Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 18–23 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 27.9% 26.2–29.8% 25.7–30.3% 25.3–30.7% 24.5–31.6%
Høyre 26.8% 23.4% 21.8–25.1% 21.3–25.6% 20.9–26.0% 20.2–26.8%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 15.4% 14.1–16.9% 13.7–17.3% 13.4–17.7% 12.8–18.5%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.6–13.9% 10.3–14.3% 9.8–14.9%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Venstre 5.2% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Rødt 1.1% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 51 48–54 47–55 46–57 45–58
Høyre 48 43 39–46 38–47 37–48 36–49
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 26–31 26–32 25–32 23–34
Senterpartiet 10 22 20–25 19–26 19–26 18–27
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 8–12 8–13 8–13 2–14
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 8 3–10 3–11 1–11 1–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 2 1–7 1–7 0–8 0–9
Venstre 9 1 1–3 0–7 0–8 0–8
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–7 1–7 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.9% 99.6%  
46 4% 98.7%  
47 5% 95%  
48 4% 90%  
49 10% 86%  
50 16% 76%  
51 19% 60% Median
52 11% 41%  
53 14% 30%  
54 6% 16%  
55 5% 10% Last Result
56 2% 5%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.5% 0.9%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.5% 99.8%  
37 2% 99.3%  
38 4% 97%  
39 8% 93%  
40 8% 85%  
41 10% 77%  
42 11% 67%  
43 12% 57% Median
44 15% 45%  
45 8% 30%  
46 13% 23%  
47 4% 9%  
48 3% 5% Last Result
49 2% 2%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.3% 100%  
23 0.6% 99.7%  
24 0.8% 99.1%  
25 3% 98%  
26 7% 96%  
27 12% 88%  
28 30% 77% Median
29 22% 47% Last Result
30 13% 25%  
31 3% 12%  
32 7% 9%  
33 1.3% 2%  
34 0.5% 0.9%  
35 0.3% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 1.5% 99.6%  
19 3% 98%  
20 22% 95%  
21 15% 73%  
22 14% 58% Median
23 12% 45%  
24 20% 33%  
25 5% 13%  
26 6% 7%  
27 0.6% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.4%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.6% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0.2% 99.3% Last Result
8 11% 99.1%  
9 15% 88%  
10 30% 73% Median
11 17% 44%  
12 22% 27%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.7% 0.9%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100% Last Result
2 1.1% 97%  
3 15% 96%  
4 3% 81%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 2% 78%  
8 31% 76% Median
9 23% 45%  
10 15% 22%  
11 6% 7%  
12 0.9% 1.1%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 39% 95%  
2 39% 56% Median
3 4% 17%  
4 0% 13%  
5 0% 13%  
6 0% 13%  
7 8% 13%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.8% 0.9%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 47% 92% Median
2 33% 45%  
3 5% 12%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 2% 7%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 79% 85% Median
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 4% 6%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 98 100% 94–102 92–103 91–104 90–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 83 93 99.8% 90–98 89–99 88–100 86–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 93 99.8% 90–97 89–99 87–100 86–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 91 98.8% 88–95 87–96 86–98 83–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 86 59% 82–91 81–91 79–92 77–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 83 37% 80–89 79–89 77–90 75–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 97 83 41% 78–87 78–88 77–90 75–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 76 0.4% 71–80 71–81 70–82 68–84
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 76 0.2% 72–79 70–80 69–82 68–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 73 0% 70–77 69–78 68–79 65–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 72 0% 67–75 66–76 65–76 64–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 61 0% 58–65 57–66 56–67 54–69
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 47 0% 43–51 42–52 41–54 40–55
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 26 0% 23–31 22–33 22–33 20–35

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.9%  
90 2% 99.6%  
91 2% 98%  
92 3% 95%  
93 2% 93%  
94 4% 91%  
95 8% 86%  
96 10% 79% Median
97 12% 69%  
98 15% 57%  
99 17% 42%  
100 7% 25%  
101 8% 18%  
102 3% 10%  
103 4% 7%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0.9% 2%  
106 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8% Majority
86 0.5% 99.6%  
87 0.7% 99.0%  
88 2% 98%  
89 3% 97%  
90 9% 94%  
91 15% 85%  
92 9% 71%  
93 16% 61% Median
94 10% 45%  
95 11% 35%  
96 6% 24%  
97 5% 18%  
98 7% 13%  
99 2% 6%  
100 3% 5%  
101 2% 2%  
102 0.2% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.8% Majority
86 0.5% 99.5%  
87 2% 99.0%  
88 1.2% 97%  
89 5% 96%  
90 4% 91%  
91 9% 87%  
92 19% 78%  
93 10% 59% Median
94 18% 49%  
95 6% 31%  
96 10% 26%  
97 6% 15%  
98 3% 9%  
99 2% 6%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.1% 1.4%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.3% 99.6%  
84 0.5% 99.3%  
85 1.2% 98.8% Majority
86 2% 98%  
87 3% 95%  
88 6% 92%  
89 10% 86%  
90 17% 76%  
91 12% 59% Median
92 18% 47%  
93 8% 29%  
94 9% 21%  
95 5% 12%  
96 3% 8%  
97 2% 5%  
98 1.2% 3%  
99 1.0% 1.3%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.4% 99.9%  
78 0.9% 99.4%  
79 2% 98.5%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 95%  
82 6% 93%  
83 17% 87%  
84 11% 70%  
85 9% 59% Median, Majority
86 8% 50%  
87 7% 42%  
88 9% 34%  
89 9% 25%  
90 4% 17%  
91 8% 13%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.8% 1.3%  
95 0.2% 0.5%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.8%  
76 1.0% 99.5%  
77 1.5% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 3% 95%  
80 7% 93%  
81 19% 86%  
82 11% 67%  
83 8% 56% Median
84 11% 48%  
85 5% 37% Majority
86 8% 32%  
87 9% 24%  
88 4% 16%  
89 8% 12%  
90 3% 4%  
91 0.5% 2%  
92 0.7% 1.1%  
93 0.3% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.8% 99.5%  
76 0.7% 98.7%  
77 3% 98%  
78 8% 96%  
79 4% 87%  
80 9% 83%  
81 9% 75%  
82 7% 66% Median
83 8% 58%  
84 9% 50%  
85 11% 41% Majority
86 17% 30%  
87 6% 13%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.9% 1.5%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 1.0% 99.5%  
70 2% 98%  
71 8% 96%  
72 7% 88%  
73 10% 81%  
74 6% 70%  
75 13% 64% Last Result, Median
76 11% 51%  
77 8% 40%  
78 13% 31%  
79 6% 18%  
80 6% 12%  
81 3% 6%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.4% Majority
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 1.1% 99.7%  
69 2% 98.6%  
70 2% 96%  
71 3% 94%  
72 6% 91%  
73 10% 85%  
74 6% 74% Median
75 18% 69%  
76 10% 51%  
77 19% 41%  
78 9% 22%  
79 4% 13%  
80 5% 9%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.5% 1.0%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
66 0.4% 99.4%  
67 1.5% 99.0%  
68 2% 98%  
69 4% 96%  
70 11% 91%  
71 12% 80%  
72 13% 68%  
73 9% 55% Median
74 10% 46%  
75 9% 36%  
76 6% 27%  
77 12% 21%  
78 6% 10%  
79 2% 4%  
80 1.4% 2%  
81 0.4% 1.0%  
82 0.4% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 1.1% 99.5%  
65 3% 98%  
66 4% 96%  
67 5% 91%  
68 6% 86%  
69 7% 80%  
70 8% 73%  
71 12% 65% Median
72 9% 54%  
73 16% 45%  
74 11% 29%  
75 10% 18%  
76 6% 8%  
77 0.7% 2% Last Result
78 0.7% 1.4%  
79 0.4% 0.7%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 99.7%  
55 0.9% 99.1%  
56 2% 98%  
57 3% 96%  
58 8% 92%  
59 8% 84%  
60 11% 76%  
61 17% 65% Median
62 15% 48% Last Result
63 12% 33%  
64 5% 21%  
65 8% 17%  
66 4% 9%  
67 4% 5%  
68 0.6% 1.4%  
69 0.5% 0.8%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.9% 99.7%  
41 3% 98.8%  
42 3% 96%  
43 6% 93%  
44 4% 87%  
45 16% 83%  
46 11% 67% Median
47 11% 56%  
48 16% 44%  
49 11% 29%  
50 6% 18%  
51 6% 12%  
52 2% 6%  
53 1.0% 4%  
54 1.2% 3%  
55 1.2% 1.5%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.5%  
22 4% 98%  
23 13% 94%  
24 13% 81%  
25 10% 69% Median
26 16% 59%  
27 14% 43%  
28 12% 29%  
29 3% 16% Last Result
30 2% 13%  
31 3% 11%  
32 2% 8%  
33 3% 5%  
34 0.7% 2%  
35 0.9% 1.3%  
36 0.2% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations