Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 1–6 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 27.0% 25.6–28.5% 25.2–28.9% 24.9–29.3% 24.2–30.0%
Høyre 26.8% 24.8% 23.5–26.3% 23.1–26.7% 22.8–27.0% 22.1–27.7%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.8% 13.7–16.0% 13.4–16.3% 13.1–16.6% 12.6–17.2%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.3% 9.4–11.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.9–11.9% 8.5–12.4%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.3–6.0%
Venstre 5.2% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.8%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.7% 3.1–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.7% 2.6–5.1%
Rødt 1.1% 2.9% 2.4–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 49 47–52 46–53 46–54 44–55
Høyre 48 44 42–47 41–48 40–49 38–51
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 25–29 24–29 23–30 23–32
Senterpartiet 10 18 17–20 16–21 15–21 15–23
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 8–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 3–9 2–10 2–10 2–10
Venstre 9 8 2–9 2–9 2–9 1–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 1 1–7 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.6% 99.9%  
45 2% 99.3%  
46 3% 98%  
47 7% 95%  
48 18% 88%  
49 35% 70% Median
50 10% 35%  
51 10% 25%  
52 6% 15%  
53 5% 9%  
54 3% 4%  
55 0.6% 0.9% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.6% 99.9%  
39 1.2% 99.3%  
40 2% 98%  
41 3% 96%  
42 11% 93%  
43 5% 83%  
44 38% 78% Median
45 21% 40%  
46 6% 19%  
47 4% 13%  
48 6% 9% Last Result
49 0.8% 3%  
50 0.6% 2%  
51 0.7% 1.1%  
52 0.3% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 4% 99.7%  
24 4% 96%  
25 15% 92%  
26 11% 77%  
27 10% 67%  
28 40% 57% Median
29 13% 17% Last Result
30 3% 4%  
31 1.0% 2%  
32 0.6% 0.6%  
33 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 100%  
15 3% 99.8%  
16 3% 97%  
17 22% 94%  
18 41% 72% Median
19 9% 31%  
20 14% 22%  
21 6% 9%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
8 2% 99.8%  
9 29% 98%  
10 27% 69% Median
11 34% 42%  
12 6% 8%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 7% 99.9%  
3 6% 93%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 6% 87%  
8 60% 81% Median
9 14% 21%  
10 7% 7% Last Result
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.7% 100%  
2 9% 99.3%  
3 6% 90%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0.1% 84%  
7 22% 84%  
8 43% 61% Median
9 17% 19% Last Result
10 1.2% 1.5%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 52% 100% Last Result, Median
2 8% 48%  
3 6% 40%  
4 3% 35%  
5 0% 32%  
6 0% 32%  
7 23% 32%  
8 8% 9%  
9 1.0% 1.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0.5% 0.6%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 104 100% 101–107 100–108 98–110 96–112
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 88 97% 85–93 85–94 84–95 82–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 89 93% 85–92 83–93 82–94 82–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 86 75% 82–90 81–90 80–90 76–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 83 25% 79–87 79–88 79–89 77–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 81 15% 77–85 77–86 77–88 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 80 7% 77–84 76–86 75–87 72–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 78 4% 75–82 74–84 73–85 71–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 75 0.1% 73–79 71–80 69–81 68–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 72 0% 69–74 67–76 67–77 65–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 67 0% 66–71 64–73 63–74 62–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 59 0% 57–63 56–64 55–65 53–66
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 60 0% 55–62 53–63 53–63 50–65
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 34 0% 29–36 27–37 25–37 24–40

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.7% 99.8%  
97 0.7% 99.1%  
98 1.4% 98%  
99 2% 97%  
100 3% 95%  
101 9% 92%  
102 4% 83%  
103 20% 79%  
104 9% 58%  
105 6% 49%  
106 20% 43% Last Result, Median
107 16% 23%  
108 3% 7%  
109 1.2% 4%  
110 1.4% 3%  
111 0.7% 1.3%  
112 0.5% 0.6%  
113 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.8% 99.7%  
83 1.4% 98.9% Last Result
84 0.6% 98%  
85 11% 97% Majority
86 7% 86% Median
87 23% 79%  
88 7% 56%  
89 9% 49%  
90 19% 40%  
91 5% 21%  
92 5% 16%  
93 4% 11%  
94 3% 7%  
95 1.3% 3%  
96 0.9% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.1%  
98 0.4% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 3% 99.8%  
83 2% 97%  
84 2% 95%  
85 6% 93% Majority
86 4% 87%  
87 3% 83%  
88 9% 80%  
89 21% 71% Median
90 10% 50%  
91 15% 40%  
92 18% 25%  
93 5% 7%  
94 0.9% 3%  
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.3% 1.1%  
97 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.4% 99.5%  
78 0.2% 99.1%  
79 1.1% 98.9%  
80 1.0% 98%  
81 6% 97%  
82 3% 91%  
83 9% 88%  
84 4% 79%  
85 22% 75% Majority
86 6% 53%  
87 9% 48%  
88 18% 39% Median
89 7% 21%  
90 11% 14%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 1.3% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 1.3% 99.5%  
78 0.7% 98%  
79 11% 98%  
80 7% 86% Median
81 18% 79%  
82 9% 61%  
83 6% 52%  
84 22% 47%  
85 4% 25% Majority
86 9% 21%  
87 3% 12%  
88 6% 9%  
89 1.0% 3%  
90 1.1% 2%  
91 0.2% 1.1%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 1.5% 99.7%  
76 0.6% 98%  
77 11% 98%  
78 4% 87% Median
79 21% 83%  
80 9% 62%  
81 6% 53%  
82 18% 47%  
83 8% 29%  
84 7% 22%  
85 6% 15% Majority
86 5% 9%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.4% 1.4%  
90 0.4% 0.9%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
73 0.3% 99.3%  
74 0.7% 98.9%  
75 0.9% 98%  
76 5% 97%  
77 18% 93%  
78 15% 75%  
79 10% 60% Median
80 21% 50%  
81 9% 29%  
82 3% 20%  
83 4% 17%  
84 6% 13%  
85 2% 7% Majority
86 2% 5%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.8% 99.8%  
72 0.8% 99.0% Last Result
73 1.0% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 16% 94%  
76 16% 78%  
77 7% 62% Median
78 25% 55%  
79 9% 30%  
80 2% 21%  
81 5% 19%  
82 6% 13%  
83 2% 8%  
84 2% 6%  
85 3% 4% Majority
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.6% 99.7%  
69 2% 99.0%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 3% 93%  
73 3% 90%  
74 30% 88%  
75 22% 57% Last Result, Median
76 13% 35%  
77 5% 23%  
78 7% 18%  
79 3% 11%  
80 5% 8%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.2% 1.0%  
83 0.7% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.5%  
66 1.4% 99.2%  
67 4% 98%  
68 3% 94%  
69 2% 91%  
70 29% 89%  
71 5% 59%  
72 25% 54% Median
73 16% 29%  
74 5% 14%  
75 1.5% 9%  
76 4% 7%  
77 1.1% 3% Last Result
78 1.2% 2%  
79 0.5% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.3% 100%  
62 1.0% 99.7%  
63 1.5% 98.7%  
64 3% 97%  
65 3% 94% Last Result
66 28% 91%  
67 24% 63% Median
68 10% 39%  
69 9% 29%  
70 5% 20%  
71 6% 14%  
72 2% 8%  
73 2% 6%  
74 3% 4%  
75 0.5% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.5% 99.9%  
54 1.2% 99.4%  
55 1.4% 98%  
56 5% 97%  
57 15% 92%  
58 6% 77%  
59 22% 71% Median
60 18% 49%  
61 14% 31%  
62 4% 17% Last Result
63 5% 13%  
64 3% 8%  
65 4% 4%  
66 0.3% 0.7%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.5% 99.7%  
51 0.5% 99.2%  
52 1.1% 98.7%  
53 4% 98%  
54 2% 94%  
55 6% 92%  
56 7% 85%  
57 7% 79%  
58 6% 71%  
59 8% 66%  
60 28% 58% Median
61 19% 30%  
62 5% 11%  
63 4% 6%  
64 1.5% 2%  
65 0.5% 0.9%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0% 0.1% Last Result
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.8%  
24 0.2% 99.6%  
25 3% 99.4%  
26 0.4% 96%  
27 2% 96%  
28 2% 94%  
29 6% 92% Last Result
30 4% 86%  
31 6% 82%  
32 6% 76%  
33 20% 70%  
34 30% 50% Median
35 10% 21%  
36 4% 11%  
37 6% 7%  
38 0.4% 1.2%  
39 0.3% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.6%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations