Opinion Poll by Norstat for NRK, 30 May–5 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 32.9% 31.0–35.0% 30.5–35.5% 30.0–36.0% 29.1–37.0%
Høyre 26.8% 23.7% 22.0–25.5% 21.5–26.1% 21.0–26.5% 20.3–27.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.2–16.0% 11.9–16.4% 11.3–17.1%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.6% 10.4–13.1% 10.0–13.5% 9.7–13.9% 9.1–14.6%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.4% 3.7–5.4% 3.4–5.7% 3.3–5.9% 2.9–6.4%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.2–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Venstre 5.2% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.9% 1.9–4.1% 1.7–4.5%
Rødt 1.1% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 60 56–65 55–66 54–67 52–69
Høyre 48 44 40–47 39–49 38–50 36–51
Fremskrittspartiet 29 26 23–29 22–30 21–30 20–32
Senterpartiet 10 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 16–26
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–10 2–10 2–11 1–12
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 7 2–9 1–10 1–11 1–11
Venstre 9 2 1–8 1–8 1–9 0–9
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–2 1–4 1–4 0–8
Rødt 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.8%  
53 2% 99.4%  
54 2% 98%  
55 5% 96% Last Result
56 3% 90%  
57 8% 87%  
58 20% 80%  
59 4% 60%  
60 8% 56% Median
61 16% 48%  
62 6% 32%  
63 10% 26%  
64 5% 16%  
65 5% 11%  
66 3% 6%  
67 1.2% 3%  
68 1.2% 2%  
69 0.4% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.6% 99.8%  
37 2% 99.3%  
38 2% 98%  
39 3% 96%  
40 13% 92%  
41 13% 80%  
42 8% 67%  
43 8% 58%  
44 17% 50% Median
45 12% 33%  
46 8% 21%  
47 3% 13%  
48 2% 9% Last Result
49 4% 8%  
50 4% 4%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 1.0% 99.8%  
21 3% 98.8%  
22 4% 96%  
23 6% 92%  
24 12% 85%  
25 12% 73%  
26 17% 62% Median
27 22% 45%  
28 12% 23%  
29 6% 11% Last Result
30 3% 5%  
31 1.3% 2%  
32 0.6% 0.7%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.9%  
17 1.3% 99.0%  
18 3% 98%  
19 11% 95%  
20 22% 84%  
21 26% 62% Median
22 11% 36%  
23 9% 25%  
24 7% 16%  
25 5% 9%  
26 4% 4%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 24% 99.2%  
3 0.1% 76%  
4 0% 76%  
5 0% 76%  
6 0% 76%  
7 4% 76%  
8 32% 71% Median
9 25% 39%  
10 10% 14% Last Result
11 3% 4%  
12 0.8% 0.9%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 9% 100%  
2 22% 91%  
3 0% 68%  
4 0% 68%  
5 0% 68%  
6 0% 68%  
7 20% 68% Last Result, Median
8 23% 49%  
9 16% 26%  
10 5% 10%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 20% 99.5%  
2 48% 80% Median
3 11% 32%  
4 0% 21%  
5 0% 21%  
6 0% 21%  
7 7% 21%  
8 11% 15%  
9 3% 3% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 87% 99.4% Last Result, Median
2 5% 12%  
3 2% 8%  
4 3% 5%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 1.1% 2%  
8 1.2% 1.3%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 63% 64% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 101 100% 96–106 94–107 93–108 90–109
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 95 99.9% 91–101 90–102 88–104 86–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 89 88% 84–95 83–97 82–98 80–100
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 88 87% 83–94 83–96 82–98 79–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 88 87% 84–93 82–95 81–97 79–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 88 83% 83–93 82–95 80–97 78–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 87 79% 82–93 82–95 79–96 78–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 81 22% 77–87 75–88 74–89 73–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 81 17% 76–86 74–87 72–89 71–91
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 80 12% 74–85 72–86 71–87 69–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 70 0% 64–74 62–76 61–77 60–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 66 0% 62–71 60–73 59–75 57–76
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 54 0% 49–59 46–60 45–61 43–64
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 31 0% 26–36 25–37 24–39 22–41

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.2% 99.9%  
90 0.4% 99.7%  
91 0.9% 99.3%  
92 0.8% 98%  
93 2% 98%  
94 2% 96%  
95 2% 94%  
96 5% 92%  
97 6% 87%  
98 10% 81%  
99 6% 71%  
100 8% 65%  
101 9% 57% Median
102 19% 48%  
103 8% 29%  
104 7% 22%  
105 4% 14%  
106 5% 10% Last Result
107 2% 5%  
108 2% 3%  
109 1.0% 1.4%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.9% Majority
86 0.2% 99.7%  
87 1.3% 99.5%  
88 1.1% 98%  
89 1.1% 97%  
90 5% 96%  
91 4% 91%  
92 5% 87%  
93 5% 82%  
94 9% 76%  
95 18% 67%  
96 8% 49%  
97 4% 41% Median
98 9% 36%  
99 6% 27%  
100 7% 21%  
101 8% 14%  
102 2% 6%  
103 1.2% 4%  
104 1.3% 3%  
105 0.8% 2%  
106 0.4% 0.9%  
107 0.4% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 1.1% 99.7%  
81 0.6% 98.6%  
82 0.8% 98%  
83 3% 97%  
84 6% 94%  
85 3% 88% Majority
86 5% 85%  
87 7% 79%  
88 19% 73%  
89 8% 54%  
90 5% 46% Median
91 8% 40%  
92 7% 32%  
93 10% 26%  
94 5% 15%  
95 3% 11%  
96 3% 8%  
97 2% 5%  
98 2% 4%  
99 2% 2%  
100 0.3% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 1.0% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 98.8%  
81 0.6% 98%  
82 1.2% 98%  
83 8% 96%  
84 1.4% 88%  
85 7% 87% Majority
86 5% 80%  
87 16% 75%  
88 9% 59%  
89 7% 50% Median
90 6% 43%  
91 8% 37%  
92 10% 28%  
93 5% 18%  
94 4% 13%  
95 3% 9%  
96 2% 6%  
97 1.3% 4%  
98 2% 3%  
99 0.7% 1.1%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.2% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 0.7% 99.2%  
81 2% 98.5%  
82 2% 97%  
83 3% 94%  
84 5% 92%  
85 5% 87% Majority
86 8% 82%  
87 21% 74%  
88 6% 52%  
89 12% 46% Median
90 5% 34%  
91 8% 29%  
92 7% 21%  
93 6% 14%  
94 2% 8%  
95 1.4% 6%  
96 2% 4%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.2% 0.6%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 2% 99.3%  
80 0.7% 98%  
81 0.7% 97%  
82 3% 96%  
83 7% 93%  
84 3% 86%  
85 6% 83% Majority
86 7% 77%  
87 19% 70%  
88 8% 51%  
89 4% 43% Median
90 7% 38%  
91 9% 31%  
92 9% 22%  
93 4% 14%  
94 3% 10%  
95 2% 7%  
96 1.4% 4%  
97 1.4% 3%  
98 1.2% 2%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 1.4% 99.6%  
79 1.0% 98%  
80 0.7% 97%  
81 1.1% 97%  
82 8% 95%  
83 2% 87%  
84 7% 85%  
85 6% 79% Majority
86 16% 72%  
87 9% 56%  
88 7% 47% Median
89 5% 40%  
90 10% 35%  
91 9% 25%  
92 5% 16%  
93 4% 11%  
94 2% 7%  
95 2% 5%  
96 1.1% 4%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0.5% 0.7%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.6% 99.5%  
74 2% 99.0%  
75 2% 97%  
76 4% 95%  
77 5% 91%  
78 6% 86%  
79 17% 80%  
80 11% 63%  
81 5% 52% Median
82 9% 47%  
83 9% 38%  
84 6% 28%  
85 8% 22% Majority
86 4% 14%  
87 3% 11%  
88 3% 8%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.3% 2%  
91 0.4% 1.0%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 1.2% 99.7%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 1.4% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 3% 93%  
76 4% 90%  
77 9% 86%  
78 9% 78%  
79 7% 69%  
80 4% 62%  
81 8% 57% Median
82 19% 49%  
83 7% 30%  
84 6% 23%  
85 3% 17% Majority
86 7% 14%  
87 3% 7%  
88 0.7% 4%  
89 0.7% 3%  
90 2% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.7%  
70 2% 99.5%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 96%  
73 3% 95%  
74 3% 92%  
75 5% 89%  
76 10% 85%  
77 7% 74%  
78 8% 68%  
79 5% 60%  
80 8% 54% Median
81 19% 46%  
82 7% 27%  
83 5% 21%  
84 3% 15%  
85 6% 12% Majority
86 3% 6%  
87 0.8% 3%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 1.1% 1.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.5% 99.6%  
61 2% 99.1%  
62 3% 97%  
63 2% 94%  
64 2% 92%  
65 3% 89%  
66 13% 86%  
67 8% 73%  
68 7% 66%  
69 8% 59%  
70 9% 51% Median
71 19% 42%  
72 6% 23%  
73 3% 17%  
74 5% 14%  
75 3% 9%  
76 0.6% 5%  
77 3% 5% Last Result
78 0.5% 1.3%  
79 0.5% 0.8%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 1.4% 99.4%  
59 2% 98%  
60 2% 96%  
61 3% 95%  
62 6% 92% Last Result
63 9% 86%  
64 5% 77%  
65 20% 72%  
66 9% 52%  
67 5% 42% Median
68 9% 37%  
69 8% 29%  
70 8% 21%  
71 5% 13%  
72 3% 9%  
73 2% 6%  
74 1.3% 4%  
75 1.4% 3%  
76 0.6% 1.1%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.5% 99.8%  
44 0.7% 99.3%  
45 1.5% 98.7%  
46 3% 97%  
47 1.1% 94%  
48 2% 93%  
49 5% 91%  
50 5% 86%  
51 9% 82%  
52 12% 73%  
53 7% 60%  
54 18% 53% Median
55 8% 36%  
56 4% 28%  
57 10% 24%  
58 3% 13%  
59 5% 10%  
60 2% 5%  
61 1.3% 3%  
62 0.6% 2%  
63 0.7% 1.2%  
64 0.2% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 0.4% 99.8%  
23 0.8% 99.4%  
24 2% 98.6%  
25 3% 96%  
26 5% 94%  
27 3% 89%  
28 3% 86%  
29 6% 83% Last Result
30 11% 77%  
31 20% 66% Median
32 12% 46%  
33 6% 34%  
34 8% 28%  
35 7% 20%  
36 5% 13%  
37 3% 8%  
38 2% 5%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 2%  
41 0.5% 0.9%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations