Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 4–9 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 30.8% 28.1% 26.9–29.3% 26.6–29.6% 26.3–29.9% 25.8–30.5%
Høyre 26.8% 23.8% 22.7–24.9% 22.4–25.3% 22.2–25.5% 21.6–26.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 16.3% 14.6% 13.7–15.5% 13.5–15.8% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.5%
Senterpartiet 5.5% 10.2% 9.4–11.0% 9.2–11.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.1% 5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9%
Venstre 5.2% 4.6% 4.1–5.2% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 4.4% 3.9–5.0% 3.8–5.2% 3.7–5.3% 3.4–5.6%
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 2.8% 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0%
Rødt 1.1% 3.1% 2.7–3.6% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 55 51 48–54 48–54 47–54 47–56
Høyre 48 42 39–45 39–45 38–46 37–47
Fremskrittspartiet 29 28 25–28 24–29 24–29 23–30
Senterpartiet 10 18 16–20 16–20 15–20 15–21
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7 10 9–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
Venstre 9 8 7–9 3–9 2–10 2–10
Kristelig Folkeparti 10 8 2–9 2–9 2–9 2–10
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 1 3 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–9
Rødt 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–7

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.3% 100%  
47 3% 99.7%  
48 7% 97%  
49 4% 90%  
50 21% 85%  
51 29% 64% Median
52 14% 35%  
53 10% 21%  
54 8% 10%  
55 1.3% 2% Last Result
56 0.3% 0.7%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.5% 100%  
38 3% 99.5%  
39 13% 97%  
40 4% 83%  
41 12% 79%  
42 26% 67% Median
43 13% 41%  
44 10% 28%  
45 14% 18%  
46 3% 4%  
47 1.3% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.4% 100%  
23 2% 99.6%  
24 5% 98%  
25 15% 93%  
26 5% 77%  
27 10% 73%  
28 57% 63% Median
29 4% 6% Last Result
30 1.3% 1.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 3% 99.9%  
16 8% 97%  
17 8% 89%  
18 50% 81% Median
19 12% 30%  
20 16% 18%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100% Last Result
8 5% 99.9%  
9 26% 94%  
10 42% 68% Median
11 23% 26%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 4% 100%  
3 2% 96%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 7% 94%  
8 53% 88% Median
9 32% 34% Last Result
10 2% 3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 24% 100%  
3 1.4% 76%  
4 0% 75%  
5 0% 75%  
6 0% 75%  
7 16% 75%  
8 38% 59% Median
9 20% 21%  
10 1.2% 1.2% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet de Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet de Grønne page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 20% 100% Last Result
2 16% 80%  
3 25% 64% Median
4 4% 39%  
5 0% 35%  
6 0% 35%  
7 23% 35%  
8 12% 13%  
9 1.4% 1.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 10% 100%  
2 89% 90% Median
3 0% 1.5%  
4 0% 1.5%  
5 0% 1.5%  
6 0% 1.5%  
7 1.4% 1.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 106 102 100% 98–105 98–106 96–107 95–107
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 83 90 98.5% 86–93 85–94 85–95 84–98
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 97 88 88% 84–91 83–92 83–92 81–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt 73 85 57% 82–89 81–89 81–90 80–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne 73 83 26% 80–87 79–87 79–88 78–92
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 84 43% 80–87 80–88 79–88 76–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 81 12% 78–85 77–86 77–86 75–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 79 1.0% 76–83 75–83 75–84 73–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 75 76 0% 73–79 71–80 71–80 70–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 77 69 0% 66–73 66–73 65–74 62–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 65 69 0% 67–72 66–73 65–73 63–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 61 0% 58–64 57–65 57–65 56–67
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 67 57 0% 53–60 52–61 52–61 49–63
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 29 34 0% 29–35 28–36 28–37 24–38

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.2% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.7% 99.6%  
96 2% 99.0%  
97 2% 97%  
98 6% 95%  
99 10% 89%  
100 8% 79%  
101 15% 72%  
102 7% 57%  
103 19% 49%  
104 9% 31% Median
105 13% 22%  
106 5% 8% Last Result
107 3% 4%  
108 0.3% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
84 1.1% 99.6%  
85 4% 98.5% Majority
86 7% 95%  
87 8% 88%  
88 7% 80%  
89 20% 73%  
90 16% 53% Median
91 9% 37%  
92 16% 28%  
93 6% 12%  
94 3% 6%  
95 1.4% 3%  
96 0.6% 1.2%  
97 0.2% 0.7%  
98 0.5% 0.5%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.4% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.6%  
82 0.4% 99.2%  
83 4% 98.8%  
84 7% 95%  
85 7% 88% Majority
86 12% 82%  
87 4% 69%  
88 28% 65%  
89 10% 37% Median
90 14% 28%  
91 4% 14%  
92 7% 10%  
93 1.4% 2%  
94 0.7% 0.9%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 1.5% 99.7%  
81 5% 98%  
82 14% 93%  
83 4% 79%  
84 18% 75% Median
85 9% 57% Majority
86 22% 48%  
87 8% 26%  
88 7% 19%  
89 8% 11%  
90 1.3% 4%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.4%  
93 0.6% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet de Grønne

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100% Last Result
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.7% 99.7%  
79 6% 99.0%  
80 14% 93%  
81 4% 79%  
82 18% 75% Median
83 8% 57%  
84 23% 49%  
85 7% 26% Majority
86 8% 19%  
87 7% 11%  
88 3% 5%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.7% 2%  
91 0.2% 0.9%  
92 0.6% 0.7%  
93 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.6% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.1%  
78 1.0% 98.6%  
79 1.3% 98%  
80 8% 96%  
81 7% 89%  
82 8% 81%  
83 22% 74%  
84 9% 52%  
85 18% 43% Majority
86 4% 25% Median
87 14% 21%  
88 5% 7%  
89 1.5% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.7% 99.8%  
76 1.4% 99.1%  
77 7% 98%  
78 4% 90%  
79 14% 86%  
80 10% 72%  
81 28% 63% Median
82 4% 35%  
83 12% 31%  
84 7% 18%  
85 7% 12% Majority
86 4% 5%  
87 0.4% 1.2%  
88 0.3% 0.8%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
73 0.4% 99.8%  
74 1.4% 99.4%  
75 7% 98%  
76 4% 91%  
77 15% 87%  
78 9% 72%  
79 28% 63% Median
80 5% 36%  
81 12% 30%  
82 7% 18%  
83 6% 11%  
84 4% 5%  
85 0.3% 1.0% Majority
86 0.3% 0.7%  
87 0.4% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.6%  
71 3% 98%  
72 4% 95%  
73 6% 91%  
74 19% 85%  
75 9% 66% Last Result
76 22% 57%  
77 5% 35% Median
78 17% 30%  
79 6% 13%  
80 5% 7%  
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.8% 1.0%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.9%  
63 0.8% 99.5%  
64 0.9% 98.6%  
65 2% 98%  
66 7% 95%  
67 15% 89%  
68 13% 74%  
69 12% 61%  
70 24% 49% Median
71 3% 25%  
72 10% 22%  
73 10% 12%  
74 0.7% 3%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.6% 0.7%  
77 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
78 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.5% 99.9%  
64 0.7% 99.5%  
65 3% 98.8% Last Result
66 5% 96%  
67 9% 91%  
68 24% 82%  
69 21% 58% Median
70 7% 37%  
71 10% 30%  
72 13% 20%  
73 5% 6%  
74 0.6% 1.4%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.4% 99.7%  
57 6% 99.3%  
58 4% 93%  
59 16% 90%  
60 7% 74%  
61 32% 66% Median
62 18% 34% Last Result
63 5% 17%  
64 3% 12%  
65 7% 9%  
66 0.8% 2%  
67 0.6% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.6% 99.8%  
50 0.6% 99.3%  
51 0.4% 98.7%  
52 5% 98%  
53 7% 94%  
54 4% 87%  
55 24% 83%  
56 6% 59%  
57 12% 53%  
58 7% 41% Median
59 16% 34%  
60 10% 18%  
61 5% 8%  
62 1.3% 2%  
63 0.8% 1.0%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.4%  
26 0.8% 99.3%  
27 1.0% 98%  
28 5% 98%  
29 9% 92% Last Result
30 10% 83%  
31 6% 74%  
32 9% 68%  
33 6% 59%  
34 19% 53% Median
35 25% 34%  
36 6% 10%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.4% 0.8%  
39 0.4% 0.4%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations