Opinion Poll by CBM Indicator for TVP, 9–10 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zjednoczona Prawica |
37.6% |
47.2% |
45.1–49.2% |
44.6–49.8% |
44.1–50.3% |
43.1–51.2% |
Koalicja Obywatelska |
31.7% |
27.0% |
25.2–28.8% |
24.7–29.4% |
24.3–29.8% |
23.5–30.7% |
Lewica |
11.7% |
13.4% |
12.1–14.9% |
11.7–15.3% |
11.4–15.7% |
10.8–16.4% |
Koalicja Polska |
13.9% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Konfederacja |
4.8% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.6–7.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Zjednoczona Prawica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zjednoczona Prawica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
217 |
0% |
100% |
|
218 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
219 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
220 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
221 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
222 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
223 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
224 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
225 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
226 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
227 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
228 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
229 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
230 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
231 |
0.7% |
98% |
Majority |
232 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
233 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
234 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
235 |
1.1% |
94% |
Last Result |
236 |
2% |
93% |
|
237 |
2% |
92% |
|
238 |
2% |
90% |
|
239 |
2% |
87% |
|
240 |
2% |
85% |
|
241 |
4% |
83% |
|
242 |
5% |
79% |
|
243 |
5% |
75% |
|
244 |
5% |
70% |
|
245 |
4% |
65% |
|
246 |
3% |
61% |
|
247 |
4% |
58% |
|
248 |
4% |
54% |
Median |
249 |
4% |
50% |
|
250 |
5% |
45% |
|
251 |
6% |
40% |
|
252 |
4% |
34% |
|
253 |
4% |
30% |
|
254 |
4% |
26% |
|
255 |
2% |
22% |
|
256 |
3% |
20% |
|
257 |
2% |
17% |
|
258 |
2% |
15% |
|
259 |
2% |
13% |
|
260 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
261 |
1.2% |
10% |
|
262 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
263 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
264 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
265 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
266 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
267 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
268 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
269 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
270 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
271 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
272 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
273 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
274 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
275 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
276 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
277 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
278 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
279 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
Koalicja Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Koalicja Obywatelska page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
107 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
114 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
115 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
116 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
117 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
118 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
119 |
3% |
95% |
|
120 |
2% |
92% |
|
121 |
2% |
90% |
|
122 |
3% |
88% |
|
123 |
3% |
85% |
|
124 |
2% |
82% |
|
125 |
5% |
79% |
|
126 |
4% |
75% |
|
127 |
5% |
71% |
|
128 |
5% |
66% |
|
129 |
5% |
61% |
|
130 |
3% |
56% |
|
131 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
132 |
4% |
47% |
|
133 |
4% |
43% |
|
134 |
4% |
39% |
|
135 |
3% |
36% |
|
136 |
3% |
33% |
|
137 |
3% |
29% |
|
138 |
3% |
27% |
|
139 |
2% |
23% |
|
140 |
3% |
21% |
|
141 |
4% |
18% |
|
142 |
3% |
15% |
|
143 |
2% |
12% |
|
144 |
2% |
10% |
|
145 |
2% |
8% |
|
146 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
147 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
148 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
149 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
150 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
151 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
152 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
153 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
154 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
155 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
156 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
157 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
158 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lewica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
45 |
4% |
96% |
|
46 |
3% |
93% |
|
47 |
4% |
89% |
|
48 |
5% |
85% |
|
49 |
6% |
80% |
|
50 |
7% |
74% |
|
51 |
7% |
67% |
|
52 |
5% |
60% |
|
53 |
5% |
55% |
|
54 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
55 |
2% |
48% |
|
56 |
2% |
46% |
|
57 |
2% |
44% |
|
58 |
3% |
42% |
|
59 |
4% |
39% |
|
60 |
4% |
35% |
|
61 |
5% |
31% |
|
62 |
5% |
26% |
|
63 |
6% |
21% |
|
64 |
7% |
16% |
|
65 |
4% |
8% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Koalicja Polska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Koalicja Polska page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
10 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
11 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
12 |
6% |
95% |
|
13 |
3% |
88% |
|
14 |
2% |
85% |
|
15 |
2% |
84% |
|
16 |
2% |
82% |
|
17 |
6% |
80% |
|
18 |
6% |
74% |
|
19 |
3% |
68% |
|
20 |
4% |
65% |
|
21 |
4% |
61% |
|
22 |
5% |
56% |
|
23 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
24 |
7% |
42% |
|
25 |
7% |
36% |
|
26 |
8% |
28% |
|
27 |
7% |
21% |
|
28 |
3% |
13% |
|
29 |
2% |
10% |
|
30 |
2% |
8% |
|
31 |
2% |
6% |
|
32 |
2% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Konfederacja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konfederacja page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
35% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
65% |
|
2 |
21% |
65% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
44% |
|
4 |
6% |
35% |
|
5 |
11% |
30% |
|
6 |
4% |
19% |
|
7 |
3% |
15% |
|
8 |
2% |
12% |
|
9 |
2% |
10% |
|
10 |
2% |
8% |
|
11 |
2% |
6% |
|
12 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
13 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Zjednoczona Prawica |
235 |
248 |
98% |
237–260 |
234–265 |
231–268 |
224–274 |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica – Koalicja Polska |
224 |
209 |
0.9% |
196–219 |
192–223 |
188–226 |
183–233 |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica |
166 |
186 |
0% |
175–199 |
172–204 |
170–206 |
165–211 |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Koalicja Polska |
224 |
153 |
0% |
141–164 |
138–168 |
134–172 |
128–177 |
Koalicja Obywatelska |
166 |
131 |
0% |
121–143 |
118–146 |
116–148 |
111–152 |
Zjednoczona Prawica

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
217 |
0% |
100% |
|
218 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
219 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
220 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
221 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
222 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
223 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
224 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
225 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
226 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
227 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
228 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
229 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
230 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
231 |
0.7% |
98% |
Majority |
232 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
233 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
234 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
235 |
1.1% |
94% |
Last Result |
236 |
2% |
93% |
|
237 |
2% |
92% |
|
238 |
2% |
90% |
|
239 |
2% |
87% |
|
240 |
2% |
85% |
|
241 |
4% |
83% |
|
242 |
5% |
79% |
|
243 |
5% |
75% |
|
244 |
5% |
70% |
|
245 |
4% |
65% |
|
246 |
3% |
61% |
|
247 |
4% |
58% |
|
248 |
4% |
54% |
Median |
249 |
4% |
50% |
|
250 |
5% |
45% |
|
251 |
6% |
40% |
|
252 |
4% |
34% |
|
253 |
4% |
30% |
|
254 |
4% |
26% |
|
255 |
2% |
22% |
|
256 |
3% |
20% |
|
257 |
2% |
17% |
|
258 |
2% |
15% |
|
259 |
2% |
13% |
|
260 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
261 |
1.2% |
10% |
|
262 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
263 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
264 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
265 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
266 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
267 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
268 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
269 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
270 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
271 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
272 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
273 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
274 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
275 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
276 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
277 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
278 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
279 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica – Koalicja Polska

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
178 |
0% |
100% |
|
179 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
180 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
181 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
182 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
183 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
184 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
185 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
186 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
187 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
188 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
189 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
190 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
191 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
192 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
193 |
2% |
95% |
|
194 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
195 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
196 |
3% |
92% |
|
197 |
2% |
89% |
|
198 |
1.4% |
87% |
|
199 |
2% |
85% |
|
200 |
2% |
84% |
|
201 |
2% |
81% |
|
202 |
3% |
79% |
|
203 |
3% |
76% |
|
204 |
4% |
73% |
|
205 |
4% |
68% |
|
206 |
4% |
65% |
|
207 |
5% |
61% |
|
208 |
5% |
56% |
Median |
209 |
5% |
51% |
|
210 |
4% |
46% |
|
211 |
4% |
42% |
|
212 |
4% |
38% |
|
213 |
4% |
34% |
|
214 |
5% |
30% |
|
215 |
3% |
25% |
|
216 |
4% |
21% |
|
217 |
3% |
17% |
|
218 |
3% |
14% |
|
219 |
2% |
11% |
|
220 |
2% |
10% |
|
221 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
222 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
223 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
224 |
0.7% |
4% |
Last Result |
225 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
226 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
227 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
228 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
229 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
230 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
231 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
Majority |
232 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
233 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
234 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
235 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
236 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
237 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
238 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
239 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
240 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
159 |
0% |
100% |
|
160 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
161 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
162 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
163 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
164 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
165 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
166 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
167 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
168 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
169 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
170 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
171 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
172 |
2% |
96% |
|
173 |
2% |
94% |
|
174 |
2% |
92% |
|
175 |
3% |
91% |
|
176 |
2% |
88% |
|
177 |
2% |
86% |
|
178 |
3% |
83% |
|
179 |
3% |
80% |
|
180 |
3% |
77% |
|
181 |
2% |
74% |
|
182 |
4% |
71% |
|
183 |
4% |
67% |
|
184 |
6% |
64% |
|
185 |
5% |
58% |
Median |
186 |
3% |
53% |
|
187 |
4% |
49% |
|
188 |
3% |
45% |
|
189 |
3% |
42% |
|
190 |
5% |
39% |
|
191 |
5% |
34% |
|
192 |
4% |
29% |
|
193 |
4% |
25% |
|
194 |
2% |
21% |
|
195 |
3% |
19% |
|
196 |
2% |
16% |
|
197 |
2% |
15% |
|
198 |
2% |
13% |
|
199 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
200 |
1.2% |
10% |
|
201 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
202 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
203 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
204 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
205 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
206 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
207 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
208 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
209 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
210 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
211 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
212 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
213 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
214 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
215 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
216 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
217 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
Koalicja Obywatelska – Koalicja Polska

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
124 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
125 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
126 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
127 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
128 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
129 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
130 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
131 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
132 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
133 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
134 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
135 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
136 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
137 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
138 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
139 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
140 |
2% |
93% |
|
141 |
2% |
92% |
|
142 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
143 |
2% |
89% |
|
144 |
3% |
87% |
|
145 |
2% |
84% |
|
146 |
2% |
82% |
|
147 |
5% |
81% |
|
148 |
3% |
76% |
|
149 |
3% |
73% |
|
150 |
5% |
70% |
|
151 |
5% |
65% |
|
152 |
3% |
59% |
|
153 |
7% |
56% |
|
154 |
5% |
49% |
Median |
155 |
5% |
44% |
|
156 |
5% |
39% |
|
157 |
6% |
34% |
|
158 |
3% |
28% |
|
159 |
2% |
25% |
|
160 |
4% |
22% |
|
161 |
3% |
19% |
|
162 |
3% |
16% |
|
163 |
2% |
13% |
|
164 |
2% |
11% |
|
165 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
166 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
167 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
168 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
169 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
170 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
171 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
172 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
173 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
174 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
175 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
176 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
177 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
178 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
179 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
180 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
181 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
182 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
183 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Koalicja Obywatelska

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
107 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
114 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
115 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
116 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
117 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
118 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
119 |
3% |
95% |
|
120 |
2% |
92% |
|
121 |
2% |
90% |
|
122 |
3% |
88% |
|
123 |
3% |
85% |
|
124 |
2% |
82% |
|
125 |
5% |
79% |
|
126 |
4% |
75% |
|
127 |
5% |
71% |
|
128 |
5% |
66% |
|
129 |
5% |
61% |
|
130 |
3% |
56% |
|
131 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
132 |
4% |
47% |
|
133 |
4% |
43% |
|
134 |
4% |
39% |
|
135 |
3% |
36% |
|
136 |
3% |
33% |
|
137 |
3% |
29% |
|
138 |
3% |
27% |
|
139 |
2% |
23% |
|
140 |
3% |
21% |
|
141 |
4% |
18% |
|
142 |
3% |
15% |
|
143 |
2% |
12% |
|
144 |
2% |
10% |
|
145 |
2% |
8% |
|
146 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
147 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
148 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
149 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
150 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
151 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
152 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
153 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
154 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
155 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
156 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
157 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
158 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CBM Indicator
- Commissioner(s): TVP
- Fieldwork period: 9–10 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.93%