Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 5–8 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 28.6% 27.2–30.1% 26.8–30.5% 26.5–30.8% 25.8–31.6%
Høyre 26.8% 23.4% 22.1–24.8% 21.7–25.2% 21.4–25.5% 20.8–26.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 15.2% 14.1–16.4% 13.8–16.7% 13.5–17.0% 13.0–17.6%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.5% 9.6–11.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.1–12.1% 8.7–12.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.2–7.1%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.8%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
Venstre 5.2% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.3%
Rødt 1.1% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 52 49–54 49–56 48–57 47–58
Høyre 48 42 39–45 38–46 37–47 36–48
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 26–29 25–30 24–31 23–32
Senterpartiet 10 19 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–23
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–9 2–9 2–10 2–11
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 7 1–9 1–9 1–9 1–10
Venstre 9 3 1–8 1–8 1–9 1–9
Rødt 0 2 1–2 1–7 1–8 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.9% 99.6%  
48 4% 98.7%  
49 5% 95%  
50 14% 90%  
51 18% 76%  
52 20% 59% Median
53 19% 39%  
54 10% 20%  
55 2% 10% Last Result
56 4% 7%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.5% 1.0%  
59 0.3% 0.5%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.6% 99.8%  
37 2% 99.2%  
38 5% 97%  
39 9% 92%  
40 10% 83%  
41 18% 72%  
42 15% 54% Median
43 18% 39%  
44 8% 21%  
45 5% 13%  
46 5% 8%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.8% 1.1% Last Result
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.9% 99.8%  
24 2% 98.9%  
25 3% 97%  
26 7% 95%  
27 12% 88%  
28 50% 76% Median
29 18% 26% Last Result
30 3% 8%  
31 3% 5%  
32 1.5% 2%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 100%  
15 2% 99.7%  
16 5% 98%  
17 19% 93%  
18 16% 74%  
19 21% 58% Median
20 19% 38%  
21 13% 19%  
22 5% 6%  
23 1.1% 1.2%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 1.0% 99.8% Last Result
8 9% 98.8%  
9 32% 90%  
10 33% 58% Median
11 19% 25%  
12 4% 6%  
13 1.1% 1.2%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 23% 99.5%  
3 0.7% 77%  
4 0% 76%  
5 0% 76%  
6 0.3% 76%  
7 21% 76%  
8 33% 55% Median
9 17% 22%  
10 4% 4% Last Result
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 24% 100% Last Result
2 7% 76%  
3 11% 69%  
4 3% 58%  
5 0% 55%  
6 0% 55%  
7 12% 55% Median
8 30% 43%  
9 12% 12%  
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 11% 100%  
2 31% 89%  
3 16% 58% Median
4 0% 42%  
5 0% 42%  
6 0.2% 42%  
7 19% 42%  
8 20% 23%  
9 3% 3% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 79% 88% Median
3 0% 8%  
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0.3% 8%  
7 5% 8%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 106 99 100% 95–105 95–106 93–107 91–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 93 99.3% 89–96 87–97 86–98 84–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 89 80% 83–93 82–94 82–94 80–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 86 64% 81–90 80–93 80–93 78–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre 97 86 68% 82–90 81–90 79–91 77–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 83 32% 79–87 79–88 78–90 76–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 80 12% 77–85 77–86 76–87 73–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 80 20% 76–86 75–87 75–87 73–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 77 1.2% 73–82 72–83 71–83 70–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 71 0% 68–75 67–76 66–77 64–79
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 70 0% 66–73 65–75 64–75 63–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 62 0% 59–65 58–66 57–67 56–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 67 52 0% 48–58 48–58 47–59 45–61
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 29 30 0% 25–35 24–36 23–37 21–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.9%  
91 0.3% 99.6%  
92 0.7% 99.3%  
93 1.2% 98.6%  
94 2% 97%  
95 9% 96%  
96 6% 87%  
97 11% 81%  
98 9% 69%  
99 13% 60%  
100 12% 47% Median
101 5% 34%  
102 7% 30%  
103 4% 23%  
104 3% 19%  
105 8% 16%  
106 6% 9% Last Result
107 2% 3%  
108 0.6% 0.8%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
84 0.4% 99.7%  
85 0.6% 99.3% Majority
86 2% 98.7%  
87 2% 97%  
88 2% 95%  
89 11% 92%  
90 12% 81%  
91 9% 69%  
92 8% 60%  
93 9% 51%  
94 14% 42%  
95 11% 28%  
96 8% 17% Median
97 4% 9%  
98 2% 4%  
99 1.0% 2%  
100 0.5% 1.2%  
101 0.6% 0.7%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.7% 99.8%  
81 0.4% 99.1%  
82 5% 98.7%  
83 8% 94%  
84 5% 86%  
85 4% 80% Majority
86 8% 76%  
87 5% 69%  
88 12% 63%  
89 16% 51%  
90 9% 35% Median
91 9% 26%  
92 6% 18%  
93 4% 11%  
94 5% 8%  
95 1.2% 2%  
96 0.5% 1.0%  
97 0.1% 0.5%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 0.8% 99.7%  
79 0.6% 98.9%  
80 6% 98%  
81 9% 92%  
82 7% 83%  
83 5% 76%  
84 8% 71%  
85 4% 64% Majority
86 12% 60%  
87 15% 48%  
88 8% 33% Median
89 9% 25%  
90 6% 15%  
91 3% 10%  
92 1.4% 7%  
93 5% 5%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.4% 99.7%  
78 0.8% 99.3%  
79 1.3% 98.6%  
80 2% 97%  
81 3% 96%  
82 6% 92%  
83 7% 87%  
84 11% 79%  
85 7% 68% Majority
86 11% 61%  
87 12% 50%  
88 18% 38% Median
89 9% 20%  
90 7% 11%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.8%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.6%  
77 1.0% 99.2%  
78 2% 98%  
79 7% 96%  
80 9% 89%  
81 18% 80%  
82 12% 62%  
83 11% 50% Median
84 7% 39%  
85 11% 32% Majority
86 7% 21%  
87 6% 13%  
88 3% 8%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.3% 3%  
91 0.8% 1.4%  
92 0.4% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.7% 99.4%  
75 1.1% 98.8%  
76 2% 98%  
77 7% 95%  
78 11% 88%  
79 19% 78%  
80 13% 58%  
81 11% 45% Median
82 8% 34%  
83 7% 26%  
84 8% 19%  
85 6% 12% Majority
86 3% 6%  
87 1.4% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.0%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0.5% 99.5%  
74 1.2% 99.0%  
75 5% 98%  
76 4% 92%  
77 6% 89%  
78 9% 82%  
79 9% 74%  
80 16% 65%  
81 12% 49% Median
82 5% 37%  
83 8% 31%  
84 4% 24%  
85 5% 20% Majority
86 8% 14%  
87 5% 6%  
88 0.4% 1.3%  
89 0.7% 0.9%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 1.2% 99.6%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 5% 93%  
74 2% 88%  
75 11% 86% Last Result
76 16% 75%  
77 11% 59%  
78 9% 48%  
79 12% 39% Median
80 11% 27%  
81 4% 15%  
82 3% 11%  
83 6% 8%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 1.0% 1.2% Majority
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 2% 99.4% Last Result
66 1.4% 98%  
67 4% 96%  
68 8% 92%  
69 23% 84%  
70 9% 62%  
71 17% 53% Median
72 11% 36%  
73 9% 25%  
74 5% 16%  
75 6% 11%  
76 1.1% 5%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.5% 0.9%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.9%  
63 1.0% 99.6%  
64 2% 98.7%  
65 2% 97%  
66 5% 94%  
67 10% 90%  
68 10% 80%  
69 9% 69%  
70 25% 60% Median
71 13% 35%  
72 8% 22%  
73 5% 14%  
74 3% 10%  
75 5% 7%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
78 0.2% 0.5%  
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.6% 99.6%  
57 2% 99.0%  
58 3% 97%  
59 12% 94%  
60 14% 82%  
61 18% 68%  
62 12% 50% Last Result, Median
63 11% 38%  
64 17% 27%  
65 5% 11%  
66 3% 6%  
67 1.3% 3%  
68 0.9% 1.3%  
69 0.2% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.6% 99.7%  
46 0.6% 99.1%  
47 2% 98%  
48 8% 96%  
49 6% 89%  
50 13% 83%  
51 5% 69%  
52 17% 64%  
53 10% 47% Median
54 6% 37%  
55 5% 31%  
56 5% 26%  
57 4% 21%  
58 12% 17%  
59 3% 5%  
60 0.6% 2%  
61 0.7% 1.1%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.8%  
22 0.8% 99.3%  
23 2% 98%  
24 3% 97%  
25 6% 94%  
26 9% 88%  
27 6% 79%  
28 11% 73%  
29 6% 62% Last Result
30 16% 57% Median
31 7% 40%  
32 8% 33%  
33 7% 25%  
34 4% 18%  
35 6% 14%  
36 4% 8%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.9% 1.1%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations