Opinion Poll by InFact for Arbeiderpartiet, 15 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 31.3% 29.4–33.2% 28.9–33.7% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.1%
Høyre 26.8% 21.9% 20.3–23.6% 19.8–24.1% 19.4–24.6% 18.7–25.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.2% 10.9–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Rødt 1.1% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Venstre 5.2% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 58 53–63 53–64 52–65 51–66
Høyre 48 39 36–43 35–44 35–45 33–46
Fremskrittspartiet 29 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 17–28
Senterpartiet 10 20 17–22 17–23 16–24 15–25
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 9 7–10 2–11 2–11 1–12
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 9 7–11 3–11 3–11 2–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 7–10 2–11 2–11 2–12
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–7 1–8 1–9
Venstre 9 2 1–3 0–7 0–8 0–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 0.8% 99.5%  
52 2% 98.7%  
53 7% 96%  
54 5% 90%  
55 7% 84% Last Result
56 7% 77%  
57 15% 70%  
58 12% 56% Median
59 7% 43%  
60 8% 36%  
61 11% 28%  
62 5% 17%  
63 4% 12%  
64 5% 8%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.3% 0.5%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.2% 99.4%  
35 4% 98%  
36 8% 94%  
37 14% 86%  
38 16% 72%  
39 14% 57% Median
40 14% 43%  
41 8% 29%  
42 9% 21%  
43 5% 12%  
44 4% 7%  
45 2% 3%  
46 1.0% 1.3%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
49 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 0.8% 99.6%  
18 6% 98.7%  
19 9% 93%  
20 14% 84%  
21 11% 70%  
22 12% 59% Median
23 19% 47%  
24 11% 28%  
25 10% 17%  
26 3% 7%  
27 3% 4%  
28 1.3% 2%  
29 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.9% 99.8%  
16 4% 98.9%  
17 6% 95%  
18 14% 89%  
19 20% 74%  
20 16% 54% Median
21 16% 38%  
22 14% 22%  
23 4% 7%  
24 2% 3%  
25 1.2% 1.4%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.9% 100%  
2 8% 99.1%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0.3% 91%  
7 6% 91% Last Result
8 27% 85%  
9 28% 58% Median
10 19% 29%  
11 7% 10%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100% Last Result
2 0.9% 99.5%  
3 6% 98.6%  
4 0.8% 93%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 6% 92%  
8 30% 86%  
9 23% 55% Median
10 17% 32%  
11 13% 15%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 8% 99.9%  
3 0.6% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0.1% 92%  
7 8% 92%  
8 32% 83%  
9 23% 51% Median
10 20% 28% Last Result
11 6% 8%  
12 1.4% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 16% 100%  
2 74% 84% Median
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0.1% 10%  
6 0.3% 10%  
7 6% 9%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.6% 0.6%  
10 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 44% 95%  
2 37% 51% Median
3 7% 14%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0.2% 7%  
7 4% 6%  
8 2% 3%  
9 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 83 104 100% 98–108 97–109 96–110 93–112
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 73 98 99.9% 92–102 91–104 89–105 87–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 73 95 99.6% 90–100 88–101 87–102 85–104
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 91 95% 86–97 84–98 83–100 81–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 89 86% 83–94 83–95 81–97 79–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 87 70% 81–91 80–92 79–93 76–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 87 72% 81–91 80–93 79–93 76–95
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 97 80 14% 75–86 73–86 72–88 70–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 78 3% 74–82 72–83 71–85 70–86
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 71 0% 66–77 65–78 64–80 62–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 66 0% 61–72 60–73 58–74 57–75
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 61 0% 56–67 56–67 55–69 53–71
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 49 0% 46–54 45–55 43–56 41–58
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 30 0% 26–34 24–35 23–36 21–38

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.7%  
94 0.5% 99.4%  
95 1.1% 98.9%  
96 3% 98%  
97 2% 95%  
98 4% 93%  
99 7% 89%  
100 7% 83%  
101 9% 76%  
102 8% 67%  
103 6% 60%  
104 14% 53%  
105 11% 39% Median
106 5% 28%  
107 8% 23%  
108 6% 14%  
109 3% 8%  
110 3% 5%  
111 0.7% 1.4%  
112 0.5% 0.7%  
113 0.2% 0.2%  
114 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9% Majority
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.5% 99.5%  
89 2% 99.0%  
90 0.9% 97%  
91 3% 96%  
92 5% 93%  
93 7% 88%  
94 6% 81%  
95 5% 75%  
96 11% 71%  
97 9% 59%  
98 11% 51% Median
99 11% 39%  
100 6% 29%  
101 7% 22%  
102 6% 16%  
103 4% 9%  
104 1.2% 5%  
105 3% 4%  
106 0.9% 1.3%  
107 0.2% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 99.6% Majority
86 0.6% 99.3%  
87 2% 98.7%  
88 1.4% 96%  
89 3% 95%  
90 4% 92%  
91 8% 88%  
92 6% 79%  
93 5% 73%  
94 11% 68%  
95 10% 57%  
96 13% 48% Median
97 7% 35%  
98 11% 28%  
99 4% 17%  
100 6% 13%  
101 5% 7%  
102 0.9% 3%  
103 1.1% 2%  
104 0.6% 0.7%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.5% 99.6%  
82 0.5% 99.2%  
83 2% 98.7%  
84 2% 97%  
85 3% 95% Majority
86 6% 92%  
87 6% 86%  
88 9% 80%  
89 5% 72%  
90 11% 66%  
91 9% 56%  
92 9% 47% Median
93 7% 38%  
94 8% 31%  
95 5% 24%  
96 7% 19%  
97 3% 11%  
98 3% 8%  
99 0.9% 5%  
100 2% 4%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 1.4% 2%  
103 0.2% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.6%  
80 0.6% 99.4%  
81 3% 98.9%  
82 1.2% 96%  
83 6% 95%  
84 3% 89%  
85 6% 86% Majority
86 5% 80%  
87 10% 75%  
88 13% 64%  
89 9% 51% Median
90 10% 42%  
91 7% 31%  
92 6% 24%  
93 5% 18%  
94 5% 12%  
95 3% 7%  
96 2% 4%  
97 1.4% 3%  
98 0.4% 1.2%  
99 0.4% 0.8%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
76 0.3% 99.7%  
77 0.4% 99.4%  
78 1.2% 99.0%  
79 1.2% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 5% 94%  
82 6% 89%  
83 5% 83%  
84 7% 78%  
85 9% 70% Majority
86 9% 61%  
87 11% 52% Median
88 12% 41%  
89 11% 29%  
90 7% 19%  
91 5% 12%  
92 3% 6%  
93 1.2% 3%  
94 1.1% 2%  
95 0.5% 0.8%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.5%  
78 0.6% 99.2%  
79 3% 98.6%  
80 2% 96%  
81 5% 94%  
82 4% 89%  
83 6% 84%  
84 6% 78%  
85 9% 72% Majority
86 12% 63%  
87 14% 51% Median
88 8% 37%  
89 6% 29%  
90 10% 22%  
91 4% 13%  
92 4% 9%  
93 3% 5%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.4% 0.7%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 0.5% 99.0%  
72 2% 98.5%  
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 5% 92%  
76 6% 87%  
77 6% 81%  
78 7% 75%  
79 11% 68%  
80 9% 57%  
81 13% 48% Median
82 10% 35%  
83 5% 25%  
84 6% 19%  
85 3% 14% Majority
86 6% 10%  
87 1.1% 5%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.5% 1.0%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 99.6%  
71 2% 98.8%  
72 4% 97%  
73 3% 93%  
74 5% 90%  
75 8% 85%  
76 9% 77%  
77 9% 68%  
78 11% 59% Median
79 17% 48%  
80 7% 31%  
81 7% 23%  
82 6% 16%  
83 6% 10%  
84 2% 4%  
85 2% 3% Majority
86 0.6% 0.9%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.7%  
63 1.0% 99.4%  
64 3% 98%  
65 1.3% 95%  
66 4% 94%  
67 7% 90%  
68 7% 83%  
69 6% 77%  
70 11% 70%  
71 11% 60%  
72 9% 48% Median
73 11% 39%  
74 5% 28%  
75 5% 24%  
76 7% 18%  
77 4% 11%  
78 3% 7%  
79 0.8% 4%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.5% 0.9%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 2% 99.5%  
58 0.3% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 1.3% 95%  
61 4% 94%  
62 5% 90% Last Result
63 5% 85%  
64 7% 79%  
65 8% 73%  
66 17% 65%  
67 9% 48% Median
68 7% 39%  
69 8% 32%  
70 6% 24%  
71 6% 18%  
72 6% 12%  
73 2% 6%  
74 4% 4%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.7% 99.8%  
54 1.3% 99.1%  
55 2% 98%  
56 5% 95%  
57 8% 90%  
58 8% 82%  
59 10% 75%  
60 7% 65%  
61 10% 58% Median
62 13% 48%  
63 5% 35%  
64 8% 30%  
65 6% 22%  
66 5% 15%  
67 6% 10%  
68 1.3% 5%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.5% 1.1%  
71 0.4% 0.6%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 0.6% 99.5%  
42 1.0% 98.9%  
43 0.7% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 3% 96%  
46 11% 92%  
47 7% 81%  
48 18% 74%  
49 9% 56%  
50 11% 47% Median
51 11% 36%  
52 8% 25%  
53 4% 17%  
54 6% 12%  
55 4% 7%  
56 0.9% 3%  
57 1.1% 2%  
58 0.4% 0.7%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 0.5% 99.7%  
22 1.5% 99.2%  
23 2% 98%  
24 1.3% 96%  
25 2% 94%  
26 3% 92%  
27 6% 89%  
28 11% 83%  
29 15% 72% Last Result
30 12% 57%  
31 15% 45% Median
32 9% 30%  
33 9% 21%  
34 6% 13%  
35 3% 6%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.4% 2%  
38 0.8% 1.2%  
39 0.2% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations