Opinion Poll by InFact for VG, 2–7 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 32.3% 31.0–33.7% 30.6–34.0% 30.3–34.4% 29.7–35.0%
Høyre 26.8% 20.5% 19.4–21.7% 19.1–22.0% 18.8–22.3% 18.3–22.9%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.5% 11.6–13.5% 11.4–13.8% 11.1–14.0% 10.7–14.5%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.8% 10.9–12.7% 10.7–13.0% 10.5–13.2% 10.1–13.7%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.8% 4.2–5.4% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.5% 3.9–5.1% 3.8–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.4–5.8%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.4% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8%
Rødt 1.1% 3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.3% 2.8–4.4% 2.6–4.7%
Venstre 5.2% 3.2% 2.7–3.7% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 61 58–64 57–65 56–65 55–67
Høyre 48 38 36–41 35–42 35–42 33–43
Fremskrittspartiet 29 23 21–25 20–26 20–26 19–27
Senterpartiet 10 22 20–24 20–24 19–25 18–26
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 8–10 7–10 3–11 2–11
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 8 2–9 2–10 2–10 2–11
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 2 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 2–7 2–8 2–8 2–9
Venstre 9 2 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 1.0% 99.8% Last Result
56 3% 98.8%  
57 6% 96%  
58 6% 90%  
59 13% 84%  
60 8% 71%  
61 14% 63% Median
62 17% 48%  
63 12% 32%  
64 11% 20%  
65 6% 9%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.4% 0.7%  
68 0.3% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.6% 100%  
34 1.4% 99.4%  
35 5% 98%  
36 13% 93%  
37 22% 80%  
38 23% 58% Median
39 9% 35%  
40 10% 25%  
41 8% 15%  
42 5% 7%  
43 1.3% 2%  
44 0.4% 0.5%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 0.8% 99.8%  
20 4% 99.0%  
21 11% 95%  
22 13% 84%  
23 29% 71% Median
24 22% 42%  
25 12% 20%  
26 6% 8%  
27 1.4% 2%  
28 0.4% 0.5%  
29 0% 0.1% Last Result
30 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.7% 99.9%  
19 4% 99.2%  
20 12% 96%  
21 25% 84%  
22 25% 58% Median
23 21% 34%  
24 8% 13%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.8% 0.9%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 0.8% 98%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 2% 97%  
8 25% 95%  
9 44% 70% Median
10 21% 25% Last Result
11 4% 4%  
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 13% 99.7%  
3 0.1% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0.1% 87%  
7 3% 87% Last Result
8 35% 84% Median
9 42% 48%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.8% 0.9%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 24% 100% Last Result
2 27% 76% Median
3 20% 50%  
4 9% 30%  
5 0% 20%  
6 0.1% 20%  
7 7% 20%  
8 12% 13%  
9 1.2% 1.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 87% 99.7% Median
3 0% 13%  
4 0% 13%  
5 0% 13%  
6 0.2% 13%  
7 5% 13%  
8 7% 7%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 43% 99.6%  
2 48% 57% Median
3 7% 9%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0.1% 2%  
7 1.3% 2%  
8 1.0% 1.0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 103 100% 99–107 97–108 96–108 94–109
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 97 100% 93–101 92–102 90–103 89–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 94 99.8% 90–98 88–99 88–100 86–101
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 94 99.5% 89–98 87–99 87–100 85–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 94 99.8% 89–97 88–98 87–99 85–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 92 98% 88–95 86–96 85–97 83–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 91 97% 87–94 85–95 84–96 83–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 83 36% 79–86 78–88 77–88 76–90
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 75 0.1% 71–80 70–80 69–81 67–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 72 0% 68–76 67–77 66–78 64–80
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 69 0% 65–73 64–73 63–74 60–75
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 61 0% 58–65 57–66 56–67 54–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 48 0% 46–52 45–53 44–54 42–55
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 32 0% 30–35 29–36 28–37 26–38

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.5% 99.7%  
95 0.9% 99.2%  
96 1.2% 98%  
97 2% 97%  
98 3% 95%  
99 5% 91%  
100 9% 86%  
101 8% 78%  
102 11% 70% Median
103 13% 59%  
104 13% 46%  
105 15% 33%  
106 7% 18%  
107 5% 11%  
108 4% 6%  
109 1.3% 2%  
110 0.4% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.5% 99.5%  
90 2% 99.1%  
91 1.5% 97%  
92 4% 96%  
93 7% 91%  
94 6% 84%  
95 8% 78% Median
96 15% 70%  
97 12% 55%  
98 18% 43%  
99 8% 25%  
100 6% 18%  
101 5% 12%  
102 3% 7%  
103 2% 3%  
104 1.1% 2%  
105 0.3% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.8% Majority
86 0.8% 99.5%  
87 0.9% 98.7%  
88 3% 98%  
89 3% 95%  
90 5% 92%  
91 9% 87%  
92 8% 79%  
93 9% 71% Median
94 16% 62%  
95 11% 46%  
96 17% 36%  
97 7% 19%  
98 5% 12%  
99 4% 7%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.1% 2%  
102 0.4% 0.4%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.8% 99.5% Majority
86 1.1% 98.7%  
87 3% 98%  
88 3% 95%  
89 3% 92%  
90 7% 89%  
91 6% 81%  
92 8% 76%  
93 10% 68%  
94 17% 58% Median
95 10% 41%  
96 9% 31%  
97 7% 22%  
98 6% 15%  
99 4% 8%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.4% 2%  
102 0.3% 0.8%  
103 0.3% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.4% 99.8% Majority
86 0.7% 99.4%  
87 2% 98.7%  
88 3% 97%  
89 6% 94%  
90 4% 88%  
91 8% 84%  
92 16% 76%  
93 9% 60% Median
94 10% 51%  
95 9% 41%  
96 20% 31%  
97 3% 12%  
98 4% 8%  
99 2% 4%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.0%  
102 0.5% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 1.3% 99.5%  
85 0.7% 98% Majority
86 3% 97%  
87 4% 95%  
88 5% 91%  
89 6% 86%  
90 11% 80%  
91 10% 69%  
92 14% 59% Median
93 9% 44%  
94 20% 36%  
95 8% 16%  
96 5% 8%  
97 0.9% 3%  
98 0.7% 2%  
99 0.8% 1.2%  
100 0.4% 0.4%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.9% 99.6%  
84 2% 98.7%  
85 2% 97% Majority
86 4% 95%  
87 7% 90%  
88 4% 83%  
89 8% 78%  
90 18% 71%  
91 10% 53% Median
92 9% 42%  
93 8% 33%  
94 19% 25%  
95 2% 6%  
96 2% 4%  
97 1.1% 2%  
98 0.4% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.9%  
76 1.3% 99.6%  
77 2% 98%  
78 4% 96%  
79 4% 92%  
80 5% 88%  
81 10% 83%  
82 15% 73%  
83 10% 58% Median
84 12% 48%  
85 23% 36% Majority
86 4% 13%  
87 3% 9%  
88 3% 5%  
89 1.3% 2%  
90 0.5% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.7%  
68 1.0% 99.1%  
69 1.0% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 5% 94%  
72 3% 89%  
73 20% 86%  
74 10% 65% Median
75 10% 56%  
76 9% 46%  
77 16% 37%  
78 7% 21%  
79 3% 14%  
80 6% 11%  
81 3% 5%  
82 1.3% 2%  
83 0.5% 1.0%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.6%  
65 1.4% 99.2%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 95%  
68 6% 92%  
69 6% 86%  
70 8% 80%  
71 18% 72%  
72 12% 53% Median
73 14% 42%  
74 8% 28%  
75 6% 20%  
76 7% 14%  
77 4% 7%  
78 1.2% 3%  
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.4%  
62 0.7% 98.9% Last Result
63 2% 98%  
64 4% 96%  
65 7% 92%  
66 7% 85%  
67 11% 78%  
68 11% 67%  
69 11% 56% Median
70 8% 45%  
71 16% 36%  
72 9% 20%  
73 8% 11%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.7% 0.9%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.4% 99.9%  
55 0.7% 99.5%  
56 3% 98.7%  
57 5% 96%  
58 7% 91%  
59 7% 84%  
60 13% 77%  
61 21% 64% Median
62 12% 43%  
63 10% 31%  
64 7% 21%  
65 7% 14%  
66 4% 8%  
67 2% 3%  
68 1.2% 2%  
69 0.2% 0.5%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 99.6%  
43 1.2% 99.1%  
44 2% 98%  
45 5% 96%  
46 10% 92%  
47 11% 82%  
48 24% 71%  
49 14% 47% Median
50 8% 32%  
51 6% 24%  
52 12% 18%  
53 3% 6%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.8% 1.3%  
56 0.3% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.3% 99.8%  
26 0.7% 99.5%  
27 1.2% 98.8%  
28 0.9% 98%  
29 3% 97% Last Result
30 6% 93%  
31 15% 87%  
32 26% 72%  
33 18% 46% Median
34 13% 28%  
35 9% 15%  
36 4% 6%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.5% 1.0%  
39 0.2% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations