Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, 5–7 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 26.4% 24.4–28.5% 23.9–29.1% 23.4–29.6% 22.5–30.6%
Høyre 26.8% 25.9% 23.9–28.0% 23.4–28.5% 22.9–29.1% 22.0–30.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 15.2% 13.7–17.0% 13.3–17.5% 12.9–17.9% 12.2–18.8%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 8.6% 7.4–10.0% 7.1–10.4% 6.8–10.8% 6.3–11.5%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 6.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.8–7.6% 4.6–7.9% 4.1–8.6%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 5.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.3–7.6% 3.9–8.3%
Rødt 1.1% 4.9% 4.0–6.0% 3.8–6.3% 3.6–6.6% 3.2–7.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 3.5% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.4–5.0% 2.1–5.5%
Venstre 5.2% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.7% 1.7–3.9% 1.4–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 48 45–53 45–54 44–55 42–56
Høyre 48 46 40–50 39–50 39–51 37–54
Fremskrittspartiet 29 27 24–30 23–31 23–32 21–34
Senterpartiet 10 14 13–17 12–18 11–19 11–20
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 11 8–12 8–13 8–13 7–15
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 10 8–12 8–12 7–13 3–14
Rødt 0 9 7–11 2–11 2–12 2–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 2 1–7 1–8 1–8 0–9
Venstre 9 1 0–2 0–2 0–3 0–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 0.5% 99.6%  
43 1.0% 99.1%  
44 3% 98%  
45 9% 95%  
46 9% 86%  
47 10% 78%  
48 18% 67% Median
49 12% 49%  
50 6% 37%  
51 13% 31%  
52 6% 18%  
53 5% 13%  
54 3% 8%  
55 4% 4% Last Result
56 0.5% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.9%  
38 2% 99.5%  
39 3% 98%  
40 6% 95%  
41 4% 89%  
42 4% 85%  
43 4% 81%  
44 7% 77%  
45 11% 70%  
46 19% 59% Median
47 13% 40%  
48 9% 27% Last Result
49 7% 18%  
50 7% 11%  
51 2% 4%  
52 1.3% 2%  
53 0.5% 1.2%  
54 0.4% 0.7%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.9%  
21 0.3% 99.6%  
22 1.3% 99.3%  
23 7% 98%  
24 6% 91%  
25 11% 86%  
26 15% 75%  
27 23% 60% Median
28 16% 36%  
29 10% 21% Last Result
30 4% 11%  
31 3% 7%  
32 3% 4%  
33 1.1% 2%  
34 0.3% 0.6%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100% Last Result
11 3% 99.6%  
12 6% 97%  
13 22% 90%  
14 19% 68% Median
15 21% 49%  
16 13% 28%  
17 7% 15%  
18 4% 8%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.7% 1.1%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 1.2% 99.7% Last Result
8 9% 98%  
9 12% 90%  
10 15% 78%  
11 39% 63% Median
12 15% 23%  
13 7% 9%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100% Last Result
2 0.1% 99.9%  
3 1.3% 99.8%  
4 0% 98.5%  
5 0% 98.5%  
6 0% 98.5%  
7 3% 98.5%  
8 9% 95%  
9 30% 87%  
10 26% 57% Median
11 16% 31%  
12 11% 15%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.9% 1.1%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 7% 99.9%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0.2% 93%  
7 9% 93%  
8 24% 85%  
9 30% 61% Median
10 19% 31%  
11 9% 12%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 15% 98%  
2 55% 83% Median
3 6% 28%  
4 0% 22%  
5 0% 22%  
6 1.2% 22%  
7 12% 21%  
8 7% 9%  
9 1.3% 1.5%  
10 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 42% 61% Median
2 15% 19%  
3 2% 4%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0.6% 2%  
7 1.4% 2%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 92 98% 87–97 86–98 85–100 82–102
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 90 97% 86–96 85–97 84–99 83–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 83 86 81% 83–92 81–94 80–95 78–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 97 86 73% 82–91 81–93 80–94 78–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 84 42% 79–89 78–90 77–91 74–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 83 27% 78–87 76–88 75–89 72–91
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 77 2% 72–82 71–83 69–84 67–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 74 0.1% 69–79 69–80 68–81 65–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 73 0.1% 68–76 67–78 66–80 62–82
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 66 0% 63–71 61–73 60–75 59–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 63 0% 60–68 59–69 58–69 56–71
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 59 0% 55–64 54–66 53–66 51–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 50 0% 44–55 43–57 42–57 40–60
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 18 0% 15–23 15–25 14–25 13–27

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.6%  
83 0.5% 99.3%  
84 0.9% 98.8%  
85 2% 98% Majority
86 2% 96%  
87 6% 94%  
88 6% 88%  
89 5% 82%  
90 5% 77%  
91 6% 72%  
92 17% 67% Median
93 8% 50%  
94 14% 42%  
95 6% 28%  
96 4% 22%  
97 10% 17%  
98 3% 8%  
99 2% 4%  
100 2% 3%  
101 0.5% 1.3%  
102 0.7% 0.8%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.3% 99.9%  
83 0.8% 99.6%  
84 1.3% 98.8%  
85 4% 97% Majority
86 5% 93%  
87 6% 89%  
88 4% 82%  
89 12% 78%  
90 16% 66% Median
91 5% 49%  
92 12% 44%  
93 7% 32%  
94 5% 25%  
95 6% 20%  
96 5% 14%  
97 5% 10%  
98 1.4% 5%  
99 1.5% 3%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.8% 1.3%  
102 0.3% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1% Last Result
107 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 99.7%  
79 1.1% 99.2%  
80 2% 98%  
81 3% 96%  
82 2% 94%  
83 5% 92% Last Result
84 6% 87%  
85 17% 81% Median, Majority
86 14% 64%  
87 13% 50%  
88 8% 37%  
89 5% 29%  
90 7% 24%  
91 5% 17%  
92 3% 11%  
93 2% 8%  
94 3% 6%  
95 1.2% 3%  
96 0.4% 2%  
97 1.0% 1.2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.7%  
79 1.3% 99.4%  
80 3% 98%  
81 4% 95%  
82 8% 91%  
83 3% 83%  
84 6% 79%  
85 11% 73% Majority
86 26% 62% Median
87 4% 36%  
88 5% 32%  
89 6% 27%  
90 3% 21%  
91 10% 18%  
92 2% 8%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.1% 3%  
95 1.2% 2%  
96 0.4% 1.1%  
97 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.7% 99.5%  
76 1.1% 98.8%  
77 2% 98%  
78 6% 96%  
79 4% 90%  
80 4% 86%  
81 6% 82%  
82 8% 76%  
83 12% 68% Median
84 15% 57%  
85 11% 42% Majority
86 8% 30%  
87 4% 22%  
88 7% 18%  
89 5% 11%  
90 3% 6%  
91 1.2% 4%  
92 1.2% 2%  
93 0.8% 1.1%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
73 0.4% 99.3%  
74 1.2% 98.9%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 95%  
78 10% 92%  
79 3% 82%  
80 6% 79%  
81 5% 73%  
82 4% 68% Median
83 26% 64%  
84 11% 38%  
85 6% 27% Majority
86 3% 21%  
87 8% 17%  
88 4% 9%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.3% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.7% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.2%  
69 2% 98.7%  
70 2% 97%  
71 3% 96%  
72 10% 92%  
73 4% 83%  
74 6% 78%  
75 14% 72%  
76 8% 58% Median
77 17% 50%  
78 6% 33%  
79 5% 28%  
80 5% 23%  
81 6% 18%  
82 6% 12%  
83 2% 6%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.9% 2% Majority
86 0.5% 1.2%  
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.5% 99.8%  
66 0.8% 99.3%  
67 1.0% 98.5%  
68 2% 98%  
69 7% 95%  
70 5% 88%  
71 5% 83%  
72 8% 78% Last Result
73 7% 70% Median
74 23% 63%  
75 12% 40%  
76 7% 28%  
77 4% 22%  
78 4% 17%  
79 7% 14%  
80 4% 7%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.6% 1.0%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.6% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.4%  
64 0.2% 99.2%  
65 2% 99.1%  
66 1.2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 5% 94%  
69 7% 89%  
70 9% 82%  
71 5% 73%  
72 13% 68%  
73 17% 55% Median
74 19% 38%  
75 5% 19%  
76 5% 14%  
77 3% 9% Last Result
78 2% 6%  
79 1.4% 4%  
80 1.2% 3%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.4% 0.9%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.9% 99.5%  
60 2% 98.6%  
61 3% 97%  
62 3% 94%  
63 7% 90%  
64 8% 83% Median
65 21% 76%  
66 15% 55%  
67 5% 40%  
68 9% 35%  
69 7% 26%  
70 6% 19%  
71 5% 13%  
72 2% 8%  
73 3% 7%  
74 1.1% 4%  
75 2% 3% Last Result
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.9%  
56 0.5% 99.6%  
57 1.3% 99.1%  
58 3% 98%  
59 5% 95%  
60 5% 90%  
61 9% 86%  
62 12% 76% Median
63 22% 64%  
64 14% 43%  
65 6% 28% Last Result
66 4% 22%  
67 5% 19%  
68 6% 13%  
69 6% 7%  
70 0.9% 2%  
71 0.4% 0.8%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.6%  
52 0.7% 99.4%  
53 1.5% 98.7%  
54 4% 97%  
55 4% 93%  
56 9% 89%  
57 8% 80%  
58 10% 72%  
59 15% 62% Median
60 14% 47%  
61 4% 33%  
62 11% 29% Last Result
63 7% 18%  
64 4% 12%  
65 3% 8%  
66 4% 5%  
67 0.6% 1.0%  
68 0.3% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.4% 99.8%  
41 2% 99.5%  
42 2% 98%  
43 6% 96%  
44 2% 91%  
45 3% 88%  
46 5% 85%  
47 8% 80%  
48 9% 73%  
49 11% 64% Median
50 19% 53%  
51 4% 34%  
52 7% 29%  
53 6% 22%  
54 5% 17%  
55 3% 12%  
56 2% 9%  
57 5% 7%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.3%  
60 0.6% 0.9%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 1.4% 99.6%  
14 2% 98%  
15 8% 96%  
16 13% 88%  
17 21% 75% Median
18 8% 54%  
19 13% 46%  
20 6% 32%  
21 9% 26%  
22 5% 17%  
23 3% 12%  
24 3% 9%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.6% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations