Opinion Poll by InFact for VG, 31 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 29.0% 27.7–30.3% 27.4–30.7% 27.1–31.0% 26.4–31.6%
Høyre 26.8% 21.5% 20.3–22.7% 20.0–23.0% 19.7–23.3% 19.2–23.9%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.2% 10.3–12.1% 10.1–12.4% 9.9–12.6% 9.5–13.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.1%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.7–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.3–7.0%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.8% 4.2–5.4% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.1%
Venstre 5.2% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6%
Rødt 1.1% 3.1% 2.7–3.7% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 54 51–55 50–56 50–57 48–60
Høyre 48 37 36–40 35–41 35–42 34–43
Fremskrittspartiet 29 24 22–26 21–26 20–27 19–28
Senterpartiet 10 20 18–22 18–22 17–23 17–24
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 12 11–13 10–13 10–14 9–14
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 9 8–10 7–10 3–10 3–11
Venstre 9 2 1–3 1–7 1–7 1–8
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.5% 99.7%  
49 1.1% 99.2%  
50 5% 98%  
51 9% 94%  
52 9% 85%  
53 13% 76%  
54 51% 63% Median
55 5% 12% Last Result
56 4% 7%  
57 1.3% 3%  
58 0.8% 1.5%  
59 0.1% 0.7%  
60 0.6% 0.6%  
61 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 1.1% 99.8%  
35 5% 98.8%  
36 7% 94%  
37 40% 87% Median
38 19% 47%  
39 8% 28%  
40 14% 20%  
41 4% 7%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.6% 0.8%  
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.6% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.3%  
21 6% 97%  
22 14% 92%  
23 22% 77%  
24 38% 56% Median
25 5% 18%  
26 9% 13%  
27 3% 4%  
28 0.6% 0.8%  
29 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
30 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.3% 100%  
17 3% 99.7%  
18 9% 97%  
19 22% 87%  
20 37% 65% Median
21 13% 28%  
22 9% 14%  
23 4% 5%  
24 0.5% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 1.1% 100%  
10 5% 98.9%  
11 21% 94%  
12 55% 73% Median
13 14% 18%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.2% 99.9%  
8 3% 99.7%  
9 47% 97% Median
10 24% 49% Last Result
11 24% 26%  
12 1.2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100% Last Result
2 0.3% 99.9%  
3 4% 99.6%  
4 0.1% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 5% 96%  
8 35% 91%  
9 45% 55% Median
10 9% 10%  
11 0.9% 1.0%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 18% 99.7%  
2 65% 82% Median
3 9% 17%  
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0% 8%  
7 7% 8%  
8 0.9% 1.0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 82% 83% Median
3 0% 1.4%  
4 0% 1.4%  
5 0% 1.4%  
6 0% 1.4%  
7 1.1% 1.4%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 104 100% 100–105 100–106 98–107 97–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 96 100% 92–97 91–98 90–99 89–100
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 93 100% 91–97 91–97 89–98 88–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 94 99.9% 90–95 89–96 88–97 87–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 88 85% 84–89 83–90 82–91 80–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 86 74% 82–87 81–88 81–89 79–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 83 24% 81–85 79–86 79–87 77–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 81 15% 80–85 79–86 78–87 77–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 73 0% 72–77 71–78 70–79 69–80
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 74 0% 70–75 70–76 69–77 68–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 66 0% 63–67 62–68 61–68 59–71
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 61 0% 59–64 58–66 57–66 56–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 50 0% 48–53 48–54 47–54 45–56
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 32 0% 30–34 29–35 29–36 28–39

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.3% 99.8%  
97 1.3% 99.6%  
98 1.2% 98%  
99 2% 97%  
100 6% 95%  
101 7% 89%  
102 11% 82%  
103 11% 71%  
104 31% 60% Median
105 20% 29%  
106 5% 9%  
107 3% 4%  
108 1.0% 1.5%  
109 0.4% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.3% 99.9%  
89 1.4% 99.6%  
90 0.8% 98%  
91 4% 97%  
92 8% 94%  
93 3% 86%  
94 7% 83%  
95 18% 76%  
96 12% 58%  
97 38% 46% Median
98 4% 8%  
99 4% 5%  
100 0.6% 1.1%  
101 0.2% 0.5%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 2% 99.5%  
90 2% 97%  
91 9% 96%  
92 29% 86% Median
93 16% 57%  
94 13% 41%  
95 9% 28%  
96 8% 19%  
97 7% 11%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.9% 2%  
100 0.6% 1.4%  
101 0.2% 0.7%  
102 0.5% 0.5%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9% Majority
86 0.3% 99.9%  
87 0.7% 99.6%  
88 2% 98.9%  
89 2% 97%  
90 8% 95%  
91 4% 87%  
92 5% 83%  
93 16% 79%  
94 16% 62%  
95 38% 46% Median
96 3% 8%  
97 3% 5%  
98 2% 2%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.7% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.2%  
82 2% 98.9%  
83 3% 97%  
84 9% 94%  
85 3% 85% Majority
86 7% 81%  
87 21% 74%  
88 36% 53% Median
89 11% 18%  
90 3% 7%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.8% 1.2%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.8% 99.8%  
80 1.2% 99.0%  
81 3% 98%  
82 6% 94%  
83 7% 88%  
84 7% 82%  
85 17% 74% Majority
86 41% 58% Median
87 10% 17%  
88 4% 7%  
89 1.2% 3%  
90 2% 2%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.9% 99.8%  
78 0.6% 98.9%  
79 4% 98%  
80 3% 95%  
81 10% 92%  
82 11% 82%  
83 36% 70% Median
84 11% 34%  
85 16% 24% Majority
86 4% 8%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.7% 0.8%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 99.5%  
78 2% 98.8%  
79 3% 97%  
80 11% 93%  
81 36% 82% Median
82 21% 47%  
83 7% 26%  
84 3% 19%  
85 9% 15% Majority
86 3% 6%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.3% 1.1%  
89 0.7% 0.8%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 0.6% 99.5%  
70 4% 98.9%  
71 4% 95%  
72 38% 92% Median
73 12% 54%  
74 18% 42%  
75 7% 24%  
76 3% 17%  
77 8% 14%  
78 4% 6%  
79 0.8% 3%  
80 1.4% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 1.1% 99.8%  
69 2% 98.7%  
70 7% 97%  
71 5% 90%  
72 8% 85%  
73 22% 77%  
74 37% 55% Median
75 11% 18%  
76 3% 8%  
77 3% 4%  
78 0.6% 1.4%  
79 0.7% 0.8%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.8% 99.8%  
60 0.4% 99.0%  
61 2% 98.6%  
62 4% 96% Last Result
63 10% 92%  
64 16% 82%  
65 8% 67%  
66 39% 59% Median
67 12% 20%  
68 5% 8%  
69 0.9% 2%  
70 0.7% 1.4%  
71 0.6% 0.8%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.9%  
56 0.8% 99.6%  
57 2% 98.8%  
58 4% 97%  
59 10% 93%  
60 11% 84%  
61 36% 73% Median
62 13% 37%  
63 6% 25%  
64 9% 18%  
65 4% 9%  
66 3% 5%  
67 1.5% 2%  
68 0.5% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.9%  
46 1.1% 99.4%  
47 3% 98%  
48 34% 95% Median
49 10% 62%  
50 10% 52%  
51 22% 42%  
52 9% 21%  
53 7% 12%  
54 3% 5%  
55 1.0% 2%  
56 0.4% 0.8%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.5%  
29 4% 98% Last Result
30 10% 93%  
31 30% 84% Median
32 16% 54%  
33 20% 38%  
34 9% 18%  
35 5% 9%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.5% 2%  
38 0.5% 1.0%  
39 0.4% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations