Opinion Poll by InFact for VG, 17 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 30.4% 29.2–31.8% 28.8–32.2% 28.5–32.5% 27.9–33.1%
Høyre 26.8% 21.9% 20.7–23.1% 20.4–23.4% 20.1–23.7% 19.6–24.3%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.1% 11.2–13.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.7–13.6% 10.3–14.1%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.9% 10.0–11.8% 9.8–12.1% 9.6–12.3% 9.2–12.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–7.0%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.5%
Venstre 5.2% 4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.4–4.9% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.4%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.2–4.7% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
Rødt 1.1% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.1–4.5% 3.0–4.6% 2.7–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 56 54–61 53–61 53–62 51–63
Høyre 48 39 36–42 36–43 36–43 35–45
Fremskrittspartiet 29 22 19–24 19–24 18–25 17–26
Senterpartiet 10 19 18–21 17–22 17–22 16–23
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 2–12
Venstre 9 7 2–8 2–9 2–9 1–9
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 3 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 2–7 2–8 2–8 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.4% 99.8%  
52 1.1% 99.4%  
53 7% 98%  
54 16% 92%  
55 17% 76% Last Result
56 13% 59% Median
57 13% 46%  
58 10% 33%  
59 7% 22%  
60 5% 15%  
61 7% 10%  
62 3% 4%  
63 0.6% 1.1%  
64 0.4% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 2% 99.7%  
36 12% 98%  
37 12% 86%  
38 23% 74%  
39 23% 51% Median
40 7% 28%  
41 8% 21%  
42 6% 13%  
43 5% 7%  
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.4% 0.5%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.9% 99.9%  
18 2% 98.9%  
19 8% 97%  
20 15% 89%  
21 19% 74%  
22 23% 55% Median
23 21% 33%  
24 8% 12%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.8% 1.3%  
27 0.4% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 2% 99.8%  
17 7% 98%  
18 18% 91%  
19 27% 73% Median
20 22% 46%  
21 16% 24%  
22 5% 8%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.4%  
25 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100% Last Result
8 10% 99.6%  
9 28% 90%  
10 28% 62% Median
11 29% 34%  
12 4% 5%  
13 0.4% 0.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.9% 100%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 6% 99.0%  
8 23% 93%  
9 39% 70% Median
10 25% 31% Last Result
11 5% 6%  
12 0.9% 0.9%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.7% 100%  
2 20% 99.3%  
3 16% 80%  
4 0% 64%  
5 0% 64%  
6 1.4% 64%  
7 24% 62% Median
8 31% 39%  
9 7% 7% Last Result
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 11% 100% Last Result
2 11% 89%  
3 33% 77% Median
4 0.4% 45%  
5 0% 44%  
6 1.0% 44%  
7 28% 43%  
8 13% 15%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 75% 99.4% Median
3 0% 25%  
4 0% 25%  
5 0% 25%  
6 0.7% 25%  
7 16% 24%  
8 7% 8%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 99 100% 96–103 95–105 93–106 92–107
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 95 99.8% 89–99 88–100 88–101 85–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 94 99.9% 90–98 88–99 88–100 86–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 90 98% 87–94 86–96 85–97 83–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 89 96% 85–93 85–95 84–96 83–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 86 69% 83–90 81–91 81–92 79–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 85 58% 82–89 80–90 79–91 78–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 80 4% 76–84 74–84 73–85 71–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 76 0.1% 73–80 72–81 71–81 70–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 75 0.1% 71–79 70–81 69–81 67–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 66 0% 63–70 63–71 62–72 61–73
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 60 0% 57–64 56–66 55–66 53–69
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 54 0% 50–57 49–58 48–58 46–60
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 35 0% 30–38 30–38 29–39 28–41

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.4% 99.9%  
92 0.6% 99.5%  
93 2% 98.9%  
94 2% 97%  
95 3% 95%  
96 8% 92%  
97 9% 84% Median
98 10% 75%  
99 20% 64%  
100 11% 45%  
101 8% 34%  
102 7% 26%  
103 9% 19%  
104 4% 10%  
105 3% 6%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.5% 0.9%  
108 0.3% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.7% 99.8% Majority
86 0.5% 99.1%  
87 0.8% 98.6%  
88 3% 98%  
89 6% 94%  
90 4% 89%  
91 6% 85%  
92 7% 79%  
93 7% 71%  
94 8% 64%  
95 14% 56%  
96 11% 42% Median
97 6% 31%  
98 11% 26%  
99 6% 14%  
100 5% 9%  
101 2% 4%  
102 1.2% 2%  
103 0.4% 0.6%  
104 0.2% 0.2%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.9% Majority
86 0.4% 99.7%  
87 1.1% 99.3%  
88 4% 98%  
89 5% 95%  
90 5% 90% Median
91 13% 85%  
92 9% 72%  
93 13% 63%  
94 7% 50%  
95 12% 43%  
96 8% 30%  
97 6% 22%  
98 7% 17%  
99 5% 9%  
100 2% 4%  
101 2% 2%  
102 0.3% 0.8%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.2% 0.3%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.3% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.6%  
84 2% 99.2%  
85 2% 98% Majority
86 5% 96%  
87 6% 90%  
88 8% 84% Median
89 16% 76%  
90 10% 60%  
91 15% 50%  
92 8% 35%  
93 10% 27%  
94 8% 17%  
95 3% 9%  
96 4% 7%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.5% 0.9%  
99 0.3% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.8%  
83 1.4% 99.5%  
84 2% 98%  
85 7% 96% Majority
86 9% 89%  
87 8% 80% Median
88 17% 72%  
89 12% 55%  
90 13% 43%  
91 7% 30%  
92 9% 23%  
93 5% 14%  
94 4% 10%  
95 2% 5%  
96 0.7% 3%  
97 1.3% 2%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.9% 99.8%  
80 1.0% 98.8%  
81 3% 98%  
82 4% 95%  
83 10% 90%  
84 11% 80%  
85 11% 69% Median, Majority
86 18% 58%  
87 13% 40%  
88 12% 27%  
89 5% 15%  
90 5% 11%  
91 2% 5%  
92 2% 3%  
93 0.3% 0.6%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.7%  
79 2% 99.4%  
80 3% 97%  
81 4% 94%  
82 12% 90%  
83 12% 79%  
84 8% 66% Median
85 11% 58% Majority
86 20% 47%  
87 9% 27%  
88 7% 18%  
89 4% 11%  
90 4% 7%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.5% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 0.3% 99.7%  
72 1.3% 99.3%  
73 0.7% 98%  
74 2% 97%  
75 4% 95%  
76 5% 90%  
77 9% 86%  
78 7% 77%  
79 13% 70%  
80 12% 57% Median
81 17% 45%  
82 8% 28%  
83 9% 20%  
84 7% 11%  
85 2% 4% Majority
86 1.4% 2%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.7% 99.7%  
71 3% 99.0%  
72 4% 96%  
73 12% 92%  
74 11% 80%  
75 10% 69% Median
76 18% 59%  
77 15% 41%  
78 8% 26%  
79 7% 19%  
80 5% 11%  
81 4% 6%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.8% 0.9%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 2% 99.2%  
69 2% 98%  
70 5% 96%  
71 7% 91%  
72 6% 83%  
73 8% 78%  
74 12% 69%  
75 7% 57%  
76 13% 50%  
77 9% 37% Median
78 13% 28%  
79 5% 15%  
80 5% 10%  
81 4% 5%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.6%  
62 4% 99.1% Last Result
63 6% 96%  
64 10% 89%  
65 20% 79%  
66 13% 60% Median
67 14% 47%  
68 12% 33%  
69 6% 20%  
70 9% 14%  
71 3% 6%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.7% 1.1%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.4% 99.9%  
54 0.7% 99.5%  
55 2% 98.7%  
56 6% 97%  
57 9% 90%  
58 9% 82%  
59 8% 73%  
60 16% 65%  
61 14% 49% Median
62 12% 35%  
63 8% 23%  
64 5% 14%  
65 3% 9%  
66 4% 6%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 0.2% 1.1%  
69 0.8% 0.9%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.4% 99.8%  
47 0.6% 99.4%  
48 3% 98.8%  
49 5% 95%  
50 5% 91%  
51 12% 85%  
52 8% 74%  
53 11% 65%  
54 14% 54%  
55 13% 40% Median
56 12% 26%  
57 8% 14%  
58 4% 7%  
59 1.3% 2%  
60 0.8% 1.2%  
61 0.2% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.8%  
28 1.3% 99.5%  
29 3% 98% Last Result
30 6% 96%  
31 8% 90%  
32 9% 82%  
33 14% 73%  
34 8% 59%  
35 18% 51% Median
36 8% 32%  
37 14% 24%  
38 7% 10%  
39 1.4% 3%  
40 1.3% 2%  
41 0.6% 0.7%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations