Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 29 August–1 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 26.1% 24.7–27.5% 24.3–28.0% 24.0–28.3% 23.4–29.0%
Høyre 26.8% 26.1% 24.7–27.5% 24.3–28.0% 24.0–28.3% 23.4–29.0%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.7% 13.6–15.9% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.5% 12.5–17.1%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.4% 9.6–12.6% 9.1–13.2%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.3%
Venstre 5.2% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.1–5.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.8% 2.7–5.2%
Rødt 1.1% 3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–5.0%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 46–52 45–53 45–53 44–54
Høyre 48 48 45–52 44–53 42–54 40–55
Fremskrittspartiet 29 27 25–29 24–30 24–30 23–32
Senterpartiet 10 21 18–23 18–23 17–23 16–24
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 9 8–10 2–10 2–11 2–12
Venstre 9 8 2–9 2–9 2–10 1–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 2 2–8 2–8 1–9 1–9
Rødt 0 2 2–8 2–8 2–8 1–9
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–7 1–7 1–8 1–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 0.8% 99.6%  
45 4% 98.8%  
46 8% 95%  
47 11% 87%  
48 19% 77%  
49 20% 57% Median
50 16% 38%  
51 9% 21%  
52 6% 12%  
53 5% 6%  
54 1.3% 2%  
55 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.4% 99.9%  
41 0.8% 99.5%  
42 1.3% 98.7%  
43 2% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 7% 93%  
46 8% 86%  
47 20% 78%  
48 14% 58% Last Result, Median
49 14% 44%  
50 9% 30%  
51 3% 21%  
52 12% 18%  
53 2% 6%  
54 3% 4%  
55 0.8% 1.0%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 1.3% 99.8%  
24 7% 98%  
25 8% 92%  
26 13% 84%  
27 21% 70% Median
28 34% 49%  
29 9% 15% Last Result
30 4% 6%  
31 1.0% 2%  
32 0.5% 0.7%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.1% 99.9%  
16 0.8% 99.8%  
17 3% 99.0%  
18 8% 96%  
19 17% 88%  
20 17% 71%  
21 26% 54% Median
22 15% 28%  
23 12% 14%  
24 0.8% 1.3%  
25 0.3% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 5% 99.7%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 3% 95% Last Result
8 34% 92%  
9 30% 57% Median
10 23% 27%  
11 3% 4%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.9% 100%  
2 19% 99.1%  
3 17% 80%  
4 0% 63%  
5 0% 63%  
6 0% 63%  
7 7% 63%  
8 24% 56% Median
9 28% 33% Last Result
10 4% 5%  
11 1.1% 1.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 53% 97% Median
3 19% 44%  
4 0% 25%  
5 0% 25%  
6 0.1% 25%  
7 9% 25%  
8 13% 15%  
9 2% 3%  
10 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 100%  
2 73% 98.8% Median
3 0% 26%  
4 0% 26%  
5 0% 26%  
6 0.2% 26%  
7 10% 26%  
8 14% 16%  
9 1.3% 1.4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 61% 100% Last Result, Median
2 8% 39%  
3 19% 31%  
4 0.6% 12%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0.1% 11%  
7 7% 11%  
8 3% 4%  
9 0.7% 0.7%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 106 106 100% 101–110 100–111 98–112 97–115
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 88 81% 83–92 83–93 81–94 81–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 86 61% 80–90 80–91 79–92 76–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 83 37% 79–89 78–89 78–91 76–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 83 39% 79–89 78–89 77–90 74–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 81 19% 77–86 76–86 75–88 72–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 80 9% 76–84 75–87 73–87 70–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 79 0.5% 74–82 72–84 71–84 69–85
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 75 0.1% 71–80 70–80 69–82 68–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 73 0% 69–77 68–78 67–78 66–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 70 0% 66–73 65–74 64–74 62–76
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 67 59 0% 53–63 52–64 52–65 50–68
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 58 0% 54–61 53–62 51–63 48–64
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 29 30 0% 25–35 25–36 24–37 23–39

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.9% 99.7%  
98 1.4% 98.8%  
99 2% 97%  
100 4% 96%  
101 5% 92%  
102 5% 87%  
103 9% 82%  
104 11% 74%  
105 5% 63%  
106 15% 58% Last Result, Median
107 9% 43%  
108 9% 34%  
109 5% 24%  
110 12% 20%  
111 4% 8%  
112 2% 4%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.3% 1.1%  
115 0.3% 0.8%  
116 0% 0.5%  
117 0.4% 0.5%  
118 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.3% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 3% 99.5%  
82 2% 97%  
83 6% 95%  
84 9% 89%  
85 5% 81% Majority
86 10% 75% Median
87 11% 66%  
88 25% 55%  
89 7% 30%  
90 5% 22%  
91 4% 17%  
92 6% 13%  
93 3% 7%  
94 2% 4%  
95 1.0% 2%  
96 0.8% 1.3%  
97 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.5%  
78 0.7% 99.2%  
79 2% 98%  
80 8% 97%  
81 4% 88%  
82 3% 84%  
83 12% 81%  
84 8% 69%  
85 11% 61% Median, Majority
86 9% 51%  
87 20% 42%  
88 6% 22%  
89 5% 16%  
90 4% 11%  
91 4% 7%  
92 1.5% 3%  
93 0.9% 2%  
94 0.3% 0.9%  
95 0.4% 0.7%  
96 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.4%  
78 3% 98%  
79 4% 94%  
80 8% 90%  
81 4% 82%  
82 12% 77% Median
83 18% 65% Last Result
84 10% 47%  
85 5% 37% Majority
86 13% 32%  
87 3% 19%  
88 4% 16%  
89 6% 11%  
90 2% 5%  
91 1.0% 3%  
92 0.4% 2%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 1.3% 1.4%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100% Last Result
74 0.4% 99.8%  
75 0.3% 99.3%  
76 0.9% 99.1%  
77 1.5% 98%  
78 4% 97%  
79 4% 93%  
80 5% 89%  
81 6% 84%  
82 20% 78% Median
83 9% 58%  
84 11% 49%  
85 8% 39% Majority
86 12% 31%  
87 3% 19%  
88 4% 16%  
89 8% 12%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.8%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
73 0.8% 99.4%  
74 1.0% 98.7%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 6% 93%  
78 4% 87%  
79 5% 83%  
80 7% 78%  
81 25% 70% Median
82 11% 45%  
83 10% 34%  
84 5% 25%  
85 9% 19% Majority
86 6% 11%  
87 2% 5%  
88 3% 3%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.3% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.6% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 0.7% 99.1%  
73 1.1% 98% Last Result
74 1.2% 97%  
75 3% 96%  
76 6% 93%  
77 6% 87%  
78 12% 81%  
79 7% 69%  
80 21% 63% Median
81 11% 42%  
82 8% 31%  
83 6% 23%  
84 8% 17%  
85 2% 9% Majority
86 2% 8%  
87 5% 6%  
88 0.5% 0.8%  
89 0% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.9% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.0%  
71 1.1% 98%  
72 2% 97% Last Result
73 3% 95%  
74 4% 91%  
75 7% 87%  
76 8% 80%  
77 10% 71%  
78 9% 61%  
79 25% 52% Median
80 12% 27%  
81 5% 15%  
82 2% 10%  
83 3% 8%  
84 5% 5%  
85 0.3% 0.5% Majority
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 1.1% 99.7%  
69 2% 98.6%  
70 4% 97%  
71 4% 93%  
72 7% 89%  
73 7% 82%  
74 9% 75%  
75 18% 66% Median
76 17% 48%  
77 4% 31% Last Result
78 6% 27%  
79 9% 21%  
80 7% 11%  
81 0.9% 4%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.4% 1.0%  
84 0.5% 0.6%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 2% 99.4%  
68 3% 97%  
69 6% 94%  
70 6% 88%  
71 15% 83%  
72 10% 68% Median
73 11% 58%  
74 19% 47%  
75 8% 28% Last Result
76 9% 20%  
77 4% 11%  
78 5% 7%  
79 1.0% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.3%  
81 0.3% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.4% 99.7%  
63 0.9% 99.4%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 96% Last Result
66 5% 92%  
67 10% 88%  
68 11% 78%  
69 17% 67%  
70 13% 50% Median
71 19% 37%  
72 6% 18%  
73 4% 11%  
74 6% 8%  
75 0.6% 1.4%  
76 0.4% 0.8%  
77 0.3% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.6% 99.8%  
51 1.4% 99.2%  
52 4% 98%  
53 5% 94%  
54 4% 89%  
55 7% 85%  
56 8% 78%  
57 13% 70%  
58 6% 57% Median
59 22% 51%  
60 6% 29%  
61 7% 23%  
62 4% 16%  
63 5% 12%  
64 4% 7%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.6% 1.4%  
67 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
68 0.5% 0.5%  
69 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.6% 99.8%  
49 0.6% 99.2%  
50 0.3% 98.7%  
51 1.3% 98%  
52 1.5% 97%  
53 2% 96%  
54 5% 93%  
55 7% 88%  
56 18% 82%  
57 11% 63%  
58 19% 52% Median
59 10% 33%  
60 12% 24%  
61 2% 11%  
62 6% 9% Last Result
63 2% 3%  
64 0.2% 0.5%  
65 0.2% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.6% 99.7%  
24 2% 99.1%  
25 8% 97%  
26 12% 90%  
27 4% 78%  
28 4% 74%  
29 9% 70% Last Result
30 13% 61%  
31 11% 48% Median
32 10% 37%  
33 3% 27%  
34 6% 23%  
35 10% 17%  
36 3% 7%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.3% 2%  
39 0.9% 1.2%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations