Opinion Poll by Norstat for NRK, 24–28 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 26.8% 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 24.4% 22.7–26.2% 22.2–26.7% 21.8–27.2% 21.0–28.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.6% 9.5–12.0% 9.1–12.4% 8.9–12.7% 8.3–13.4%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Venstre 5.2% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.1%
Rødt 1.1% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 48 46 42–49 42–50 41–51 39–53
Arbeiderpartiet 55 45 42–48 41–49 40–49 38–51
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 25–30 24–31 23–31 22–33
Senterpartiet 10 20 17–21 16–22 16–23 15–24
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 12 9–13 9–13 8–14 8–15
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 11 9–13 9–13 8–14 8–14
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 4 2–9 1–9 1–10 1–10
Venstre 9 2 1–3 1–8 1–8 0–9
Rødt 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.5% 99.8%  
40 0.7% 99.2%  
41 2% 98.5%  
42 9% 97%  
43 8% 88%  
44 7% 79%  
45 6% 73%  
46 22% 67% Median
47 14% 45%  
48 19% 31% Last Result
49 5% 12%  
50 3% 7%  
51 2% 4%  
52 1.2% 2%  
53 0.8% 1.1%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.8% 99.9%  
39 0.9% 99.1%  
40 2% 98%  
41 3% 96%  
42 6% 94%  
43 4% 88%  
44 33% 84%  
45 14% 51% Median
46 12% 37%  
47 14% 25%  
48 5% 11%  
49 4% 6%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.5%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 0.4% 99.6%  
23 3% 99.2%  
24 4% 96%  
25 4% 92%  
26 11% 89%  
27 19% 78%  
28 37% 59% Median
29 7% 22% Last Result
30 9% 15%  
31 5% 7%  
32 1.2% 2%  
33 0.4% 0.5%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 0.9% 99.6%  
16 5% 98.7%  
17 6% 94%  
18 25% 88%  
19 8% 63%  
20 39% 55% Median
21 7% 16%  
22 7% 9%  
23 2% 3%  
24 1.0% 1.1%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
8 2% 99.7%  
9 7% 97%  
10 17% 90%  
11 15% 73%  
12 37% 57% Median
13 17% 21%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.0%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.2% 99.9%  
8 3% 99.7%  
9 8% 97%  
10 18% 89% Last Result
11 42% 71% Median
12 11% 28%  
13 14% 17%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 8% 100% Last Result
2 25% 92%  
3 7% 67%  
4 20% 60% Median
5 0% 40%  
6 0% 40%  
7 11% 40%  
8 18% 29%  
9 8% 11%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 30% 98%  
2 38% 68% Median
3 20% 30%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0.1% 9%  
7 4% 9%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.9% 1.0% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 64% 100% Median
2 33% 36%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0.1% 2%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 107 100% 101–109 101–110 100–112 98–115
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 92 99.5% 89–96 88–97 87–98 84–100
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 91 98.9% 88–96 86–98 85–98 83–100
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 88 77% 82–91 81–91 81–92 79–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 81 23% 78–87 78–88 77–88 74–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 80 15% 77–86 76–86 75–87 72–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 77 0.5% 73–80 72–81 71–82 69–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 76 0.1% 72–79 71–80 70–80 67–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 75 0.1% 72–79 70–79 69–80 67–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 74 0.1% 69–77 69–79 68–80 65–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 64 0% 61–67 60–68 59–69 57–71
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 60 0% 55–62 54–64 54–65 52–67
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 56 0% 53–59 52–60 51–61 48–63
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 33 0% 29–35 28–37 28–38 26–40

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 1.0% 99.6%  
99 1.1% 98.6%  
100 2% 98%  
101 6% 96%  
102 3% 89%  
103 8% 86%  
104 7% 78%  
105 6% 71%  
106 8% 66% Last Result
107 12% 58% Median
108 18% 46%  
109 19% 28%  
110 5% 9%  
111 2% 5%  
112 1.4% 3%  
113 0.7% 2%  
114 0.4% 0.9%  
115 0.3% 0.5%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.5% Majority
86 1.2% 99.1%  
87 2% 98%  
88 5% 96%  
89 4% 90%  
90 8% 87%  
91 28% 79% Median
92 21% 51%  
93 7% 30%  
94 8% 23%  
95 4% 15%  
96 4% 11%  
97 3% 7% Last Result
98 2% 4%  
99 1.0% 2%  
100 0.3% 0.6%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.8%  
83 0.2% 99.5% Last Result
84 0.4% 99.3%  
85 1.4% 98.9% Majority
86 3% 97%  
87 4% 95%  
88 6% 91%  
89 4% 85%  
90 16% 81%  
91 21% 65%  
92 16% 44% Median
93 5% 27%  
94 5% 22%  
95 3% 17%  
96 8% 14%  
97 1.2% 7%  
98 3% 6%  
99 1.3% 2%  
100 0.8% 0.9%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.7%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 1.2% 99.2%  
81 5% 98%  
82 7% 93%  
83 4% 85%  
84 4% 82%  
85 5% 77% Majority
86 7% 72%  
87 4% 65% Median
88 21% 61%  
89 25% 41%  
90 5% 16%  
91 7% 10%  
92 2% 4%  
93 1.0% 2%  
94 0.5% 1.2%  
95 0.3% 0.7%  
96 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
74 0.3% 99.6%  
75 0.5% 99.3%  
76 1.0% 98.8%  
77 2% 98%  
78 7% 96%  
79 5% 90%  
80 25% 84%  
81 21% 59%  
82 4% 39% Median
83 7% 35%  
84 5% 28%  
85 4% 23% Majority
86 4% 18%  
87 7% 15%  
88 5% 7%  
89 1.2% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.5%  
73 0.5% 99.3% Last Result
74 0.4% 98.9%  
75 2% 98%  
76 5% 97%  
77 5% 92%  
78 4% 87%  
79 27% 82%  
80 20% 56%  
81 6% 35% Median
82 6% 29%  
83 5% 23%  
84 4% 19%  
85 4% 15% Majority
86 8% 11%  
87 1.5% 3%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.7%  
70 1.0% 99.4%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96% Last Result
73 4% 93%  
74 4% 89%  
75 8% 85%  
76 7% 77%  
77 21% 70%  
78 28% 49% Median
79 8% 21%  
80 4% 13%  
81 5% 10%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.9%  
85 0.3% 0.5% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 1.3% 99.1%  
70 2% 98%  
71 5% 96%  
72 5% 90% Last Result
73 7% 86%  
74 8% 78%  
75 4% 70%  
76 21% 66%  
77 27% 44% Median
78 7% 18%  
79 5% 11%  
80 3% 5%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.2%  
83 0.5% 0.6%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.5% 99.6%  
68 0.5% 99.1%  
69 2% 98.6%  
70 4% 97%  
71 2% 93%  
72 7% 91%  
73 8% 84%  
74 4% 77%  
75 37% 73% Last Result
76 2% 35% Median
77 5% 33%  
78 17% 28%  
79 7% 11%  
80 2% 4%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.4%  
67 1.3% 98.9%  
68 3% 98%  
69 7% 95%  
70 7% 88%  
71 4% 81%  
72 6% 77%  
73 8% 71%  
74 29% 63% Median
75 5% 34%  
76 16% 28%  
77 2% 12% Last Result
78 3% 9%  
79 3% 6%  
80 3% 3%  
81 0.5% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.5% 99.7%  
58 1.2% 99.2%  
59 2% 98%  
60 3% 96%  
61 5% 93%  
62 7% 88%  
63 8% 80%  
64 35% 73%  
65 15% 38% Last Result, Median
66 3% 22%  
67 10% 19%  
68 4% 9%  
69 4% 5%  
70 0.4% 1.0%  
71 0.3% 0.6%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.2% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.6% 99.8%  
53 1.5% 99.2%  
54 6% 98%  
55 5% 92%  
56 9% 87%  
57 5% 78%  
58 3% 73%  
59 6% 69% Median
60 21% 63%  
61 18% 42%  
62 15% 24%  
63 3% 9%  
64 3% 6%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.7% 2%  
67 0.4% 0.9% Last Result
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.6% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.3%  
50 0.8% 99.0%  
51 3% 98%  
52 3% 95%  
53 3% 92%  
54 7% 89%  
55 9% 82%  
56 29% 73%  
57 18% 45% Median
58 2% 26%  
59 16% 24%  
60 5% 8%  
61 1.0% 3%  
62 0.6% 1.5% Last Result
63 0.6% 0.9%  
64 0.1% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.5% 99.8%  
27 2% 99.3%  
28 3% 98%  
29 7% 95% Last Result
30 7% 88%  
31 10% 81%  
32 7% 71%  
33 26% 64% Median
34 22% 38%  
35 7% 16%  
36 4% 9%  
37 1.1% 5%  
38 2% 4%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0.4% 0.8%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations