Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 31 August–5 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 27.5% 26.1–29.0% 25.7–29.4% 25.4–29.7% 24.7–30.5%
Høyre 26.8% 24.4% 23.0–25.8% 22.7–26.2% 22.3–26.6% 21.7–27.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.7% 13.6–15.9% 13.3–16.2% 13.1–16.5% 12.6–17.1%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 9.6% 8.7–10.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.1% 7.8–11.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Venstre 5.2% 4.7% 4.1–5.4% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.4% 3.8–5.2% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.5% 3.2–5.9%
Rødt 1.1% 3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–5.0%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 50 48–53 47–54 47–55 46–57
Høyre 48 43 40–46 39–47 38–48 37–49
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 25–29 24–30 23–30 22–32
Senterpartiet 10 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–21
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Venstre 9 8 7–9 3–10 3–10 2–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 3–9 2–9 2–10 2–10
Rødt 0 2 2–7 2–7 2–8 1–9
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 2 1–7 1–7 1–8 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.5%  
47 4% 98%  
48 13% 94%  
49 18% 80%  
50 18% 62% Median
51 17% 44%  
52 11% 27%  
53 9% 17%  
54 4% 8%  
55 1.1% 3% Last Result
56 0.7% 2%  
57 1.4% 1.4%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 2% 100%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 5% 97%  
40 5% 93%  
41 15% 88%  
42 13% 73%  
43 10% 60% Median
44 18% 50%  
45 9% 32%  
46 15% 24%  
47 4% 9%  
48 2% 4% Last Result
49 1.5% 2%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.6% 100%  
23 3% 99.4%  
24 4% 96%  
25 8% 92%  
26 5% 85%  
27 10% 79%  
28 54% 69% Median
29 7% 15% Last Result
30 6% 8%  
31 1.0% 2%  
32 0.5% 0.6%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.3% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.7%  
14 7% 98.9%  
15 7% 91%  
16 13% 85%  
17 36% 72% Median
18 20% 36%  
19 9% 16%  
20 6% 7%  
21 0.9% 1.1%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
8 6% 99.3%  
9 15% 94%  
10 37% 79% Median
11 36% 42%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.7% 1.0%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 2% 99.9%  
3 8% 98%  
4 0% 90%  
5 0% 90%  
6 0.2% 90%  
7 26% 90%  
8 36% 64% Median
9 19% 28% Last Result
10 8% 9%  
11 1.4% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 8% 99.9%  
3 7% 92%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0.8% 85%  
7 21% 85%  
8 40% 64% Median
9 20% 23%  
10 3% 3% Last Result
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 76% 99.0% Median
3 0% 23%  
4 0% 23%  
5 0% 23%  
6 1.4% 23%  
7 16% 21%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.6% 0.6%  
10 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 49% 100% Last Result
2 17% 51% Median
3 17% 34%  
4 0.7% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 0.1% 17%  
7 12% 17%  
8 4% 4%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 106 103 100% 98–106 97–108 95–108 93–109
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 88 90% 85–92 83–93 82–94 81–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 88 82% 84–91 82–92 80–94 80–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 86 68% 82–90 81–90 79–91 76–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 83 32% 79–87 79–88 78–90 77–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 81 10% 77–84 76–86 75–87 74–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 80 10% 77–85 76–85 74–86 73–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 77 2% 74–81 73–82 72–84 70–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 75 0% 70–78 69–80 68–80 66–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 71 0% 67–75 66–76 65–76 62–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 67 0% 64–71 63–72 63–73 61–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 60 0% 58–64 57–64 56–66 55–68
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 67 59 0% 54–62 53–62 52–64 51–66
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 29 32 0% 28–35 27–36 27–36 24–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.4% 99.9%  
93 0.2% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.4%  
95 3% 99.3%  
96 1.2% 96%  
97 2% 95%  
98 4% 93%  
99 4% 89%  
100 6% 86%  
101 15% 80%  
102 6% 65%  
103 11% 59%  
104 22% 49% Median
105 11% 27%  
106 9% 16% Last Result
107 3% 8%  
108 4% 5%  
109 0.6% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.9% 99.6%  
82 2% 98.7%  
83 2% 96%  
84 4% 94%  
85 12% 90% Majority
86 7% 79%  
87 11% 71%  
88 12% 61%  
89 12% 48% Median
90 15% 36%  
91 8% 21%  
92 8% 13%  
93 1.1% 5%  
94 3% 4%  
95 1.0% 1.4%  
96 0.3% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 2% 99.7%  
81 1.3% 97%  
82 4% 96%  
83 1.4% 92% Last Result
84 8% 90%  
85 5% 82% Majority
86 12% 77%  
87 7% 65% Median
88 21% 58%  
89 17% 37%  
90 6% 20%  
91 7% 14%  
92 3% 7%  
93 1.0% 4%  
94 1.4% 3%  
95 0.3% 1.4%  
96 0.1% 1.1%  
97 0.9% 1.0%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.6%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.7% 99.3%  
79 1.3% 98.6%  
80 2% 97%  
81 5% 95%  
82 8% 91%  
83 10% 83%  
84 5% 73%  
85 9% 68% Majority
86 12% 58%  
87 24% 47% Median
88 8% 22%  
89 4% 14%  
90 6% 10%  
91 3% 4%  
92 0.5% 0.9%  
93 0.3% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.5% 99.6%  
78 3% 99.1%  
79 6% 96%  
80 4% 90%  
81 8% 86% Median
82 24% 78%  
83 12% 53%  
84 9% 42%  
85 5% 32% Majority
86 10% 27%  
87 8% 17%  
88 5% 9%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.3% 3%  
91 0.7% 1.4%  
92 0.2% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.4%  
95 0.3% 0.3%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100% Last Result
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 1.0% 99.6%  
75 3% 98.6%  
76 1.1% 96%  
77 8% 95%  
78 8% 87%  
79 15% 79% Median
80 12% 64%  
81 12% 52%  
82 11% 39%  
83 7% 29%  
84 12% 21%  
85 4% 10% Majority
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 1.3%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 2% 99.7% Last Result
74 0.9% 98%  
75 1.3% 97%  
76 6% 96%  
77 8% 90%  
78 4% 83%  
79 16% 79% Median
80 24% 63%  
81 12% 39%  
82 8% 27%  
83 6% 19%  
84 2% 13%  
85 6% 10% Majority
86 2% 4%  
87 0.5% 2%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.2% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 99.5%  
72 3% 98.9% Last Result
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 93%  
75 10% 89%  
76 10% 79%  
77 21% 68% Median
78 13% 47%  
79 10% 34%  
80 8% 24%  
81 7% 16%  
82 5% 10%  
83 2% 5%  
84 1.0% 3%  
85 2% 2% Majority
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.7% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.1%  
68 3% 98.8%  
69 4% 96%  
70 3% 93%  
71 5% 89%  
72 7% 84%  
73 10% 77%  
74 13% 67%  
75 12% 54% Last Result, Median
76 12% 42%  
77 13% 30%  
78 8% 17%  
79 4% 10%  
80 4% 6%  
81 0.4% 2%  
82 0.9% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.3% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.7%  
63 0.9% 99.4%  
64 0.3% 98.5%  
65 2% 98%  
66 3% 96%  
67 6% 93%  
68 4% 87%  
69 16% 83%  
70 16% 67%  
71 12% 51% Median
72 14% 39%  
73 7% 25%  
74 6% 17%  
75 4% 11%  
76 5% 7%  
77 0.9% 2% Last Result
78 0.7% 0.9%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.6%  
62 0.4% 99.3%  
63 4% 98.8%  
64 5% 94%  
65 13% 89% Last Result
66 9% 76%  
67 23% 67% Median
68 14% 44%  
69 10% 30%  
70 6% 19%  
71 6% 13%  
72 4% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 2% 2%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.7%  
56 2% 99.1%  
57 2% 97%  
58 9% 95%  
59 23% 86%  
60 17% 63% Median
61 13% 46%  
62 14% 32% Last Result
63 9% 19%  
64 6% 10%  
65 1.5% 5%  
66 0.7% 3%  
67 1.0% 2%  
68 1.2% 1.4%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.1% 99.7%  
51 0.5% 99.6%  
52 2% 99.1%  
53 3% 97%  
54 5% 94%  
55 14% 89%  
56 7% 75%  
57 6% 69%  
58 10% 63%  
59 22% 52% Median
60 7% 30%  
61 8% 23%  
62 10% 15%  
63 2% 5%  
64 1.0% 3%  
65 1.3% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.5%  
67 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
68 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0.1% 99.8%  
23 0.2% 99.7%  
24 0.4% 99.6%  
25 0.6% 99.2%  
26 0.9% 98.5%  
27 3% 98%  
28 4% 94%  
29 4% 90% Last Result
30 11% 86%  
31 8% 75%  
32 28% 66%  
33 10% 38% Median
34 17% 28%  
35 5% 11%  
36 5% 7%  
37 1.2% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.6%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations