Opinion Poll by InFact for VG, 23 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 27.6% 26.3–28.9% 26.0–29.2% 25.7–29.6% 25.1–30.2%
Høyre 26.8% 22.2% 21.0–23.4% 20.7–23.7% 20.4–24.1% 19.9–24.6%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.7–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.7–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.9% 4.3–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.0–5.9% 3.8–6.3%
Venstre 5.2% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.6–4.8%
Rødt 1.1% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.6–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 51 48–54 48–54 47–55 45–57
Høyre 48 39 37–41 36–42 36–43 35–44
Fremskrittspartiet 29 21 19–23 19–25 18–25 17–26
Senterpartiet 10 22 19–23 19–24 19–24 18–25
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 12 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–15
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 9 8–10 7–10 7–11 3–11
Venstre 9 2 2–7 1–7 1–8 1–8
Rødt 0 2 2–7 2–7 2–7 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.4%  
47 2% 98%  
48 7% 96%  
49 5% 89%  
50 10% 84%  
51 28% 74% Median
52 16% 46%  
53 14% 30%  
54 12% 16%  
55 2% 4% Last Result
56 0.9% 2%  
57 0.6% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 2% 99.8%  
36 4% 98%  
37 8% 94%  
38 20% 86%  
39 19% 66% Median
40 20% 46%  
41 18% 27%  
42 5% 9%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.1% 1.4%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.9%  
18 3% 99.4%  
19 7% 97%  
20 19% 89%  
21 29% 71% Median
22 23% 41%  
23 9% 19%  
24 4% 9%  
25 4% 6%  
26 1.4% 2%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.4% 100%  
18 2% 99.6%  
19 9% 98%  
20 16% 89%  
21 16% 73%  
22 37% 57% Median
23 14% 20%  
24 4% 6%  
25 1.4% 2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.9%  
10 11% 98.7%  
11 26% 88%  
12 41% 61% Median
13 16% 20%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0.1% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 15% 98%  
9 35% 83% Median
10 36% 47% Last Result
11 10% 11%  
12 1.2% 1.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0.2% 100%  
3 1.3% 99.8%  
4 0.1% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 7% 98%  
8 39% 91%  
9 36% 52% Median
10 13% 16%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 8% 99.9%  
2 66% 92% Median
3 9% 26%  
4 0% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 2% 17%  
7 12% 15%  
8 4% 4%  
9 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.5% 100%  
2 80% 98.5% Median
3 0% 19%  
4 0% 19%  
5 0% 19%  
6 1.1% 19%  
7 15% 18%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 103 100% 99–106 98–106 96–107 94–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 96 100% 93–100 92–100 91–101 89–103
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 95 99.9% 91–98 90–99 89–100 88–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 93 99.9% 90–96 89–97 88–98 86–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 87 89% 84–91 84–92 82–93 81–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 85 57% 82–88 81–88 80–89 78–90
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 82 11% 78–85 77–85 76–87 74–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 82 16% 79–85 78–85 77–86 76–88
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 73 0% 69–76 69–77 68–78 66–80
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 73 0% 70–76 69–76 69–77 67–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 63 0% 60–66 59–67 58–67 56–69
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 61 0% 58–64 57–65 56–66 54–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 52 0% 49–55 48–56 47–56 46–58
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 34 0% 31–37 31–38 30–39 29–41

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.4% 99.9%  
95 0.7% 99.5%  
96 1.4% 98.8%  
97 2% 97%  
98 3% 96%  
99 5% 93%  
100 9% 88%  
101 10% 80%  
102 13% 70%  
103 23% 57% Median
104 15% 34%  
105 6% 19%  
106 8% 13%  
107 3% 5%  
108 1.2% 2%  
109 0.3% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.3% 99.9%  
89 0.4% 99.6%  
90 1.2% 99.2%  
91 2% 98%  
92 3% 96%  
93 9% 93%  
94 8% 84%  
95 22% 77%  
96 17% 54% Median
97 9% 38%  
98 8% 29%  
99 11% 21%  
100 5% 10%  
101 3% 5%  
102 1.1% 2%  
103 0.5% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0% 99.9% Majority
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.8%  
88 0.9% 99.5%  
89 2% 98.6%  
90 3% 97%  
91 6% 93%  
92 13% 87%  
93 11% 74% Median
94 11% 62%  
95 16% 51%  
96 15% 34%  
97 7% 19%  
98 5% 12%  
99 3% 6%  
100 1.2% 3%  
101 1.3% 2%  
102 0.4% 0.7%  
103 0.2% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.9% Majority
86 0.8% 99.6%  
87 0.9% 98.9%  
88 2% 98%  
89 2% 96%  
90 4% 93%  
91 10% 89%  
92 13% 79%  
93 25% 66%  
94 17% 41% Median
95 9% 24%  
96 7% 15%  
97 6% 8%  
98 2% 3%  
99 0.6% 1.0%  
100 0.3% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.8% 99.6%  
82 1.4% 98.8%  
83 2% 97%  
84 6% 96%  
85 11% 89% Majority
86 12% 79%  
87 26% 67% Median
88 10% 41%  
89 7% 31%  
90 10% 24%  
91 4% 14%  
92 6% 9%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.7% 1.5%  
95 0.6% 0.8%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.6% 99.7%  
79 1.2% 99.1%  
80 3% 98%  
81 3% 95%  
82 8% 93%  
83 14% 85%  
84 14% 71%  
85 30% 57% Median, Majority
86 10% 27%  
87 7% 17%  
88 7% 11%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.9% 1.2%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.7%  
75 0.7% 99.2%  
76 2% 98.5%  
77 6% 97%  
78 4% 91%  
79 10% 86%  
80 7% 76% Median
81 10% 69%  
82 26% 59%  
83 12% 33%  
84 11% 21%  
85 6% 11% Majority
86 2% 4%  
87 1.4% 3%  
88 0.8% 1.2%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
76 1.2% 99.7%  
77 2% 98%  
78 4% 97%  
79 4% 93%  
80 7% 88%  
81 13% 81%  
82 21% 68% Median
83 20% 47%  
84 12% 27%  
85 11% 16% Majority
86 2% 5%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.5% 99.7%  
67 1.1% 99.2%  
68 3% 98%  
69 5% 95%  
70 11% 90%  
71 8% 79% Median
72 9% 71%  
73 17% 62%  
74 22% 46%  
75 8% 23%  
76 9% 16%  
77 3% 7%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.2% 2%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.1%  
69 5% 98%  
70 5% 93%  
71 8% 88%  
72 17% 80%  
73 33% 64% Median
74 13% 30%  
75 7% 18%  
76 8% 11%  
77 1.4% 3%  
78 0.9% 1.3%  
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 1.1% 99.4%  
58 2% 98%  
59 3% 96%  
60 6% 94%  
61 9% 88%  
62 12% 79% Last Result
63 23% 66% Median
64 15% 43%  
65 12% 27%  
66 10% 15%  
67 3% 5%  
68 1.2% 2%  
69 0.4% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.6% 99.8%  
55 0.8% 99.2%  
56 2% 98%  
57 5% 96%  
58 10% 91%  
59 15% 81%  
60 12% 66% Median
61 15% 54%  
62 19% 39%  
63 9% 19%  
64 4% 10%  
65 3% 6%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.8% 1.3%  
68 0.4% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 1.0% 99.7%  
47 2% 98.8%  
48 5% 96%  
49 9% 91%  
50 15% 82% Median
51 15% 67%  
52 17% 52%  
53 18% 36%  
54 5% 17%  
55 6% 12%  
56 3% 5%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.4% 0.8%  
59 0.3% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 0.7% 99.6% Last Result
30 4% 98.9%  
31 9% 95%  
32 16% 86%  
33 18% 70% Median
34 23% 52%  
35 13% 30%  
36 6% 17%  
37 3% 11%  
38 3% 7%  
39 2% 4%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0.5% 0.7%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations