Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 14–18 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 28.5% 26.4–30.7% 25.8–31.3% 25.3–31.8% 24.4–32.9%
Høyre 26.8% 23.8% 21.9–26.0% 21.4–26.6% 20.9–27.1% 20.0–28.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.7% 11.3–14.4% 10.9–14.9% 10.5–15.3% 9.9–16.2%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.4% 9.1–12.0% 8.7–12.5% 8.4–12.9% 7.8–13.7%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 6.4% 5.3–7.7% 5.1–8.0% 4.8–8.4% 4.4–9.0%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.9–7.1% 3.5–7.8%
Rødt 1.1% 3.8% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.6–5.4% 2.3–6.0%
Venstre 5.2% 3.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.7%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.4% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.7% 2.3–5.0% 2.0–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 53 49–57 47–58 46–59 45–61
Høyre 48 43 39–47 38–48 37–49 35–52
Fremskrittspartiet 29 23 20–27 19–27 18–28 17–29
Senterpartiet 10 19 16–22 15–23 15–23 13–25
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 11 10–14 9–14 8–15 8–16
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 8–11 7–12 2–13 2–14
Rødt 0 2 2–8 2–9 1–9 1–10
Venstre 9 2 1–8 1–8 1–9 0–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 2 1–8 1–8 1–9 1–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.8%  
45 0.5% 99.5%  
46 3% 99.1%  
47 2% 96%  
48 3% 94%  
49 6% 90%  
50 8% 85%  
51 12% 77%  
52 6% 64%  
53 26% 58% Median
54 13% 32%  
55 3% 19% Last Result
56 4% 16%  
57 5% 11%  
58 3% 6%  
59 1.4% 4%  
60 1.1% 2%  
61 0.8% 1.3%  
62 0.1% 0.5%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.8%  
36 0.8% 99.3%  
37 3% 98.6%  
38 4% 96%  
39 5% 92%  
40 11% 87%  
41 15% 76%  
42 11% 61%  
43 9% 50% Median
44 15% 41%  
45 6% 26%  
46 9% 21%  
47 4% 11%  
48 3% 8% Last Result
49 2% 4%  
50 1.3% 2%  
51 0.4% 1.2%  
52 0.6% 0.8%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.6% 99.7%  
18 2% 99.2%  
19 4% 97%  
20 11% 93%  
21 10% 83%  
22 19% 73%  
23 12% 54% Median
24 13% 42%  
25 5% 28%  
26 12% 24%  
27 7% 12%  
28 4% 5%  
29 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.4%  
15 3% 98%  
16 5% 94%  
17 13% 89%  
18 22% 77%  
19 16% 55% Median
20 19% 39%  
21 9% 20%  
22 5% 11%  
23 5% 6%  
24 0.8% 1.3%  
25 0.3% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
8 3% 99.6%  
9 6% 97%  
10 15% 91%  
11 28% 76% Median
12 24% 48%  
13 10% 24%  
14 9% 13%  
15 3% 5%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 0.2% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 3% 97%  
8 25% 94%  
9 22% 69% Median
10 14% 48% Last Result
11 25% 33%  
12 5% 8%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.7% 0.9%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 53% 96% Median
3 0% 43%  
4 0% 43%  
5 0% 43%  
6 0.4% 43%  
7 14% 42%  
8 20% 28%  
9 6% 8%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 21% 98%  
2 43% 77% Median
3 10% 34%  
4 0% 24%  
5 0% 24%  
6 0.3% 24%  
7 8% 24%  
8 12% 16%  
9 3% 4% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.6%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 49% 99.8% Last Result
2 8% 51% Median
3 22% 43%  
4 0.2% 21%  
5 0% 21%  
6 0.5% 21%  
7 8% 20%  
8 9% 13%  
9 3% 4%  
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 97 99.8% 93–104 90–105 89–105 85–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 96 99.5% 90–101 89–102 87–103 85–105
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 91 92% 85–95 83–97 83–99 80–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 87 75% 82–92 81–94 79–95 77–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 86 65% 81–91 79–92 78–94 76–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 83 30% 78–87 77–89 76–90 73–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 82 24% 77–87 75–88 74–90 71–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 81 13% 76–85 75–87 74–88 71–91
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 78 8% 74–84 72–86 70–86 67–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 71 0% 67–76 66–77 65–78 62–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 66 0% 61–71 60–73 58–73 56–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 64 0% 60–69 58–70 57–72 55–73
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 55 0% 51–60 49–62 48–64 46–66
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 32 0% 27–36 26–37 25–38 22–41

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.8% Majority
86 0.1% 99.5%  
87 0.4% 99.3%  
88 1.2% 99.0%  
89 0.8% 98%  
90 2% 97%  
91 2% 95%  
92 2% 93%  
93 8% 91%  
94 9% 83%  
95 8% 74%  
96 12% 66% Median
97 9% 55%  
98 6% 46%  
99 10% 39%  
100 4% 30%  
101 6% 25%  
102 4% 20%  
103 5% 16%  
104 5% 11%  
105 3% 6%  
106 0.8% 2% Last Result
107 0.9% 2%  
108 0.5% 0.8%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
84 0.3% 99.8%  
85 0.6% 99.5% Majority
86 0.8% 98.9%  
87 1.2% 98%  
88 1.3% 97%  
89 2% 96%  
90 6% 94%  
91 6% 88%  
92 7% 82%  
93 5% 74%  
94 12% 70% Median
95 5% 58%  
96 18% 53%  
97 5% 35%  
98 6% 29%  
99 9% 23%  
100 2% 14%  
101 5% 12%  
102 2% 7%  
103 3% 5%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 1.0% 1.5%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.6% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 99.1%  
82 1.0% 98.6%  
83 4% 98%  
84 2% 93%  
85 3% 92% Majority
86 7% 89%  
87 7% 82% Median
88 10% 75%  
89 6% 66%  
90 9% 60%  
91 7% 51%  
92 14% 44%  
93 8% 30%  
94 6% 22%  
95 7% 16%  
96 2% 8%  
97 3% 7%  
98 1.0% 4%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.9% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.0%  
102 0.5% 0.7%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.5%  
78 0.5% 99.3%  
79 1.4% 98.7%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 95%  
82 6% 93%  
83 5% 87%  
84 7% 82%  
85 10% 75% Median, Majority
86 9% 65%  
87 7% 56%  
88 6% 49%  
89 11% 43%  
90 6% 33%  
91 7% 27%  
92 11% 20%  
93 4% 10%  
94 2% 6%  
95 2% 4%  
96 1.1% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.3%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.2% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.8% 99.6%  
77 0.5% 98.9%  
78 1.5% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 2% 95%  
81 6% 93%  
82 4% 87%  
83 7% 82%  
84 10% 76%  
85 11% 65% Median, Majority
86 14% 54%  
87 10% 41%  
88 8% 30%  
89 4% 23%  
90 6% 19%  
91 5% 13%  
92 3% 8%  
93 1.4% 5%  
94 1.0% 3%  
95 1.1% 2%  
96 0.5% 1.1%  
97 0.2% 0.6%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
73 0.3% 99.5%  
74 0.4% 99.3%  
75 1.3% 98.8%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 93%  
79 3% 89%  
80 8% 86%  
81 10% 78%  
82 10% 68%  
83 11% 58% Median
84 17% 47%  
85 10% 30% Majority
86 6% 20%  
87 5% 14%  
88 2% 9%  
89 3% 7%  
90 2% 4%  
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.3%  
93 0.3% 0.8%  
94 0.3% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.6%  
72 0.6% 99.3%  
73 1.1% 98.7%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 4% 94%  
77 11% 90%  
78 7% 80%  
79 6% 73% Median
80 11% 67%  
81 6% 56%  
82 7% 51%  
83 9% 44%  
84 10% 35%  
85 7% 24% Majority
86 5% 18%  
87 6% 12%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.4% 3%  
91 0.5% 1.2%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.5%  
72 0.4% 99.2%  
73 1.2% 98.9%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 96% Last Result
76 4% 93%  
77 7% 89%  
78 7% 82%  
79 13% 75%  
80 8% 62%  
81 9% 54% Median
82 13% 45%  
83 6% 32%  
84 13% 26%  
85 3% 13% Majority
86 3% 10%  
87 4% 7%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.2% 1.1%  
91 0.6% 0.9%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.3%  
69 0.9% 99.0%  
70 0.7% 98%  
71 1.0% 97%  
72 3% 96%  
73 2% 93%  
74 7% 91%  
75 6% 84%  
76 8% 78%  
77 14% 70% Median
78 7% 56%  
79 9% 49%  
80 6% 40%  
81 10% 34%  
82 7% 24%  
83 7% 18%  
84 3% 11%  
85 2% 8% Majority
86 4% 6%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.3%  
89 0.6% 0.9%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.7%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.9% 99.1%  
65 2% 98% Last Result
66 5% 96%  
67 3% 91%  
68 7% 88%  
69 7% 81%  
70 9% 75%  
71 18% 65%  
72 7% 47% Median
73 20% 41%  
74 7% 20%  
75 3% 13%  
76 4% 10%  
77 2% 7%  
78 3% 5%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.2% 0.7%  
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.6%  
57 0.8% 99.2%  
58 1.0% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 3% 96%  
61 5% 93%  
62 7% 88%  
63 11% 82%  
64 11% 71%  
65 9% 60%  
66 8% 51% Median
67 8% 43%  
68 11% 35%  
69 6% 24%  
70 5% 18%  
71 6% 13%  
72 2% 8%  
73 3% 5%  
74 0.6% 2%  
75 0.7% 2%  
76 0.2% 0.8%  
77 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.8% 99.8%  
56 0.7% 99.1%  
57 1.2% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 2% 94%  
60 5% 92%  
61 8% 87%  
62 8% 79% Last Result
63 13% 70%  
64 12% 58% Median
65 17% 45%  
66 4% 28%  
67 9% 24%  
68 5% 15%  
69 4% 10%  
70 2% 6%  
71 2% 4%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.3% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.1% 99.6%  
46 0.5% 99.5%  
47 0.9% 99.0%  
48 1.1% 98%  
49 2% 97%  
50 3% 95%  
51 4% 92%  
52 11% 88%  
53 6% 77%  
54 10% 72% Median
55 12% 62%  
56 12% 50%  
57 13% 37%  
58 6% 25%  
59 7% 19%  
60 3% 12%  
61 2% 9%  
62 2% 6%  
63 2% 5%  
64 1.2% 3%  
65 0.7% 2%  
66 0.9% 1.1%  
67 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.1% 99.8%  
22 0.2% 99.7%  
23 0.4% 99.5%  
24 0.9% 99.0%  
25 1.1% 98%  
26 3% 97%  
27 5% 94%  
28 8% 89%  
29 9% 81% Last Result
30 7% 72% Median
31 13% 64%  
32 13% 52%  
33 10% 39%  
34 10% 29%  
35 6% 19%  
36 6% 13%  
37 2% 6%  
38 2% 4%  
39 0.7% 2%  
40 0.6% 1.4%  
41 0.5% 0.8%  
42 0.2% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations