Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Nationen and Klassekampen, 6–7 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 28.5% 26.7–30.4% 26.2–30.9% 25.8–31.4% 24.9–32.3%
Høyre 26.8% 25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.3% 22.1–29.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.4% 13.0–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.3–16.7% 11.7–17.5%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.3% 9.6–15.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.3%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Venstre 5.2% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Rødt 1.1% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 52 49–56 48–57 47–58 45–61
Høyre 48 47 43–51 42–52 41–53 40–55
Fremskrittspartiet 29 27 24–29 23–30 23–31 21–33
Senterpartiet 10 22 20–25 19–26 18–26 17–28
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 9 2–10 2–11 2–12 1–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–10 2–10 2–11 1–12
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–7 1–8 1–8 1–9
Venstre 9 1 1–2 1–7 0–8 0–8
Rødt 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.9%  
46 1.4% 99.5%  
47 2% 98%  
48 6% 96%  
49 6% 91%  
50 10% 85%  
51 17% 75%  
52 8% 57% Median
53 11% 50%  
54 12% 39%  
55 10% 27% Last Result
56 8% 17%  
57 4% 9%  
58 2% 5%  
59 1.1% 2%  
60 0.5% 1.1%  
61 0.3% 0.5%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.8%  
41 2% 99.4%  
42 3% 97%  
43 11% 94%  
44 9% 83%  
45 8% 74%  
46 10% 66%  
47 11% 56% Median
48 12% 45% Last Result
49 11% 34%  
50 11% 23%  
51 5% 12%  
52 4% 7%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.4% 1.1%  
55 0.3% 0.6%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.4%  
23 4% 98%  
24 9% 93%  
25 14% 85%  
26 15% 71%  
27 14% 55% Median
28 23% 42%  
29 9% 19% Last Result
30 5% 9%  
31 2% 4%  
32 1.0% 2%  
33 0.6% 0.8%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.5%  
19 5% 97%  
20 14% 92%  
21 11% 78%  
22 19% 67% Median
23 20% 48%  
24 13% 28%  
25 6% 14%  
26 5% 8%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.5% 0.7%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 15% 98%  
3 0% 83%  
4 0% 83%  
5 0% 83%  
6 0% 83%  
7 3% 83% Last Result
8 27% 81%  
9 28% 54% Median
10 17% 26%  
11 7% 9%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.6% 100%  
2 21% 99.4%  
3 1.0% 78%  
4 0% 77%  
5 0% 77%  
6 0% 77%  
7 5% 77%  
8 33% 72% Median
9 22% 39%  
10 13% 17% Last Result
11 3% 4%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 63% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 15% 37%  
3 6% 22%  
4 6% 17%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 4% 10%  
8 5% 6%  
9 1.0% 1.2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 51% 95% Median
2 36% 44%  
3 3% 8%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 2% 6%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 54% 100% Median
2 45% 46%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0% 0.7%  
5 0% 0.7%  
6 0% 0.7%  
7 0.4% 0.7%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 105 100% 100–110 99–110 98–113 95–114
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 92 98% 87–96 86–98 85–99 83–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 86 66% 82–91 81–93 79–94 77–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 85 52% 80–90 79–91 78–93 75–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 84 48% 80–89 78–91 77–92 75–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 85 52% 80–89 78–91 77–92 75–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 83 31% 78–88 76–89 76–90 73–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 82 26% 77–87 76–89 75–90 72–91
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 83 34% 78–87 76–88 75–90 72–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 75 0.3% 70–80 69–81 68–82 66–84
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 73 0.1% 69–78 68–80 67–80 65–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 60 0% 56–65 55–66 53–67 51–69
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 56 0% 51–61 50–61 48–63 46–65
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 32 0% 26–35 25–37 23–38 22–40

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.4% 99.7%  
96 0.8% 99.3%  
97 0.6% 98%  
98 2% 98%  
99 2% 96%  
100 6% 94%  
101 6% 88%  
102 6% 82%  
103 9% 76%  
104 13% 67%  
105 10% 54% Median
106 10% 44% Last Result
107 8% 34%  
108 8% 26%  
109 6% 18%  
110 8% 12%  
111 1.3% 5%  
112 0.7% 3%  
113 1.1% 3%  
114 1.2% 2%  
115 0.2% 0.4%  
116 0.2% 0.2%  
117 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.7% 99.5% Last Result
84 1.0% 98.8%  
85 1.3% 98% Majority
86 5% 97%  
87 3% 92%  
88 5% 89%  
89 9% 84%  
90 8% 74%  
91 11% 66%  
92 8% 55% Median
93 10% 47%  
94 10% 37%  
95 9% 27%  
96 8% 18%  
97 3% 10%  
98 4% 7%  
99 2% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.4% 0.7%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.6% 99.3%  
79 2% 98.7%  
80 2% 97%  
81 4% 95%  
82 7% 91%  
83 7% 85%  
84 12% 77%  
85 7% 66% Median, Majority
86 10% 59%  
87 11% 49%  
88 9% 37%  
89 9% 28%  
90 6% 19%  
91 4% 13%  
92 4% 10%  
93 2% 6%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.9% 2%  
96 0.5% 1.0%  
97 0.3% 0.5%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.4%  
77 0.9% 98.9%  
78 2% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 6% 94%  
81 6% 88%  
82 9% 82%  
83 11% 73%  
84 10% 62% Median
85 9% 52% Majority
86 11% 44%  
87 11% 32%  
88 4% 21%  
89 5% 17%  
90 5% 12%  
91 3% 8%  
92 1.3% 4%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.4% 1.2%  
95 0.4% 0.8%  
96 0.3% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9% Last Result
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.7% 99.7%  
76 0.6% 99.0%  
77 3% 98%  
78 2% 96%  
79 3% 94%  
80 5% 91%  
81 11% 86%  
82 8% 75%  
83 11% 67%  
84 8% 56% Median
85 12% 48% Majority
86 11% 36%  
87 6% 25%  
88 5% 18%  
89 4% 13%  
90 4% 9%  
91 2% 5%  
92 0.6% 3%  
93 1.5% 2%  
94 0.5% 0.9%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.7%  
76 1.5% 99.1%  
77 0.6% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 4% 95%  
80 4% 91%  
81 5% 87%  
82 6% 82%  
83 11% 75%  
84 12% 64% Median
85 8% 52% Majority
86 11% 44%  
87 8% 33%  
88 11% 25%  
89 5% 14%  
90 3% 9%  
91 2% 6%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.7% 1.0%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1% Last Result
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
73 0.4% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.4%  
75 0.8% 98.7%  
76 3% 98%  
77 3% 95%  
78 3% 92%  
79 8% 89%  
80 11% 81%  
81 7% 70%  
82 11% 63%  
83 13% 52% Median
84 7% 39%  
85 10% 31% Majority
86 6% 21%  
87 3% 15%  
88 4% 12%  
89 5% 8%  
90 1.0% 3%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 1.4% 2%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.5%  
74 1.4% 99.1%  
75 2% 98% Last Result
76 3% 95%  
77 5% 92%  
78 7% 88%  
79 6% 81%  
80 11% 75%  
81 8% 64%  
82 12% 56% Median
83 7% 44%  
84 11% 37%  
85 5% 26% Majority
86 9% 21%  
87 4% 12%  
88 3% 8%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 99.5%  
74 0.9% 99.0%  
75 2% 98%  
76 2% 96%  
77 4% 94%  
78 4% 90%  
79 6% 87%  
80 9% 81%  
81 9% 72%  
82 11% 63%  
83 10% 51% Median
84 7% 41%  
85 12% 34% Majority
86 7% 23%  
87 7% 15%  
88 4% 9%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.6% 1.3%  
92 0.2% 0.7%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100% Last Result
66 0.4% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.5%  
68 3% 99.0%  
69 3% 96%  
70 5% 93%  
71 7% 89%  
72 11% 82%  
73 9% 71%  
74 10% 62% Median
75 11% 52%  
76 9% 41%  
77 5% 32%  
78 9% 26%  
79 6% 18%  
80 5% 12%  
81 4% 7%  
82 1.5% 3%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.5% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.3% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.7%  
66 0.8% 99.3%  
67 2% 98%  
68 4% 97%  
69 4% 93%  
70 5% 89%  
71 14% 84%  
72 9% 69%  
73 11% 60%  
74 8% 49% Median
75 7% 41%  
76 10% 34%  
77 10% 24% Last Result
78 4% 14%  
79 3% 9%  
80 4% 6%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.4% 1.2%  
83 0.6% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.7%  
52 1.2% 99.4%  
53 2% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 2% 95%  
56 6% 93%  
57 9% 87%  
58 8% 79%  
59 12% 71%  
60 11% 59%  
61 10% 48% Median
62 10% 38% Last Result
63 9% 28%  
64 6% 19%  
65 4% 12%  
66 5% 8%  
67 1.5% 3%  
68 0.8% 2%  
69 0.6% 1.0%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.6% 99.8%  
47 0.7% 99.2%  
48 2% 98.5%  
49 2% 97%  
50 3% 95%  
51 3% 92%  
52 10% 90%  
53 8% 80%  
54 7% 72%  
55 10% 65%  
56 8% 55% Median
57 13% 47%  
58 6% 34%  
59 11% 27%  
60 6% 16%  
61 6% 10%  
62 2% 4%  
63 1.0% 3%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.4% 0.7%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0% 0.1% Last Result
68 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.9% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.0%  
24 1.3% 97%  
25 3% 96%  
26 4% 93%  
27 5% 88%  
28 3% 84%  
29 8% 81% Last Result
30 9% 73%  
31 8% 63% Median
32 15% 55%  
33 18% 40%  
34 7% 23%  
35 7% 15%  
36 4% 9%  
37 2% 5%  
38 1.2% 3%  
39 0.9% 2%  
40 0.5% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations