Zjednoczona Prawica

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 37.6% (General Election of 25 October 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 45.3% 40.3–48.7% 39.5–49.3% 38.9–49.8% 37.8–51.0%
10–11 October 2019 IBSP 42.1% 40.1–44.1% 39.6–44.7% 39.1–45.2% 38.1–46.2%
11 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 42.0% 40.1–43.9% 39.6–44.5% 39.1–44.9% 38.2–45.9%
4–10 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 47.3% 45.3–49.3% 44.7–49.9% 44.2–50.4% 43.3–51.3%
9–10 October 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 39.9% 38.3–41.6% 37.9–42.0% 37.5–42.4% 36.7–43.2%
9–10 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 45.4% 43.5–47.4% 42.9–48.0% 42.4–48.4% 41.5–49.4%
9–10 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 48.2% 46.2–50.2% 45.6–50.8% 45.1–51.3% 44.1–52.2%
3–10 October 2019 CBOS 46.0% 44.0–48.0% 43.4–48.6% 43.0–49.1% 42.0–50.1%
9–10 October 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 47.2% 45.1–49.2% 44.6–49.8% 44.1–50.3% 43.1–51.2%
9 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 42.6% 40.7–44.6% 40.2–45.1% 39.7–45.6% 38.8–46.5%
8 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 44.3% 42.4–46.2% 41.8–46.8% 41.4–47.2% 40.5–48.2%
1–5 October 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza, Gazeta.pl and TOK FM		 42.0% 40.0–44.0% 39.4–44.6% 39.0–45.1% 38.0–46.0%
4–5 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 45.1% 43.2–47.0% 42.6–47.6% 42.2–48.1% 41.3–49.0%
3–4 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 49.5% 47.4–51.5% 46.9–52.0% 46.4–52.5% 45.4–53.5%
30 September–4 October 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 48.3% 47.6–49.0% 47.4–49.2% 47.2–49.4% 46.9–49.7%
2–3 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 44.3% 42.4–46.2% 41.8–46.8% 41.4–47.2% 40.5–48.2%
27 September–2 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 47.2% 45.1–49.2% 44.6–49.8% 44.1–50.3% 43.1–51.2%
1–2 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 43.4% 41.5–45.3% 40.9–45.9% 40.5–46.3% 39.6–47.3%
2 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 42.4% 40.5–44.3% 39.9–44.8% 39.5–45.3% 38.6–46.2%
25–26 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 40.0% 38.0–42.0% 37.5–42.6% 37.0–43.1% 36.1–44.0%
20–25 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 46.9% 44.9–48.9% 44.4–49.5% 43.9–50.0% 42.9–51.0%
24–25 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 45.0% 43.0–46.9% 42.5–47.4% 42.0–47.9% 41.1–48.8%
23–25 September 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 44.3% 42.3–46.3% 41.7–46.9% 41.2–47.4% 40.3–48.4%
20–21 September 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 44.5% 42.6–46.5% 42.1–47.0% 41.6–47.5% 40.7–48.4%
17–19 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 48.1% 46.1–50.2% 45.6–50.7% 45.1–51.2% 44.1–52.2%
12–19 September 2019 CBOS 46.0% 43.9–48.0% 43.4–48.6% 42.9–49.1% 41.9–50.1%
13–18 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 47.2% 45.1–49.2% 44.6–49.8% 44.1–50.3% 43.1–51.2%
13–17 September 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 43.0% 41.0–45.0% 40.4–45.6% 40.0–46.1% 39.0–47.1%
12–14 September 2019 IBSP 45.6% 43.6–47.6% 43.0–48.2% 42.5–48.7% 41.6–49.7%
12–13 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 45.0% 43.1–47.0% 42.5–47.6% 42.1–48.1% 41.1–49.0%
6–11 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 45.6% 43.6–47.6% 43.0–48.2% 42.6–48.7% 41.6–49.6%
6–11 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 40.0% 38.0–42.0% 37.4–42.6% 37.0–43.1% 36.0–44.1%
6–7 September 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 42.4% 40.4–44.4% 39.9–45.0% 39.4–45.5% 38.4–46.5%
4–6 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 45.0% 43.1–46.9% 42.5–47.5% 42.0–47.9% 41.1–48.9%
4–5 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 47.2% 45.2–49.3% 44.7–49.8% 44.2–50.3% 43.2–51.3%
30 August–4 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 43.5% 41.5–45.5% 41.0–46.0% 40.5–46.5% 39.6–47.5%
24 August–4 September 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 43.5% 42.8–44.2% 42.6–44.4% 42.4–44.6% 42.1–44.9%
23–29 August 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 45.0% 44.3–45.7% 44.1–45.9% 43.9–46.1% 43.6–46.4%
22–29 August 2019 CBOS 54.0% 52.0–56.0% 51.5–56.6% 51.0–57.1% 50.0–58.0%
23–28 August 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 44.6% 42.6–46.6% 42.0–47.2% 41.5–47.7% 40.6–48.7%
26–28 August 2019 Ipsos
OKO		 41.0% 39.0–43.0% 38.4–43.5% 38.0–44.0% 37.0–45.0%
26 August 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 41.5% 39.7–43.5% 39.1–44.0% 38.7–44.5% 37.8–45.4%
24–26 August 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 41.3% 39.3–43.3% 38.8–43.9% 38.3–44.4% 37.3–45.4%
23–24 August 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 41.3% 39.4–43.2% 38.9–43.7% 38.4–44.2% 37.5–45.1%
22 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 39.0% 37.1–41.0% 36.5–41.6% 36.1–42.1% 35.1–43.0%
21–22 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 44.9% 43.0–46.9% 42.4–47.5% 41.9–48.0% 41.0–48.9%
16–21 August 2019 Social Changes 42.9% 41.0–44.9% 40.4–45.5% 39.9–46.0% 39.0–46.9%
16–20 August 2019 Ariadna 45.0% 43.0–47.0% 42.4–47.5% 42.0–48.0% 41.0–49.0%
13 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 43.6% 41.6–45.6% 41.0–46.2% 40.5–46.7% 39.6–47.6%
9–10 August 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 41.3% 39.4–43.2% 38.9–43.7% 38.4–44.2% 37.5–45.1%
6–8 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 45.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 August 2019 Social Changes 44.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 August 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–31 July 2019 Social Changes 45.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 July 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–24 July 2019 Social Changes 44.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 July 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 July 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 July 2019 Kantar Public
Radio ZET		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 July 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 July 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 July 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 July 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 June 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 June 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 June 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 June 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 June 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 May–5 June 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–29 May 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 May 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 May 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 May 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 May 2019 Pracownia Analiz Społeczno-Politycznych
Gazeta Bałtycka		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 April 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 April 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–24 April 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 April 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 March 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 March 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 March 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 March 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 March 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 March 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 February 2019 IPSOS
OKO.press		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 February 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 February 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 February 2019 OPB Ariadna
WP		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 February 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 January–6 February 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 February 2019 Kantar Millward Brown 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 January 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 January 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 January 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 January 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–16 January 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 December 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 December 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 November–9 December 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 December 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 November 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 November 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 November 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 November 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–15 November 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 October 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 October 2018 IBRiS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 October 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 October 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 October 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 October 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 September 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 September 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 September 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 September 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 September 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 August–1 September 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 August 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 August 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 August 2018 Kantar Public
Gazeta Prawna		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 August 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 August 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 August 2018 CBM Indicator
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 July 2018 IBRiS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 July 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 July 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 June–5 July 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 June 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–17 June 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 June 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 June 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 May 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 May 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 May 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 May 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 May 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 May 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 April 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 April 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 April 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–12 April 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 April 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 April 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 March 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 March 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 March 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 March 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–14 March 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 March 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 March 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 February 2018 IBRiS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 February 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 February 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 February 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 February 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 February 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 February 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5 February 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35.5–36.5% 0% 100%  
36.5–37.5% 0.3% 100%  
37.5–38.5% 1.3% 99.7% Last Result
38.5–39.5% 4% 98%  
39.5–40.5% 6% 95%  
40.5–41.5% 9% 88%  
41.5–42.5% 9% 80%  
42.5–43.5% 8% 71%  
43.5–44.5% 7% 63%  
44.5–45.5% 8% 56% Median
45.5–46.5% 10% 48%  
46.5–47.5% 11% 38%  
47.5–48.5% 14% 26%  
48.5–49.5% 9% 12%  
49.5–50.5% 3% 4%  
50.5–51.5% 0.8% 1.0%  
51.5–52.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
52.5–53.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 235 seats (General Election of 25 October 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 247 223–268 216–274 210–280 202–290
10–11 October 2019 IBSP 219 205–233 203–236 200–238 197–243
11 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 250 238–263 235–268 232–271 225–276
4–10 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 250 238–264 235–268 232–271 226–276
9–10 October 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 226 216–238 213–240 211–242 207–246
9–10 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 242 231–251 227–255 224–259 218–267
9–10 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 255 243–270 241–273 239–275 233–280
3–10 October 2019 CBOS 273 262–286 259–290 256–293 249–299
9–10 October 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 248 237–260 234–265 231–268 224–274
9 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 250 239–262 236–267 233–269 226–275
8 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 256 244–270 242–274 239–275 234–281
1–5 October 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza, Gazeta.pl and TOK FM		 242 228–252 225–255 223–257 218–262
4–5 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 258 245–273 243–275 241–278 237–283
3–4 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 262 247–275 245–278 244–280 240–285
30 September–4 October 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 255 252–260 251–261 250–262 248–265
2–3 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 257 245–273 243–275 241–278 236–283
27 September–2 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 247 237–261 234–265 230–268 224–274
1–2 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 231 219–243 216–245 214–248 210–252
2 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 245 236–258 233–262 229–266 223–273
25–26 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 236 222–248 219–250 216–253 210–259
20–25 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 247 236–258 233–264 229–267 224–272
24–25 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 243 233–254 229–258 226–262 220–269
23–25 September 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 251 241–264 238–269 235–272 228–278
20–21 September 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 252 241–267 239–271 236–273 230–277
17–19 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 253 243–267 241–271 239–274 234–279
12–19 September 2019 CBOS 282 269–297 265–302 262–305 256–311
13–18 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 248 237–261 233–265 230–267 224–273
13–17 September 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 248 235–257 231–261 228–264 222–270
12–14 September 2019 IBSP 246 233–255 229–258 226–260 221–266
12–13 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 241 229–251 225–255 222–258 217–264
6–11 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 236 224–248 222–250 219–253 212–260
6–11 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 247 236–260 232–265 228–269 222–275
6–7 September 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 254 242–271 240–274 237–276 231–281
4–6 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 241 228–249 225–252 222–255 217–262
4–5 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 252 243–267 241–271 238–275 233–279
30 August–4 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 225 214–238 212–242 210–245 206–250
24 August–4 September 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 261 256–267 254–268 253–269 251–271
23–29 August 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 247 245–251 244–252 244–253 242–255
22–29 August 2019 CBOS 293 282–306 279–309 276–311 271–316
23–28 August 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 233 220–244 217–248 215–251 210–255
26–28 August 2019 Ipsos
OKO		 238 225–250 222–252 219–254 213–259
26 August 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 237 224–248 221–251 218–253 213–258
24–26 August 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 242 228–252 225–256 222–258 217–264
23–24 August 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 240 229–251 225–255 222–259 216–266
22 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 223 212–236 208–240 205–243 199–248
21–22 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 246 236–256 232–259 228–262 222–268
16–21 August 2019 Social Changes 222 213–236 211–239 208–242 203–247
16–20 August 2019 Ariadna 257 247–270 244–274 242–277 236–282
13 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 258 248–269 245–273 242–276 235–281
9–10 August 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 241 228–250 224–253 221–256 217–262
6–8 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
2–7 August 2019 Social Changes          
6–7 August 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
26–31 July 2019 Social Changes          
26–27 July 2019 IBRiS
RMF		          
19–24 July 2019 Social Changes          
18–19 July 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
12–17 July 2019 Social Changes          
12–17 July 2019 Kantar Public
Radio ZET		          
12–15 July 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
12–13 July 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
4–11 July 2019 CBOS          
5–10 July 2019 Social Changes          
28–29 June 2019 IBRiS
RMF		          
21–26 June 2019 Social Changes          
19–20 June 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
6–13 June 2019 CBOS          
7–8 June 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
31 May–5 June 2019 Social Changes          
24–29 May 2019 Social Changes          
16–23 May 2019 CBOS          
10–15 May 2019 Social Changes          
10–15 May 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		          
1–4 May 2019 Pracownia Analiz Społeczno-Politycznych
Gazeta Bałtycka		          
26–30 April 2019 Social Changes          
26–29 April 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
19–24 April 2019 Social Changes          
12–17 April 2019 Social Changes          
25–27 March 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		          
20–22 March 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP1		          
20–21 March 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
7–14 March 2019 CBOS          
8–13 March 2019 Kantar Public          
9–10 March 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
20–21 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
14–16 February 2019 IPSOS
OKO.press		          
7–14 February 2019 CBOS          
8–13 February 2019 Kantar Public          
8–11 February 2019 OPB Ariadna
WP		          
7–8 February 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
5–7 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
31 January–6 February 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		          
4–5 February 2019 Kantar Millward Brown          
30 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
26–27 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
25–26 January 2019 IBRiS
Onet		          
23–24 January 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
10–17 January 2019 CBOS          
11–16 January 2019 Kantar Public          
15–16 January 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		          
10–11 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
4 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
13–14 December 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
12–13 December 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
30 November–11 December 2018 Kantar Public          
29 November–9 December 2018 CBOS          
7–8 December 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
23–24 November 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
20–21 November 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
19–20 November 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
9–15 November 2018 Kantar Public          
8–15 November 2018 CBOS          
13 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
8–9 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
29–30 October 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
26–27 October 2018 IBRiS          
12–17 October 2018 Kantar Public          
4–11 October 2018 CBOS          
5–6 October 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
1 October 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
22–23 September 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
20–21 September 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
14–17 September 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
6–13 September 2018 CBOS          
7–12 September 2018 Kantar Public          
25 August–1 September 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
22–23 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
16–23 August 2018 CBOS          
17–19 August 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		          
11 August 2018 Kantar Public
Gazeta Prawna		          
11 August 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
9–10 August 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
8–10 August 2018 CBM Indicator
TVP1		          
8–9 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
27 July 2018 IBRiS          
11–12 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
6–11 July 2018 Kantar Public          
8–9 July 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
4–5 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
28 June–5 July 2018 CBOS          
27–28 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
21–22 June 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
18 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
9–17 June 2018 Kantar Public          
13–14 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
7–14 June 2018 CBOS          
7–8 June 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
6–7 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
28–29 May 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
24–25 May 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
23–24 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
10–17 May 2018 CBOS          
11–16 May 2018 Kantar Public          
14 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
10–11 May 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
10–11 May 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
27–29 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
25–27 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
25–26 April 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
25–26 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
19 April 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
12–13 April 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		          
5–12 April 2018 CBOS          
9–10 April 2018 Kantar Public          
6–7 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
4–5 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
4–5 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
4 April 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
29–30 March 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
26–27 March 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
21–22 March 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
17 March 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
9–14 March 2018 Kantar Public          
1–8 March 2018 CBOS          
1–2 March 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
26 February 2018 IBRiS          
22 February 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
21–22 February 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
16–21 February 2018 Kantar Public          
19–20 February 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
20 February 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
1–8 February 2018 CBOS          
5 February 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.8%  
201 0.1% 99.7%  
202 0.1% 99.6%  
203 0.2% 99.5%  
204 0.2% 99.3%  
205 0.2% 99.1%  
206 0.2% 99.0%  
207 0.4% 98.7%  
208 0.2% 98%  
209 0.3% 98%  
210 0.4% 98%  
211 0.4% 97%  
212 0.4% 97%  
213 0.6% 97%  
214 0.5% 96%  
215 0.5% 96%  
216 0.6% 95%  
217 0.5% 95%  
218 0.6% 94%  
219 0.6% 94%  
220 0.8% 93%  
221 0.9% 92%  
222 0.7% 91%  
223 1.0% 91%  
224 1.0% 90%  
225 1.2% 89%  
226 1.2% 87%  
227 0.9% 86%  
228 1.3% 85%  
229 1.0% 84%  
230 1.2% 83%  
231 1.3% 82% Majority
232 1.0% 80%  
233 1.3% 79%  
234 1.3% 78%  
235 1.4% 77% Last Result
236 1.4% 76%  
237 2% 74%  
238 2% 72%  
239 2% 71%  
240 2% 69%  
241 2% 67%  
242 3% 65%  
243 3% 62%  
244 3% 60%  
245 3% 57%  
246 2% 54%  
247 2% 51% Median
248 2% 49%  
249 2% 47%  
250 2% 45%  
251 3% 42%  
252 3% 40%  
253 3% 37%  
254 3% 34%  
255 3% 31%  
256 3% 28%  
257 2% 26%  
258 2% 23%  
259 2% 21%  
260 2% 19%  
261 1.3% 18%  
262 1.2% 16%  
263 1.0% 15%  
264 1.0% 14%  
265 0.9% 13%  
266 0.9% 12%  
267 0.8% 11%  
268 0.8% 10%  
269 0.9% 10%  
270 0.8% 9%  
271 0.9% 8%  
272 0.7% 7%  
273 0.7% 6%  
274 0.7% 6%  
275 0.6% 5%  
276 0.5% 4%  
277 0.5% 4%  
278 0.4% 3%  
279 0.4% 3%  
280 0.3% 3%  
281 0.3% 2%  
282 0.2% 2%  
283 0.2% 2%  
284 0.2% 2%  
285 0.2% 1.3%  
286 0.2% 1.1%  
287 0.1% 0.9%  
288 0.1% 0.8%  
289 0.1% 0.7%  
290 0.1% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.5%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%