Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 7–11 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 30.3% 28.2–32.5% 27.6–33.1% 27.1–33.7% 26.1–34.8%
Høyre 26.8% 21.5% 19.6–23.5% 19.1–24.1% 18.7–24.6% 17.8–25.6%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 13.6% 12.1–15.4% 11.7–15.9% 11.4–16.3% 10.7–17.2%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 12.6% 11.1–14.3% 10.7–14.7% 10.4–15.2% 9.7–16.0%
Rødt 1.1% 4.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.5% 3.0–7.1%
Venstre 5.2% 4.5% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.2–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.7–5.6% 2.4–6.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 3.6% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.8%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 55 51–60 50–62 49–63 47–65
Høyre 48 39 35–44 35–45 34–46 32–47
Fremskrittspartiet 29 25 22–28 21–29 20–30 18–31
Senterpartiet 10 23 20–27 19–28 18–28 17–30
Rødt 0 8 2–10 2–11 2–12 2–13
Venstre 9 8 2–10 2–11 2–11 1–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 3 2–9 1–9 1–10 1–11
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 2 1–9 1–9 1–9 0–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–7 1–8 1–8 0–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.8%  
48 0.8% 99.4%  
49 2% 98.6%  
50 3% 97%  
51 6% 94%  
52 6% 88%  
53 9% 82%  
54 11% 72%  
55 13% 62% Last Result, Median
56 11% 48%  
57 8% 38%  
58 10% 30%  
59 5% 20%  
60 5% 14%  
61 3% 9%  
62 3% 6%  
63 1.5% 3%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.5% 0.9%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.5% 99.9%  
33 0.8% 99.4%  
34 3% 98.6%  
35 6% 95%  
36 15% 89%  
37 13% 75%  
38 11% 62%  
39 11% 51% Median
40 9% 39%  
41 8% 30%  
42 6% 22%  
43 5% 16%  
44 4% 10%  
45 4% 7%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 1.0% 1.4%  
48 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.4% 99.9%  
19 1.3% 99.4%  
20 2% 98%  
21 4% 96%  
22 9% 92%  
23 12% 83%  
24 12% 71%  
25 19% 60% Median
26 10% 40%  
27 11% 30%  
28 11% 19%  
29 4% 8% Last Result
30 3% 4%  
31 0.9% 1.4%  
32 0.2% 0.4%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 0.9% 99.6%  
18 2% 98.7%  
19 6% 96%  
20 10% 91%  
21 11% 80%  
22 12% 69%  
23 14% 57% Median
24 16% 43%  
25 8% 27%  
26 9% 20%  
27 5% 11%  
28 3% 5%  
29 1.4% 2%  
30 0.4% 0.7%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 14% 100%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0.1% 85%  
7 6% 85%  
8 30% 79% Median
9 25% 50%  
10 16% 25%  
11 6% 9%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.8% 1.1%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.3% 100%  
2 12% 98.7%  
3 12% 87%  
4 0% 75%  
5 0% 75%  
6 0% 75%  
7 6% 75%  
8 28% 69% Median
9 22% 40% Last Result
10 13% 18%  
11 4% 6%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 7% 99.7%  
2 40% 93%  
3 3% 52% Median
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 10% 49%  
8 24% 39%  
9 11% 15%  
10 3% 4% Last Result
11 0.8% 1.0%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 41% 98%  
2 15% 56% Median
3 0% 41%  
4 0% 41%  
5 0% 41%  
6 0.1% 41%  
7 10% 41% Last Result
8 18% 31%  
9 11% 13%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 65% 99.4% Last Result, Median
2 14% 35%  
3 9% 21%  
4 1.4% 12%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0.1% 11%  
7 5% 11%  
8 5% 6%  
9 1.0% 1.2%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 106 99 99.9% 93–106 91–107 89–108 87–111
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 92 98% 87–99 86–100 85–102 82–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 90 92% 85–97 83–98 82–100 79–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 90 86% 83–96 82–98 81–99 78–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 85 52% 79–91 78–92 77–94 74–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 83 43% 78–90 77–91 75–92 73–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 82 33% 77–89 75–90 75–91 72–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 79 9% 73–84 72–86 70–88 69–90
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 79 8% 72–84 71–86 69–87 67–90
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 77 2% 70–82 69–83 67–84 65–87
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 64 0% 59–69 58–71 56–72 54–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 60 0% 54–66 52–68 51–69 50–71
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 67 52 0% 46–56 44–57 43–59 41–61
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 29 36 0% 30–41 27–42 26–44 24–46

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Majority
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.4% 99.8%  
88 0.7% 99.4%  
89 1.4% 98.7%  
90 1.4% 97%  
91 2% 96%  
92 3% 94%  
93 4% 92%  
94 5% 87%  
95 5% 82%  
96 6% 77%  
97 8% 71%  
98 7% 64% Median
99 8% 56%  
100 8% 49%  
101 5% 40%  
102 8% 35%  
103 6% 27%  
104 6% 21%  
105 5% 15%  
106 4% 10% Last Result
107 3% 6%  
108 0.8% 3%  
109 1.0% 2%  
110 0.6% 1.3%  
111 0.4% 0.7%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 99.6%  
83 0.6% 99.2%  
84 1.1% 98.6%  
85 2% 98% Majority
86 4% 96%  
87 3% 92%  
88 4% 89%  
89 8% 85% Median
90 8% 77%  
91 12% 69%  
92 8% 57%  
93 6% 49%  
94 9% 43%  
95 6% 34%  
96 7% 28%  
97 7% 21%  
98 3% 13%  
99 4% 11%  
100 3% 7%  
101 1.4% 4%  
102 1.4% 3%  
103 0.7% 1.4%  
104 0.3% 0.7%  
105 0.2% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.5% 99.4%  
81 0.9% 99.0%  
82 1.3% 98%  
83 3% 97%  
84 3% 94%  
85 5% 92% Majority
86 5% 86%  
87 5% 82%  
88 7% 76% Median
89 9% 70%  
90 13% 61%  
91 7% 48%  
92 7% 41%  
93 7% 34%  
94 5% 27%  
95 6% 21%  
96 5% 16%  
97 3% 10%  
98 2% 7%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.1% 3%  
101 1.0% 2%  
102 0.3% 0.7%  
103 0.3% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 0.6% 99.4%  
80 0.9% 98.8%  
81 2% 98%  
82 3% 96%  
83 3% 93% Last Result
84 4% 90% Median
85 6% 86% Majority
86 5% 79%  
87 6% 74%  
88 7% 69%  
89 8% 62%  
90 9% 54%  
91 12% 45%  
92 4% 34%  
93 8% 30%  
94 6% 22%  
95 4% 16%  
96 5% 13%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 6%  
99 2% 4%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.5% 1.0%  
102 0.2% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
74 0.5% 99.7%  
75 0.5% 99.1%  
76 1.0% 98.6%  
77 2% 98%  
78 4% 95%  
79 3% 91%  
80 6% 88%  
81 5% 82% Median
82 10% 77%  
83 8% 66%  
84 6% 58%  
85 10% 52% Majority
86 7% 42%  
87 5% 35%  
88 9% 30%  
89 6% 21%  
90 3% 15%  
91 4% 12%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.3% 3%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 0.5% 1.2%  
97 0.3% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.5% 99.2%  
75 1.4% 98.8% Last Result
76 2% 97%  
77 4% 95%  
78 4% 91%  
79 4% 87%  
80 6% 83%  
81 10% 76% Median
82 7% 67%  
83 10% 60%  
84 7% 50%  
85 9% 43% Majority
86 7% 33%  
87 6% 26%  
88 7% 20%  
89 3% 13%  
90 3% 10%  
91 3% 7%  
92 2% 4%  
93 0.8% 2%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 0.2% 1.0%  
96 0.6% 0.9%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
73 0.7% 99.2%  
74 1.0% 98.5%  
75 3% 98%  
76 3% 95%  
77 5% 91%  
78 5% 86%  
79 6% 82%  
80 5% 75% Median
81 11% 70%  
82 9% 59%  
83 7% 50%  
84 10% 42%  
85 6% 33% Majority
86 5% 27%  
87 8% 22%  
88 4% 15%  
89 2% 11%  
90 4% 9%  
91 2% 5%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.4% 1.0%  
95 0.3% 0.6%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.6%  
70 2% 99.0%  
71 1.3% 97%  
72 2% 96%  
73 4% 94%  
74 6% 90%  
75 8% 84%  
76 9% 76%  
77 8% 67%  
78 8% 59% Median
79 11% 51%  
80 8% 40%  
81 7% 32%  
82 6% 25%  
83 6% 18%  
84 4% 13%  
85 2% 9% Majority
86 3% 7%  
87 1.2% 4%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.5% 1.3%  
90 0.5% 0.8%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 1.0% 99.3%  
69 1.1% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 3% 93%  
73 5% 90%  
74 6% 84%  
75 5% 79%  
76 7% 73% Median
77 7% 66%  
78 7% 59%  
79 13% 52%  
80 9% 39%  
81 7% 30%  
82 5% 23%  
83 5% 18%  
84 5% 14%  
85 3% 8% Majority
86 3% 6%  
87 1.3% 3%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.0%  
90 0.2% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.6%  
66 0.7% 99.3%  
67 1.5% 98.6%  
68 1.4% 97%  
69 3% 96%  
70 4% 93%  
71 3% 89%  
72 7% 86%  
73 7% 79%  
74 6% 72%  
75 9% 66% Median
76 6% 57%  
77 8% 51%  
78 12% 43%  
79 8% 31%  
80 8% 23%  
81 4% 15%  
82 3% 11%  
83 4% 8%  
84 2% 4%  
85 1.0% 2% Majority
86 0.6% 1.4%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.5% 99.7%  
55 0.5% 99.2%  
56 1.4% 98.7%  
57 2% 97%  
58 3% 96%  
59 6% 92%  
60 5% 86%  
61 9% 81%  
62 12% 72%  
63 9% 60%  
64 7% 51% Median
65 7% 43%  
66 6% 36%  
67 7% 30%  
68 8% 23%  
69 4% 14%  
70 4% 10%  
71 3% 6%  
72 0.8% 3%  
73 2% 2%  
74 0.4% 0.8%  
75 0.1% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 1.1% 99.6%  
51 1.4% 98%  
52 4% 97%  
53 3% 93%  
54 6% 90%  
55 6% 84%  
56 7% 78%  
57 7% 70% Median
58 5% 64%  
59 7% 59%  
60 7% 51%  
61 7% 44%  
62 6% 37% Last Result
63 6% 30%  
64 7% 24%  
65 3% 17%  
66 5% 14%  
67 3% 8%  
68 2% 6%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.5% 0.9%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.2% 0.2%  
74 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.3% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.5%  
42 0.9% 99.1%  
43 1.1% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 93%  
47 8% 89%  
48 7% 82%  
49 8% 75%  
50 7% 67% Median
51 8% 60%  
52 14% 51%  
53 9% 37%  
54 7% 28%  
55 8% 21%  
56 6% 13%  
57 2% 6%  
58 2% 5%  
59 0.8% 3%  
60 1.0% 2%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.6% 99.7%  
25 0.5% 99.2%  
26 2% 98.6%  
27 2% 97%  
28 3% 95%  
29 2% 92% Last Result
30 3% 90%  
31 6% 87%  
32 7% 81%  
33 8% 73%  
34 6% 65% Median
35 9% 59%  
36 13% 50%  
37 7% 38%  
38 8% 31%  
39 5% 23%  
40 7% 18%  
41 4% 11%  
42 2% 6%  
43 2% 5%  
44 1.1% 3%  
45 1.1% 2%  
46 0.3% 0.6%  
47 0.3% 0.3%  
48 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations