Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 21–25 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 26.8% 25.2–28.3% 24.8–28.8% 24.4–29.2% 23.7–30.0%
Høyre 26.8% 24.1% 22.7–25.7% 22.3–26.1% 21.9–26.5% 21.2–27.3%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 16.7% 15.4–18.1% 15.1–18.5% 14.8–18.8% 14.2–19.5%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.2% 10.1–12.4% 9.8–12.7% 9.6–13.0% 9.1–13.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.7% 4.9–6.6% 4.7–6.8% 4.5–7.0% 4.2–7.5%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.6% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.7% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 3.7% 3.1–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.6–5.3%
Venstre 5.2% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.1–4.6%
Rødt 1.1% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 46–52 46–53 45–53 43–55
Høyre 48 44 41–47 40–48 39–48 38–50
Fremskrittspartiet 29 30 29–32 28–32 28–33 26–35
Senterpartiet 10 20 18–23 18–23 17–24 17–25
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 9–12 8–12 8–13 8–14
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 8 7–10 3–10 2–11 1–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 2 2–8 2–8 1–8 1–9
Venstre 9 1 1–2 1–3 0–7 0–8
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.5% 99.9%  
44 1.3% 99.3%  
45 3% 98%  
46 11% 95%  
47 7% 85%  
48 17% 77%  
49 15% 60% Median
50 9% 45%  
51 10% 36%  
52 21% 26%  
53 3% 6%  
54 1.4% 2%  
55 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 2% 99.8%  
39 2% 98%  
40 5% 96%  
41 5% 92%  
42 12% 86%  
43 13% 74%  
44 17% 61% Median
45 15% 44%  
46 19% 30%  
47 4% 11%  
48 4% 6% Last Result
49 2% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 1.1% 99.5%  
28 8% 98%  
29 32% 90% Last Result
30 23% 58% Median
31 15% 35%  
32 15% 19%  
33 3% 5%  
34 1.0% 2%  
35 0.3% 0.6%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 3% 99.5%  
18 8% 96%  
19 20% 88%  
20 23% 68% Median
21 18% 44%  
22 15% 26%  
23 9% 11%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.7% 1.1%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
8 7% 99.5%  
9 17% 93%  
10 30% 75% Median
11 30% 45%  
12 12% 15%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.3% 100% Last Result
2 1.2% 98.7%  
3 4% 97%  
4 3% 94%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 11% 91%  
8 35% 80% Median
9 30% 44%  
10 10% 14%  
11 3% 4%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 3% 99.9%  
2 61% 97% Median
3 8% 36%  
4 0% 28%  
5 0% 28%  
6 0% 28%  
7 15% 28%  
8 11% 13%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 58% 95% Median
2 29% 37%  
3 5% 9%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 3% 4%  
8 1.1% 1.2%  
9 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 36% 100%  
2 63% 64% Median
3 0% 1.4%  
4 0% 1.4%  
5 0% 1.4%  
6 0% 1.4%  
7 0.9% 1.4%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 99 100% 96–104 96–105 95–106 93–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 83 92 99.5% 88–95 87–96 86–97 85–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 90 93% 86–93 84–94 82–95 81–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 97 87 84% 84–91 83–92 82–93 80–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 88 85% 84–92 82–93 80–93 80–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 82 16% 78–85 77–86 76–87 75–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 79 7% 76–83 75–85 74–87 72–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 80 6% 76–83 75–85 74–86 73–87
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 74 0% 71–78 70–80 69–80 67–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 73 0% 70–77 68–78 68–79 66–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 70 0% 66–73 65–74 64–75 63–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 59 0% 56–63 55–63 54–65 54–66
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 49 0% 46–53 45–55 45–56 43–57
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 25 0% 22–30 21–31 21–33 20–34

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.2% 99.9%  
93 0.6% 99.7%  
94 1.3% 99.0%  
95 3% 98%  
96 13% 95%  
97 11% 82% Median
98 8% 71%  
99 16% 62%  
100 5% 46%  
101 14% 41%  
102 9% 27%  
103 6% 18%  
104 3% 11%  
105 4% 8%  
106 3% 4% Last Result
107 0.4% 1.0%  
108 0.3% 0.6%  
109 0.2% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
84 0.3% 99.8%  
85 1.4% 99.5% Majority
86 3% 98%  
87 4% 95%  
88 7% 92%  
89 7% 85% Median
90 14% 78%  
91 9% 65%  
92 11% 56%  
93 17% 44%  
94 11% 27%  
95 10% 15%  
96 3% 6%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.3% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.3% 99.7%  
82 2% 99.4%  
83 0.7% 97%  
84 3% 96%  
85 3% 93% Majority
86 7% 90%  
87 6% 84%  
88 11% 78%  
89 12% 67% Median
90 11% 55%  
91 10% 45%  
92 13% 34%  
93 14% 21%  
94 3% 7%  
95 3% 4%  
96 0.6% 1.4%  
97 0.7% 0.8%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.2% 99.6%  
81 2% 99.4%  
82 1.5% 98%  
83 4% 96%  
84 8% 92%  
85 18% 84% Median, Majority
86 8% 66%  
87 9% 58%  
88 12% 49%  
89 15% 37%  
90 8% 22%  
91 6% 14%  
92 5% 8%  
93 0.9% 3%  
94 2% 2%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 3% 99.6%  
81 0.7% 97%  
82 2% 96%  
83 3% 94%  
84 6% 91%  
85 7% 85% Majority
86 5% 78%  
87 15% 73% Median
88 13% 58%  
89 9% 45%  
90 10% 37%  
91 14% 27%  
92 7% 12%  
93 4% 5%  
94 0.9% 2%  
95 0.7% 0.9%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.6%  
76 0.9% 98%  
77 5% 97%  
78 6% 92%  
79 8% 86%  
80 15% 78%  
81 12% 63% Median
82 9% 51%  
83 8% 42%  
84 18% 34%  
85 8% 16% Majority
86 4% 8%  
87 1.5% 4%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.2% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.7% 99.9%  
73 0.6% 99.2%  
74 3% 98.6%  
75 3% 96%  
76 14% 93%  
77 13% 79% Median
78 10% 66%  
79 11% 55%  
80 12% 45%  
81 11% 33%  
82 6% 22%  
83 7% 16%  
84 3% 10%  
85 3% 7% Majority
86 0.7% 4%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
73 2% 99.7%  
74 0.8% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 9% 95%  
77 6% 86%  
78 13% 80%  
79 13% 67% Median
80 11% 55%  
81 7% 44%  
82 14% 37%  
83 16% 23%  
84 1.4% 7%  
85 3% 6% Majority
86 2% 3%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.7%  
68 1.3% 99.4%  
69 2% 98%  
70 4% 96%  
71 11% 92%  
72 8% 81%  
73 20% 73%  
74 14% 52% Median
75 9% 38%  
76 7% 30%  
77 10% 22% Last Result
78 5% 12%  
79 2% 7%  
80 4% 5%  
81 0.7% 1.0%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 2% 99.3%  
68 3% 98%  
69 4% 94%  
70 11% 91%  
71 8% 80% Median
72 9% 72%  
73 17% 64%  
74 12% 47%  
75 14% 35% Last Result
76 8% 21%  
77 3% 13%  
78 7% 10%  
79 1.4% 3%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.2% 0.6%  
82 0.3% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 1.0% 99.7%  
64 1.3% 98.7%  
65 4% 97% Last Result
66 7% 94%  
67 7% 86%  
68 16% 80%  
69 11% 63% Median
70 6% 52%  
71 20% 46%  
72 12% 26%  
73 8% 14%  
74 3% 6%  
75 1.4% 3%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.8%  
54 2% 99.5%  
55 3% 97%  
56 7% 95%  
57 13% 88%  
58 8% 75%  
59 17% 67% Median
60 12% 50%  
61 10% 37%  
62 11% 28% Last Result
63 13% 17%  
64 2% 5%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.5% 0.7%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.7%  
44 1.3% 99.3%  
45 5% 98%  
46 10% 93%  
47 13% 83% Median
48 13% 70%  
49 19% 57%  
50 11% 39%  
51 8% 27%  
52 6% 20%  
53 6% 14%  
54 2% 8%  
55 3% 6%  
56 3% 3%  
57 0.2% 0.6%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 1.5% 99.8%  
21 3% 98%  
22 11% 95%  
23 12% 84% Median
24 16% 72%  
25 10% 57%  
26 11% 46%  
27 8% 35%  
28 10% 27%  
29 6% 16% Last Result
30 3% 10%  
31 4% 8%  
32 0.8% 4%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.3% 0.6%  
35 0.1% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations