Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 12–16 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 32.2% 30.1–34.5% 29.5–35.2% 28.9–35.7% 27.9–36.8%
Høyre 26.8% 22.3% 20.4–24.3% 19.8–24.9% 19.4–25.4% 18.5–26.4%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 14.5% 12.9–16.3% 12.5–16.8% 12.1–17.2% 11.4–18.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 13.7% 12.1–15.4% 11.7–15.9% 11.4–16.4% 10.7–17.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.2–6.3% 2.9–6.9%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 3.6% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.2% 2.1–5.7%
Venstre 5.2% 2.7% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.8–4.2% 1.5–4.7%
Rødt 1.1% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8% 1.7–4.0% 1.4–4.5%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 2.0% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4% 1.0–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 60 55–65 55–66 53–67 51–69
Høyre 48 41 38–46 37–47 35–48 34–49
Senterpartiet 10 27 24–31 23–32 22–32 21–34
Fremskrittspartiet 29 25 23–28 22–29 21–30 20–32
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–10 2–11 2–11 1–12
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 2 1–8 1–9 1–9 0–10
Venstre 9 1 0–3 0–3 0–7 0–8
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–8
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–4

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.6%  
52 1.3% 99.4%  
53 1.5% 98%  
54 1.3% 97%  
55 8% 95% Last Result
56 7% 88%  
57 6% 81%  
58 10% 75%  
59 12% 65%  
60 10% 53% Median
61 14% 43%  
62 6% 29%  
63 5% 23%  
64 4% 17%  
65 6% 13%  
66 3% 7%  
67 3% 4%  
68 0.8% 2%  
69 0.6% 0.8%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.4% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.3%  
36 2% 97%  
37 4% 96%  
38 11% 92%  
39 8% 81%  
40 11% 74%  
41 16% 63% Median
42 8% 48%  
43 13% 39%  
44 11% 27%  
45 5% 15%  
46 4% 11%  
47 3% 7%  
48 3% 4% Last Result
49 1.2% 2%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 0.8% 99.8%  
22 2% 99.0%  
23 5% 97%  
24 7% 93%  
25 9% 86%  
26 16% 77%  
27 17% 61% Median
28 16% 44%  
29 12% 28%  
30 6% 17%  
31 5% 10%  
32 3% 5%  
33 1.2% 2%  
34 0.4% 0.6%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.9%  
20 0.8% 99.7%  
21 3% 98.9%  
22 3% 96%  
23 9% 93%  
24 14% 84%  
25 20% 69% Median
26 15% 49%  
27 14% 34%  
28 10% 20%  
29 6% 10% Last Result
30 3% 4%  
31 1.0% 2%  
32 0.3% 0.6%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 23% 99.5%  
3 0.5% 76%  
4 0% 76%  
5 0% 76%  
6 0% 76%  
7 2% 76%  
8 26% 73% Median
9 25% 47%  
10 12% 22% Last Result
11 7% 10%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100%  
1 33% 99.2%  
2 39% 66% Median
3 0% 27%  
4 0% 27%  
5 0% 27%  
6 0% 27%  
7 2% 27% Last Result
8 18% 25%  
9 6% 7%  
10 1.2% 1.5%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 46% 86% Median
2 28% 40%  
3 10% 13%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0.4% 3%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 36% 100%  
2 62% 64% Median
3 0.2% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0.3% 2%  
8 1.1% 1.4%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100%  
1 71% 73% Last Result, Median
2 0.9% 3%  
3 1.1% 2%  
4 0.4% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0.1% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 103 100% 98–108 96–110 95–110 93–112
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 99 100% 94–104 92–105 90–106 88–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 95 99.1% 89–99 88–101 87–101 84–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 93 98% 88–98 86–99 85–100 83–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 92 97% 87–98 86–99 84–100 82–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 91 96% 86–96 85–97 83–99 81–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 90 92% 85–96 84–97 83–98 81–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 87 72% 82–93 80–93 79–95 77–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 77 3% 71–82 70–83 69–85 67–87
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 76 2% 71–81 70–83 69–84 66–86
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 67 0% 62–72 61–73 60–74 58–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 63 0% 58–69 57–70 56–71 54–73
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 51 0% 45–55 45–57 43–58 40–60
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 37 0% 31–40 29–42 29–43 26–45

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.3% 99.8%  
93 1.0% 99.6%  
94 0.5% 98.5%  
95 1.5% 98%  
96 2% 97%  
97 1.3% 94%  
98 7% 93%  
99 4% 87%  
100 7% 82%  
101 7% 75%  
102 7% 68% Median
103 12% 61%  
104 10% 49%  
105 10% 39%  
106 8% 29% Last Result
107 7% 21%  
108 5% 14%  
109 3% 9%  
110 4% 5%  
111 0.7% 2%  
112 0.4% 0.8%  
113 0.3% 0.4%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.5% 99.5%  
90 2% 99.0%  
91 2% 97%  
92 2% 96%  
93 2% 94%  
94 4% 92%  
95 6% 88%  
96 11% 82%  
97 7% 71%  
98 14% 64% Median
99 12% 50%  
100 10% 38%  
101 7% 28%  
102 5% 21%  
103 4% 16%  
104 7% 12%  
105 2% 5%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.9% 2%  
108 0.2% 0.6%  
109 0.2% 0.4%  
110 0.2% 0.2%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.5% 99.6%  
85 0.6% 99.1% Majority
86 0.8% 98%  
87 3% 98%  
88 3% 95%  
89 5% 93%  
90 4% 88%  
91 4% 84%  
92 5% 79%  
93 10% 74%  
94 11% 63%  
95 12% 53% Median
96 13% 40%  
97 8% 28%  
98 7% 20%  
99 3% 13%  
100 4% 9%  
101 3% 5%  
102 0.7% 2%  
103 0.9% 1.4%  
104 0.3% 0.5%  
105 0.2% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.7%  
84 1.3% 99.4%  
85 0.9% 98% Majority
86 2% 97%  
87 4% 95%  
88 6% 91%  
89 3% 85%  
90 11% 82%  
91 11% 71%  
92 7% 60% Median
93 8% 53%  
94 10% 45%  
95 5% 35%  
96 5% 30%  
97 11% 25%  
98 7% 14%  
99 3% 7%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.0% 2%  
102 0.6% 1.4%  
103 0.5% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.8%  
83 1.3% 99.5%  
84 0.9% 98%  
85 2% 97% Majority
86 4% 95%  
87 5% 91%  
88 4% 86%  
89 8% 82%  
90 10% 73%  
91 9% 63% Median
92 8% 54%  
93 7% 46%  
94 8% 39%  
95 5% 31%  
96 10% 26%  
97 5% 16%  
98 6% 11%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.2% 3%  
101 0.6% 1.5%  
102 0.4% 0.9%  
103 0.3% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.7%  
82 0.9% 99.5%  
83 1.4% 98.6%  
84 1.3% 97%  
85 4% 96% Majority
86 5% 92%  
87 5% 87%  
88 8% 82%  
89 13% 74%  
90 8% 62% Median
91 6% 53%  
92 11% 47%  
93 4% 36%  
94 6% 32%  
95 5% 26%  
96 12% 21%  
97 5% 9%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.8% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.6% 1.0%  
102 0.2% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.7%  
81 1.0% 99.6%  
82 1.1% 98.6%  
83 0.9% 98%  
84 4% 97%  
85 5% 92% Majority
86 4% 87%  
87 8% 83%  
88 10% 75%  
89 11% 66% Median
90 6% 55%  
91 8% 48%  
92 7% 40%  
93 7% 33%  
94 5% 26%  
95 8% 21%  
96 8% 13%  
97 3% 5%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 0.7% 2%  
100 0.5% 1.0%  
101 0.3% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.5%  
78 1.2% 99.2%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 3% 97%  
81 2% 94%  
82 7% 92%  
83 5% 85%  
84 8% 80%  
85 6% 72% Majority
86 10% 67%  
87 13% 56% Median
88 9% 43%  
89 7% 34%  
90 4% 27%  
91 4% 23%  
92 5% 19%  
93 9% 13%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.1% 3%  
96 0.6% 1.4%  
97 0.4% 0.7%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.5%  
68 0.6% 99.1%  
69 1.2% 98.5%  
70 2% 97%  
71 6% 95%  
72 5% 89%  
73 10% 84%  
74 5% 74%  
75 8% 69%  
76 7% 61% Median
77 8% 54%  
78 9% 46%  
79 10% 37%  
80 8% 27%  
81 4% 18%  
82 5% 14%  
83 4% 9%  
84 2% 5%  
85 0.9% 3% Majority
86 1.3% 2%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.7%  
67 0.7% 99.2%  
68 1.0% 98.6%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 7% 93%  
72 11% 86%  
73 5% 75%  
74 5% 70%  
75 10% 65% Median
76 8% 55%  
77 7% 47%  
78 11% 40%  
79 11% 29%  
80 3% 18%  
81 6% 15%  
82 4% 9%  
83 2% 5%  
84 0.9% 3%  
85 1.3% 2% Majority
86 0.4% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.8% 99.6%  
59 0.7% 98.8%  
60 2% 98%  
61 2% 96%  
62 8% 95%  
63 4% 87%  
64 7% 84%  
65 6% 76%  
66 10% 71% Median
67 11% 60%  
68 15% 49%  
69 13% 34%  
70 4% 21%  
71 7% 17%  
72 2% 10%  
73 4% 9%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.8% 2%  
76 1.1% 1.5%  
77 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.4% 99.7%  
55 0.7% 99.3%  
56 2% 98.6%  
57 4% 96%  
58 4% 92%  
59 7% 88%  
60 6% 82%  
61 10% 76%  
62 11% 66% Last Result, Median
63 11% 55%  
64 10% 44%  
65 6% 35%  
66 6% 29%  
67 7% 23%  
68 4% 15%  
69 6% 11%  
70 1.0% 5%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 1.1% 2%  
74 0.3% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.4%  
42 0.7% 98.9%  
43 1.4% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 5% 95%  
46 6% 90%  
47 11% 84%  
48 7% 73%  
49 10% 66%  
50 4% 57% Median
51 9% 52%  
52 13% 43%  
53 6% 31%  
54 12% 25%  
55 6% 14%  
56 2% 7%  
57 3% 6%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.4% 1.3%  
60 0.7% 1.0%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.6% 99.8%  
27 0.5% 99.1%  
28 0.5% 98.6%  
29 4% 98% Last Result
30 3% 94%  
31 7% 91%  
32 3% 84%  
33 4% 80%  
34 6% 77%  
35 10% 70%  
36 7% 60% Median
37 17% 54%  
38 9% 36%  
39 11% 27%  
40 6% 16%  
41 4% 10%  
42 2% 6%  
43 2% 4%  
44 0.9% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.7%  
46 0.1% 0.5%  
47 0.3% 0.3%  
48 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations