Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 4–7 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 28.1% 26.7–29.5% 26.3–29.9% 25.9–30.3% 25.3–31.0%
Høyre 26.8% 23.4% 22.1–24.8% 21.7–25.2% 21.4–25.5% 20.8–26.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 15.2% 14.1–16.4% 13.8–16.7% 13.5–17.0% 13.0–17.6%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.1% 9.2–11.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.7–11.7% 8.3–12.2%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 5.0% 4.3–5.7% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Venstre 5.2% 4.1% 3.6–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.7% 3.2–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.7% 2.6–5.1%
Rødt 1.1% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 51 49–54 48–55 47–55 46–56
Høyre 48 42 39–45 38–46 38–47 37–47
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 26–29 25–31 25–31 23–33
Senterpartiet 10 18 16–20 16–20 15–21 14–22
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 8–12 8–12 8–12 8–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 2–12
Venstre 9 7 2–9 2–9 1–9 1–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 2 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–7 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.7%  
47 3% 99.4%  
48 4% 97%  
49 9% 93%  
50 23% 83%  
51 11% 60% Median
52 28% 49%  
53 8% 21%  
54 6% 13%  
55 5% 7% Last Result
56 1.2% 2%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.5%  
38 4% 98.8%  
39 5% 95%  
40 8% 90%  
41 13% 82%  
42 30% 69% Median
43 9% 39%  
44 14% 30%  
45 10% 16%  
46 2% 6%  
47 4% 4%  
48 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.8%  
24 1.2% 99.4%  
25 5% 98%  
26 7% 94%  
27 13% 86%  
28 52% 73% Median
29 12% 21% Last Result
30 4% 9%  
31 4% 5%  
32 0.6% 1.2%  
33 0.6% 0.6%  
34 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.8%  
15 2% 99.5%  
16 18% 97%  
17 17% 80%  
18 21% 63% Median
19 29% 42%  
20 9% 13%  
21 3% 4%  
22 1.2% 1.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
8 10% 99.5%  
9 20% 90%  
10 32% 70% Median
11 27% 38%  
12 9% 11%  
13 1.3% 1.5%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 0.1% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 3% 98%  
8 23% 95%  
9 40% 72% Median
10 23% 32% Last Result
11 8% 9%  
12 0.7% 0.8%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 20% 97%  
3 18% 77%  
4 0% 60%  
5 0% 60%  
6 0% 60%  
7 16% 60% Median
8 31% 44%  
9 12% 13% Last Result
10 0.9% 1.0%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 48% 100% Last Result
2 10% 52% Median
3 18% 43%  
4 4% 25%  
5 0% 21%  
6 0% 21%  
7 11% 21%  
8 9% 10%  
9 1.1% 1.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 23% 100%  
2 74% 77% Median
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0.1% 3%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 104 100% 99–107 98–107 97–107 94–109
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 91 98.9% 88–95 87–97 86–98 84–99
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 88 88% 84–91 83–92 83–93 80–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 84 42% 81–88 80–89 80–90 79–93
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 85 58% 81–88 80–89 79–89 76–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 82 25% 79–86 79–88 78–88 76–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 81 12% 78–85 77–86 76–86 75–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 79 2% 76–83 75–84 75–84 73–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 78 0.6% 75–82 74–82 73–83 71–85
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 70 0% 67–74 66–75 65–75 63–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 69 0% 66–72 66–73 65–74 64–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 61 0% 58–64 57–65 57–66 56–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 57 0% 53–60 52–61 51–61 48–63
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 33 0% 29–36 28–36 27–37 25–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.3% 99.9%  
94 0.4% 99.6%  
95 0.7% 99.2%  
96 0.4% 98%  
97 3% 98%  
98 5% 95%  
99 7% 90%  
100 6% 83%  
101 8% 77%  
102 8% 68%  
103 7% 60%  
104 20% 53% Median
105 16% 32%  
106 4% 16% Last Result
107 10% 12%  
108 0.6% 2%  
109 0.8% 1.0%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.2% 100% Last Result
84 0.8% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 98.9% Majority
86 2% 98.6%  
87 2% 96%  
88 17% 95%  
89 13% 77%  
90 6% 64% Median
91 17% 59%  
92 8% 42%  
93 9% 34%  
94 11% 25%  
95 6% 14%  
96 2% 8%  
97 3% 6%  
98 2% 3%  
99 0.2% 0.6%  
100 0.3% 0.4%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.4% 99.3%  
82 1.3% 98.9%  
83 4% 98%  
84 6% 94%  
85 6% 88% Majority
86 13% 82%  
87 12% 68%  
88 10% 56% Median
89 21% 46%  
90 12% 24%  
91 4% 12%  
92 4% 8%  
93 2% 4%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.3% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 1.4% 99.5%  
80 4% 98%  
81 21% 94%  
82 8% 73%  
83 11% 65% Median
84 12% 54%  
85 9% 42% Majority
86 8% 33%  
87 11% 25%  
88 5% 14%  
89 5% 9%  
90 2% 4%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.7%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 0.8% 99.3%  
78 0.7% 98%  
79 2% 98%  
80 5% 96%  
81 5% 91%  
82 11% 86%  
83 8% 75%  
84 9% 67%  
85 12% 58% Majority
86 11% 46% Median
87 8% 35%  
88 21% 27%  
89 4% 6%  
90 1.4% 2%  
91 0.3% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.8%  
77 1.3% 99.4%  
78 3% 98%  
79 23% 96%  
80 7% 72%  
81 12% 65% Median
82 5% 54%  
83 16% 49%  
84 8% 33%  
85 10% 25% Majority
86 5% 14%  
87 2% 9%  
88 5% 7%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.2%  
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 1.3% 99.6%  
76 2% 98%  
77 4% 96%  
78 4% 92%  
79 12% 88%  
80 21% 76%  
81 10% 54% Median
82 12% 44%  
83 13% 32%  
84 6% 18%  
85 6% 12% Majority
86 4% 6%  
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
73 1.2% 99.6%  
74 0.8% 98%  
75 5% 98%  
76 4% 92%  
77 12% 88%  
78 22% 77%  
79 12% 55% Median
80 11% 43%  
81 7% 32%  
82 14% 25%  
83 3% 11%  
84 5% 8%  
85 2% 2% Majority
86 0.4% 1.0%  
87 0.2% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.5%  
72 0.8% 99.4%  
73 2% 98.6%  
74 5% 97%  
75 4% 92% Last Result
76 12% 88%  
77 16% 76%  
78 12% 60% Median
79 21% 48%  
80 9% 27%  
81 7% 18%  
82 7% 11%  
83 1.4% 3%  
84 1.0% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.6% Majority
86 0.4% 0.5%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.3%  
65 2% 98.6%  
66 5% 96%  
67 7% 91%  
68 9% 84%  
69 14% 75%  
70 20% 61% Median
71 12% 41%  
72 11% 30%  
73 6% 18%  
74 6% 12%  
75 4% 6%  
76 1.3% 2%  
77 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.2% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 1.3% 99.6%  
65 3% 98% Last Result
66 6% 95%  
67 10% 90%  
68 19% 79%  
69 22% 61% Median
70 8% 39%  
71 17% 31%  
72 8% 15%  
73 2% 7%  
74 3% 5%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.7%  
77 0.1% 0.4%  
78 0.3% 0.3%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.8%  
56 0.9% 99.5%  
57 4% 98.6%  
58 12% 95%  
59 3% 83%  
60 13% 80%  
61 23% 67% Median
62 13% 44% Last Result
63 14% 31%  
64 8% 18%  
65 6% 10%  
66 3% 4%  
67 0.6% 1.1%  
68 0.3% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.8%  
48 0.4% 99.6%  
49 0.6% 99.2%  
50 0.5% 98.5%  
51 2% 98%  
52 2% 96%  
53 6% 94%  
54 9% 87%  
55 11% 78%  
56 7% 67%  
57 11% 60%  
58 15% 49% Median
59 7% 35%  
60 21% 27%  
61 4% 6%  
62 1.5% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.8%  
64 0.4% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.2% 99.7%  
26 0.8% 99.5%  
27 4% 98.7%  
28 4% 95%  
29 5% 91% Last Result
30 10% 86%  
31 12% 76%  
32 6% 64%  
33 10% 58%  
34 16% 49% Median
35 21% 33%  
36 7% 12%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.5% 2%  
39 0.3% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations