Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, 1–7 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 30.0% 27.8–32.3% 27.2–33.0% 26.7–33.6% 25.7–34.7%
Høyre 26.8% 24.9% 22.8–27.1% 22.3–27.7% 21.8–28.3% 20.8–29.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.3% 10.8–14.1% 10.4–14.5% 10.0–15.0% 9.4–15.9%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.8% 9.4–12.5% 9.1–13.0% 8.7–13.4% 8.1–14.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 6.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7% 4.5–8.0% 4.0–8.7%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 3.0–6.0% 2.6–6.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.0–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.5–6.5%
Venstre 5.2% 3.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–4.8% 1.8–5.4%
Rødt 1.1% 2.9% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.5% 1.6–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 55 50–60 50–62 48–63 46–65
Høyre 48 45 40–49 39–51 39–52 36–55
Fremskrittspartiet 29 22 19–26 18–27 17–28 16–29
Senterpartiet 10 20 16–23 16–24 15–24 14–26
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 11 9–14 8–14 8–15 2–16
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 8 1–10 1–10 1–11 1–12
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 7 1–9 1–10 1–10 1–11
Venstre 9 2 1–8 0–8 0–8 0–9
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–7 1–8 1–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.4% 99.9%  
47 0.6% 99.4%  
48 1.5% 98.8%  
49 2% 97%  
50 6% 95%  
51 6% 89%  
52 9% 82%  
53 11% 73%  
54 10% 62%  
55 13% 53% Last Result, Median
56 7% 40%  
57 9% 33%  
58 7% 24%  
59 5% 18%  
60 6% 13%  
61 2% 7%  
62 2% 5%  
63 1.4% 3%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.7% 1.0%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.5% 99.9%  
37 0.5% 99.4%  
38 1.2% 98.8%  
39 3% 98%  
40 5% 94%  
41 9% 90%  
42 7% 81%  
43 9% 74%  
44 9% 65%  
45 11% 56% Median
46 12% 45%  
47 12% 33%  
48 9% 21% Last Result
49 4% 12%  
50 3% 8%  
51 2% 5%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.3% 0.9%  
55 0.4% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.8%  
17 2% 98.9%  
18 3% 97%  
19 8% 93%  
20 13% 86%  
21 14% 73%  
22 15% 59% Median
23 12% 44%  
24 10% 32%  
25 10% 22%  
26 6% 13%  
27 3% 7%  
28 3% 4%  
29 0.8% 1.3% Last Result
30 0.4% 0.4%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.6%  
15 2% 98.9%  
16 8% 97%  
17 9% 89%  
18 12% 81%  
19 16% 69%  
20 13% 52% Median
21 15% 39%  
22 11% 25%  
23 7% 14%  
24 4% 6%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.6% 100%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0.6% 99.3%  
8 6% 98.8%  
9 12% 93%  
10 22% 81% Last Result
11 21% 59% Median
12 18% 38%  
13 9% 20%  
14 8% 10%  
15 1.3% 3%  
16 1.2% 1.4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 15% 100% Last Result
2 12% 85%  
3 8% 73%  
4 3% 65%  
5 0% 62%  
6 0.1% 62%  
7 10% 62%  
8 26% 51% Median
9 15% 25%  
10 7% 11%  
11 3% 4%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 20% 99.7%  
2 22% 79%  
3 0% 58%  
4 0% 58%  
5 0% 58%  
6 0.2% 58%  
7 15% 58% Last Result, Median
8 24% 43%  
9 12% 19%  
10 5% 7%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 35% 93%  
2 35% 58% Median
3 5% 23%  
4 0% 19%  
5 0% 19%  
6 0.1% 19%  
7 7% 18%  
8 10% 12%  
9 1.5% 2% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 30% 100%  
2 63% 70% Median
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0.2% 7%  
7 3% 7%  
8 3% 4%  
9 0.5% 0.7%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 100 99.9% 94–107 92–109 90–110 87–113
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 83 97 99.7% 91–103 89–104 88–105 86–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 73 88 80% 82–94 81–96 79–97 77–100
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 87 68% 81–93 79–95 78–95 75–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 73 86 65% 80–92 79–94 77–95 74–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 86 61% 80–92 79–93 77–94 75–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 82 32% 76–88 74–90 74–91 71–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 81 20% 75–87 73–88 72–90 69–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 80 18% 74–86 72–88 71–89 69–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 75 0.6% 70–80 68–82 67–83 65–85
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 68 0% 61–72 60–74 59–75 56–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 60 0% 54–67 52–68 52–69 50–72
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 59 0% 53–65 52–66 51–66 48–69
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 34 0% 28–38 28–39 27–41 24–43

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Majority
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.4% 99.3%  
89 0.6% 98.9%  
90 1.3% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 2% 95%  
93 3% 93%  
94 2% 90%  
95 4% 89%  
96 7% 85%  
97 5% 78%  
98 7% 74%  
99 9% 66%  
100 8% 57% Median
101 6% 49%  
102 6% 43%  
103 5% 36%  
104 8% 31%  
105 7% 23%  
106 4% 17% Last Result
107 5% 13%  
108 2% 8%  
109 3% 6%  
110 0.7% 3%  
111 0.5% 2%  
112 0.5% 1.3%  
113 0.6% 0.8%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9% Last Result
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.7% Majority
86 0.5% 99.5%  
87 1.1% 99.0%  
88 0.6% 98%  
89 3% 97%  
90 3% 94%  
91 5% 92%  
92 3% 87%  
93 5% 84%  
94 5% 79%  
95 7% 74%  
96 9% 67%  
97 9% 58%  
98 10% 49%  
99 9% 39%  
100 10% 30%  
101 5% 21% Median
102 4% 16%  
103 4% 12%  
104 3% 7%  
105 2% 4%  
106 1.2% 2%  
107 0.5% 1.2%  
108 0.4% 0.7%  
109 0.2% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.8% 99.7%  
78 0.8% 98.8%  
79 0.7% 98%  
80 1.3% 97%  
81 4% 96%  
82 5% 92%  
83 4% 87%  
84 4% 84%  
85 7% 80% Majority
86 6% 73%  
87 9% 66%  
88 12% 58%  
89 8% 46%  
90 8% 38%  
91 7% 30%  
92 5% 22% Median
93 3% 17%  
94 5% 14%  
95 2% 9%  
96 3% 7%  
97 1.0% 3%  
98 1.1% 2%  
99 0.4% 1.3%  
100 0.5% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 0.5% 99.4%  
77 0.7% 98.9%  
78 2% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 3% 95%  
81 3% 92%  
82 7% 88%  
83 7% 81%  
84 6% 74%  
85 7% 68% Majority
86 8% 60%  
87 8% 52%  
88 9% 44% Median
89 7% 34%  
90 5% 27%  
91 6% 22%  
92 5% 16%  
93 3% 11%  
94 2% 8%  
95 4% 6%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.8% 2% Last Result
98 0.3% 0.8%  
99 0.3% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.8% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 98.7%  
77 0.9% 98%  
78 1.4% 97%  
79 3% 96%  
80 6% 92%  
81 4% 87%  
82 5% 83%  
83 5% 78%  
84 8% 73%  
85 8% 65% Majority
86 9% 57%  
87 11% 47%  
88 7% 36%  
89 8% 30%  
90 4% 21% Median
91 4% 17%  
92 6% 14%  
93 2% 8%  
94 3% 6%  
95 2% 4%  
96 0.7% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.2%  
98 0.3% 0.6%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
76 1.0% 99.3%  
77 1.2% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 2% 95%  
80 3% 93%  
81 8% 89%  
82 4% 82%  
83 7% 77%  
84 10% 70%  
85 8% 61% Majority
86 8% 52% Median
87 13% 44%  
88 7% 31%  
89 6% 25%  
90 4% 19%  
91 4% 14%  
92 3% 10%  
93 3% 7%  
94 2% 4%  
95 1.1% 2%  
96 0.4% 0.9%  
97 0.3% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.5%  
72 0.8% 99.2% Last Result
73 0.8% 98%  
74 4% 98%  
75 2% 94%  
76 3% 92%  
77 5% 89%  
78 6% 84%  
79 5% 78%  
80 7% 73%  
81 9% 66%  
82 8% 56%  
83 8% 48%  
84 7% 40% Median
85 6% 32% Majority
86 7% 26%  
87 7% 19%  
88 3% 12%  
89 3% 8%  
90 2% 5%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 0.5% 1.1%  
94 0.2% 0.6%  
95 0.3% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.6%  
70 0.4% 99.1%  
71 1.1% 98.7%  
72 1.0% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 2% 93%  
75 5% 91%  
76 3% 86%  
77 5% 83%  
78 7% 78%  
79 8% 70%  
80 8% 62% Median
81 12% 54%  
82 9% 42%  
83 6% 34%  
84 7% 27%  
85 4% 20% Majority
86 4% 16%  
87 5% 13%  
88 4% 8%  
89 1.3% 4%  
90 0.7% 3%  
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.8% 1.2%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.5%  
70 0.6% 99.0%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 4% 97% Last Result
73 2% 93%  
74 2% 91%  
75 6% 89%  
76 6% 83%  
77 6% 78%  
78 6% 72%  
79 10% 66%  
80 9% 56%  
81 7% 47%  
82 9% 39% Median
83 5% 31%  
84 8% 26%  
85 7% 18% Majority
86 3% 11%  
87 2% 7%  
88 2% 5%  
89 1.2% 3%  
90 0.5% 1.3%  
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 99.6% Last Result
66 1.0% 99.2%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 4% 94%  
70 6% 90%  
71 6% 85%  
72 10% 79%  
73 9% 69%  
74 10% 60%  
75 8% 50% Median
76 8% 42%  
77 10% 34%  
78 6% 24%  
79 5% 18%  
80 5% 13%  
81 2% 8%  
82 2% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.6% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.6% Majority
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.7%  
57 0.6% 99.3%  
58 0.8% 98.7%  
59 2% 98%  
60 3% 96%  
61 3% 93%  
62 4% 90%  
63 3% 85%  
64 6% 82%  
65 8% 75%  
66 8% 68%  
67 9% 60% Median
68 11% 51%  
69 14% 41%  
70 8% 27%  
71 7% 19%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 9%  
74 3% 6%  
75 0.9% 3%  
76 0.9% 2%  
77 0.6% 1.2% Last Result
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 0.5% 99.6%  
51 0.9% 99.1%  
52 4% 98%  
53 3% 94%  
54 4% 91%  
55 5% 87%  
56 4% 82%  
57 3% 78%  
58 6% 75%  
59 10% 69%  
60 10% 59%  
61 9% 48%  
62 7% 39% Last Result, Median
63 8% 33%  
64 6% 25%  
65 5% 19%  
66 3% 14%  
67 4% 11%  
68 3% 7%  
69 2% 4%  
70 0.6% 2%  
71 0.7% 1.3%  
72 0.2% 0.6%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.7%  
49 0.6% 99.4%  
50 1.2% 98.8%  
51 2% 98%  
52 5% 96%  
53 5% 91%  
54 7% 86%  
55 5% 79%  
56 9% 74%  
57 8% 65%  
58 5% 57% Median
59 11% 52%  
60 9% 42%  
61 9% 32%  
62 6% 24%  
63 3% 18%  
64 3% 15%  
65 5% 11%  
66 4% 7%  
67 1.0% 2% Last Result
68 0.7% 1.3%  
69 0.4% 0.7%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.5% 99.8%  
25 0.5% 99.3%  
26 0.8% 98.8%  
27 3% 98%  
28 6% 95%  
29 8% 89% Last Result
30 7% 80%  
31 7% 74%  
32 6% 67%  
33 8% 60% Median
34 12% 52%  
35 12% 40%  
36 6% 28%  
37 4% 22%  
38 8% 17%  
39 5% 9%  
40 2% 4%  
41 1.3% 3%  
42 0.7% 1.3%  
43 0.3% 0.6%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations