Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 28–31 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 27.1% 25.7–28.5% 25.3–28.9% 24.9–29.3% 24.3–30.0%
Høyre 26.8% 24.9% 23.6–26.4% 23.2–26.8% 22.9–27.1% 22.2–27.8%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.8% 13.7–16.0% 13.4–16.4% 13.2–16.7% 12.7–17.3%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.1% 10.1–12.2% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.7% 9.2–13.3%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5%
Venstre 5.2% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.7–5.2%
Rødt 1.1% 3.3% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.7%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 50 47–54 47–55 46–55 45–58
Høyre 48 46 43–49 42–50 41–51 40–52
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 26–31 25–31 25–31 23–33
Senterpartiet 10 20 19–22 18–23 18–24 17–25
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 7 2–9 2–10 2–10 1–10
Venstre 9 3 1–8 1–9 1–9 1–10
Rødt 0 2 2 2–8 1–8 1–8
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–3 1–4 1–8 1–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 1.4% 99.8%  
46 2% 98%  
47 7% 96%  
48 5% 89%  
49 19% 83%  
50 17% 64% Median
51 11% 47%  
52 14% 36%  
53 7% 22%  
54 8% 15%  
55 5% 6% Last Result
56 0.4% 1.3%  
57 0.2% 0.9%  
58 0.6% 0.7%  
59 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 1.3% 99.8%  
41 2% 98%  
42 2% 96%  
43 4% 94%  
44 7% 90%  
45 27% 83%  
46 12% 55% Median
47 13% 43%  
48 8% 30% Last Result
49 14% 22%  
50 4% 7%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.8% 1.2%  
53 0.1% 0.4%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.9% 99.9%  
24 1.3% 99.0%  
25 7% 98%  
26 9% 90%  
27 17% 82%  
28 38% 64% Median
29 10% 26% Last Result
30 6% 17%  
31 9% 10%  
32 0.5% 1.1%  
33 0.5% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 1.1% 99.7%  
18 5% 98.5%  
19 15% 93%  
20 36% 78% Median
21 17% 42%  
22 15% 25%  
23 6% 10%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.9% 1.0%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.4% 100%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
8 8% 99.1%  
9 35% 91%  
10 28% 56% Median
11 22% 28%  
12 4% 6%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 35% 99.5%  
3 6% 64%  
4 0% 58%  
5 0% 58%  
6 0% 58%  
7 16% 58% Median
8 27% 43%  
9 10% 15%  
10 5% 5% Last Result
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 13% 100%  
2 28% 87%  
3 21% 59% Median
4 0% 38%  
5 0% 38%  
6 0% 38%  
7 6% 38%  
8 24% 31%  
9 6% 7% Last Result
10 0.6% 0.6%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 86% 95% Median
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 3% 10%  
8 7% 7%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 81% 100% Last Result, Median
2 7% 19%  
3 7% 12%  
4 1.4% 5%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 1.0% 4%  
8 2% 3%  
9 0.6% 0.6%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 105 100% 100–108 99–109 97–110 97–111
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 88 91% 85–92 82–93 82–94 80–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 85 53% 81–91 81–91 80–91 78–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 86 64% 80–89 79–90 79–91 77–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 83 36% 80–89 79–90 78–90 76–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 84 47% 78–88 78–88 78–89 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 82 29% 79–86 78–89 77–89 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 81 13% 77–85 76–88 76–88 73–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 77 0.3% 73–80 71–81 70–82 69–84
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 74 0% 71–78 69–78 69–79 66–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 71 0% 68–75 67–77 66–77 64–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 60 0% 57–65 56–66 55–66 54–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 56 0% 50–60 49–61 49–62 48–65
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 31 0% 25–35 23–36 23–38 22–39

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.3% 99.8%  
97 3% 99.6%  
98 1.1% 97%  
99 2% 95%  
100 9% 93%  
101 3% 84%  
102 9% 81%  
103 7% 72%  
104 7% 65% Median
105 14% 58%  
106 9% 43% Last Result
107 14% 35%  
108 14% 21%  
109 3% 7%  
110 2% 4%  
111 2% 2%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 1.1% 99.7%  
81 0.7% 98.6%  
82 4% 98%  
83 1.0% 94% Last Result
84 2% 93%  
85 7% 91% Majority
86 15% 83%  
87 11% 68%  
88 19% 57% Median
89 6% 39%  
90 8% 33%  
91 13% 25%  
92 5% 12%  
93 3% 7%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.1%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.4% 99.9%  
78 0.5% 99.5%  
79 1.5% 99.0%  
80 2% 98%  
81 14% 95%  
82 16% 81%  
83 7% 65% Median
84 5% 58%  
85 12% 53% Majority
86 7% 42%  
87 10% 35%  
88 9% 25%  
89 2% 15%  
90 2% 13%  
91 9% 11%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 0.4% 1.0%  
94 0.5% 0.6%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.4% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 0.2% 99.3%  
79 8% 99.1%  
80 2% 91%  
81 1.2% 88%  
82 6% 87%  
83 12% 81%  
84 5% 70%  
85 12% 64% Median, Majority
86 5% 52%  
87 9% 47%  
88 15% 38%  
89 15% 24%  
90 4% 8%  
91 2% 4%  
92 0.9% 2%  
93 0.6% 1.1%  
94 0.4% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.6% 99.5%  
77 0.9% 98.9%  
78 2% 98%  
79 4% 96%  
80 15% 92%  
81 15% 76%  
82 9% 62% Median
83 5% 53%  
84 12% 47%  
85 5% 36% Majority
86 12% 30%  
87 6% 19%  
88 1.2% 13%  
89 2% 12%  
90 8% 9%  
91 0.2% 0.9%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.4% 0.4%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.4%  
77 0.7% 99.0%  
78 9% 98%  
79 2% 89%  
80 2% 87%  
81 9% 85%  
82 10% 75%  
83 7% 65%  
84 12% 58% Median
85 5% 47% Majority
86 7% 42%  
87 16% 35%  
88 14% 19%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.5% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.0%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.8%  
76 0.8% 99.3%  
77 2% 98.5%  
78 2% 96%  
79 16% 94%  
80 16% 78%  
81 5% 62% Median
82 8% 57%  
83 13% 48%  
84 6% 35%  
85 9% 29% Majority
86 9% 19%  
87 2% 10%  
88 0.7% 8%  
89 7% 7%  
90 0.4% 0.9%  
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100% Last Result
73 0.4% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.4%  
75 1.2% 98.7%  
76 4% 98%  
77 5% 94%  
78 16% 89%  
79 15% 73%  
80 7% 58% Median
81 8% 51%  
82 13% 43%  
83 5% 30%  
84 11% 24%  
85 6% 13% Majority
86 1.0% 8%  
87 0.8% 7%  
88 6% 6%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 2% 99.6%  
70 1.1% 98%  
71 3% 97%  
72 4% 94%  
73 2% 90%  
74 7% 88%  
75 15% 81% Last Result
76 15% 66%  
77 10% 51% Median
78 13% 41%  
79 9% 29%  
80 10% 20%  
81 4% 9%  
82 3% 5%  
83 0.9% 1.5%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.3% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.2%  
68 1.2% 98.9%  
69 3% 98%  
70 4% 95%  
71 7% 91%  
72 8% 84%  
73 25% 76%  
74 4% 51% Median
75 14% 47%  
76 10% 33%  
77 12% 22% Last Result
78 7% 10%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 0.9% 2%  
81 1.0% 1.2%  
82 0% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.7% 99.9%  
65 0.9% 99.2% Last Result
66 3% 98%  
67 4% 95%  
68 4% 91%  
69 19% 87%  
70 15% 68% Median
71 5% 52%  
72 16% 47%  
73 15% 30%  
74 3% 15%  
75 4% 12%  
76 2% 8%  
77 5% 7%  
78 0.7% 1.2%  
79 0.4% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.6% 99.7%  
55 3% 99.1%  
56 3% 96%  
57 6% 93%  
58 17% 87%  
59 13% 70%  
60 10% 57% Median
61 15% 46%  
62 7% 32% Last Result
63 9% 25%  
64 6% 16%  
65 4% 10%  
66 5% 6%  
67 0.5% 1.3%  
68 0.7% 0.7%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.5% 99.7%  
49 5% 99.2%  
50 5% 94%  
51 6% 89%  
52 3% 83%  
53 8% 80%  
54 3% 72%  
55 7% 68%  
56 12% 61% Median
57 8% 49%  
58 5% 41%  
59 6% 36%  
60 23% 30%  
61 5% 7%  
62 1.0% 3%  
63 0.5% 2%  
64 0.3% 1.1%  
65 0.7% 0.8%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.6% 99.9%  
23 4% 99.3%  
24 3% 95%  
25 12% 92%  
26 4% 80%  
27 2% 76%  
28 3% 74%  
29 4% 70% Last Result
30 11% 66% Median
31 10% 54%  
32 11% 44%  
33 8% 34%  
34 2% 25%  
35 18% 24%  
36 2% 6%  
37 2% 5%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.7% 0.9%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations