Lewica

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 11.7% (General Election of 25 October 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13.5% 10.6–16.2% 9.0–16.8% 8.4–17.4% 7.6–18.4%
10–11 October 2019 IBSP 15.7% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.7% 13.5–18.1% 12.9–18.8%
11 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.4–15.8% 12.1–16.2% 11.5–16.9%
4–10 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 16.2% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.2% 14.1–18.6% 13.4–19.4%
9–10 October 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 12.0% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.7% 10.0–14.3%
9–10 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 14.3% 13.0–15.7% 12.6–16.1% 12.3–16.5% 11.7–17.2%
9–10 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.1%
3–10 October 2019 CBOS 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
9–10 October 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.7–15.3% 11.4–15.7% 10.8–16.4%
9 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 13.1% 11.9–14.5% 11.5–14.9% 11.2–15.2% 10.7–15.9%
8 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 13.8% 12.6–15.2% 12.2–15.6% 11.9–16.0% 11.3–16.7%
1–5 October 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza, Gazeta.pl and TOK FM		 13.0% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
4–5 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 12.6% 11.4–14.0% 11.1–14.4% 10.8–14.7% 10.2–15.4%
3–4 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 13.1% 11.8–14.6% 11.5–15.0% 11.2–15.3% 10.6–16.0%
30 September–4 October 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 12.4% 11.9–12.9% 11.8–13.0% 11.7–13.2% 11.5–13.4%
2–3 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.7–14.7%
27 September–2 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 13.8% 12.4–15.2% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.0% 11.2–16.8%
1–2 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 13.9% 12.6–15.3% 12.3–15.7% 11.9–16.1% 11.4–16.8%
2 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 13.1% 11.9–14.5% 11.5–14.9% 11.2–15.2% 10.7–15.9%
25–26 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.7%
20–25 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
24–25 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.4–15.8% 12.1–16.2% 11.5–16.9%
23–25 September 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 11.9% 10.7–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.0–14.1% 9.5–14.8%
20–21 September 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 14.1% 12.8–15.5% 12.5–15.9% 12.1–16.3% 11.6–17.0%
17–19 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.3–15.4% 10.7–16.2%
12–19 September 2019 CBOS 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.0–6.4% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
13–18 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.6% 9.9–15.3%
13–17 September 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
12–14 September 2019 IBSP 12.3% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.4% 9.8–15.2%
12–13 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
6–11 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
6–11 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.4–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.6–13.8%
6–7 September 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 13.1% 11.8–14.6% 11.4–15.0% 11.1–15.3% 10.6–16.1%
4–6 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.4–15.8% 12.1–16.2% 11.5–16.9%
4–5 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 12.9% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.4–15.9%
30 August–4 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 13.9% 12.6–15.3% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.1% 11.3–16.9%
24 August–4 September 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 14.2% 13.7–14.7% 13.5–14.8% 13.4–15.0% 13.2–15.2%
23–29 August 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 11.0% 10.6–11.5% 10.4–11.6% 10.3–11.7% 10.1–11.9%
22–29 August 2019 CBOS 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.9–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.1–13.0%
23–28 August 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 10.4% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.1% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.1%
26–28 August 2019 Ipsos
OKO		 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
26 August 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 12.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.4–14.3% 9.8–14.9%
24–26 August 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
23–24 August 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 13.3% 12.0–14.7% 11.7–15.1% 11.4–15.4% 10.8–16.1%
22 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.7%
21–22 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.2–11.8% 7.7–12.5%
16–21 August 2019 Social Changes 13.4% 12.1–14.8% 11.8–15.3% 11.4–15.6% 10.9–16.3%
16–20 August 2019 Ariadna 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
13 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 10.9% 9.7–12.2% 9.4–12.6% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.6%
9–10 August 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 11.6% 10.5–13.0% 10.2–13.4% 9.9–13.7% 9.3–14.3%
6–8 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 10.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 August 2019 Social Changes 14.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 August 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.4–15.9% 12.1–16.2% 11.5–17.0%
26–31 July 2019 Social Changes 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 July 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 11.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.7–12.9% 9.4–13.2% 8.9–13.8%
19–24 July 2019 Social Changes 10.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 July 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 July 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 July 2019 Kantar Public
Radio ZET		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 July 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 July 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 July 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 July 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 June 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 June 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 June 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 June 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 June 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 May–5 June 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–29 May 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 May 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 May 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 May 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 May 2019 Pracownia Analiz Społeczno-Politycznych
Gazeta Bałtycka		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 April 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 April 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–24 April 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 April 2019 Social Changes 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 March 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 March 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 March 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 March 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 March 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 March 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 February 2019 IPSOS
OKO.press		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 February 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 February 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 February 2019 OPB Ariadna
WP		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 February 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 January–6 February 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 February 2019 Kantar Millward Brown 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 January 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 January 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 January 2019 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 January 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–16 January 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 December 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 December 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 November–9 December 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 December 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 November 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 November 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 November 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 November 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–15 November 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 October 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 October 2018 IBRiS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 October 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 October 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 October 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 October 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 September 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 September 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 September 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 September 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 September 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 August–1 September 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 August 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 August 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 August 2018 Kantar Public
Gazeta Prawna		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 August 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 August 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 August 2018 CBM Indicator
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 July 2018 IBRiS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 July 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 July 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 June–5 July 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 June 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–17 June 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 June 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 June 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 May 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 May 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 May 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 May 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 May 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 May 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 April 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 April 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 April 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–12 April 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 April 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 April 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 March 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 March 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 March 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 March 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–14 March 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 March 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 March 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 February 2018 IBRiS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 February 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 February 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 February 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 February 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 February 2018 IBRiS
Onet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 February 2018 CBOS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5 February 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lewica.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0.4% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 3% 99.6%  
8.5–9.5% 4% 97%  
9.5–10.5% 3% 93%  
10.5–11.5% 4% 90%  
11.5–12.5% 17% 86% Last Result
12.5–13.5% 20% 69%  
13.5–14.5% 18% 50% Median
14.5–15.5% 15% 31%  
15.5–16.5% 10% 17%  
16.5–17.5% 5% 7%  
17.5–18.5% 2% 2%  
18.5–19.5% 0.3% 0.4%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 25 October 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 61 44–75 37–78 34–81 31–85
10–11 October 2019 IBSP 68 61–78 58–80 56–82 52–87
11 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 69 63–79 61–81 58–84 51–87
4–10 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 73 65–82 63–84 62–86 55–90
9–10 October 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 53 45–61 44–63 43–65 38–68
9–10 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 64 53–69 50–72 48–76 45–79
9–10 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 63 51–68 49–72 48–74 44–79
3–10 October 2019 CBOS 37 32–44 31–46 29–49 26–54
9–10 October 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 54 46–64 45–65 44–67 41–73
9 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 64 53–70 50–73 49–76 46–81
8 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 66 60–76 55–78 53–80 49–84
1–5 October 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza, Gazeta.pl and TOK FM		 61 51–68 48–71 46–73 44–77
4–5 October 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 60 49–66 47–68 45–70 43–76
3–4 October 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 53 46–64 44–65 43–67 40–71
30 September–4 October 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 48 47–52 47–52 46–53 44–56
2–3 October 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 54 46–64 44–66 43–67 40–73
27 September–2 October 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 61 49–66 47–68 45–70 42–76
1–2 October 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 62 51–67 48–70 47–72 44–78
2 October 2019 IBRiS
Radio ZET		 64 53–69 50–73 48–76 46–79
25–26 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 43 36–51 34–54 33–56 31–61
20–25 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 50 44–62 42–64 40–64 36–67
24–25 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 64 53–69 50–72 48–75 45–79
23–25 September 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 51 44–64 43–64 41–65 37–69
20–21 September 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 66 60–76 55–78 53–80 49–84
17–19 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 54 47–64 44–65 43–67 40–72
12–19 September 2019 CBOS 10 0–23 0–24 0–25 0–29
13–18 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 49 41–59 39–61 37–63 35–66
13–17 September 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		 46 40–56 37–59 36–61 33–66
12–14 September 2019 IBSP 49 43–58 41–61 38–64 36–68
12–13 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 63 51–67 49–70 47–73 45–78
6–11 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 60 49–66 46–66 45–68 42–74
6–11 September 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 52 44–64 42–65 40–66 37–71
6–7 September 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 65 56–75 53–78 51–79 47–84
4–6 September 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 63 51–67 49–70 47–73 45–78
4–5 September 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 54 46–64 44–65 43–67 40–72
30 August–4 September 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 60 49–67 47–69 46–71 43–76
24 August–4 September 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 71 66–76 66–77 66–77 65–79
23–29 August 2019 Dobra Opinia
PPG		 44 42–46 42–47 42–48 40–50
22–29 August 2019 CBOS 40 33–46 32–48 32–51 29–57
23–28 August 2019 Social Changes
wpolityce.pl		 38 32–45 31–47 30–49 27–54
26–28 August 2019 Ipsos
OKO		 62 52–69 49–73 47–75 44–79
26 August 2019 IBRiS
Onet		 54 46–64 45–65 43–67 39–71
24–26 August 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP		 49 43–60 40–62 38–65 35–67
23–24 August 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 64 55–72 52–76 49–77 46–80
22 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 46 39–55 37–58 36–60 34–66
21–22 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		 37 32–44 31–46 30–48 28–52
16–21 August 2019 Social Changes 56 46–65 45–66 44–68 41–71
16–20 August 2019 Ariadna 42 34–48 32–50 32–52 30–59
13 August 2019 Kantar Public
TVN		 48 42–58 38–61 36–64 33–67
9–10 August 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		 52 44–63 43–64 40–65 38–68
6–8 August 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
2–7 August 2019 Social Changes          
6–7 August 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		 65 57–73 54–76 51–78 48–81
26–31 July 2019 Social Changes          
26–27 July 2019 IBRiS
RMF		 54 45–65 43–66 43–67 40–73
19–24 July 2019 Social Changes          
18–19 July 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
12–17 July 2019 Social Changes          
12–17 July 2019 Kantar Public
Radio ZET		          
12–15 July 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
12–13 July 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
4–11 July 2019 CBOS          
5–10 July 2019 Social Changes          
28–29 June 2019 IBRiS
RMF		          
21–26 June 2019 Social Changes          
19–20 June 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
6–13 June 2019 CBOS          
7–8 June 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
31 May–5 June 2019 Social Changes          
24–29 May 2019 Social Changes          
16–23 May 2019 CBOS          
10–15 May 2019 Social Changes          
10–15 May 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		          
1–4 May 2019 Pracownia Analiz Społeczno-Politycznych
Gazeta Bałtycka		          
26–30 April 2019 Social Changes          
26–29 April 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
19–24 April 2019 Social Changes          
12–17 April 2019 Social Changes          
25–27 March 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		          
20–22 March 2019 CBM Indicator
TVP1		          
20–21 March 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
7–14 March 2019 CBOS          
8–13 March 2019 Kantar Public          
9–10 March 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
20–21 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
14–16 February 2019 IPSOS
OKO.press		          
7–14 February 2019 CBOS          
8–13 February 2019 Kantar Public          
8–11 February 2019 OPB Ariadna
WP		          
7–8 February 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
5–7 February 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
31 January–6 February 2019 Instytut Badań Spraw Narodowościowych
Radio ZET		          
4–5 February 2019 Kantar Millward Brown          
30 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
26–27 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
25–26 January 2019 IBRiS
Onet		          
23–24 January 2019 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
10–17 January 2019 CBOS          
11–16 January 2019 Kantar Public          
15–16 January 2019 Kantar Millward Brown
Gazeta Wyborcza		          
10–11 January 2019 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
4 January 2019 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
13–14 December 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
12–13 December 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
30 November–11 December 2018 Kantar Public          
29 November–9 December 2018 CBOS          
7–8 December 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
23–24 November 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
20–21 November 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
19–20 November 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
9–15 November 2018 Kantar Public          
8–15 November 2018 CBOS          
13 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
8–9 November 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
29–30 October 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
26–27 October 2018 IBRiS          
12–17 October 2018 Kantar Public          
4–11 October 2018 CBOS          
5–6 October 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
1 October 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
22–23 September 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
20–21 September 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
14–17 September 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
6–13 September 2018 CBOS          
7–12 September 2018 Kantar Public          
25 August–1 September 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
22–23 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
16–23 August 2018 CBOS          
17–19 August 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		          
11 August 2018 Kantar Public
Gazeta Prawna		          
11 August 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
9–10 August 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
8–10 August 2018 CBM Indicator
TVP1		          
8–9 August 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
27 July 2018 IBRiS          
11–12 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
6–11 July 2018 Kantar Public          
8–9 July 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
4–5 July 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
28 June–5 July 2018 CBOS          
27–28 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
21–22 June 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
18 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express		          
9–17 June 2018 Kantar Public          
13–14 June 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
7–14 June 2018 CBOS          
7–8 June 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
6–7 June 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
28–29 May 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
24–25 May 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
23–24 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
10–17 May 2018 CBOS          
11–16 May 2018 Kantar Public          
14 May 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
10–11 May 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
10–11 May 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
27–29 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
25–27 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
25–26 April 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
25–26 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
19 April 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
12–13 April 2018 IPSOS
OKO.press		          
5–12 April 2018 CBOS          
9–10 April 2018 Kantar Public          
6–7 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
4–5 April 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
4–5 April 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
4 April 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
29–30 March 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP1		          
26–27 March 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
21–22 March 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
17 March 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
9–14 March 2018 Kantar Public          
1–8 March 2018 CBOS          
1–2 March 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          
26 February 2018 IBRiS          
22 February 2018 Instytut Badań Pollster
Nowa TV, se.pl and Super Express		          
21–22 February 2018 Estymator
DoRzeczy.pl		          
16–21 February 2018 Kantar Public          
19–20 February 2018 Kantar Millward Brown
TVN and TVN24		          
20 February 2018 IBRiS
Onet		          
1–8 February 2018 CBOS          
5 February 2018 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lewica.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 0.2% 99.7%  
31 0.3% 99.6%  
32 0.8% 99.3%  
33 1.0% 98.6%  
34 0.8% 98%  
35 0.6% 97%  
36 0.7% 96%  
37 0.9% 95%  
38 0.6% 95%  
39 0.5% 94%  
40 0.6% 93%  
41 0.6% 93%  
42 0.7% 92%  
43 0.6% 91%  
44 1.1% 91%  
45 2% 90%  
46 1.3% 88%  
47 3% 87%  
48 5% 84%  
49 2% 79%  
50 4% 77%  
51 3% 73%  
52 3% 70%  
53 2% 67%  
54 2% 65%  
55 2% 63%  
56 2% 61%  
57 2% 60%  
58 2% 58%  
59 2% 56%  
60 2% 54%  
61 2% 52% Median
62 3% 49%  
63 4% 46%  
64 6% 42%  
65 5% 36%  
66 4% 30%  
67 4% 27%  
68 3% 23%  
69 2% 20%  
70 2% 18%  
71 2% 16%  
72 2% 15%  
73 2% 13%  
74 1.4% 11%  
75 1.2% 10%  
76 2% 9%  
77 2% 7%  
78 1.2% 6%  
79 1.0% 4%  
80 0.8% 3%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 0.5% 2%  
83 0.3% 1.3%  
84 0.3% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%