Opinion Poll by InFact for VG, 4 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 29.3% 28.0–30.6% 27.7–31.0% 27.4–31.3% 26.8–31.9%
Høyre 26.8% 23.4% 22.3–24.6% 21.9–25.0% 21.6–25.3% 21.1–25.9%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.8% 11.9–13.8% 11.6–14.1% 11.4–14.3% 11.0–14.8%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.3–6.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.4–6.0% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.5%
Venstre 5.2% 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.7% 3.2–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.7% 3.2–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
Rødt 1.1% 3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.6% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 54 51–57 51–58 50–58 49–59
Høyre 48 42 39–45 38–45 38–47 36–47
Fremskrittspartiet 29 23 21–26 21–27 20–28 19–28
Senterpartiet 10 18 16–19 16–20 15–20 14–21
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 2–11
Venstre 9 6 2–8 2–8 1–8 1–9
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 3 1–8 1–8 1–9 1–9
Rødt 0 2 2–7 2–8 2–8 2–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.3% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.7%  
49 1.3% 99.6%  
50 3% 98%  
51 6% 96%  
52 6% 90%  
53 29% 84%  
54 24% 55% Median
55 11% 31% Last Result
56 8% 20%  
57 6% 12%  
58 4% 5%  
59 0.9% 1.4%  
60 0.3% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.5% 100%  
37 2% 99.5%  
38 7% 98%  
39 5% 91%  
40 12% 86%  
41 22% 73%  
42 7% 52% Median
43 19% 45%  
44 6% 26%  
45 15% 20%  
46 2% 5%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.9% 99.8%  
20 2% 99.0%  
21 12% 97%  
22 9% 84%  
23 31% 75% Median
24 9% 44%  
25 19% 35%  
26 9% 16%  
27 4% 7%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 0.8% 99.7%  
15 4% 98.9%  
16 10% 95%  
17 21% 85%  
18 26% 64% Median
19 31% 38%  
20 5% 7%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100% Last Result
8 10% 99.5%  
9 28% 89%  
10 44% 62% Median
11 13% 17%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.0% 100%  
3 0% 99.0%  
4 0% 99.0%  
5 0% 99.0%  
6 0% 99.0%  
7 7% 99.0%  
8 12% 92%  
9 59% 80% Median
10 16% 21% Last Result
11 5% 5%  
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 5% 100%  
2 33% 95%  
3 12% 62%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0.4% 50% Median
7 21% 50%  
8 27% 29%  
9 1.3% 1.4% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 10% 100% Last Result
2 10% 90%  
3 40% 80% Median
4 0.2% 40%  
5 0% 40%  
6 0.1% 40%  
7 12% 39%  
8 25% 27%  
9 2% 3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 73% 99.9% Median
3 0% 27%  
4 0% 27%  
5 0% 27%  
6 0.2% 27%  
7 17% 27%  
8 8% 9%  
9 1.3% 1.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 98 100% 93–101 90–102 90–102 89–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 95 99.9% 91–99 91–100 89–101 85–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 89 98% 86–94 85–96 85–97 82–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 86 73% 83–90 82–91 81–92 77–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 85 57% 81–89 81–91 80–92 77–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 84 43% 80–88 78–88 77–89 75–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 82 10% 78–85 77–87 76–87 74–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 81 7% 77–84 75–85 75–86 73–87
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 80 2% 75–83 73–84 72–84 71–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 72 0% 69–75 68–76 67–77 66–78
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 65 0% 62–70 61–70 60–70 58–73
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 64 0% 61–67 60–68 59–68 58–70
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 56 0% 52–60 50–60 50–61 49–62
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 31 0% 28–35 27–37 27–37 25–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 2% 99.6%  
90 4% 98%  
91 2% 94%  
92 2% 92%  
93 6% 91%  
94 4% 84%  
95 6% 81%  
96 8% 75%  
97 16% 66%  
98 9% 50% Median
99 7% 41%  
100 19% 34%  
101 7% 15%  
102 6% 8%  
103 1.5% 2%  
104 0.3% 0.7%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0% 99.9% Last Result
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.5% 99.9% Majority
86 0.2% 99.4%  
87 0.2% 99.2%  
88 0.2% 99.0%  
89 1.4% 98.7%  
90 2% 97%  
91 6% 95%  
92 6% 89%  
93 9% 83%  
94 5% 74% Median
95 31% 69%  
96 13% 38%  
97 5% 25%  
98 8% 20%  
99 6% 12%  
100 4% 6%  
101 1.4% 3%  
102 0.4% 1.2%  
103 0.6% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.8% 99.4%  
84 1.0% 98.6%  
85 6% 98% Majority
86 6% 91%  
87 7% 85% Median
88 24% 78%  
89 11% 55%  
90 9% 44%  
91 12% 35%  
92 5% 23%  
93 3% 18%  
94 7% 15%  
95 2% 8%  
96 2% 6%  
97 2% 3%  
98 2% 2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.3%  
79 0.5% 99.2%  
80 0.7% 98.6%  
81 2% 98%  
82 2% 96%  
83 9% 94%  
84 12% 85%  
85 8% 73% Median, Majority
86 25% 65%  
87 14% 40%  
88 6% 26%  
89 9% 20%  
90 5% 11%  
91 4% 6%  
92 1.4% 3%  
93 0.5% 1.2%  
94 0.5% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.8% 100%  
78 0.5% 99.2%  
79 0.5% 98.7%  
80 3% 98%  
81 8% 96%  
82 7% 88%  
83 12% 80%  
84 12% 68% Median
85 21% 57% Majority
86 10% 35%  
87 4% 25%  
88 5% 21%  
89 7% 16%  
90 3% 8%  
91 3% 5%  
92 1.1% 3%  
93 0.2% 1.4%  
94 1.1% 1.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 1.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 98.8%  
77 1.1% 98.6%  
78 3% 97%  
79 3% 95%  
80 7% 92%  
81 5% 84%  
82 4% 79%  
83 10% 75% Median
84 21% 65%  
85 12% 43% Majority
86 12% 32%  
87 7% 20%  
88 8% 12%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.5% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.3%  
92 0.8% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9% Last Result
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.9% 99.5%  
76 3% 98.6%  
77 4% 96%  
78 3% 91%  
79 10% 88%  
80 11% 78%  
81 13% 66%  
82 11% 53% Median
83 25% 43%  
84 8% 18%  
85 2% 10% Majority
86 3% 8%  
87 4% 5%  
88 1.1% 1.4%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 6% 98.9% Last Result
76 1.5% 93%  
77 2% 92%  
78 6% 90%  
79 18% 84%  
80 8% 66%  
81 9% 58% Median
82 27% 49%  
83 7% 22%  
84 8% 15%  
85 4% 7% Majority
86 0.8% 3%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 2% 99.8%  
72 2% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 2% 94%  
75 7% 92%  
76 3% 85%  
77 5% 82%  
78 12% 77%  
79 9% 65%  
80 11% 56% Median
81 24% 45%  
82 7% 22%  
83 6% 15%  
84 6% 9%  
85 1.0% 2% Majority
86 0.8% 1.4%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
66 1.4% 99.5%  
67 2% 98%  
68 6% 96%  
69 3% 90%  
70 19% 87%  
71 10% 68%  
72 15% 58% Median
73 24% 43%  
74 6% 20%  
75 6% 13%  
76 3% 7%  
77 3% 4%  
78 0.3% 0.6%  
79 0.3% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.6%  
59 0.5% 99.1%  
60 3% 98.7%  
61 6% 96%  
62 4% 90%  
63 8% 86%  
64 17% 78%  
65 15% 60% Median
66 9% 45%  
67 9% 36%  
68 5% 27%  
69 4% 22%  
70 16% 18%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.4% 1.3%  
73 0.8% 0.9%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.4% 100%  
58 0.5% 99.6%  
59 2% 99.1%  
60 6% 97%  
61 6% 91%  
62 14% 85% Last Result
63 18% 71%  
64 21% 53% Median
65 14% 33%  
66 6% 18%  
67 7% 12%  
68 4% 5%  
69 0.4% 1.1%  
70 0.4% 0.7%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.8%  
49 0.8% 99.7%  
50 4% 98.9%  
51 2% 95%  
52 10% 92%  
53 6% 82%  
54 11% 76%  
55 8% 66%  
56 17% 58%  
57 10% 41% Median
58 7% 31%  
59 11% 23%  
60 8% 12%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.5% 1.0%  
63 0.2% 0.5%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.8%  
24 0.1% 99.7%  
25 0.4% 99.7%  
26 2% 99.3%  
27 3% 98%  
28 7% 95%  
29 10% 88% Last Result
30 23% 78%  
31 7% 56%  
32 6% 49%  
33 12% 43% Median
34 11% 31%  
35 10% 20%  
36 4% 10%  
37 6% 6%  
38 0.3% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations