Opinion Poll by Sentio for Dagens Næringsliv, 20–26 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 30.2% 28.1–32.5% 27.5–33.2% 27.0–33.7% 26.0–34.8%
Høyre 26.8% 24.2% 22.2–26.3% 21.7–26.9% 21.2–27.5% 20.3–28.5%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 11.5% 10.1–13.2% 9.7–13.7% 9.4–14.1% 8.7–14.9%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.3% 9.9–12.9% 9.5–13.4% 9.1–13.8% 8.5–14.6%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.4–6.6% 3.1–7.2%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.4% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.8% 3.1–6.1% 2.7–6.7%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.6% 2.4–6.2%
Venstre 5.2% 3.7% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.9%
Rødt 1.1% 3.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.2–4.8% 1.9–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 57 51–62 50–63 50–64 48–67
Høyre 48 44 39–49 38–50 37–51 36–54
Fremskrittspartiet 29 21 18–24 17–26 16–27 15–28
Senterpartiet 10 20 17–24 17–25 16–25 14–27
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 2–11 2–11 2–12 1–13
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 8 1–10 1–11 1–11 1–12
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 4 1–9 1–9 1–10 1–11
Venstre 9 2 1–8 1–9 1–9 0–10
Rødt 0 2 1–7 1–8 1–8 1–10

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.9%  
48 0.6% 99.6%  
49 1.2% 99.0%  
50 3% 98%  
51 5% 94%  
52 5% 89%  
53 7% 84%  
54 10% 78%  
55 7% 68% Last Result
56 9% 61%  
57 9% 52% Median
58 9% 44%  
59 9% 35%  
60 9% 26%  
61 7% 17%  
62 5% 10%  
63 2% 5%  
64 1.2% 3%  
65 0.9% 2%  
66 0.8% 1.3%  
67 0.3% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 1.0% 99.7%  
37 2% 98.7%  
38 3% 97%  
39 5% 94%  
40 7% 89%  
41 8% 82%  
42 9% 74%  
43 13% 65%  
44 8% 52% Median
45 12% 44%  
46 9% 32%  
47 9% 24%  
48 4% 14% Last Result
49 4% 10%  
50 3% 7%  
51 1.4% 4%  
52 1.3% 2%  
53 0.5% 1.1%  
54 0.2% 0.5%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.8% 99.7%  
16 2% 99.0%  
17 4% 97%  
18 8% 93%  
19 13% 84%  
20 15% 71%  
21 13% 55% Median
22 15% 43%  
23 12% 28%  
24 6% 16%  
25 5% 10%  
26 2% 5%  
27 1.4% 3%  
28 1.1% 1.4%  
29 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.9%  
15 0.9% 99.4%  
16 3% 98%  
17 6% 96%  
18 9% 90%  
19 15% 81%  
20 19% 66% Median
21 14% 47%  
22 11% 34%  
23 10% 23%  
24 7% 13%  
25 3% 6%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.8%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.7% 100%  
2 12% 99.3%  
3 0.2% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0.2% 87%  
7 8% 87%  
8 25% 79%  
9 23% 54% Median
10 19% 31% Last Result
11 7% 12%  
12 3% 4%  
13 1.0% 1.4%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 11% 99.9%  
2 18% 89%  
3 0% 71%  
4 0% 71%  
5 0% 71%  
6 0.4% 71%  
7 9% 71% Last Result
8 29% 62% Median
9 19% 33%  
10 9% 14%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.9% 1.2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 20% 100% Last Result
2 10% 80%  
3 18% 70%  
4 3% 52% Median
5 0% 49%  
6 0.3% 49%  
7 11% 49%  
8 22% 38%  
9 11% 15%  
10 4% 5%  
11 1.0% 1.3%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100%  
1 18% 98.9%  
2 40% 81% Median
3 8% 41%  
4 0% 33%  
5 0% 33%  
6 0.5% 33%  
7 10% 32%  
8 14% 22%  
9 6% 8% Last Result
10 1.5% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 14% 100%  
2 71% 86% Median
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0.8% 15%  
7 5% 14%  
8 7% 9%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 97 99.2% 91–104 89–106 87–108 83–111
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 97 99.2% 91–103 89–105 87–106 84–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 92 92% 85–98 83–100 82–101 78–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 89 82% 82–95 81–97 79–98 76–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 87 67% 80–93 78–94 77–96 74–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 86 60% 79–91 78–93 76–94 73–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 84 49% 78–90 76–91 74–92 72–95
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 82 32% 76–89 74–91 72–92 70–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 77 7% 70–84 69–86 67–87 64–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 77 4% 71–83 70–84 69–85 66–88
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 65 0% 59–71 57–72 56–74 54–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 63 0% 57–69 56–71 54–72 52–74
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 56 0% 50–62 49–64 47–65 45–68
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 32 0% 27–38 25–40 24–41 22–43

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.4%  
85 0.4% 99.2% Majority
86 0.6% 98.8%  
87 0.9% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 3% 95%  
90 2% 93%  
91 5% 90%  
92 3% 86%  
93 5% 82%  
94 5% 77%  
95 6% 72%  
96 8% 66% Median
97 9% 58%  
98 6% 49%  
99 8% 43%  
100 5% 35%  
101 5% 30%  
102 5% 25%  
103 7% 20%  
104 4% 13%  
105 2% 9%  
106 2% 7% Last Result
107 1.4% 5%  
108 1.1% 3%  
109 0.8% 2%  
110 0.5% 1.1%  
111 0.3% 0.6%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 0.4% 99.2% Majority
86 1.0% 98.8%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 1.4% 97%  
89 2% 95%  
90 2% 93%  
91 4% 91%  
92 3% 87%  
93 6% 84%  
94 6% 78%  
95 9% 72%  
96 6% 64%  
97 8% 57%  
98 11% 49% Median
99 7% 38%  
100 7% 32%  
101 6% 25%  
102 5% 19%  
103 5% 14%  
104 4% 10%  
105 2% 5%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.7% 1.4%  
108 0.4% 0.7%  
109 0.2% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.5% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 99.4%  
80 0.5% 99.0%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 1.0% 98%  
83 2% 97%  
84 2% 94%  
85 3% 92% Majority
86 4% 89%  
87 6% 85%  
88 4% 79%  
89 7% 75%  
90 6% 68%  
91 7% 61% Median
92 9% 54%  
93 8% 45%  
94 8% 37%  
95 6% 28%  
96 6% 22%  
97 5% 16%  
98 3% 11%  
99 3% 8%  
100 2% 5%  
101 1.5% 3%  
102 0.8% 2%  
103 0.5% 1.2%  
104 0.2% 0.7%  
105 0.2% 0.5%  
106 0.2% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.7% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.0%  
78 0.7% 98%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 1.3% 97%  
81 3% 96%  
82 2% 92%  
83 3% 90%  
84 5% 87%  
85 7% 82% Majority
86 5% 75%  
87 8% 70%  
88 7% 62%  
89 7% 55% Median
90 10% 48%  
91 7% 38%  
92 8% 32%  
93 6% 24%  
94 5% 18%  
95 4% 12%  
96 3% 8%  
97 2% 6%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 1.3% 2%  
100 0.4% 0.9%  
101 0.3% 0.5%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.4%  
76 0.8% 99.0%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 2% 94%  
80 5% 92%  
81 5% 88%  
82 4% 82%  
83 5% 78%  
84 6% 73%  
85 7% 67% Majority
86 6% 60%  
87 8% 54% Median
88 8% 46%  
89 10% 38%  
90 7% 28%  
91 5% 21%  
92 5% 16%  
93 4% 11%  
94 2% 7%  
95 2% 5%  
96 0.9% 3%  
97 0.8% 2%  
98 0.9% 1.3%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.5% 99.4%  
75 0.6% 98.8% Last Result
76 1.3% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 3% 95%  
79 4% 92%  
80 3% 88%  
81 4% 85%  
82 5% 81%  
83 7% 75%  
84 8% 68%  
85 10% 60% Majority
86 6% 50% Median
87 11% 44%  
88 9% 33%  
89 6% 24%  
90 6% 19%  
91 4% 13%  
92 3% 9%  
93 3% 6%  
94 1.1% 3%  
95 1.0% 2%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
73 1.0% 99.1%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 95%  
77 2% 93%  
78 5% 90%  
79 6% 86%  
80 5% 80%  
81 5% 75%  
82 7% 69%  
83 7% 63%  
84 7% 56%  
85 8% 49% Median, Majority
86 8% 40%  
87 10% 32%  
88 6% 22%  
89 5% 16%  
90 4% 11%  
91 3% 7%  
92 2% 4%  
93 0.8% 2%  
94 1.0% 2%  
95 0.2% 0.6%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.5%  
71 1.4% 99.2%  
72 1.1% 98%  
73 1.1% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 94%  
76 4% 91%  
77 5% 87%  
78 5% 82%  
79 7% 77%  
80 10% 70% Median
81 8% 60%  
82 8% 52%  
83 6% 44%  
84 7% 38%  
85 6% 32% Majority
86 5% 25%  
87 4% 20%  
88 5% 16%  
89 5% 11%  
90 2% 7%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.6% 1.4%  
94 0.3% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1% Last Result
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.6%  
65 0.4% 99.3%  
66 0.7% 98.9%  
67 0.9% 98%  
68 2% 97%  
69 2% 96%  
70 4% 94%  
71 3% 90%  
72 5% 87%  
73 6% 82%  
74 6% 75%  
75 8% 69%  
76 8% 61% Median
77 9% 53%  
78 6% 44%  
79 6% 37%  
80 7% 31%  
81 4% 24%  
82 6% 20%  
83 4% 14%  
84 3% 10%  
85 2% 7% Majority
86 2% 5%  
87 0.9% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.3% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.9%  
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.5%  
68 1.0% 99.2%  
69 1.3% 98%  
70 4% 97%  
71 4% 93%  
72 4% 89%  
73 4% 85%  
74 8% 81%  
75 6% 73%  
76 8% 67%  
77 9% 59% Median
78 8% 49%  
79 13% 41%  
80 6% 29%  
81 6% 22%  
82 5% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 3% 7%  
85 2% 4% Majority
86 1.1% 2%  
87 0.5% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.7% 99.7%  
55 1.0% 99.0%  
56 2% 98%  
57 3% 96%  
58 3% 94%  
59 3% 91%  
60 4% 88%  
61 8% 84%  
62 6% 76%  
63 9% 71%  
64 7% 62%  
65 10% 55% Median
66 7% 45%  
67 9% 38%  
68 6% 29%  
69 5% 23%  
70 6% 17%  
71 3% 11%  
72 4% 8%  
73 2% 5%  
74 1.2% 3%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.4% 0.9%  
77 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 1.4% 99.7%  
53 0.8% 98%  
54 1.1% 98%  
55 1.2% 96%  
56 4% 95%  
57 4% 92%  
58 5% 87%  
59 5% 83%  
60 6% 78%  
61 7% 72%  
62 9% 65% Last Result
63 7% 56%  
64 6% 48%  
65 7% 42% Median
66 7% 36%  
67 8% 29%  
68 6% 21%  
69 6% 15%  
70 4% 10%  
71 3% 6%  
72 1.0% 3%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0.6% 1.0%  
75 0.3% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.6% 99.5%  
46 0.8% 98.9%  
47 1.2% 98%  
48 2% 97%  
49 2% 95%  
50 3% 93%  
51 6% 90%  
52 5% 84%  
53 7% 79%  
54 10% 72%  
55 10% 62% Median
56 7% 52%  
57 12% 45%  
58 7% 33%  
59 7% 27%  
60 5% 20%  
61 4% 15%  
62 3% 11%  
63 2% 8%  
64 2% 6%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.8% 2%  
67 0.3% 1.3% Last Result
68 0.5% 0.9%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.2% 99.8%  
22 0.4% 99.6%  
23 0.9% 99.2%  
24 2% 98%  
25 2% 97%  
26 2% 95%  
27 3% 92%  
28 4% 90%  
29 7% 86% Last Result
30 12% 79%  
31 8% 67% Median
32 9% 59%  
33 12% 50%  
34 6% 38%  
35 6% 32%  
36 7% 26%  
37 5% 19%  
38 5% 13%  
39 4% 9%  
40 2% 5%  
41 1.4% 3%  
42 1.3% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.8%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations