Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 24–29 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 25.7% 24.2–27.2% 23.8–27.6% 23.5–28.0% 22.8–28.8%
Høyre 26.8% 25.1% 23.7–26.6% 23.3–27.1% 22.9–27.5% 22.3–28.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 16.3% 15.1–17.6% 14.8–18.0% 14.5–18.4% 13.9–19.0%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.4% 9.4–11.5% 9.2–11.8% 8.9–12.1% 8.5–12.7%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 6.5% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.7% 5.3–7.9% 5.0–8.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.0–5.8%
Venstre 5.2% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.1–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.7–5.4%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.6% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.5–5.1%
Rødt 1.1% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.7–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 48 45–50 44–51 43–52 42–53
Høyre 48 46 42–49 41–49 41–50 39–52
Fremskrittspartiet 29 30 28–32 27–33 26–34 25–35
Senterpartiet 10 19 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–23
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 12 10–13 10–14 9–14 9–15
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–9 2–9 2–10 1–10
Venstre 9 3 1–8 1–8 1–9 1–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 2 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 0.7% 99.6%  
43 2% 98.9%  
44 5% 96%  
45 14% 91%  
46 16% 77%  
47 10% 61%  
48 22% 51% Median
49 11% 29%  
50 9% 18%  
51 6% 10%  
52 2% 4%  
53 1.0% 2%  
54 0.4% 0.5%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.5% 99.8%  
40 2% 99.4%  
41 3% 98%  
42 6% 94%  
43 7% 89%  
44 9% 82%  
45 22% 73%  
46 18% 51% Median
47 11% 33%  
48 9% 22% Last Result
49 9% 13%  
50 2% 5%  
51 1.2% 2%  
52 0.9% 1.2%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.8% 99.8%  
26 2% 98.9%  
27 7% 97%  
28 11% 91%  
29 18% 80% Last Result
30 29% 62% Median
31 13% 33%  
32 13% 21%  
33 3% 7%  
34 2% 4%  
35 1.3% 2%  
36 0.3% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 100%  
15 1.2% 99.8%  
16 4% 98.5%  
17 13% 95%  
18 20% 81%  
19 28% 61% Median
20 17% 33%  
21 7% 16%  
22 7% 8%  
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0.1% 100%  
9 3% 99.8%  
10 10% 97%  
11 22% 87%  
12 38% 65% Median
13 17% 27%  
14 7% 10%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.7% 100%  
2 16% 99.3%  
3 14% 83%  
4 0% 70%  
5 0% 69%  
6 0% 69%  
7 11% 69%  
8 38% 59% Median
9 17% 20%  
10 3% 3% Last Result
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 11% 100%  
2 35% 89%  
3 18% 54% Median
4 0% 37%  
5 0% 37%  
6 0% 37%  
7 12% 37%  
8 20% 24%  
9 4% 5% Last Result
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 41% 100% Last Result
2 13% 59% Median
3 25% 47%  
4 2% 21%  
5 0% 19%  
6 0% 19%  
7 9% 19%  
8 9% 11%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 44% 100%  
2 55% 56% Median
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0.2% 0.3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 105 100% 101–109 100–110 99–111 97–112
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 89 94% 85–93 84–94 83–95 81–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 88 81% 83–92 82–93 81–94 79–96
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 86 73% 82–91 81–92 80–93 78–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 83 27% 78–87 77–88 76–89 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 81 19% 77–85 76–86 75–88 74–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 80 6% 76–84 75–85 74–86 72–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 78 3% 74–82 74–84 73–85 71–87
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 76 0.6% 71–79 70–81 69–82 67–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 73 0% 69–76 67–78 66–78 64–80
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 66 0% 63–70 62–71 61–73 60–73
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 59 0% 56–63 55–64 55–64 53–66
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 56 0% 52–61 51–62 50–63 48–65
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 29 0% 25–34 23–35 22–36 21–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.6% 99.7%  
98 0.8% 99.1%  
99 3% 98%  
100 3% 96%  
101 4% 93%  
102 10% 90%  
103 7% 80%  
104 19% 72%  
105 9% 53%  
106 8% 44% Last Result, Median
107 10% 36%  
108 11% 26%  
109 5% 15%  
110 6% 10%  
111 2% 4%  
112 1.4% 2%  
113 0.3% 0.4%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.4% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.5%  
82 0.6% 99.2%  
83 3% 98.6%  
84 2% 96%  
85 8% 94% Majority
86 4% 86%  
87 8% 82%  
88 17% 74%  
89 12% 57% Median
90 9% 45%  
91 11% 37%  
92 9% 25%  
93 8% 16%  
94 5% 8%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.5% 1.3%  
97 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.8%  
80 1.2% 99.5%  
81 0.9% 98%  
82 3% 97%  
83 6% 94% Last Result
84 8% 88%  
85 8% 81% Majority
86 7% 73%  
87 9% 66%  
88 17% 57%  
89 8% 40% Median
90 17% 32%  
91 4% 14%  
92 5% 10%  
93 3% 6%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.9% 1.5%  
96 0.3% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 1.0% 99.7%  
79 0.8% 98.7%  
80 1.2% 98%  
81 3% 97%  
82 10% 94%  
83 5% 83%  
84 5% 79%  
85 16% 73% Majority
86 14% 57%  
87 9% 43% Median
88 8% 34%  
89 8% 26%  
90 6% 18%  
91 5% 12%  
92 4% 7%  
93 3% 3%  
94 0.3% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 3% 99.5%  
77 4% 97%  
78 5% 93%  
79 6% 88%  
80 8% 82%  
81 8% 74%  
82 9% 66%  
83 14% 57% Median
84 16% 43%  
85 5% 27% Majority
86 5% 21%  
87 10% 17%  
88 3% 6%  
89 1.2% 3%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 1.0% 1.3%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
74 0.8% 99.7%  
75 3% 98.9%  
76 4% 96%  
77 8% 91%  
78 5% 83%  
79 9% 79%  
80 10% 70%  
81 13% 60% Median
82 16% 47%  
83 7% 31%  
84 6% 24%  
85 9% 19% Majority
86 5% 10%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
73 0.5% 99.3%  
74 2% 98.7%  
75 5% 97%  
76 8% 92%  
77 9% 84%  
78 11% 75%  
79 9% 63%  
80 12% 55%  
81 17% 43% Median
82 8% 26%  
83 4% 18%  
84 8% 14%  
85 2% 6% Majority
86 3% 4%  
87 0.6% 1.4%  
88 0.3% 0.8%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.6% 99.7%  
72 0.9% 99.1% Last Result
73 3% 98%  
74 7% 95%  
75 8% 88%  
76 11% 81%  
77 11% 69%  
78 10% 58%  
79 18% 48% Median
80 10% 30%  
81 4% 20%  
82 8% 16%  
83 2% 8%  
84 2% 5%  
85 2% 3% Majority
86 0.3% 0.9%  
87 0.4% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 0.6% 99.5%  
69 2% 98.9%  
70 3% 97%  
71 5% 94%  
72 5% 90%  
73 6% 84%  
74 10% 78%  
75 17% 69%  
76 14% 52% Median
77 12% 38% Last Result
78 13% 25%  
79 3% 13%  
80 3% 9%  
81 2% 6%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.4% 1.3%  
84 0.4% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.6% Majority
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 1.1% 99.5%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 4% 94%  
69 5% 90%  
70 8% 86%  
71 9% 78%  
72 12% 69%  
73 15% 57%  
74 10% 42%  
75 17% 32% Last Result, Median
76 5% 15%  
77 4% 10%  
78 3% 5%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 0.9% 1.2%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.6% 99.8%  
61 2% 99.2%  
62 4% 97%  
63 11% 93%  
64 10% 82%  
65 11% 72% Last Result
66 13% 61%  
67 19% 48% Median
68 9% 30%  
69 6% 21%  
70 9% 15%  
71 2% 6%  
72 1.3% 4%  
73 3% 3%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.7% 99.8%  
54 1.4% 99.2%  
55 4% 98%  
56 6% 93%  
57 15% 87%  
58 13% 72%  
59 11% 59%  
60 19% 48% Median
61 8% 29%  
62 10% 21% Last Result
63 5% 11%  
64 3% 6%  
65 1.3% 2%  
66 0.4% 0.9%  
67 0.3% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.8%  
48 0.6% 99.6%  
49 0.8% 99.0%  
50 2% 98%  
51 5% 96%  
52 8% 92%  
53 4% 84%  
54 6% 80%  
55 17% 73%  
56 8% 56%  
57 13% 48% Median
58 9% 35%  
59 8% 26%  
60 9% 19%  
61 4% 10%  
62 4% 6%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.3% 0.9%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.3% 100%  
21 1.2% 99.6%  
22 2% 98%  
23 2% 97%  
24 2% 95%  
25 3% 93%  
26 8% 90%  
27 6% 82%  
28 8% 75%  
29 19% 67% Last Result
30 12% 48% Median
31 8% 36%  
32 8% 29%  
33 6% 20%  
34 8% 14%  
35 3% 7%  
36 1.5% 4%  
37 1.2% 2%  
38 0.7% 1.0%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations