Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI for Dagbladet, 19–21 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 31.7% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.2% 28.9–34.7% 28.1–35.6%
Høyre 26.8% 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.8% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.1% 10.3–15.8%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 12.2% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.3–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Venstre 5.2% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
Rødt 1.1% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 58 55–63 54–65 52–65 51–67
Høyre 48 42 39–46 37–46 36–47 36–50
Fremskrittspartiet 29 24 21–26 20–28 19–28 18–30
Senterpartiet 10 23 20–25 19–26 18–27 18–28
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 9 2–10 2–11 2–11 1–12
Venstre 9 7 2–8 1–9 1–9 1–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 2 2–8 1–9 1–9 1–10
Rødt 0 2 1–7 1–8 1–8 1–9
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–3 1–7 1–8 1–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.7%  
52 2% 99.1%  
53 2% 97%  
54 5% 95%  
55 7% 90% Last Result
56 7% 83%  
57 17% 77%  
58 13% 60% Median
59 6% 47%  
60 14% 41%  
61 12% 26%  
62 3% 14%  
63 2% 11%  
64 3% 9%  
65 4% 6%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.3% 0.6%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 3% 99.5%  
37 2% 97%  
38 3% 94%  
39 12% 91%  
40 9% 79%  
41 12% 70%  
42 9% 58% Median
43 10% 48%  
44 18% 38%  
45 10% 21%  
46 7% 11%  
47 2% 4%  
48 1.0% 2% Last Result
49 0.6% 1.2%  
50 0.4% 0.6%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 0.4% 99.8%  
19 2% 99.4%  
20 5% 97%  
21 7% 92%  
22 22% 85%  
23 11% 62%  
24 21% 52% Median
25 12% 30%  
26 9% 19%  
27 5% 10%  
28 4% 5%  
29 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
30 0.5% 0.6%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 4% 99.6%  
19 4% 96%  
20 14% 92%  
21 10% 78%  
22 16% 68%  
23 18% 52% Median
24 24% 34%  
25 5% 10%  
26 2% 5%  
27 1.5% 3%  
28 1.1% 1.3%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 8% 98%  
3 0% 89%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0% 89%  
6 0% 89%  
7 5% 89% Last Result
8 25% 84%  
9 37% 59% Median
10 15% 23%  
11 5% 7%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 5% 99.9%  
2 38% 94%  
3 6% 56%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 8% 50% Median
8 32% 42%  
9 7% 9% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.5% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 7% 99.9%  
2 47% 93% Median
3 0.2% 46%  
4 0% 46%  
5 0% 46%  
6 0% 46%  
7 12% 46%  
8 25% 34%  
9 6% 8%  
10 2% 2% Last Result
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 11% 100%  
2 78% 89% Median
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0.1% 11%  
7 5% 11%  
8 5% 6%  
9 1.1% 1.2%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 71% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 12% 29%  
3 7% 17%  
4 0.1% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 5% 10%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.6% 0.6%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 106 98 99.9% 92–103 90–105 90–107 87–107
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 96 99.7% 90–101 89–102 88–104 86–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 94 98% 88–99 86–100 85–101 84–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 92 95% 86–97 84–98 83–99 81–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 91 93% 86–96 84–97 82–98 80–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 90 88% 84–94 82–95 81–96 78–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 81 14% 77–85 74–87 74–88 72–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 77 5% 72–83 71–85 70–86 67–88
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 75 2% 70–81 69–83 68–84 65–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 66 0% 62–71 60–73 59–74 56–75
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 66 0% 61–70 59–71 58–72 56–75
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 67 52 0% 47–57 45–58 44–60 42–62
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 29 32 0% 27–37 26–38 24–39 23–42

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Majority
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.5% 99.7%  
88 0.5% 99.1%  
89 0.6% 98.6%  
90 3% 98%  
91 2% 95%  
92 3% 92%  
93 4% 89%  
94 5% 85%  
95 10% 80%  
96 6% 71%  
97 13% 64%  
98 6% 51% Median
99 9% 46%  
100 14% 37%  
101 8% 23%  
102 3% 15%  
103 3% 12%  
104 2% 9%  
105 2% 7%  
106 2% 4% Last Result
107 2% 3%  
108 0.2% 0.5%  
109 0.2% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100% Last Result
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.7% Majority
86 0.4% 99.6%  
87 1.1% 99.1%  
88 1.5% 98%  
89 2% 97%  
90 7% 94%  
91 6% 87%  
92 6% 82%  
93 2% 76% Median
94 9% 73%  
95 12% 65%  
96 11% 53%  
97 7% 43%  
98 8% 35%  
99 14% 28%  
100 2% 14%  
101 5% 12%  
102 2% 7%  
103 1.0% 4%  
104 1.0% 3%  
105 0.4% 2%  
106 2% 2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 2% 99.6%  
85 2% 98% Majority
86 2% 96%  
87 1.2% 94%  
88 3% 93%  
89 8% 90%  
90 3% 82%  
91 11% 79%  
92 7% 68%  
93 10% 61% Median
94 8% 52%  
95 7% 44%  
96 15% 37%  
97 5% 22%  
98 4% 18%  
99 7% 14%  
100 3% 6%  
101 1.2% 4%  
102 1.0% 2%  
103 0.8% 1.3%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.2% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.5%  
83 2% 99.1%  
84 2% 97%  
85 3% 95% Majority
86 2% 92%  
87 4% 90%  
88 10% 86%  
89 6% 77%  
90 9% 71%  
91 7% 62%  
92 14% 55% Median
93 7% 42%  
94 5% 34%  
95 14% 30%  
96 4% 16%  
97 5% 12%  
98 4% 8%  
99 1.3% 3%  
100 0.9% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.0%  
102 0.4% 0.6%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.7%  
81 0.3% 99.4%  
82 2% 99.0%  
83 2% 97%  
84 2% 95%  
85 2% 93% Majority
86 3% 91%  
87 8% 88%  
88 4% 80%  
89 12% 76%  
90 7% 64%  
91 11% 57% Median
92 6% 45%  
93 9% 39%  
94 12% 30%  
95 4% 18%  
96 5% 15%  
97 5% 10%  
98 3% 5%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.2% 0.8%  
102 0.4% 0.6%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.2% 0.2%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.7%  
79 0.4% 99.4%  
80 0.6% 99.0%  
81 2% 98%  
82 2% 96%  
83 3% 94%  
84 3% 91%  
85 4% 88% Majority
86 9% 83%  
87 6% 74%  
88 11% 68%  
89 7% 58%  
90 15% 51% Median
91 6% 35%  
92 6% 29%  
93 11% 23%  
94 3% 12%  
95 5% 9%  
96 2% 4%  
97 1.0% 2%  
98 0.5% 0.9%  
99 0.1% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.3% 0.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 1.3% 99.4%  
74 3% 98%  
75 2% 95%  
76 3% 93%  
77 8% 90%  
78 8% 82%  
79 10% 75%  
80 8% 65%  
81 13% 57% Median
82 11% 43%  
83 7% 33%  
84 12% 26%  
85 5% 14% Majority
86 2% 9%  
87 3% 7%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.3% 1.1%  
91 0.1% 0.8%  
92 0.4% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.4%  
69 0.9% 99.0%  
70 1.3% 98%  
71 4% 97%  
72 5% 92%  
73 4% 88%  
74 14% 84%  
75 5% 70%  
76 7% 66% Median
77 14% 58%  
78 7% 45%  
79 9% 38%  
80 6% 29%  
81 10% 23%  
82 4% 14%  
83 2% 10%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5% Majority
86 2% 3%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.6%  
66 0.8% 99.5%  
67 1.0% 98.7%  
68 1.2% 98%  
69 3% 96%  
70 7% 94%  
71 4% 86%  
72 5% 82%  
73 15% 78%  
74 7% 63%  
75 8% 56% Median
76 10% 48%  
77 7% 39%  
78 11% 32%  
79 3% 21%  
80 8% 18%  
81 3% 10%  
82 1.2% 7%  
83 2% 6%  
84 2% 4%  
85 2% 2% Majority
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.4%  
58 0.4% 99.0%  
59 3% 98.6%  
60 3% 96%  
61 2% 93%  
62 4% 91% Last Result
63 3% 86%  
64 5% 83%  
65 8% 78%  
66 20% 69%  
67 7% 50% Median
68 7% 42%  
69 13% 35%  
70 7% 22%  
71 6% 15%  
72 2% 9%  
73 4% 7%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.9% 1.1%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.7%  
57 0.6% 99.4%  
58 3% 98.8%  
59 3% 96%  
60 2% 93%  
61 5% 92%  
62 4% 86%  
63 6% 82%  
64 14% 76%  
65 9% 62%  
66 12% 53% Median
67 8% 41%  
68 9% 33%  
69 11% 24%  
70 4% 13%  
71 5% 9%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.5% 2%  
74 1.0% 2%  
75 0.6% 1.0%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 0.9% 99.4%  
44 1.4% 98%  
45 3% 97%  
46 1.5% 94%  
47 6% 93%  
48 5% 87%  
49 14% 82%  
50 8% 68%  
51 8% 60% Median
52 7% 52%  
53 5% 45%  
54 14% 41%  
55 9% 27%  
56 7% 17%  
57 3% 10%  
58 3% 7%  
59 1.3% 4%  
60 0.6% 3%  
61 2% 2%  
62 0.3% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.7%  
24 2% 99.2%  
25 1.3% 97%  
26 4% 96%  
27 3% 92%  
28 13% 89%  
29 6% 76% Last Result
30 5% 71%  
31 10% 66%  
32 7% 56% Median
33 11% 49%  
34 12% 38%  
35 2% 26%  
36 9% 23%  
37 5% 14%  
38 5% 9%  
39 2% 4%  
40 1.2% 2%  
41 0.6% 1.2%  
42 0.4% 0.6%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations