Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, 6–12 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 32.4% 30.2–34.8% 29.6–35.5% 29.0–36.1% 28.0–37.2%
Høyre 26.8% 23.0% 21.0–25.1% 20.4–25.8% 19.9–26.3% 19.0–27.4%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 12.7% 11.2–14.5% 10.8–15.0% 10.4–15.5% 9.7–16.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.0% 10.5–13.7% 10.1–14.2% 9.8–14.7% 9.1–15.5%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.3% 4.4–6.6% 4.1–7.0% 3.9–7.3% 3.5–8.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.5–6.5%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.9% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3% 2.6–5.6% 2.3–6.2%
Venstre 5.2% 3.6% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–5.0% 2.4–5.2% 2.1–5.8%
Rødt 1.1% 1.6% 1.2–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–2.9% 0.7–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 58 54–64 53–65 52–66 50–69
Høyre 48 40 37–45 36–46 35–48 33–50
Senterpartiet 10 23 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
Fremskrittspartiet 29 21 19–25 18–25 17–26 16–28
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 10 8–12 7–12 2–13 2–14
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 7 1–9 1–10 1–10 1–11
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 7 1–9 1–9 1–10 1–11
Venstre 9 2 1–8 1–8 1–9 0–10
Rødt 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.7%  
51 0.6% 99.3%  
52 2% 98.7%  
53 3% 97%  
54 4% 94%  
55 6% 90% Last Result
56 11% 83%  
57 12% 72%  
58 10% 60% Median
59 9% 50%  
60 10% 41%  
61 8% 31%  
62 6% 23%  
63 5% 17%  
64 5% 12%  
65 3% 7%  
66 2% 4%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 0.5% 1.3%  
69 0.5% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 1.0% 99.5%  
35 2% 98%  
36 4% 97%  
37 8% 93%  
38 10% 85%  
39 12% 75%  
40 13% 63% Median
41 8% 50%  
42 11% 42%  
43 10% 31%  
44 8% 21%  
45 5% 14%  
46 4% 9%  
47 2% 5%  
48 1.1% 3% Last Result
49 0.9% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 0.6% 99.7%  
18 3% 99.1%  
19 3% 96%  
20 9% 93%  
21 10% 84%  
22 14% 74%  
23 20% 60% Median
24 14% 40%  
25 12% 26%  
26 6% 14%  
27 5% 8%  
28 1.4% 3%  
29 0.9% 1.4%  
30 0.4% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.2% 99.9%  
16 0.8% 99.7%  
17 2% 99.0%  
18 6% 97%  
19 9% 90%  
20 18% 82%  
21 17% 64% Median
22 16% 47%  
23 12% 31%  
24 8% 19%  
25 5% 10%  
26 2% 5%  
27 1.2% 2%  
28 0.9% 1.2%  
29 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 4% 99.9%  
3 0.1% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 3% 96%  
8 15% 93%  
9 27% 78%  
10 18% 51% Last Result, Median
11 18% 33%  
12 11% 15%  
13 3% 4%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 21% 99.9%  
2 17% 79%  
3 0% 61%  
4 0% 61%  
5 0% 61%  
6 0% 61%  
7 12% 61% Last Result, Median
8 26% 49%  
9 16% 23%  
10 5% 8%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 28% 100% Last Result
2 5% 72%  
3 9% 67%  
4 8% 58%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 20% 51% Median
8 19% 31%  
9 9% 12%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.6% 0.8%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100%  
1 19% 98.9%  
2 41% 80% Median
3 7% 39%  
4 0% 32%  
5 0% 32%  
6 0% 32%  
7 16% 32%  
8 12% 16%  
9 3% 4% Last Result
10 0.8% 1.1%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 81% 88% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 102 100% 96–108 95–109 93–110 90–112
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 99 100% 92–105 90–106 89–107 86–111
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 93 98% 88–99 85–101 85–102 82–105
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 92 95% 87–98 84–100 84–101 81–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 88 80% 82–95 81–96 79–97 77–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 88 74% 81–94 80–95 78–96 76–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 82 24% 76–87 75–89 74–90 72–93
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 81 20% 74–87 73–88 72–90 70–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 76 2% 70–81 68–84 67–84 64–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 64 0% 58–71 57–72 56–74 54–75
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 62 0% 57–68 56–69 55–71 53–73
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 54 0% 49–60 48–61 47–62 43–65
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 36 0% 31–40 30–42 29–43 25–46

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.6%  
91 0.4% 99.5%  
92 0.6% 99.1%  
93 2% 98.5%  
94 1.0% 96%  
95 2% 95%  
96 4% 93%  
97 6% 88%  
98 5% 83%  
99 6% 77%  
100 6% 72%  
101 10% 66%  
102 7% 56%  
103 9% 49%  
104 11% 40%  
105 5% 29% Median
106 9% 24%  
107 4% 14%  
108 5% 10%  
109 3% 6%  
110 0.9% 3%  
111 0.5% 2%  
112 0.8% 1.2%  
113 0.2% 0.4%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Majority
86 0.6% 99.9%  
87 0.7% 99.2%  
88 1.0% 98.6%  
89 1.0% 98%  
90 2% 97%  
91 2% 95%  
92 3% 92%  
93 2% 89%  
94 5% 87%  
95 6% 82%  
96 5% 76% Median
97 9% 70%  
98 8% 61%  
99 12% 53%  
100 10% 41%  
101 6% 31%  
102 4% 25%  
103 7% 21%  
104 4% 14%  
105 2% 10%  
106 3% 8% Last Result
107 2% 5%  
108 0.7% 2%  
109 0.4% 2%  
110 0.5% 1.2%  
111 0.4% 0.7%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.4% 99.6%  
83 0.3% 99.2%  
84 1.2% 98.8%  
85 3% 98% Majority
86 2% 94%  
87 2% 92%  
88 4% 90%  
89 7% 87%  
90 4% 79%  
91 8% 75%  
92 11% 67%  
93 9% 57%  
94 8% 48%  
95 7% 40%  
96 6% 33% Median
97 8% 28%  
98 5% 19%  
99 6% 14%  
100 3% 8%  
101 3% 5%  
102 0.5% 3%  
103 0.7% 2%  
104 0.8% 1.3%  
105 0.2% 0.6%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 99.2%  
83 1.3% 98.9%  
84 3% 98%  
85 2% 95% Majority
86 2% 92%  
87 4% 91%  
88 7% 87%  
89 5% 79%  
90 8% 75%  
91 8% 67%  
92 11% 59%  
93 8% 48%  
94 6% 40%  
95 6% 34% Median
96 8% 27%  
97 6% 20%  
98 5% 14%  
99 3% 9%  
100 3% 5%  
101 0.8% 3%  
102 0.7% 2%  
103 0.8% 1.3%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 2% 99.4%  
79 0.5% 98%  
80 0.8% 97%  
81 2% 96%  
82 5% 94%  
83 4% 89%  
84 4% 85%  
85 9% 80% Majority
86 6% 71%  
87 6% 65%  
88 9% 59%  
89 7% 50% Median
90 8% 43%  
91 8% 34%  
92 7% 26%  
93 5% 19%  
94 3% 14%  
95 3% 10%  
96 4% 7%  
97 2% 3%  
98 1.0% 2%  
99 0.4% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.3% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.4%  
78 0.5% 98%  
79 0.8% 97%  
80 2% 96%  
81 5% 94%  
82 5% 90%  
83 4% 84%  
84 7% 80%  
85 8% 74% Majority
86 6% 65%  
87 9% 59%  
88 7% 50% Median
89 10% 43%  
90 7% 34%  
91 7% 26%  
92 6% 19%  
93 2% 13%  
94 4% 11%  
95 4% 7%  
96 2% 4%  
97 1.0% 2%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 1.1% 99.3%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 4% 94%  
77 4% 90%  
78 7% 86%  
79 7% 80%  
80 12% 72%  
81 7% 61% Median
82 10% 53%  
83 13% 43%  
84 6% 31%  
85 6% 24% Majority
86 5% 19%  
87 6% 14%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.1% 3%  
91 0.9% 2%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.5% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 1.0% 99.3%  
72 2% 98%  
73 4% 97%  
74 3% 93%  
75 3% 90%  
76 5% 86%  
77 7% 81%  
78 8% 74%  
79 8% 66%  
80 7% 57% Median
81 9% 50%  
82 6% 41%  
83 6% 35%  
84 9% 29%  
85 4% 20% Majority
86 4% 15%  
87 5% 11%  
88 2% 6%  
89 0.8% 4%  
90 0.5% 3%  
91 2% 2%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.8% 99.4%  
66 0.7% 98.7%  
67 0.5% 98%  
68 3% 97%  
69 3% 95%  
70 6% 92%  
71 5% 86%  
72 8% 81%  
73 6% 72% Median
74 7% 67%  
75 8% 60%  
76 9% 52%  
77 11% 43%  
78 8% 33%  
79 4% 25%  
80 7% 21%  
81 4% 13%  
82 2% 10%  
83 2% 8%  
84 3% 6%  
85 1.2% 2% Majority
86 0.3% 1.1%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.8%  
54 0.2% 99.5%  
55 0.4% 99.3%  
56 2% 98.8%  
57 3% 97%  
58 5% 95%  
59 4% 89%  
60 6% 85%  
61 6% 79%  
62 6% 73% Last Result
63 9% 67%  
64 10% 58%  
65 6% 49% Median
66 9% 42%  
67 9% 34%  
68 6% 25%  
69 5% 19%  
70 3% 14%  
71 3% 10%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 5%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.7% 1.1%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.4% 99.7%  
54 0.9% 99.2%  
55 3% 98%  
56 2% 96%  
57 5% 94%  
58 5% 89%  
59 6% 84%  
60 12% 78%  
61 9% 66% Median
62 9% 57%  
63 11% 49%  
64 12% 38%  
65 8% 26%  
66 4% 19%  
67 4% 15%  
68 4% 11%  
69 2% 7%  
70 2% 5%  
71 1.4% 3%  
72 0.8% 1.3%  
73 0.2% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1% Last Result
78 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.2% 99.7%  
44 0.3% 99.5%  
45 0.5% 99.2%  
46 0.9% 98.7%  
47 2% 98%  
48 5% 96%  
49 7% 91%  
50 7% 84%  
51 4% 77%  
52 9% 74% Median
53 9% 65%  
54 11% 56%  
55 7% 45%  
56 7% 38%  
57 9% 31%  
58 7% 22%  
59 4% 15%  
60 3% 11%  
61 4% 8%  
62 1.5% 4%  
63 1.1% 2%  
64 0.4% 1.1%  
65 0.3% 0.7%  
66 0.3% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.3% 99.8%  
26 0.6% 99.5%  
27 0.4% 98.9%  
28 1.0% 98.5%  
29 2% 98% Last Result
30 2% 95%  
31 4% 94%  
32 5% 89%  
33 5% 85%  
34 8% 80%  
35 11% 71% Median
36 11% 60%  
37 12% 49%  
38 10% 37%  
39 12% 27%  
40 5% 15%  
41 2% 10%  
42 4% 7%  
43 1.2% 3%  
44 0.6% 2%  
45 0.4% 1.4%  
46 0.5% 1.0%  
47 0.3% 0.5%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations