Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 30 August–4 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 26.5% 25.1–28.0% 24.7–28.5% 24.4–28.8% 23.7–29.6%
Høyre 26.8% 24.6% 23.2–26.0% 22.8–26.4% 22.4–26.8% 21.8–27.5%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.3% 13.2–15.5% 12.9–15.9% 12.6–16.2% 12.1–16.8%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.9% 10.0–12.0% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.6% 9.0–13.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
Venstre 5.2% 4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.4%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.4% 3.8–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.2–6.0%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.2%
Rødt 1.1% 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.6–4.4% 2.3–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 46–51 45–53 45–53 44–55
Høyre 48 44 40–46 39–48 38–49 38–50
Fremskrittspartiet 29 27 24–28 23–29 22–29 21–31
Senterpartiet 10 19 17–22 17–22 16–23 15–24
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 2–12
Venstre 9 8 7–10 3–10 2–11 2–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–9 2–10 2–10 2–11
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 3 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 2–7 1–7 1–8 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 1.1% 99.7%  
45 6% 98.6%  
46 15% 93%  
47 14% 78%  
48 13% 64%  
49 15% 51% Median
50 15% 35%  
51 11% 20%  
52 4% 9%  
53 4% 5%  
54 1.1% 2%  
55 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
56 0.3% 0.3%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 2% 99.7%  
39 3% 97%  
40 8% 94%  
41 10% 86%  
42 11% 77%  
43 12% 66%  
44 14% 54% Median
45 15% 40%  
46 15% 25%  
47 4% 10%  
48 3% 5% Last Result
49 2% 3%  
50 0.6% 0.9%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.8%  
22 2% 99.5%  
23 5% 97%  
24 11% 92%  
25 11% 81%  
26 12% 70%  
27 18% 58% Median
28 34% 40%  
29 5% 7% Last Result
30 1.2% 2%  
31 0.7% 0.8%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 1.3% 99.9%  
16 3% 98.5%  
17 7% 96%  
18 17% 89%  
19 24% 72% Median
20 19% 48%  
21 14% 29%  
22 10% 15%  
23 4% 4%  
24 0.8% 0.9%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 1.3% 99.9%  
3 0% 98.5%  
4 0% 98.5%  
5 0% 98.5%  
6 0.1% 98.5%  
7 5% 98% Last Result
8 24% 94%  
9 32% 70% Median
10 30% 38%  
11 7% 8%  
12 1.2% 1.4%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 3% 99.9%  
3 3% 97%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0.1% 94%  
7 8% 94%  
8 41% 86% Median
9 25% 46% Last Result
10 16% 21%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 12% 99.8%  
3 5% 88%  
4 0% 82%  
5 0% 82%  
6 0.5% 82%  
7 14% 82%  
8 42% 68% Median
9 21% 26%  
10 5% 5% Last Result
11 0.6% 0.6%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 31% 100% Last Result
2 14% 69%  
3 19% 55% Median
4 3% 36%  
5 0% 32%  
6 2% 32%  
7 17% 30%  
8 12% 14%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 80% 93% Median
3 0% 13%  
4 0% 13%  
5 0% 13%  
6 3% 13%  
7 8% 11%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 106 105 100% 100–110 99–110 98–111 95–113
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 90 93% 85–93 84–94 83–95 81–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 88 88% 84–92 83–93 82–94 80–96
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 86 64% 81–89 80–90 79–92 76–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 83 36% 80–88 79–89 77–90 76–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 80 13% 77–85 76–86 75–87 73–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 79 7% 76–84 75–85 74–86 72–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 77 0.7% 74–80 73–82 71–83 70–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 75 0.1% 71–79 70–80 69–81 67–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 70 0% 66–74 66–75 64–76 62–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 68 0% 65–71 64–73 63–74 61–75
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 67 59 0% 55–63 53–64 53–65 49–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 58 0% 54–61 54–62 53–62 50–65
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 29 35 0% 31–38 30–39 28–40 26–42

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0.3% 99.9%  
95 0.2% 99.6%  
96 0.5% 99.4%  
97 0.5% 98.9%  
98 2% 98%  
99 3% 97%  
100 4% 94%  
101 6% 90%  
102 8% 84%  
103 8% 75%  
104 12% 67%  
105 8% 55%  
106 11% 47% Last Result, Median
107 10% 36%  
108 5% 26%  
109 9% 21%  
110 7% 12%  
111 3% 5%  
112 0.8% 1.5%  
113 0.4% 0.7%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.2% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 99.6%  
82 1.1% 99.1%  
83 2% 98%  
84 3% 96%  
85 3% 93% Majority
86 6% 89%  
87 11% 84%  
88 9% 73%  
89 13% 64%  
90 17% 51% Median
91 12% 34%  
92 10% 22%  
93 6% 13%  
94 4% 7%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.9% 1.5%  
97 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.6% 99.6%  
81 1.1% 99.1%  
82 2% 98%  
83 3% 96% Last Result
84 5% 93%  
85 7% 88% Majority
86 11% 82%  
87 19% 71%  
88 11% 52% Median
89 9% 41%  
90 10% 32%  
91 10% 22%  
92 5% 12%  
93 4% 7%  
94 1.0% 3%  
95 1.4% 2%  
96 0.6% 0.9%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.3%  
78 1.2% 98.8%  
79 1.0% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 6% 94%  
82 6% 88%  
83 9% 82%  
84 9% 73%  
85 12% 64% Majority
86 10% 52%  
87 11% 42% Median
88 10% 31%  
89 12% 21%  
90 4% 9%  
91 2% 5%  
92 2% 3%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.3%  
78 2% 97%  
79 4% 95%  
80 12% 91%  
81 10% 79%  
82 11% 69% Median
83 10% 58%  
84 12% 48%  
85 9% 36% Majority
86 9% 27%  
87 6% 18%  
88 6% 12%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.0% 3%  
91 1.2% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.2%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
74 0.6% 99.4%  
75 2% 98.8%  
76 3% 97%  
77 5% 94%  
78 14% 88%  
79 11% 74%  
80 14% 63% Median
81 9% 50%  
82 13% 41%  
83 8% 28%  
84 7% 20%  
85 5% 13% Majority
86 5% 8%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.7% 1.3%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
73 0.9% 99.4%  
74 2% 98.5%  
75 4% 97%  
76 6% 93%  
77 10% 87%  
78 12% 78%  
79 17% 66% Median
80 13% 49%  
81 9% 36%  
82 11% 27%  
83 6% 16%  
84 3% 11%  
85 3% 7% Majority
86 2% 4%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.5% 0.9%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 1.0% 99.5%  
71 1.2% 98.5%  
72 2% 97% Last Result
73 4% 95%  
74 6% 91%  
75 12% 85%  
76 14% 73%  
77 17% 59% Median
78 14% 42%  
79 10% 28%  
80 8% 18%  
81 3% 10%  
82 3% 7%  
83 2% 4%  
84 1.4% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.7% Majority
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.8%  
68 1.3% 99.4%  
69 1.3% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 6% 94%  
72 5% 89%  
73 7% 83%  
74 10% 76%  
75 20% 66% Last Result
76 15% 46% Median
77 11% 31%  
78 7% 21%  
79 7% 14%  
80 3% 6%  
81 1.3% 3%  
82 0.9% 1.4%  
83 0.4% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.4% 99.8%  
63 0.4% 99.4%  
64 2% 99.0%  
65 2% 97%  
66 5% 95%  
67 10% 90%  
68 9% 80%  
69 12% 71%  
70 13% 59%  
71 15% 46% Median
72 12% 31%  
73 8% 18%  
74 4% 10%  
75 3% 6%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.5% 1.1% Last Result
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.6% 100%  
62 0.7% 99.4%  
63 2% 98.7%  
64 4% 97%  
65 6% 93% Last Result
66 13% 87%  
67 17% 74%  
68 15% 57% Median
69 17% 42%  
70 11% 25%  
71 5% 14%  
72 3% 9%  
73 3% 6%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.6% 1.0%  
76 0.2% 0.5%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.2% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.6%  
50 0.2% 99.4%  
51 0.4% 99.2%  
52 1.1% 98.8%  
53 3% 98%  
54 5% 95%  
55 6% 90%  
56 7% 84%  
57 10% 77%  
58 11% 68%  
59 9% 57%  
60 6% 48% Median
61 14% 42%  
62 16% 28%  
63 6% 13%  
64 3% 7%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.7% 1.0%  
67 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.7%  
51 0.3% 99.5%  
52 0.6% 99.1%  
53 2% 98.6%  
54 7% 96%  
55 14% 90%  
56 10% 75%  
57 13% 65%  
58 15% 52% Median
59 13% 37%  
60 8% 23%  
61 9% 15%  
62 4% 6% Last Result
63 1.3% 2%  
64 0.6% 1.2%  
65 0.4% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.2% 99.7%  
26 0.4% 99.6%  
27 1.1% 99.2%  
28 0.9% 98%  
29 2% 97% Last Result
30 4% 95%  
31 4% 91%  
32 8% 87%  
33 7% 79%  
34 11% 72%  
35 15% 61% Median
36 11% 47%  
37 13% 36%  
38 13% 23%  
39 5% 9%  
40 3% 5%  
41 1.1% 2%  
42 0.5% 0.6%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations