Høyre
Voting Intentions
Last result: 26.8% (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Pollster/Media | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–9 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.8% | 22.7–24.9% | 22.4–25.3% | 22.2–25.5% | 21.6–26.1% |
| 5–8 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.4% | 22.1–24.8% | 21.7–25.2% | 21.4–25.5% | 20.8–26.2% |
| 5–7 September 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
25.9% | 23.9–28.0% | 23.4–28.5% | 22.9–29.1% | 22.0–30.1% |
| 4–7 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.4% | 22.1–24.8% | 21.7–25.2% | 21.4–25.5% | 20.8–26.2% |
| 7 September 2017 | InFact VG |
21.5% | 20.4–22.7% | 20.1–23.0% | 19.8–23.3% | 19.3–23.8% |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
24.7% | 23.0–26.5% | 22.5–27.0% | 22.1–27.5% | 21.3–28.4% |
| 5–6 September 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
25.8% | 23.9–27.9% | 23.4–28.5% | 22.9–29.0% | 22.0–30.0% |
| 1–6 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.8% | 23.5–26.3% | 23.1–26.7% | 22.8–27.0% | 22.1–27.7% |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
23.1% | 21.5–25.0% | 21.0–25.5% | 20.6–25.9% | 19.8–26.8% |
| 31 August–5 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.4% | 23.0–25.8% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.3–26.6% | 21.7–27.2% |
| 31 August–4 September 2017 | Norstat NRK |
24.2% | 22.7–25.9% | 22.2–26.3% | 21.8–26.7% | 21.1–27.6% |
| 30 August–4 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.6% | 23.2–26.0% | 22.8–26.4% | 22.4–26.8% | 21.8–27.5% |
| 4 September 2017 | InFact VG |
23.4% | 22.3–24.6% | 21.9–25.0% | 21.6–25.3% | 21.1–25.9% |
| 29 August–1 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
26.1% | 24.7–27.5% | 24.3–28.0% | 24.0–28.3% | 23.4–29.0% |
| 28–31 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.9% | 23.6–26.4% | 23.2–26.8% | 22.9–27.1% | 22.2–27.8% |
| 31 August 2017 | InFact VG |
21.5% | 20.3–22.7% | 20.0–23.0% | 19.7–23.3% | 19.2–23.9% |
| 28–30 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
24.0% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.6–27.6% |
| 25–30 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.7% | 23.4–26.2% | 23.0–26.6% | 22.7–26.9% | 22.1–27.6% |
| 24–29 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
25.1% | 23.7–26.6% | 23.3–27.1% | 22.9–27.5% | 22.3–28.2% |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
24.2% | 22.5–26.1% | 22.0–26.6% | 21.6–27.1% | 20.8–28.0% |
| 24–28 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
25.7% | 24.0–27.6% | 23.5–28.1% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.3–29.4% |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.3–27.0% |
| 21–25 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.1% | 22.7–25.7% | 22.3–26.1% | 21.9–26.5% | 21.2–27.3% |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.7–28.8% |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.4% | 21.8–25.1% | 21.3–25.6% | 20.9–26.0% | 20.2–26.8% |
| 21–23 August 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
23.3% | 21.6–25.1% | 21.1–25.7% | 20.7–26.1% | 19.9–27.0% |
| 23 August 2017 | InFact VG |
22.2% | 21.0–23.4% | 20.7–23.7% | 20.4–24.1% | 19.9–24.6% |
| 15–21 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
22.4% | 20.6–24.4% | 20.1–25.0% | 19.6–25.5% | 18.8–26.5% |
| 15–20 August 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
24.2% | 22.2–26.3% | 21.7–26.9% | 21.2–27.5% | 20.3–28.5% |
| 14–18 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.8% | 21.9–26.0% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.9–27.1% | 20.0–28.1% |
| 17 August 2017 | InFact VG |
21.9% | 20.7–23.1% | 20.4–23.4% | 20.1–23.7% | 19.6–24.3% |
| 15 August 2017 | InFact Arbeiderpartiet |
21.9% | 20.3–23.6% | 19.8–24.1% | 19.4–24.6% | 18.7–25.4% |
| 8–14 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
23.8% | 22.1–25.6% | 21.6–26.2% | 21.2–26.6% | 20.4–27.5% |
| 7–11 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.5% | 19.6–23.5% | 19.1–24.1% | 18.7–24.6% | 17.8–25.6% |
| 8–10 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
24.8% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.2–27.6% | 21.4–28.5% |
| 1–7 August 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
24.9% | 22.8–27.1% | 22.3–27.7% | 21.8–28.3% | 20.8–29.4% |
| 1–2 August 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
26.1% | 24.3–27.9% | 23.9–28.4% | 23.4–28.9% | 22.6–29.8% |
| 1–2 August 2017 | InFact VG |
22.7% | 21.6–24.0% | 21.2–24.3% | 20.9–24.6% | 20.4–25.2% |
| 4–5 July 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
22.9% | 21.0–24.9% | 20.5–25.5% | 20.1–26.0% | 19.2–27.0% |
| 3–4 July 2017 | InFact VG |
21.1% | 20.0–22.3% | 19.6–22.6% | 19.4–22.9% | 18.8–23.5% |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
24.2% | 22.2–26.3% | 21.7–26.9% | 21.2–27.5% | 20.3–28.5% |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
23.3% | 21.6–25.2% | 21.2–25.7% | 20.7–26.2% | 19.9–27.1% |
| 19–21 June 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
23.1% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.8–26.7% |
| 12–16 June 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22.3% | 20.4–24.3% | 19.8–24.9% | 19.4–25.4% | 18.5–26.4% |
| 9–14 June 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
24.1% | 22.2–26.2% | 21.6–26.8% | 21.2–27.3% | 20.3–28.3% |
| 6–12 June 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
23.0% | 21.0–25.1% | 20.4–25.8% | 19.9–26.3% | 19.0–27.4% |
| 6–7 June 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 2–7 June 2017 | InFact VG |
20.5% | 19.4–21.7% | 19.1–22.0% | 18.8–22.3% | 18.3–22.9% |
| 30 May–5 June 2017 | Norstat NRK |
23.7% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.5–26.1% | 21.0–26.5% | 20.3–27.4% |
Probability Mass Function
Seats
Last result: 48 seats (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Pollster/Media | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 43 | 38–47 | 37–49 | 36–50 | 35–52 |
| 4–9 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 39–45 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 |
| 5–8 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| 5–7 September 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
46 | 40–50 | 39–50 | 39–51 | 37–54 |
| 4–7 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 38–47 | 37–47 |
| 7 September 2017 | InFact VG |
38 | 36–39 | 35–39 | 35–40 | 34–41 |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–52 |
| 5–6 September 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
45 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 37–54 |
| 1–6 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 42–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 38–51 |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
41 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| 31 August–5 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–49 |
| 31 August–4 September 2017 | Norstat NRK |
43 | 40–47 | 38–47 | 38–49 | 37–50 |
| 30 August–4 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 40–46 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 38–50 |
| 4 September 2017 | InFact VG |
42 | 39–45 | 38–45 | 38–47 | 36–47 |
| 29 August–1 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 42–54 | 40–55 |
| 28–31 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 |
| 31 August 2017 | InFact VG |
37 | 36–40 | 35–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 |
| 28–30 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
40 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| 25–30 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
47 | 43–48 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 39–52 |
| 24–29 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
46 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 39–52 |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| 24–28 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
46 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–48 | 38–50 |
| 21–25 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–48 | 38–50 |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
45 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 38–54 |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–49 |
| 21–23 August 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
42 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 37–48 | 36–51 |
| 23 August 2017 | InFact VG |
39 | 37–41 | 36–42 | 36–43 | 35–44 |
| 15–21 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
40 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 34–46 | 33–47 |
| 15–20 August 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
42 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 37–49 | 35–51 |
| 14–18 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 35–52 |
| 17 August 2017 | InFact VG |
39 | 36–42 | 36–43 | 36–43 | 35–45 |
| 15 August 2017 | InFact Arbeiderpartiet |
39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 35–45 | 33–46 |
| 8–14 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
41 | 38–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| 7–11 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
39 | 35–44 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 32–47 |
| 8–10 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
45 | 41–49 | 40–49 | 39–51 | 37–52 |
| 1–7 August 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
45 | 40–49 | 39–51 | 39–52 | 36–55 |
| 1–2 August 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| 1–2 August 2017 | InFact VG |
42 | 39–44 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 |
| 4–5 July 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
42 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 36–48 | 34–49 |
| 3–4 July 2017 | InFact VG |
38 | 36–42 | 36–42 | 35–42 | 34–44 |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
44 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 37–51 | 36–54 |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| 19–21 June 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
42 | 39–46 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 36–50 |
| 12–16 June 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
41 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 35–48 | 34–49 |
| 9–14 June 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
44 | 40–47 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–52 |
| 6–12 June 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
40 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–48 | 33–50 |
| 6–7 June 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–55 |
| 2–7 June 2017 | InFact VG |
38 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 33–43 |
| 30 May–5 June 2017 | Norstat NRK |
44 | 40–47 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–51 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function for the poll average for Høyre.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 3% | 96% | |
| 38 | 10% | 93% | |
| 39 | 8% | 83% | |
| 40 | 6% | 75% | |
| 41 | 10% | 69% | |
| 42 | 9% | 59% | |
| 43 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 42% | |
| 45 | 10% | 32% | |
| 46 | 6% | 22% | |
| 47 | 7% | 16% | |
| 48 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |