Opinion Poll by Sentio for Dagens Næringsliv, 15–20 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 27.0% 24.9–29.2% 24.4–29.8% 23.9–30.4% 22.9–31.4%
Høyre 26.8% 24.2% 22.2–26.3% 21.7–26.9% 21.2–27.5% 20.3–28.5%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 13.1% 11.6–14.9% 11.2–15.4% 10.9–15.8% 10.2–16.7%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.0% 9.7–12.7% 9.3–13.2% 8.9–13.6% 8.3–14.4%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 6.2% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.6–8.2% 4.2–8.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.3% 4.4–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.9–7.2% 3.5–7.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.6% 3.7–6.9% 3.3–7.5%
Venstre 5.2% 4.1% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.8% 2.5–6.4%
Rødt 1.1% 2.5% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.7% 1.6–3.9% 1.3–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 45–53 45–55 44–55 42–59
Høyre 48 42 38–47 37–48 37–49 35–51
Fremskrittspartiet 29 23 20–27 19–28 19–28 17–30
Senterpartiet 10 19 16–23 15–23 15–24 13–25
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 11 9–13 8–13 8–14 7–15
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 7–11 3–12 2–12 2–13
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 9 7–11 2–12 1–12 1–13
Venstre 9 7 2–9 1–9 1–10 1–10
Rødt 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 0.4% 99.7%  
43 1.2% 99.4%  
44 2% 98%  
45 7% 96%  
46 10% 89%  
47 13% 79%  
48 14% 66%  
49 11% 52% Median
50 10% 41%  
51 5% 30%  
52 8% 26%  
53 9% 17%  
54 3% 9%  
55 3% 6% Last Result
56 1.0% 2%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.4% 0.9%  
59 0.3% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.8%  
36 1.1% 99.0%  
37 5% 98%  
38 8% 93%  
39 12% 85%  
40 8% 73%  
41 10% 65%  
42 9% 55% Median
43 12% 46%  
44 10% 34%  
45 6% 24%  
46 7% 17%  
47 4% 11%  
48 3% 6% Last Result
49 1.0% 3%  
50 1.1% 2%  
51 0.3% 0.7%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.8%  
18 0.8% 99.3%  
19 5% 98.5%  
20 9% 93%  
21 9% 84%  
22 17% 75%  
23 14% 58% Median
24 9% 44%  
25 8% 35%  
26 10% 26%  
27 10% 16%  
28 5% 6%  
29 0.7% 2% Last Result
30 0.6% 0.9%  
31 0.3% 0.3%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 1.1% 99.3%  
15 3% 98%  
16 7% 95%  
17 11% 88%  
18 15% 77%  
19 19% 62% Median
20 12% 43%  
21 8% 31%  
22 9% 23%  
23 10% 14%  
24 2% 4%  
25 1.2% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0.1% 99.9%  
4 0.1% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 1.1% 99.7%  
8 6% 98.7%  
9 19% 92%  
10 23% 74%  
11 20% 51% Median
12 21% 31%  
13 7% 10%  
14 2% 3%  
15 1.0% 1.2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 4% 99.9%  
3 1.1% 96%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0.1% 95%  
7 6% 95%  
8 23% 88%  
9 23% 66% Median
10 25% 43% Last Result
11 13% 18%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.3% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 6% 97%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0.4% 91%  
7 12% 91% Last Result
8 21% 79%  
9 27% 58% Median
10 16% 31%  
11 10% 15%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.0% 1.1%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 8% 99.8%  
2 25% 91%  
3 5% 66%  
4 0% 62%  
5 0% 62%  
6 0.3% 62%  
7 27% 61% Median
8 24% 34%  
9 8% 10% Last Result
10 2% 3%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 60% 99.8% Median
2 38% 40%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0.4% 2%  
7 1.0% 1.4%  
8 0.3% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 100 100% 94–104 93–105 92–106 89–109
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 83 97 99.8% 91–102 90–103 88–105 86–107
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 97 91 93% 85–96 84–97 83–98 81–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 73 89 83% 83–94 82–96 81–97 79–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 73 87 75% 82–93 81–95 80–96 77–98
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 80 17% 75–86 73–87 72–88 70–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 78 7% 73–84 72–85 71–86 68–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 77 3% 72–82 71–84 70–85 68–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 77 3% 71–82 70–84 69–85 67–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 68 0% 64–73 62–75 62–76 60–78
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 66 0% 60–71 59–72 58–73 56–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 57 0% 53–62 52–64 50–65 47–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 57 0% 51–62 50–63 49–64 47–66
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 34 0% 29–39 27–40 26–41 23–43

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 0.7% 99.4%  
91 1.1% 98.8%  
92 1.4% 98%  
93 3% 96%  
94 5% 93%  
95 6% 88%  
96 7% 82%  
97 9% 75%  
98 6% 66%  
99 8% 60%  
100 11% 52% Median
101 7% 41%  
102 10% 34%  
103 8% 23%  
104 8% 15%  
105 4% 8%  
106 2% 4% Last Result
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.7% 2%  
109 0.4% 0.8%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100% Last Result
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8% Majority
86 0.6% 99.6%  
87 0.6% 99.0%  
88 1.2% 98%  
89 2% 97%  
90 4% 96%  
91 6% 91%  
92 4% 85%  
93 5% 81%  
94 10% 76%  
95 6% 66%  
96 8% 60%  
97 8% 52% Median
98 9% 44%  
99 9% 34%  
100 8% 25%  
101 5% 17%  
102 4% 12%  
103 4% 8%  
104 2% 5%  
105 1.5% 3%  
106 0.4% 1.2%  
107 0.5% 0.8%  
108 0.1% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.6% 99.6%  
82 1.0% 99.0%  
83 2% 98%  
84 3% 96%  
85 3% 93% Majority
86 6% 90%  
87 7% 84%  
88 9% 77%  
89 9% 68%  
90 8% 59%  
91 9% 51%  
92 9% 42% Median
93 7% 33%  
94 8% 26%  
95 5% 18%  
96 5% 13%  
97 4% 8% Last Result
98 2% 4%  
99 0.6% 1.5%  
100 0.3% 0.8%  
101 0.2% 0.5%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.9% 99.3%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 3% 97%  
83 5% 95%  
84 7% 90%  
85 4% 83% Majority
86 7% 79%  
87 10% 72%  
88 9% 62%  
89 9% 53% Median
90 9% 45%  
91 6% 35%  
92 6% 29%  
93 6% 23%  
94 7% 17%  
95 3% 10%  
96 3% 7%  
97 1.4% 3%  
98 1.0% 2%  
99 0.6% 1.0%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.8% 99.4%  
79 1.0% 98.7%  
80 2% 98%  
81 4% 96%  
82 4% 92%  
83 7% 88%  
84 5% 81%  
85 6% 75% Majority
86 12% 69%  
87 8% 57%  
88 8% 49% Median
89 8% 40%  
90 7% 32%  
91 5% 25%  
92 6% 20%  
93 6% 14%  
94 2% 8%  
95 2% 5%  
96 2% 3%  
97 0.3% 1.1%  
98 0.6% 0.9%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.6%  
71 1.0% 99.0%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 3% 93%  
75 7% 90%  
76 6% 83%  
77 6% 77%  
78 6% 71%  
79 9% 65%  
80 9% 55%  
81 9% 47% Median
82 10% 38%  
83 7% 28%  
84 4% 21%  
85 7% 17% Majority
86 5% 10%  
87 3% 5%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 0.3% 99.5%  
70 0.6% 99.2%  
71 2% 98.5%  
72 4% 96% Last Result
73 5% 92%  
74 5% 87%  
75 8% 82%  
76 7% 74%  
77 9% 67%  
78 9% 58% Median
79 8% 49%  
80 9% 41%  
81 9% 32%  
82 7% 23%  
83 6% 16%  
84 3% 10%  
85 3% 7% Majority
86 2% 4%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 1.3% 99.4%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 3% 97%  
72 6% 94%  
73 4% 89%  
74 7% 85%  
75 12% 78% Last Result
76 7% 66%  
77 11% 58% Median
78 8% 47%  
79 6% 39%  
80 7% 33%  
81 9% 26%  
82 6% 16%  
83 4% 10%  
84 3% 6%  
85 1.3% 3% Majority
86 0.8% 2%  
87 0.4% 1.1%  
88 0.4% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.5% 99.3%  
69 2% 98.8%  
70 2% 97%  
71 5% 95%  
72 5% 90% Last Result
73 4% 85%  
74 10% 80%  
75 6% 71%  
76 13% 64%  
77 7% 51% Median
78 9% 45%  
79 8% 36%  
80 10% 28%  
81 5% 19%  
82 5% 14%  
83 3% 9%  
84 3% 6%  
85 2% 3% Majority
86 1.0% 1.4%  
87 0.2% 0.5%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 1.1% 99.4%  
62 4% 98%  
63 2% 94%  
64 6% 92%  
65 7% 86% Last Result
66 11% 79%  
67 12% 68%  
68 9% 56% Median
69 8% 47%  
70 8% 39%  
71 8% 31%  
72 7% 23%  
73 7% 16%  
74 3% 8%  
75 3% 6%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.4% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.7%  
57 0.9% 99.3%  
58 2% 98%  
59 3% 97%  
60 4% 93%  
61 6% 89%  
62 6% 83%  
63 8% 77%  
64 10% 69%  
65 9% 59% Median
66 11% 50%  
67 8% 39%  
68 8% 31%  
69 7% 23%  
70 4% 16%  
71 6% 12%  
72 3% 6%  
73 1.3% 3%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.5% 0.9%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.3% 99.7%  
48 0.3% 99.5%  
49 0.5% 99.1%  
50 2% 98.7%  
51 1.4% 97%  
52 4% 95%  
53 4% 92%  
54 8% 88%  
55 11% 80%  
56 13% 69%  
57 9% 56%  
58 9% 47% Median
59 7% 39%  
60 6% 32%  
61 10% 25%  
62 6% 16% Last Result
63 3% 9%  
64 3% 6%  
65 1.4% 3%  
66 0.6% 1.3%  
67 0.3% 0.8%  
68 0.3% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.3% 99.8%  
48 0.8% 99.4%  
49 2% 98.7%  
50 3% 97%  
51 4% 94%  
52 4% 89%  
53 8% 85%  
54 7% 77%  
55 9% 70%  
56 9% 61%  
57 7% 51%  
58 12% 44% Median
59 5% 32%  
60 11% 27%  
61 5% 15%  
62 4% 10%  
63 4% 7%  
64 1.4% 3%  
65 0.8% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.7%  
67 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.7% 99.8%  
24 0.4% 99.1%  
25 0.4% 98.7%  
26 2% 98%  
27 2% 97%  
28 3% 94%  
29 6% 91% Last Result
30 6% 85%  
31 7% 79%  
32 8% 72%  
33 9% 64%  
34 10% 55%  
35 9% 45% Median
36 7% 35%  
37 9% 28%  
38 5% 19%  
39 7% 13%  
40 4% 7%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.5% 1.2%  
43 0.5% 0.7%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations