Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 22–28 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 26.5% 25.1–28.0% 24.7–28.4% 24.3–28.8% 23.7–29.5%
Høyre 26.8% 24.0% 22.6–25.5% 22.3–25.9% 21.9–26.3% 21.3–27.0%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 16.0% 14.9–17.3% 14.5–17.7% 14.3–18.0% 13.7–18.6%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.2% 10.2–12.3% 10.0–12.7% 9.7–12.9% 9.3–13.5%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 6.5% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.6% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.1–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.7–5.3%
Venstre 5.2% 3.7% 3.1–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.6–5.1%
Rødt 1.1% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.7–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 46–52 45–53 44–54 43–55
Høyre 48 44 41–47 40–48 39–48 38–50
Fremskrittspartiet 29 30 27–32 26–33 26–33 25–34
Senterpartiet 10 21 19–23 18–23 17–24 16–25
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 12 10–14 10–14 10–14 9–15
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 3 2–9 2–9 2–9 1–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 3 1–8 1–9 1–9 1–10
Venstre 9 2 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 0.5% 99.6%  
44 3% 99.1%  
45 5% 96%  
46 9% 91%  
47 12% 82%  
48 16% 71%  
49 17% 55% Median
50 8% 38%  
51 15% 29%  
52 5% 14%  
53 6% 8%  
54 1.4% 3%  
55 1.0% 1.2% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 1.2% 99.6%  
39 2% 98%  
40 4% 96%  
41 10% 92%  
42 13% 82%  
43 16% 69%  
44 11% 53% Median
45 10% 42%  
46 11% 31%  
47 15% 21%  
48 4% 6% Last Result
49 1.0% 2%  
50 0.7% 1.1%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.6% 99.7%  
26 5% 99.1%  
27 10% 94%  
28 16% 84%  
29 17% 68% Last Result
30 19% 51% Median
31 19% 32%  
32 6% 13%  
33 5% 7%  
34 0.8% 1.2%  
35 0.2% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.4%  
18 6% 97%  
19 13% 91%  
20 25% 78%  
21 20% 53% Median
22 19% 32%  
23 10% 13%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.4% 0.7%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.9%  
10 10% 98.6%  
11 29% 88%  
12 32% 59% Median
13 16% 27%  
14 9% 11%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 39% 98%  
3 14% 59% Median
4 0% 45%  
5 0% 45%  
6 0% 45%  
7 9% 45%  
8 24% 36%  
9 10% 12%  
10 2% 2% Last Result
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 26% 100% Last Result
2 10% 74%  
3 14% 64% Median
4 12% 49%  
5 0% 37%  
6 0% 37%  
7 9% 37%  
8 22% 28%  
9 6% 6%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 18% 99.9%  
2 41% 82% Median
3 13% 40%  
4 0% 28%  
5 0% 28%  
6 0% 28%  
7 10% 28%  
8 15% 17%  
9 2% 2% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 53% 100% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0.1% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 102 100% 98–107 97–108 96–109 94–110
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 90 97% 86–95 85–96 84–97 82–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 87 78% 83–91 82–92 80–94 79–95
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 86 69% 82–90 81–92 80–92 78–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 86 63% 81–90 80–91 79–92 78–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 83 31% 79–87 77–88 77–89 75–91
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 82 22% 78–86 77–87 75–89 74–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 81 17% 77–85 76–87 75–87 74–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 74 0.1% 71–79 69–80 68–80 66–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 73 0% 69–77 68–78 67–79 66–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 70 0% 66–73 65–74 64–75 62–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 60 0% 57–64 56–66 56–66 54–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 52 0% 48–57 46–58 46–59 45–61
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 29 0% 24–34 23–35 23–37 21–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.4% 99.9%  
94 0.4% 99.6%  
95 0.6% 99.1%  
96 2% 98.5%  
97 3% 97%  
98 5% 94%  
99 3% 88%  
100 13% 85% Median
101 13% 72%  
102 12% 59%  
103 9% 47%  
104 10% 38%  
105 7% 28%  
106 9% 21% Last Result
107 6% 12%  
108 3% 6%  
109 2% 3%  
110 0.7% 1.2%  
111 0.3% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.5% 99.8%  
83 0.7% 99.3% Last Result
84 2% 98.6%  
85 2% 97% Majority
86 5% 94%  
87 6% 90%  
88 9% 83% Median
89 16% 74%  
90 9% 58%  
91 11% 49%  
92 10% 38%  
93 8% 29%  
94 9% 21%  
95 4% 12%  
96 5% 8%  
97 1.1% 3%  
98 1.2% 2%  
99 0.5% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.7%  
80 2% 99.4%  
81 1.4% 97%  
82 6% 96%  
83 6% 90%  
84 6% 84%  
85 8% 78% Majority
86 12% 70% Median
87 9% 59%  
88 14% 50%  
89 12% 36%  
90 9% 24%  
91 5% 15%  
92 5% 10%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.4% 3%  
95 0.9% 1.3%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.7%  
79 1.0% 99.3%  
80 1.3% 98%  
81 5% 97%  
82 7% 92% Median
83 5% 85%  
84 12% 80%  
85 11% 69% Majority
86 10% 57%  
87 13% 48%  
88 13% 35%  
89 7% 22%  
90 7% 15%  
91 3% 8%  
92 3% 5%  
93 2% 2%  
94 0.4% 0.7%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.7% 99.6%  
79 2% 98.8%  
80 6% 97%  
81 5% 91%  
82 4% 86%  
83 7% 82%  
84 11% 74%  
85 10% 63% Median, Majority
86 8% 54%  
87 15% 45%  
88 9% 30%  
89 10% 22%  
90 3% 12%  
91 5% 9%  
92 2% 4%  
93 1.2% 2%  
94 0.5% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.7%  
76 2% 99.3%  
77 3% 98%  
78 3% 95%  
79 7% 92%  
80 7% 85%  
81 13% 78%  
82 13% 65%  
83 10% 52% Median
84 11% 43%  
85 12% 31% Majority
86 5% 20%  
87 7% 15%  
88 5% 8%  
89 1.3% 3%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.9% 99.6%  
75 1.4% 98.7%  
76 2% 97%  
77 5% 95%  
78 5% 90%  
79 9% 85% Median
80 12% 76%  
81 14% 64%  
82 9% 50%  
83 12% 41%  
84 8% 30%  
85 6% 22% Majority
86 6% 16%  
87 6% 10%  
88 1.4% 4%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100% Last Result
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.6%  
75 2% 99.0%  
76 3% 97%  
77 4% 94%  
78 8% 89%  
79 11% 82%  
80 9% 70%  
81 13% 61%  
82 9% 49% Median
83 15% 39%  
84 8% 25%  
85 8% 17% Majority
86 4% 9%  
87 3% 5%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.8% 1.2%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 0.8% 99.4%  
68 2% 98.6%  
69 3% 96%  
70 3% 93%  
71 6% 90%  
72 12% 84%  
73 12% 72% Median
74 10% 60%  
75 13% 49% Last Result
76 13% 36%  
77 7% 23%  
78 4% 16%  
79 6% 12%  
80 3% 6%  
81 1.2% 2%  
82 0.9% 1.1%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 1.4% 99.6%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 7% 94%  
70 6% 86%  
71 8% 81%  
72 12% 73%  
73 12% 60%  
74 8% 49% Median
75 11% 41%  
76 8% 29%  
77 14% 22% Last Result
78 4% 8%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.5%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.5% 99.8%  
63 0.9% 99.4%  
64 3% 98%  
65 5% 95% Last Result
66 6% 90%  
67 8% 84%  
68 14% 76%  
69 12% 63%  
70 11% 50% Median
71 13% 40%  
72 12% 27%  
73 7% 15%  
74 4% 8%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.3% 2%  
77 0.6% 0.8%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.4% 99.8%  
55 2% 99.4%  
56 4% 98%  
57 6% 94%  
58 7% 87%  
59 16% 80%  
60 15% 64%  
61 12% 49% Median
62 7% 37% Last Result
63 15% 30%  
64 7% 15%  
65 2% 8%  
66 4% 6%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 0.7% 0.9%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.9% 99.6%  
46 4% 98.7%  
47 2% 95%  
48 4% 92%  
49 8% 88% Median
50 12% 80%  
51 11% 68%  
52 12% 57%  
53 13% 45%  
54 5% 32%  
55 6% 26%  
56 6% 20%  
57 5% 15%  
58 6% 10%  
59 3% 4%  
60 0.7% 1.3%  
61 0.4% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.9%  
22 1.3% 99.5%  
23 4% 98%  
24 9% 94%  
25 8% 85%  
26 6% 77% Median
27 10% 71%  
28 5% 60%  
29 8% 55% Last Result
30 8% 47%  
31 12% 39%  
32 10% 27%  
33 4% 18%  
34 4% 14%  
35 5% 10%  
36 2% 5%  
37 1.2% 3%  
38 1.3% 2%  
39 0.3% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations