Kristelig Folkeparti
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.6% (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Pollster/Media | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–9 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 5–8 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.2–5.8% |
| 5–7 September 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
3.5% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
| 4–7 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 7 September 2017 | InFact VG |
4.7% | 4.2–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| 5–6 September 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.6% |
| 1–6 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.5% | 3.9–5.2% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.3–6.0% |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| 31 August–5 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.4% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.9% |
| 31 August–4 September 2017 | Norstat NRK |
4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.2–6.3% |
| 30 August–4 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.4% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.2–6.0% |
| 4 September 2017 | InFact VG |
5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–6.0% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.5% |
| 29 August–1 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
3.8% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.7% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.7–5.2% |
| 28–31 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% |
| 31 August 2017 | InFact VG |
5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–7.0% |
| 28–30 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 25–30 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.2% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 24–29 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.2% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.0–5.8% |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
4.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.7–6.5% | 3.4–7.1% |
| 24–28 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 21–25 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
3.7% | 3.1–4.5% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.6–5.3% |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| 21–23 August 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
4.4% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 2.9–6.4% |
| 23 August 2017 | InFact VG |
5.3% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% |
| 15–21 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
5.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.8–7.0% | 3.4–7.5% |
| 15–20 August 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
5.3% | 4.4–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.9–7.2% | 3.5–7.8% |
| 14–18 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.9–7.1% | 3.5–7.8% |
| 17 August 2017 | InFact VG |
5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.2–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% |
| 15 August 2017 | InFact Arbeiderpartiet |
4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 8–14 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
5.1% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.2% |
| 7–11 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
3.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.7–5.6% | 2.4–6.1% |
| 8–10 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 1–7 August 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
6.0% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.5–8.0% | 4.0–8.7% |
| 1–2 August 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 1–2 August 2017 | InFact VG |
5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.6% |
| 4–5 July 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.7% |
| 3–4 July 2017 | InFact VG |
4.6% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.5–6.0% |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
4.8% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.4–6.6% | 3.1–7.2% |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 19–21 June 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| 12–16 June 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
4.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.2–6.3% | 2.9–6.9% |
| 9–14 June 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
4.7% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.4–6.5% | 3.0–7.1% |
| 6–12 June 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
5.3% | 4.4–6.6% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.9–7.3% | 3.5–8.0% |
| 6–7 June 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 2–7 June 2017 | InFact VG |
4.8% | 4.2–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| 30 May–5 June 2017 | Norstat NRK |
4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 2.9–6.4% |
Probability Mass Function
Seats
Last result: 10 seats (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Pollster/Media | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 1–13 |
| 4–9 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| 5–8 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| 5–7 September 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| 4–7 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 2–12 |
| 7 September 2017 | InFact VG |
8 | 7–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 3–14 |
| 5–6 September 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 3–12 | 2–13 |
| 1–6 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
8 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| 4–6 September 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| 31 August–5 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| 31 August–4 September 2017 | Norstat NRK |
8 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| 30 August–4 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| 4 September 2017 | InFact VG |
9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 2–11 |
| 29 August–1 September 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| 28–31 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–10 |
| 31 August 2017 | InFact VG |
9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| 28–30 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 2–12 |
| 25–30 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–10 |
| 24–29 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–10 |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
8 | 7–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 2–12 |
| 24–28 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 |
| 22–28 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
3 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| 21–25 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen |
8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 1–12 |
| 18–23 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| 21–23 August 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| 23 August 2017 | InFact VG |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| 15–21 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 2–12 | 2–13 |
| 15–20 August 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
9 | 7–11 | 3–12 | 2–12 | 2–13 |
| 14–18 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 2–13 | 2–14 |
| 17 August 2017 | InFact VG |
9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 2–12 |
| 15 August 2017 | InFact Arbeiderpartiet |
9 | 7–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| 8–14 August 2017 | Norstat NRK |
9 | 7–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–13 |
| 7–11 August 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
3 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| 8–10 August 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
9 | 7–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 2–13 |
| 1–7 August 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
11 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 2–16 |
| 1–2 August 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
9 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| 1–2 August 2017 | InFact VG |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| 4–5 July 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 2–13 | 2–14 |
| 3–4 July 2017 | InFact VG |
9 | 7–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Sentio Dagens Næringsliv |
9 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 1–13 |
| 20–26 June 2017 | Norstat Vårt Land |
7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| 19–21 June 2017 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
2 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| 12–16 June 2017 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
8 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 1–12 |
| 9–14 June 2017 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten and Bergens Tidende |
9 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 2–13 |
| 6–12 June 2017 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå |
10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 2–13 | 2–14 |
| 6–7 June 2017 | Norfakta Nationen and Klassekampen |
8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 1–12 |
| 2–7 June 2017 | InFact VG |
9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 3–11 | 2–11 |
| 30 May–5 June 2017 | Norstat NRK |
8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 1–12 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function for the poll average for Kristelig Folkeparti.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 16% | 98% | |
| 3 | 3% | 82% | |
| 4 | 0% | 79% | |
| 5 | 0% | 79% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 7 | 13% | 79% | |
| 8 | 24% | 66% | Median |
| 9 | 23% | 42% | |
| 10 | 10% | 19% | Last Result |
| 11 | 6% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |