Opinion Poll by InFact for VG, 1–2 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 30.0% 28.7–31.4% 28.3–31.7% 28.0–32.1% 27.4–32.7%
Høyre 26.8% 22.7% 21.6–24.0% 21.2–24.3% 20.9–24.6% 20.4–25.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.6% 11.7–13.6% 11.4–13.9% 11.2–14.1% 10.8–14.6%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.9% 11.0–12.9% 10.8–13.2% 10.6–13.4% 10.2–13.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.6%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.4% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8%
Venstre 5.2% 3.2% 2.8–3.8% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4%
Rødt 1.1% 3.2% 2.8–3.8% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 56 52–58 52–59 52–60 50–62
Høyre 48 42 39–44 39–45 38–46 37–47
Fremskrittspartiet 29 23 22–25 21–26 20–27 19–27
Senterpartiet 10 22 20–23 19–24 19–24 18–26
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 2–12
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 3 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Venstre 9 2 1–2 1–3 1–7 0–8
Rødt 0 2 2 1–2 1–7 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.9%  
51 2% 99.3%  
52 9% 98%  
53 11% 88%  
54 12% 78%  
55 8% 65% Last Result
56 24% 58% Median
57 12% 33%  
58 15% 21%  
59 3% 6%  
60 1.2% 3%  
61 0.9% 2%  
62 0.8% 1.0%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 1.5% 99.8%  
38 3% 98%  
39 10% 95%  
40 11% 86%  
41 22% 75%  
42 12% 52% Median
43 25% 41%  
44 7% 15%  
45 5% 9%  
46 2% 4%  
47 2% 2%  
48 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
49 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.5% 100%  
20 2% 99.5%  
21 6% 97%  
22 16% 91%  
23 41% 75% Median
24 21% 34%  
25 5% 13%  
26 5% 8%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.4% 0.5%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.4% 99.9%  
19 6% 99.5%  
20 25% 94%  
21 10% 69%  
22 29% 59% Median
23 23% 30%  
24 4% 7%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.5% 0.7%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0.2% 99.8%  
8 6% 99.6%  
9 35% 93%  
10 39% 58% Last Result, Median
11 17% 19%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.5% 100%  
3 0% 99.5%  
4 0% 99.5%  
5 0% 99.5%  
6 0% 99.5%  
7 0.3% 99.5% Last Result
8 12% 99.1%  
9 28% 87%  
10 43% 59% Median
11 13% 16%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 23% 100% Last Result
2 7% 77%  
3 45% 69% Median
4 2% 25%  
5 0% 23%  
6 0% 23%  
7 6% 23%  
8 16% 17%  
9 0.8% 0.8%  
10 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 33% 98%  
2 57% 66% Median
3 5% 8%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 2% 3%  
8 1.0% 1.0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 90% 94% Median
3 0% 4%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 2% 4%  
8 1.4% 1.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 100 100% 97–103 96–103 95–104 94–107
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 98 100% 95–102 94–103 93–104 89–105
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 92 100% 89–95 88–96 87–97 86–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 90 99.2% 87–93 86–94 85–95 84–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 89 98.5% 86–92 85–93 85–94 83–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 87 80% 84–90 83–91 82–92 81–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 87 84% 84–90 83–91 83–91 81–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 80 1.5% 77–83 76–84 75–84 73–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 77 0.7% 74–80 74–81 73–82 72–85
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 77 0% 74–80 73–81 72–82 68–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 65 0% 62–68 61–69 61–70 60–72
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 65 0% 62–68 62–70 60–70 58–71
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 54 0% 50–57 50–58 49–58 47–60
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 33 0% 31–36 31–36 30–37 29–40

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.2% 99.9%  
94 1.0% 99.6%  
95 3% 98.7%  
96 4% 95%  
97 6% 91%  
98 7% 86%  
99 23% 78%  
100 10% 55%  
101 12% 45% Median
102 21% 33%  
103 8% 12%  
104 2% 4%  
105 0.7% 2%  
106 0.6% 2%  
107 0.5% 1.0%  
108 0.3% 0.4%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.4% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.5%  
91 0.2% 99.2%  
92 0.7% 99.0%  
93 1.3% 98%  
94 3% 97%  
95 7% 94%  
96 13% 88%  
97 19% 74%  
98 20% 55%  
99 7% 35% Median
100 6% 28%  
101 8% 21%  
102 4% 13%  
103 6% 9%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0.8% 1.1%  
106 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0.2% 100% Majority
86 0.5% 99.7%  
87 2% 99.3%  
88 4% 97%  
89 7% 93%  
90 4% 86%  
91 21% 82%  
92 12% 61%  
93 10% 50% Median
94 18% 40%  
95 12% 21%  
96 6% 10%  
97 1.1% 3%  
98 1.0% 2%  
99 0.5% 1.4%  
100 0.2% 0.9%  
101 0.6% 0.8%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.9%  
84 0.5% 99.7%  
85 2% 99.2% Majority
86 4% 97%  
87 7% 93%  
88 6% 86%  
89 22% 80%  
90 11% 59%  
91 11% 47% Median
92 16% 36%  
93 12% 20%  
94 4% 8%  
95 0.7% 3%  
96 1.1% 2%  
97 0.5% 1.3%  
98 0.2% 0.9%  
99 0.6% 0.7%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.7%  
84 0.9% 99.4%  
85 6% 98.5% Majority
86 8% 92%  
87 12% 85%  
88 20% 72%  
89 14% 52%  
90 13% 38% Median
91 12% 25%  
92 5% 13%  
93 5% 8%  
94 1.5% 3%  
95 1.1% 2%  
96 0.4% 0.9%  
97 0.5% 0.5%  
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 1.0% 99.6%  
82 1.4% 98.7%  
83 4% 97%  
84 13% 93%  
85 7% 80% Majority
86 20% 73%  
87 15% 53%  
88 10% 38% Median
89 16% 28%  
90 4% 11%  
91 5% 7%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.5% 2%  
94 0.9% 1.0%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.7% 99.7%  
82 1.1% 99.0%  
83 7% 98%  
84 7% 91%  
85 13% 84% Majority
86 19% 70%  
87 14% 51%  
88 13% 37% Median
89 13% 24%  
90 5% 12%  
91 4% 7%  
92 1.3% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.1%  
94 0.3% 0.8%  
95 0.4% 0.4%  
96 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.5% 100%  
73 0.4% 99.5%  
74 1.1% 99.1%  
75 1.5% 98%  
76 5% 97%  
77 5% 92%  
78 12% 87%  
79 13% 75%  
80 14% 62% Median
81 20% 48%  
82 12% 28%  
83 8% 15%  
84 6% 8%  
85 0.9% 1.5% Majority
86 0.3% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.9% 99.7%  
73 4% 98.8%  
74 6% 95%  
75 13% 89%  
76 22% 76%  
77 13% 54%  
78 13% 41% Median
79 6% 28%  
80 15% 22%  
81 3% 6%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.3% 1.0%  
85 0.7% 0.7% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.6% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.2%  
70 0.5% 99.1%  
71 1.0% 98.6%  
72 1.1% 98%  
73 6% 97%  
74 12% 90%  
75 18% 79%  
76 10% 60%  
77 12% 50% Median
78 21% 39%  
79 4% 18%  
80 7% 14%  
81 4% 7%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.5% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 2% 99.5%  
61 5% 98%  
62 11% 93% Last Result
63 7% 82%  
64 12% 75%  
65 14% 63%  
66 19% 49% Median
67 15% 30%  
68 10% 16%  
69 3% 6%  
70 1.3% 3%  
71 0.7% 1.3%  
72 0.5% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.7% 99.8%  
59 0.6% 99.1%  
60 1.3% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 6% 95%  
63 20% 89%  
64 8% 69%  
65 17% 61% Median
66 24% 43%  
67 6% 19%  
68 5% 13%  
69 3% 8%  
70 4% 5%  
71 0.6% 0.7%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.8% 99.9%  
48 1.2% 99.1%  
49 2% 98%  
50 8% 96%  
51 15% 88%  
52 12% 74%  
53 11% 62%  
54 19% 51% Median
55 18% 32%  
56 3% 14%  
57 5% 11%  
58 5% 6%  
59 0.3% 1.0%  
60 0.5% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.8%  
29 1.1% 99.6% Last Result
30 3% 98%  
31 8% 96%  
32 33% 88%  
33 13% 55%  
34 22% 42% Median
35 10% 20%  
36 6% 10%  
37 2% 5%  
38 0.9% 2%  
39 1.0% 2%  
40 0.3% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations