Opinion Poll by InFact for VG, 7 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 28.0% 26.8–29.3% 26.4–29.6% 26.1–29.9% 25.6–30.6%
Høyre 26.8% 21.5% 20.4–22.7% 20.1–23.0% 19.8–23.3% 19.3–23.8%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 12.6% 11.7–13.6% 11.5–13.9% 11.3–14.1% 10.9–14.6%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.7% 9.9–11.6% 9.7–11.9% 9.5–12.1% 9.1–12.5%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.7–9.7%
Venstre 5.2% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.6%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.7% 4.2–5.3% 4.0–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.6–6.0%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.4% 3.9–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.7%
Rødt 1.1% 3.3% 2.8–3.8% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 52 49–54 47–54 46–55 46–56
Høyre 48 38 36–39 35–39 35–40 34–41
Fremskrittspartiet 29 22 20–25 20–26 20–26 18–27
Senterpartiet 10 18 16–20 16–21 16–21 15–22
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 14 13–15 12–15 12–16 11–17
Venstre 9 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 7–9 2–9 2–9 2–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 7 7–8 3–8 2–9 1–9
Rødt 0 2 2 2 1–6 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 3% 99.9%  
47 2% 97%  
48 2% 95%  
49 8% 93%  
50 5% 85%  
51 25% 80%  
52 23% 55% Median
53 8% 32%  
54 21% 24%  
55 2% 3% Last Result
56 0.5% 1.0%  
57 0.3% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 1.0% 99.8%  
35 9% 98.8%  
36 10% 90%  
37 10% 80%  
38 53% 70% Median
39 14% 17%  
40 1.4% 3%  
41 1.5% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.9% 99.9%  
19 1.4% 99.0%  
20 27% 98%  
21 15% 70%  
22 23% 55% Median
23 13% 31%  
24 6% 18%  
25 6% 13%  
26 5% 7%  
27 1.1% 1.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 10% 99.3%  
17 10% 90%  
18 54% 80% Median
19 7% 26%  
20 14% 19%  
21 4% 5%  
22 1.0% 1.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.9% 100%  
12 6% 99.1%  
13 26% 93%  
14 50% 68% Median
15 15% 18%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.6% 0.7%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0.1% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 34% 98%  
9 49% 63% Last Result, Median
10 12% 15%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 6% 100%  
3 0.3% 94%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0.1% 93%  
7 20% 93%  
8 27% 74% Median
9 45% 47%  
10 2% 2% Last Result
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.0% 100% Last Result
2 4% 99.0%  
3 5% 95%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0.2% 91%  
7 49% 90% Median
8 38% 41%  
9 3% 4%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 93% 96% Median
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0.9% 3%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 99 100% 96–100 94–101 93–102 91–104
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 106 94 100% 92–98 91–99 91–100 89–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 93 100% 90–95 89–97 88–98 86–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 91 99.1% 88–93 87–95 85–96 83–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 86 80% 83–89 82–89 81–90 80–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 84 28% 81–86 80–87 80–88 78–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 83 20% 80–86 80–87 79–88 77–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 78 0.1% 75–79 74–81 73–82 72–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 76 0% 74–79 72–80 71–81 71–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 70 0% 67–72 66–74 66–74 65–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 66 0% 63–68 61–68 60–68 60–70
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 59 0% 58–62 57–63 56–64 54–65
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 67 55 0% 51–56 50–57 49–57 49–58
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 29 35 0% 32–38 31–38 31–38 29–41

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100% Last Result
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0.4% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.5%  
92 0.3% 99.4%  
93 2% 99.1%  
94 3% 97%  
95 4% 94%  
96 8% 91%  
97 9% 83%  
98 12% 75%  
99 17% 62% Median
100 39% 45%  
101 3% 6%  
102 2% 3%  
103 0.8% 2%  
104 0.7% 0.9%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.8%  
90 1.1% 99.4%  
91 5% 98%  
92 10% 94%  
93 12% 83%  
94 39% 71%  
95 10% 32% Median
96 6% 22%  
97 6% 17%  
98 3% 11%  
99 4% 8%  
100 2% 4%  
101 2% 2%  
102 0.4% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0.5% 99.9%  
87 1.1% 99.4%  
88 2% 98%  
89 3% 96%  
90 10% 93%  
91 6% 83%  
92 5% 77%  
93 42% 71% Median
94 14% 29%  
95 7% 14%  
96 2% 8%  
97 3% 6%  
98 3% 3%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.4% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.5%  
84 0.4% 99.5%  
85 2% 99.1% Majority
86 2% 97%  
87 3% 95%  
88 10% 92%  
89 7% 82%  
90 4% 75%  
91 42% 71% Median
92 14% 29%  
93 7% 14%  
94 2% 7%  
95 3% 6%  
96 3% 3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.3% 100%  
80 0.5% 99.7%  
81 2% 99.2%  
82 3% 97%  
83 9% 94%  
84 5% 85%  
85 22% 80% Majority
86 28% 58% Median
87 14% 30%  
88 5% 16%  
89 6% 10%  
90 3% 5%  
91 0.5% 1.2%  
92 0.4% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.7% 99.9%  
79 1.0% 99.1%  
80 5% 98%  
81 9% 94%  
82 6% 84%  
83 22% 79%  
84 28% 56% Median
85 14% 28% Majority
86 6% 14%  
87 5% 9%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.5% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.7%  
78 0.5% 99.3%  
79 3% 98.8%  
80 6% 95%  
81 5% 90%  
82 14% 84%  
83 28% 70%  
84 22% 42% Median
85 5% 20% Majority
86 9% 15%  
87 3% 6%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.5% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.3%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.6%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 6% 97%  
75 2% 91% Last Result
76 15% 89%  
77 13% 74%  
78 16% 61% Median
79 36% 45%  
80 3% 9%  
81 3% 6%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.7%  
72 3% 97%  
73 2% 94%  
74 7% 92%  
75 14% 86%  
76 42% 71%  
77 5% 29% Median
78 6% 23%  
79 10% 17%  
80 3% 7%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.6%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 1.0% 99.8% Last Result
66 4% 98.8%  
67 9% 94%  
68 6% 85%  
69 23% 79%  
70 23% 56% Median
71 8% 33%  
72 18% 25%  
73 2% 7%  
74 4% 5%  
75 0.8% 1.1%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 3% 99.7%  
61 2% 97%  
62 3% 95% Last Result
63 7% 92%  
64 6% 85%  
65 21% 79%  
66 33% 59% Median
67 15% 26%  
68 8% 10%  
69 1.0% 2%  
70 0.7% 1.1%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.7% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.2%  
56 2% 98.7%  
57 3% 97%  
58 32% 95%  
59 17% 63%  
60 18% 46% Median
61 13% 27%  
62 5% 14%  
63 5% 9%  
64 3% 4%  
65 1.2% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 3% 99.5%  
50 3% 96%  
51 4% 94%  
52 8% 90%  
53 16% 82%  
54 10% 66%  
55 20% 56% Median
56 28% 36%  
57 6% 8%  
58 1.2% 2%  
59 0.3% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
30 1.3% 99.4%  
31 5% 98%  
32 4% 94%  
33 13% 89%  
34 15% 76%  
35 21% 61% Median
36 23% 40%  
37 6% 17%  
38 8% 10%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.3% 1.0%  
41 0.5% 0.7%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations