Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Pollster/Media Ap H FrP KrF Sp V SV MDG R
8–9 September 2013 General Election 30.8%
55
26.8%
48
16.3%
29
5.6%
10
5.5%
10
5.2%
9
4.1%
7
2.8%
1
1.1%
0
N/A Poll Average 44–55 36–50 20–33 2–12 13–22 0–10 7–15 1–12 1–10
4–9 September 2017 Kantar TNS
TV2
26–30%
47–54
22–26%
38–46
13–16%
24–29
4–5%
2–9
9–11%
15–20
4–6%
2–10
5–7%
8–12
3–5%
1–8
2–4%
1–2
5–7 September 2017 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå
23–30%
44–55
23–29%
39–51
13–18%
23–32
2–5%
1–8
7–11%
11–19
2–4%
0–3
5–8%
8–13
4–8%
7–13
4–7%
2–12
7 September 2017 InFact
VG
26–30%
46–55
20–23%
35–40
11–14%
20–26
4–6%
2–9
9–12%
16–21
4–6%
8–10
7–9%
12–16
4–5%
2–9
3–4%
1–6
4–6 September 2017 Respons Analyse
Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen
23–28%
42–53
22–27%
39–50
12–17%
22–31
4–7%
7–13
8–12%
14–22
3–6%
2–10
6–9%
10–16
2–4%
1–3
2–4%
1–7
5–6 September 2017 Norfakta
Nationen and Klassekampen
23–29%
44–54
23–29%
39–52
12–16%
20–29
4–7%
3–12
9–13%
14–23
3–6%
1–10
4–7%
2–11
3–6%
1–11
2–5%
1–7
4–6 September 2017 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
24–30%
45–55
21–26%
36–47
13–18%
23–32
3–6%
2–10
8–11%
13–20
4–6%
2–10
5–8%
8–14
3–6%
1–10
3–5%
1–8
31 August–4 September 2017 Norstat
NRK
23–28%
43–52
22–27%
38–49
15–19%
27–35
3–6%
2–10
8–11%
13–21
3–5%
1–8
5–7%
8–13
4–6%
1–10
2–4%
1–8
15–20 August 2017 Sentio
Dagens Næringsliv
24–30%
44–55
21–27%
37–49
11–16%
19–28
4–7%
2–12
9–14%
15–24
3–6%
1–10
4–7%
1–12
5–8%
8–14
2–4%
1–2
8–9 September 2013 General Election 30.8%
55
26.8%
48
16.3%
29
5.6%
10
5.5%
10
5.2%
9
4.1%
7
2.8%
1
1.1%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 45–53 44–54 44–55 42–56
Høyre 48 43 38–47 37–49 36–50 35–52
Fremskrittspartiet 29 27 21–31 20–32 20–33 19–35
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–10 2–11 2–12 1–13
Senterpartiet 10 18 14–20 13–22 13–22 12–24
Venstre 9 8 1–9 1–10 0–10 0–11
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 11 8–14 8–14 7–15 1–16
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 8 1–11 1–12 1–12 1–14
Rødt 0 2 1–8 1–9 1–10 1–11

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 0.7% 99.6%  
43 1.1% 98.9%  
44 3% 98%  
45 8% 95%  
46 8% 87%  
47 9% 79%  
48 12% 70%  
49 9% 58% Median
50 12% 48%  
51 12% 36%  
52 10% 24%  
53 6% 14%  
54 5% 8%  
55 2% 3% Last Result
56 0.5% 0.9%  
57 0.3% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 1.3% 99.7%  
36 2% 98%  
37 3% 96%  
38 10% 93%  
39 8% 83%  
40 6% 75%  
41 10% 69%  
42 9% 59%  
43 9% 50% Median
44 10% 42%  
45 10% 32%  
46 6% 22%  
47 7% 16%  
48 3% 9% Last Result
49 2% 6%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.4% 0.8%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 0.9% 99.6%  
20 5% 98.7%  
21 4% 93%  
22 8% 89%  
23 7% 81%  
24 7% 75%  
25 8% 68%  
26 10% 60%  
27 11% 50% Median
28 19% 39%  
29 6% 20% Last Result
30 4% 15%  
31 5% 11%  
32 3% 6%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.7% 1.3%  
35 0.2% 0.5%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 2% 99.7%  
2 16% 98%  
3 3% 82%  
4 0% 79%  
5 0% 79%  
6 0.3% 79%  
7 13% 79%  
8 24% 66% Median
9 23% 42%  
10 10% 19% Last Result
11 6% 9%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.6% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 1.1% 99.5%  
13 4% 98%  
14 5% 94%  
15 7% 89%  
16 13% 82%  
17 15% 69%  
18 26% 54% Median
19 11% 29%  
20 8% 18%  
21 3% 10%  
22 4% 6%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 10% 95%  
2 16% 85%  
3 5% 69%  
4 0% 64%  
5 0% 64%  
6 0.4% 64%  
7 12% 63%  
8 26% 51% Median
9 20% 26% Last Result
10 5% 6%  
11 0.8% 1.0%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 2% 99.5%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0.1% 98%  
7 3% 98% Last Result
8 9% 95%  
9 16% 86%  
10 16% 70%  
11 20% 54% Median
12 10% 34%  
13 10% 24%  
14 9% 14%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.1%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 16% 99.8% Last Result
2 4% 83%  
3 11% 80%  
4 0.8% 69%  
5 0% 68%  
6 0.1% 68%  
7 14% 68%  
8 19% 54% Median
9 15% 34%  
10 9% 20%  
11 5% 11%  
12 4% 6%  
13 1.2% 2%  
14 0.4% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 63% 82% Median
3 0% 19%  
4 0% 19%  
5 0% 19%  
6 0.6% 19%  
7 6% 18%  
8 4% 12%  
9 4% 8%  
10 2% 4%  
11 1.1% 1.5%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre 106 100 99.7% 92–106 90–108 88–109 85–112
Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 91 94% 85–99 84–100 82–101 80–104
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 89 81% 83–94 82–95 81–97 79–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 87 66% 81–94 79–95 78–97 75–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 84 41% 78–91 77–92 75–93 73–96
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 82 34% 75–88 74–90 72–91 70–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 80 19% 75–86 74–87 72–88 70–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 77 4% 72–83 71–84 69–85 67–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet 75 75 0.6% 67–79 65–81 64–82 61–85
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 69 0% 60–75 58–76 58–78 57–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 67 0% 62–71 61–72 60–73 58–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 60 0% 55–66 54–66 53–67 50–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 56 0% 49–62 48–64 46–65 42–68
Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre 29 33 0% 21–37 17–38 16–39 14–41

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.5% 99.7% Majority
86 0.7% 99.2%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 0.6% 98%  
89 2% 97%  
90 3% 95%  
91 2% 93%  
92 3% 91%  
93 3% 88%  
94 7% 85%  
95 4% 78%  
96 4% 74%  
97 4% 69%  
98 4% 66%  
99 6% 61%  
100 7% 56%  
101 7% 49%  
102 8% 42%  
103 12% 34%  
104 5% 23% Median
105 6% 18%  
106 4% 11% Last Result
107 3% 8%  
108 2% 5%  
109 2% 3%  
110 0.7% 2%  
111 0.5% 1.1%  
112 0.4% 0.6%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.8% 99.3%  
82 1.0% 98%  
83 1.3% 97% Last Result
84 2% 96%  
85 6% 94% Majority
86 5% 88%  
87 5% 83%  
88 6% 78%  
89 10% 71%  
90 8% 62%  
91 9% 53%  
92 7% 44%  
93 6% 37%  
94 5% 31% Median
95 4% 26%  
96 3% 22%  
97 3% 19%  
98 3% 16%  
99 4% 12%  
100 6% 9%  
101 1.1% 3%  
102 0.7% 2%  
103 0.6% 1.3%  
104 0.3% 0.7%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.7% 99.7%  
80 1.3% 99.0%  
81 2% 98%  
82 3% 96%  
83 6% 93%  
84 6% 87%  
85 5% 81% Majority
86 9% 75%  
87 5% 67%  
88 9% 61%  
89 11% 52%  
90 9% 41%  
91 7% 33%  
92 7% 25%  
93 5% 18%  
94 4% 13% Median
95 3% 8%  
96 2% 5%  
97 1.3% 3% Last Result
98 0.6% 1.4%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.8%  
76 0.7% 99.4%  
77 0.8% 98.7%  
78 1.4% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 4% 95%  
81 4% 91%  
82 6% 88%  
83 7% 82%  
84 9% 74%  
85 9% 66% Majority
86 7% 57%  
87 6% 50%  
88 7% 44% Median
89 5% 36%  
90 4% 31%  
91 3% 27%  
92 4% 24%  
93 8% 20%  
94 5% 12%  
95 2% 7%  
96 1.3% 5%  
97 2% 4%  
98 0.9% 2%  
99 0.4% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
74 0.7% 99.2%  
75 1.2% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 5% 94%  
79 4% 89%  
80 6% 84%  
81 7% 78%  
82 11% 71%  
83 9% 60%  
84 10% 51%  
85 6% 41% Majority
86 8% 35% Median
87 4% 27%  
88 4% 23%  
89 3% 19%  
90 2% 16%  
91 7% 13%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.6% 2%  
95 0.7% 1.4%  
96 0.6% 0.7%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.9% 99.2%  
72 2% 98%  
73 1.3% 96%  
74 2% 95%  
75 5% 93%  
76 8% 88%  
77 4% 80%  
78 3% 76%  
79 4% 73%  
80 5% 69%  
81 7% 64%  
82 6% 56%  
83 7% 50%  
84 9% 43%  
85 9% 34% Majority
86 7% 26% Median
87 6% 18%  
88 4% 12%  
89 4% 9%  
90 2% 5%  
91 1.4% 3%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.7% 1.3%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.5%  
71 0.6% 99.2%  
72 1.3% 98.6% Last Result
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 4% 92%  
76 5% 87%  
77 7% 82%  
78 7% 75%  
79 9% 67%  
80 11% 59% Median
81 9% 48%  
82 5% 39%  
83 9% 33%  
84 5% 25%  
85 6% 19% Majority
86 6% 13%  
87 3% 7%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.3% 2%  
90 0.7% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.7% 99.2%  
69 2% 98.6%  
70 2% 97%  
71 3% 95%  
72 5% 92% Last Result
73 6% 88%  
74 9% 82%  
75 8% 73%  
76 8% 66%  
77 8% 58%  
78 10% 49% Median
79 9% 39%  
80 6% 30%  
81 5% 24%  
82 4% 19%  
83 5% 15%  
84 5% 10%  
85 2% 4% Majority
86 0.9% 2%  
87 0.7% 1.3%  
88 0.5% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 99.6%  
62 0.5% 99.2%  
63 1.0% 98.7%  
64 1.0% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 3% 94%  
67 2% 91%  
68 4% 89%  
69 3% 85%  
70 4% 82%  
71 6% 78%  
72 5% 72%  
73 6% 68%  
74 10% 61%  
75 10% 51% Last Result, Median
76 9% 42%  
77 6% 33%  
78 8% 27%  
79 9% 18%  
80 3% 9%  
81 3% 6%  
82 1.2% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.6% Majority
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.5%  
58 4% 99.1%  
59 3% 95%  
60 3% 92%  
61 3% 89%  
62 2% 87%  
63 2% 85%  
64 4% 83%  
65 3% 78%  
66 5% 75%  
67 6% 71%  
68 6% 64%  
69 9% 58%  
70 9% 48% Median
71 7% 39%  
72 7% 33%  
73 8% 25%  
74 6% 17%  
75 3% 11%  
76 4% 8%  
77 2% 4% Last Result
78 1.0% 3%  
79 0.5% 2%  
80 0.4% 1.3%  
81 0.6% 0.9%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.8%  
58 0.5% 99.6%  
59 1.0% 99.0%  
60 1.4% 98%  
61 5% 97%  
62 6% 92%  
63 8% 86%  
64 8% 78%  
65 6% 70% Last Result
66 9% 64%  
67 12% 55% Median
68 9% 43%  
69 13% 35%  
70 8% 22%  
71 5% 15%  
72 6% 10%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.1% 2%  
75 0.6% 1.2%  
76 0.2% 0.6%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.8%  
49 0.1% 99.7%  
50 0.4% 99.5%  
51 0.5% 99.1%  
52 0.9% 98.6%  
53 2% 98%  
54 3% 96%  
55 4% 93%  
56 9% 88%  
57 8% 79%  
58 8% 71%  
59 10% 63%  
60 8% 53% Median
61 11% 44%  
62 8% 33% Last Result
63 6% 25%  
64 4% 19%  
65 5% 15%  
66 6% 10%  
67 3% 4%  
68 1.4% 2%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 0.7% 99.4%  
44 0.3% 98.7%  
45 0.5% 98%  
46 0.9% 98%  
47 2% 97%  
48 2% 95%  
49 3% 93%  
50 4% 90%  
51 4% 86%  
52 4% 82%  
53 7% 77%  
54 9% 71%  
55 10% 62%  
56 8% 52%  
57 7% 43%  
58 7% 36%  
59 7% 30% Median
60 6% 22%  
61 5% 16%  
62 3% 12%  
63 4% 9%  
64 2% 6%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 0.7% 2%  
67 0.6% 1.4% Last Result
68 0.4% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 0.3% 99.8%  
15 1.0% 99.5%  
16 2% 98.5%  
17 3% 97%  
18 1.0% 94%  
19 2% 93%  
20 1.3% 91%  
21 2% 90%  
22 1.0% 88%  
23 1.3% 87%  
24 1.5% 86%  
25 2% 85%  
26 2% 82%  
27 4% 80%  
28 5% 76%  
29 5% 71% Last Result
30 5% 66%  
31 5% 61%  
32 5% 56%  
33 7% 50%  
34 11% 43% Median
35 11% 32%  
36 9% 21%  
37 4% 12%  
38 3% 8%  
39 3% 5%  
40 1.2% 2%  
41 0.4% 0.8%  
42 0.2% 0.4%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information