14–19
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 13 14 14 14–15 13–16 13–17
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība 0 14 11–14 11–14 11–14 9–14
PROGRESĪVIE 0 12 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–12
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” 23 13 11–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
Attīstībai/Par! 13 0 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
Likums un kārtība 0 0 0 0 0–6 0–7
Latvija pirmajā vietā 0 0 0 0 0–7 0–8
Stabilitātei! 0 0 0 0 0 0–7
Latvijas Krievu savienība 0 0 0 0 0 0–8
Jaunā konservatīvā partija 16 0 0 0 0 0
Suverēnā vara 0 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0.8% 99.9%  
26 1.4% 99.1%  
27 1.0% 98%  
28 30% 97%  
29 7% 67%  
30 56% 60% Median
31 3% 4%  
32 0.7% 1.3%  
33 0.6% 0.7%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 9% 99.7%  
15 5% 91%  
16 2% 86%  
17 77% 84% Median
18 6% 7%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 4% 100% Last Result
14 86% 96% Median
15 7% 10%  
16 0.7% 3%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.3% 99.8%  
10 1.1% 99.5%  
11 36% 98%  
12 1.1% 62%  
13 2% 61%  
14 60% 60% Median
15 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 1.0% 100%  
9 6% 99.0%  
10 6% 93%  
11 2% 87%  
12 85% 85% Median
13 0.1% 0.4%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa”

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 2% 99.8%  
9 5% 98%  
10 3% 93%  
11 27% 90%  
12 11% 63%  
13 50% 52% Median
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Attīstībai/Par!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 0% 41%  
5 0% 41%  
6 0% 41%  
7 39% 41%  
8 1.5% 2%  
9 0.4% 0.5%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Likums un kārtība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 1.1% 3%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0.3% 3%  
7 2% 3%  
8 1.0% 1.0%  
9 0% 0%  

Stabilitātei!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Latvijas Krievu savienība

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0% 0.7%  
5 0% 0.7%  
6 0% 0.7%  
7 0.1% 0.7%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Jaunā konservatīvā partija

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Suverēnā vara

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 61 61 100% 61–66 61–66 60–68 57–70
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! 45 61 100% 61–66 61–66 60–68 57–70
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 48 61 100% 58–61 56–62 55–62 52–66
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” 32 61 100% 58–61 56–62 55–62 52–66
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 50 44 7% 44–50 44–51 44–52 42–54
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 53 31 0% 31–38 31–38 31–39 28–41
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! 37 31 0% 31–38 31–38 31–39 28–41
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 40 31 0% 29–31 28–32 27–32 27–34
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija 52 13 0% 13–18 12–19 11–20 9–21
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! 36 13 0% 13–18 12–19 11–19 9–21

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.4% 100%  
57 0.4% 99.6%  
58 0.2% 99.2%  
59 1.1% 99.0%  
60 0.7% 98%  
61 50% 97% Last Result, Median
62 7% 47%  
63 3% 40%  
64 0.6% 37%  
65 6% 37%  
66 26% 31%  
67 1.5% 5%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.6% 1.2%  
70 0.4% 0.6%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100% Last Result
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100% Majority
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.4% 100%  
57 0.4% 99.6%  
58 0.2% 99.2%  
59 1.1% 99.0%  
60 0.7% 98%  
61 50% 97% Median
62 7% 47%  
63 3% 40%  
64 0.6% 37%  
65 6% 37%  
66 26% 31%  
67 1.5% 5%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.6% 1.2%  
70 0.4% 0.6%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100% Majority
52 0.8% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.2%  
54 0.2% 99.1%  
55 2% 99.0%  
56 2% 97%  
57 0.8% 95%  
58 6% 94%  
59 26% 88%  
60 2% 62%  
61 51% 59% Median
62 6% 8%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 0.3% 1.4%  
65 0.1% 1.1%  
66 0.9% 1.0%  
67 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100% Majority
52 0.8% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.2%  
54 0.2% 99.1%  
55 2% 99.0%  
56 2% 97%  
57 0.8% 95%  
58 6% 94%  
59 26% 88%  
60 2% 62%  
61 51% 59% Median
62 6% 8%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 0.3% 1.4%  
65 0.1% 1.1%  
66 0.9% 1.0%  
67 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.6% 99.9%  
43 1.0% 99.3%  
44 55% 98% Median
45 1.1% 43%  
46 0.3% 42%  
47 0.7% 42%  
48 3% 41%  
49 28% 39%  
50 3% 11% Last Result
51 4% 7% Majority
52 1.4% 3%  
53 1.2% 2%  
54 0.3% 0.5%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.8%  
29 0.3% 99.3%  
30 0.5% 99.0%  
31 50% 98% Median
32 6% 48%  
33 1.0% 43%  
34 3% 42%  
35 2% 39%  
36 6% 37%  
37 2% 31%  
38 26% 28%  
39 1.1% 3%  
40 1.0% 2%  
41 0.5% 0.6%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.8%  
29 0.3% 99.3%  
30 0.5% 99.0%  
31 50% 98% Median
32 6% 48%  
33 1.0% 43%  
34 3% 42%  
35 2% 39%  
36 6% 37%  
37 2% 31% Last Result
38 26% 28%  
39 1.1% 3%  
40 1.0% 2%  
41 0.5% 0.6%  
42 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 2% 99.8%  
28 3% 97%  
29 6% 95%  
30 3% 88%  
31 76% 86% Median
32 8% 10%  
33 1.2% 2%  
34 0.7% 0.8%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.0% 100%  
10 0.8% 98.9%  
11 1.1% 98%  
12 5% 97%  
13 50% 92% Median
14 0.8% 42%  
15 2% 41%  
16 4% 39%  
17 1.3% 35%  
18 26% 34%  
19 5% 8%  
20 0.3% 3%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Majority
52 0% 0% Last Result

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai/Par!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.0% 100%  
10 0.8% 98.9%  
11 1.1% 98%  
12 5% 97%  
13 50% 92% Median
14 0.8% 42%  
15 2% 41%  
16 4% 39%  
17 1.3% 35%  
18 26% 34%  
19 5% 8%  
20 0.3% 2%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations