Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 25–30 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 26.7% 25.3–28.2% 25.0–28.6% 24.6–28.9% 24.0–29.6%
Høyre 26.8% 24.7% 23.4–26.2% 23.0–26.6% 22.7–26.9% 22.1–27.6%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 15.4% 14.3–16.6% 14.0–17.0% 13.7–17.3% 13.2–17.9%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.1% 10.2–12.2% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.7% 9.2–13.3%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.6%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.2% 3.6–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.7%
Venstre 5.2% 3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.5–5.0%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.5% 3.0–4.2% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.9%
Rødt 1.1% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 47–52 46–52 45–54 44–56
Høyre 48 47 43–48 42–49 41–50 39–52
Fremskrittspartiet 29 29 27–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
Senterpartiet 10 20 18–22 18–23 17–23 16–24
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 11 10–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 7 2–9 2–9 2–10 1–10
Venstre 9 2 1–7 1–8 1–8 1–9
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.6% 99.8%  
45 3% 99.2%  
46 4% 97%  
47 13% 93%  
48 22% 79%  
49 16% 58% Median
50 5% 41%  
51 10% 36%  
52 22% 26%  
53 1.4% 4%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
56 0.7% 0.8%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.4% 99.8%  
40 0.5% 99.5%  
41 2% 98.9%  
42 3% 97%  
43 7% 95%  
44 6% 88%  
45 14% 82%  
46 14% 68%  
47 20% 54% Median
48 25% 34% Last Result
49 5% 9%  
50 2% 4%  
51 0.6% 2%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 1.1% 99.7%  
25 2% 98.7%  
26 6% 96%  
27 5% 90%  
28 31% 85%  
29 21% 54% Last Result, Median
30 19% 33%  
31 10% 14%  
32 3% 4%  
33 0.7% 0.9%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.7% 100%  
17 3% 99.3%  
18 12% 96%  
19 20% 84%  
20 17% 64% Median
21 28% 47%  
22 13% 19%  
23 4% 6%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 1.3% 100%  
9 6% 98.7%  
10 31% 93%  
11 31% 62% Median
12 25% 31%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 30% 99.2%  
3 5% 69%  
4 0% 64%  
5 0% 64%  
6 0% 64%  
7 18% 64% Median
8 26% 46%  
9 17% 20%  
10 2% 3% Last Result
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 22% 99.9%  
2 43% 78% Median
3 21% 35%  
4 0% 14%  
5 0% 14%  
6 0% 14%  
7 5% 14%  
8 8% 9%  
9 0.9% 0.9% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 53% 100% Last Result, Median
2 8% 47%  
3 16% 39%  
4 3% 23%  
5 0% 21%  
6 0% 21%  
7 6% 21%  
8 12% 14%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 22% 100%  
2 77% 78% Median
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0% 0.7%  
5 0% 0.7%  
6 0% 0.7%  
7 0.5% 0.7%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 103 100% 100–107 99–109 98–109 96–111
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 90 94% 86–93 84–94 83–95 82–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 87 71% 82–90 82–91 81–93 78–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 85 59% 81–90 80–91 80–92 76–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 84 34% 79–88 78–89 78–91 74–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 84 41% 79–88 78–89 77–89 76–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 82 29% 79–87 78–87 76–88 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 80 12% 77–85 76–85 75–86 73–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 75 0.1% 73–79 71–80 70–81 68–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 75 0% 72–78 70–79 69–80 67–82
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 69 0% 67–73 66–73 65–75 63–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 59 0% 57–64 56–64 55–65 54–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 55 0% 51–60 50–60 49–62 47–64
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 29 0% 24–33 24–34 24–35 22–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.4% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.6%  
97 0.2% 99.4%  
98 3% 99.2%  
99 2% 96%  
100 9% 94%  
101 3% 86%  
102 18% 83%  
103 16% 65%  
104 6% 49%  
105 5% 43% Median
106 7% 39% Last Result
107 25% 32%  
108 2% 7%  
109 3% 5%  
110 1.1% 2%  
111 1.1% 1.3%  
112 0.2% 0.3%  
113 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 2% 99.8%  
83 2% 98% Last Result
84 2% 96%  
85 1.4% 94% Majority
86 12% 92%  
87 17% 80%  
88 6% 63% Median
89 4% 56%  
90 16% 52%  
91 11% 36%  
92 6% 25%  
93 11% 19%  
94 4% 8%  
95 2% 4%  
96 1.0% 2%  
97 0.4% 0.8%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.4%  
80 1.1% 99.2%  
81 2% 98%  
82 7% 96%  
83 4% 90%  
84 15% 86%  
85 7% 71% Majority
86 10% 63% Median
87 8% 54%  
88 12% 46%  
89 13% 34%  
90 14% 20%  
91 1.4% 6%  
92 2% 5%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.9% 1.4%  
95 0.1% 0.5%  
96 0.4% 0.4%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.7% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.2%  
78 0.6% 99.1%  
79 0.8% 98%  
80 7% 98%  
81 6% 90%  
82 10% 84%  
83 6% 73% Median
84 9% 67%  
85 9% 59% Majority
86 17% 50%  
87 7% 33%  
88 10% 25%  
89 3% 15%  
90 7% 13%  
91 1.3% 5%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.6% 1.0%  
94 0.4% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.7% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.2%  
76 0.5% 99.2%  
77 0.8% 98.7%  
78 8% 98%  
79 4% 90%  
80 13% 87%  
81 4% 74% Median
82 12% 71%  
83 7% 59%  
84 18% 52%  
85 6% 34% Majority
86 11% 28%  
87 3% 17%  
88 7% 13%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.3% 4%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.6% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.6% 99.5%  
77 3% 99.0%  
78 1.3% 96%  
79 7% 95%  
80 3% 87%  
81 10% 85%  
82 7% 75%  
83 17% 67%  
84 9% 50%  
85 9% 41% Median, Majority
86 6% 33%  
87 10% 27%  
88 6% 16%  
89 7% 10%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.2% 0.9%  
93 0.7% 0.8%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0.4% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.5%  
76 2% 98.6%  
77 2% 97%  
78 1.4% 95%  
79 14% 94%  
80 13% 80%  
81 12% 66%  
82 8% 54% Median
83 10% 46%  
84 7% 37%  
85 15% 29% Majority
86 4% 14%  
87 7% 10%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.8%  
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.4% 100%  
72 0% 99.6% Last Result
73 0.8% 99.6%  
74 0.5% 98.7%  
75 2% 98%  
76 2% 96%  
77 13% 94%  
78 12% 81%  
79 12% 69%  
80 9% 57% Median
81 10% 48%  
82 7% 38%  
83 15% 31%  
84 3% 15%  
85 8% 12% Majority
86 2% 4%  
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.1%  
89 0.4% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.5% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.5%  
70 3% 99.2%  
71 3% 97%  
72 2% 93%  
73 10% 91%  
74 10% 81%  
75 29% 71% Last Result
76 15% 43% Median
77 7% 28%  
78 10% 20%  
79 3% 10%  
80 3% 7%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.7% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.8%  
68 0.8% 99.2%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 2% 94%  
72 6% 91%  
73 15% 85%  
74 11% 71%  
75 17% 60%  
76 6% 43% Median
77 12% 36% Last Result
78 17% 24%  
79 5% 7%  
80 0.4% 3%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 1.3% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 98.6%  
65 2% 98% Last Result
66 3% 96%  
67 15% 94%  
68 24% 78%  
69 6% 55% Median
70 10% 49%  
71 14% 38%  
72 10% 24%  
73 10% 15%  
74 1.4% 4%  
75 2% 3%  
76 0.4% 1.2%  
77 0.4% 0.8%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.9% 99.9%  
55 2% 99.0%  
56 2% 97%  
57 12% 95%  
58 8% 83%  
59 25% 75%  
60 7% 50% Median
61 10% 43%  
62 6% 33% Last Result
63 6% 27%  
64 17% 21%  
65 2% 4%  
66 1.0% 2%  
67 0.4% 0.7%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.5% 99.9%  
48 1.3% 99.4%  
49 2% 98%  
50 2% 96%  
51 9% 94%  
52 6% 85%  
53 20% 79%  
54 5% 59%  
55 6% 54%  
56 17% 48% Median
57 5% 31%  
58 10% 26%  
59 4% 16%  
60 8% 12%  
61 1.0% 4%  
62 1.0% 3%  
63 0.5% 2%  
64 1.0% 1.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.6% 99.9%  
23 0.7% 99.3%  
24 12% 98.6%  
25 8% 86%  
26 4% 78%  
27 5% 74%  
28 5% 70%  
29 21% 64% Last Result, Median
30 16% 44%  
31 7% 28%  
32 11% 21%  
33 3% 10%  
34 3% 8%  
35 2% 4%  
36 0.6% 2%  
37 0.7% 1.4%  
38 0.5% 0.7%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations